A 300-page report comes out at four in the afternoon. The six o'clock news gives it fifty seconds. The time a story must be finished by is called its deadline. Here the deadline is two hours away. Somebody has to turn 300 pages into fifty seconds by then.
Report out at four→Press release read→Two pages skimmed→Fifty seconds at six
Nobody reads the report. The people who wrote it knew that. Their press office wrote a two-page version and sent it out with the report. That is called a press release. The fifty seconds at six is the press release, read aloud, over pictures of the building where it was launched.
Pages in the report300 pages
Pages in the press release2 pages
The report lands at four. The news is at six. Where do the fifty seconds come from?
The whole report, read fast.
Not yet. Three hundred pages in two hours is a page every twenty-four seconds, while also filming, writing and phoning. Nobody reads it. Somebody skims the front.
The press release, because that is what two hours can read.
Right. The authors wrote the two-page version for exactly this moment. The fifty seconds are that version read aloud. The report itself is just the picture behind the presenter.
The reporter's own weeks of research.
Not yet. The report came out at four. There were no weeks. There was a press release and a clock.
A page a minute, nothing else to do
++
Two hours
++
And also film, phone and write
The best case, and it never happens.
Suppose the reporter tried anyway. A page a minute is fast reading. Two hours is 120 minutes. And in those two hours the reporter also has to film, phone and write. So even the best case leaves most of the report unread by the person telling you about it.
Pages in the report300
Minutes until six o'clock120
Three hundred pages. Two hours. A page a minute, with nothing else to do. How many pages get read?
pages
Right. A hundred and twenty, in a best case that never happens. Three fifths of the report goes unread by the person telling you about it. The fifty seconds come from the two pages at the front.
Facts checked3
Claims repeated as they arrived8
One hour after the event. Illustrative.
Time changes something else too. In the first hour a reporter can only repeat what people claimed. Nobody has had time to check. By a week, some claims have been checked and some have fallen apart. The story gets truer, not longer.
The same story, given more time. Change the gap between the event and the deadline.
Facts checked3
Claims repeated as they arrived8
Time to the deadline: 1 hour
An hour: three facts checked, eight claims repeated as they arrived.
Facts checked8
Claims repeated as they arrived5
Time to the deadline: 1 day
A day: the claims are being tested, and some have gone.
Facts checked15
Claims repeated as they arrived2
Time to the deadline: 1 week
A week: fifteen checked facts, two claims still hanging.
Facts checked25
Claims repeated as they arrived1
Time to the deadline: 1 month
A month: the story is mostly things that were confirmed, and one thing nobody could pin down.
What does more time change?
Nothing. The facts are the facts.
Not yet. The facts are the facts. At one hour the story does not have them yet. It has what someone claimed.
Checked facts replace repeated claims.
Right. One bar drains into the other. An hour's story is mostly what people said. A month's story is mostly what turned out to be so.
The story gets longer.
Not yet. The bars do not grow together. One drains into the other. Time changes what the words are made of, not how many there are.
Move the control.
A fifty-second news item, split by what it spends its seconds on. Tap the part that would tell a viewer how SURE the big number is.
Tap the part of the picture that answers it.
The big number20 seconds
Who is to blame15 seconds
How the number was worked out0 seconds
How far off the number could be0 seconds
What should happen next15 seconds
Illustrative.
How far off the number could be
Right. Zero seconds. The report gave a range; the item gave one number from it. Saying how far off it could be takes five seconds, and those five seconds never come.
The big number
Not yet. Twenty seconds on the number and none on how wide it is. The number is what gets said. How sure it is gets cut.
Who is to blame
Not yet. Fifteen seconds. Blame has a face and a name, and a face can be filmed.
How the number was worked out
Not yet. Zero seconds too. But this part is about how the number was made, not how sure it is. Both get cut. The question asked about sureness.
What should happen next
Not yet. Fifteen seconds, because a list of what should happen next reads well in a hurry.
Share of a 20-page report read in two hours100%
Share of a 300-page report40%
Share of a 3,000-page official investigation4%
A page a minute. Illustrative.
Two hours is fixed. The document is not. A short report can be mostly read. A long one cannot. So the bigger the document, the bigger the share of the story that comes from the two pages the authors wrote about themselves.
The numbers are made up: a page a minute, an eight-hour day. Set how long the document is, and how long the newsroom has.
Share of the document actually read100%
Share of the story taken from the press release0%
Illustrative: a page a minute, and an eight-hour day.
Size of the document: 20 pages · Time to the deadline: 2 hours
20 pages, 2 hours to the deadline: about 100% read, and 0% of the story comes from the press release.
Share of the document actually read100%
Share of the story taken from the press release0%
Illustrative: a page a minute, and an eight-hour day.
Size of the document: 20 pages · Time to the deadline: 2 days
20 pages, 2 days to the deadline: about 100% read, and 0% of the story comes from the press release.
Share of the document actually read100%
Share of the story taken from the press release0%
Illustrative: a page a minute, and an eight-hour day.
Size of the document: 20 pages · Time to the deadline: 2 weeks
20 pages, 2 weeks to the deadline: about 100% read, and 0% of the story comes from the press release.
Share of the document actually read40%
Share of the story taken from the press release60%
Illustrative: a page a minute, and an eight-hour day.
Size of the document: 300 pages · Time to the deadline: 2 hours
300 pages, 2 hours to the deadline: about 40% read, and 60% of the story comes from the press release.
Share of the document actually read100%
Share of the story taken from the press release0%
Illustrative: a page a minute, and an eight-hour day.
Size of the document: 300 pages · Time to the deadline: 2 days
300 pages, 2 days to the deadline: about 100% read, and 0% of the story comes from the press release.
Share of the document actually read100%
Share of the story taken from the press release0%
Illustrative: a page a minute, and an eight-hour day.
Size of the document: 300 pages · Time to the deadline: 2 weeks
300 pages, 2 weeks to the deadline: about 100% read, and 0% of the story comes from the press release.
Share of the document actually read4%
Share of the story taken from the press release96%
Illustrative: a page a minute, and an eight-hour day.
Size of the document: 3,000 pages · Time to the deadline: 2 hours
3,000 pages, 2 hours to the deadline: about 4% read, and 96% of the story comes from the press release.
Share of the document actually read33%
Share of the story taken from the press release67%
Illustrative: a page a minute, and an eight-hour day.
Size of the document: 3,000 pages · Time to the deadline: 2 days
3,000 pages, 2 days to the deadline: about 33% read, and 67% of the story comes from the press release.
Share of the document actually read100%
Share of the story taken from the press release0%
Illustrative: a page a minute, and an eight-hour day.
Size of the document: 3,000 pages · Time to the deadline: 2 weeks
3,000 pages, 2 weeks to the deadline: about 100% read, and 0% of the story comes from the press release.
A 3,000-page official investigation lands two hours before the six o'clock news. Where does the news version come from?
Experts who have read it.
Not yet. Nobody has read it. It came out two hours ago, and the experts got the same press release.
The press release, almost entirely.
Right. Four per cent read, and ninety-six per cent of the story from the summary the investigators wrote about their own report. The bigger the document, the more the story is the author's own account of it.
The investigation's findings, read by the reporter.
Not yet. Two hours reaches 120 pages of 3,000. The findings are on page 1,800.
Move both controls.
Which of these get done by a six o'clock deadline, and which take a week?
One card at a time. Tap the pile it belongs to.
Card 1 of 6
Quote the press release
Read the chapter on how the number was worked out
Ring the minister's office
Find the people the report is about
Check the figure against last year's report
Film the building where it was launched
Quote the press release → By six o'clock
Not yet. This is done by six. The release is already written, and quoting it takes a minute.
Read the chapter on how the number was worked out → Takes a week
Not yet. This takes a week. It is forty pages on how the sum was done, and the newsroom has an hour.
Ring the minister's office → By six o'clock
Not yet. This is done by six. The office picks up in minutes and has a line ready, because that is its job.
Find the people the report is about → Takes a week
Not yet. This takes a week. Nobody has their numbers, and finding them means travel and days of calls.
Check the figure against last year's report → Takes a week
Not yet. This takes a week. Last year's report has to be found, read and compared, and nobody is paid to do it today.
Film the building where it was launched → By six o'clock
Not yet. This is done by six. The building is where the launch was, and a camera crew is there already.
By six o'clockwhat the item is made of
vsvs
A weekwhat would have made it true
Right. The first column is what the item is made of. The second column is what would have made it true, and it happens next week, if anyone is still assigned to it.
Watched the fifty-second item5,000,000
Read the researcher's finding, six months on20,000
Illustrative.
Six months later a researcher reads the whole report. The big number was the top of a wide range. Where does that finding go?
A magazine for researchers, or a paragraph on page twelve. The fifty seconds are never re-run.
Right. The six o'clock news has moved on a hundred and eighty times since. The finding is true and published, and it reaches almost nobody who heard the original.
A correction on the six o'clock news.
Not yet. News programmes correct their own mistakes. This was not a mistake. It was a summary, and a summary is not corrected six months later.
Nowhere. It is old news.
Not yet. It goes somewhere: a magazine for researchers, a note at the bottom of a page, a talk to other researchers. Twenty thousand people read it there. Five million saw the fifty seconds.
Lesson complete
A deadline decides how much of a document is read before you hear about it.