Climate & Energy · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Hurricane Isaias hits Florida's Gulf coast after growing from Category 1 to Category 3 in one night, and more than 726,000 homes and businesses lose power
Isaias fed on a Gulf of Mexico 1.5C warmer than normal and came ashore near Destin as a Category 2 storm, after oil firms had stopped about 63% of US Gulf oil output. Hurricane Simon neared Mexico at Category 4, and governments from Brazil to Nigeria cut what drivers pay for fuel.
120 mph
Isaias's top winds on Friday morning, a Category 3 'major' hurricane
it had been a Category 1 storm a day earlier
726,000
homes and businesses in Florida and Alabama without power early on Saturday
Florida's governor counted about 260,000 in his state as the storm came ashore
63%
of US Gulf of Mexico oil output stopped before the storm arrived
about 1.3 million barrels a day, as of Thursday
1.5C
how much warmer than normal the Gulf of Mexico is
Climate Central, a research group, says climate change made water this warm 100 to 500 times more likely
The lead story — what happened
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Hurricane Isaias came ashore near Destin, in Florida's Panhandle, on Friday night with winds of 105 mph, a Category 2 storm.
[2] [5] -
A day earlier it was only a Category 1. Overnight it grew into a Category 3 'major' hurricane with winds of 120 mph.
[6] [7] -
Forecasters call this rapid intensification: top winds rising by at least 35 mph in 24 hours.
[8] -
It fed on the Gulf of Mexico, which is about 1.5C warmer than normal.
[9] A big, deep pool of warm water that broke off a Gulf current gave it extra fuel.[7] -
El Nino's high winds had stopped every Atlantic storm this year from growing into a hurricane.
[9] [8] Isaias formed in a gap of about two days when those winds eased.[9] [8] -
More than 726,000 homes and businesses in Florida and Alabama had no power early on Saturday.
[4] Florida, Alabama and Mississippi all declared emergencies.[2] -
Forecasters warned of a storm surge, sea water pushed ashore by the wind, of up to 7 feet along the Alabama-Florida line.
[2] Up to 15 inches of rain could fall in places.[6] -
Before it arrived, oil companies stopped about 1.3 million barrels a day, roughly 63% of US Gulf of Mexico output.
[10] Brent, the world's main oil price, ended the week 2.41% higher at $104.72.[11] -
Two refineries in the warning zone, Chevron's at Pascagoula and Vertex's at Saraland, make 2.4% of US fuel.
[10] A refinery that shuts takes one to two weeks to restart, even without damage.[10] -
Isaias fell to Category 1, with winds of 90 mph, within hours of landfall, and later lost hurricane strength.
[3] [1] Its rain moves on across Alabama towards the Tennessee Valley.[1] -
Florida sent about 5,000 National Guard soldiers, some prisons were emptied, and most flights at Panhandle airports were grounded.
[2] [4] -
Plans far inland changed too: President Trump dropped his trip to the Alabama-Georgia football game in Tuscaloosa.
[12] The teams still planned to play.[12]
Who is involved
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The National Hurricane Center
the US government's storm forecasters, in Miami; they issued the warnings for Isaias and Simon
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Ron DeSantis
Florida's governor; declared an emergency and told people to stay off the roads
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Kay Ivey
Alabama's governor; ordered visitors and tourists out of coastal counties
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The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement
the US agency that oversees offshore oil; it counted the barrels shut in
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Phil Klotzbach
a hurricane researcher at Colorado State University; he tracked the fight between El Nino's winds and the warm Gulf
How it unfolded
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Wed Isaias becomes a hurricane as its winds double from 40 to 80 mph in a day
[9] -
Thu Oil firms stop about 63% of US Gulf oil output
[10] -
Fri morning Isaias reaches Category 3, with winds of 120 mph
[6] -
Fri night It comes ashore near Destin, Florida, as a Category 2 storm
[2] -
Sat It weakens below hurricane strength, with more than 726,000 customers in the dark
[1] [4]
Where this points
Watch whether Chevron's Pascagoula refinery keeps running as the storm passes: a shutdown would take one to two weeks to restart even without damage, with US diesel stocks already at their lowest for this time of year since 1982.
What is pushing on the whole day
The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing today. The arrow is where it is heading. The evidence is in the stories below.
The Gulf of Mexico is about 1.5C warmer than normal, and Isaias doubled in strength over it.
Hiring a big tanker to carry crude from the US to Asia now costs up to $77m.
Brazil removed federal taxes on petrol for 30 days before its 25 October vote.
The US government has paid developers about $4bn to drop offshore wind projects.
The rest of the day
45 more stories on this beat.
Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.
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02
Hurricane Simon nears Mexico at Category 4
Hurricane Simon grew to Category 4 early on Saturday, with winds of 140 mph, as it neared Mexico's Pacific coast.
[13] On Friday morning it had been a Category 1 storm with winds of 75 mph.[15] Forecasters expect it to come ashore on Sunday between Manzanillo, Mexico's biggest port, and Puerto Vallarta, a beach city of nearly 300,000 people.[14] Up to 30 inches of rain could fall in places, bringing floods and mudslides.[13] Jalisco state closed schools in 22 coastal towns, and Mexico's navy closed ports to small boats.[13] [14] Friday morning75 mphSaturday morning140 mphSimon's top winds, about a day apart. Category 4 starts at 130 mph. Why it matters — Simon is the Pacific half of the same weekend as Isaias: warm water in the eastern Pacific has fed three Category 5 storms there this season.
[8] Families on the Jalisco and Colima coast face the wind and the rain on Sunday.[14] -
03
El Nino heads for a record peak
The World Meteorological Organization, the UN's weather agency, said on Thursday that this year's El Nino should peak in December.
[16] It could be among the strongest since at least 1950.[16] El Nino is a natural warming of the tropical Pacific that moves rain and storms around the world.[16] The middle of the Pacific was 2.5C warmer than normal in August, and forecasts point to about 3.7C from October to December.[17] The highest reading before this was 2.6C, in the winter of 2015-16.[17] Old record, 2015-162.6 CAugust 20262.5 CForecast, Oct-Dec 20263.7 CHow much warmer than normal the middle of the Pacific is, in degrees. The forecast would beat the old record by more than a degree. Why it matters — Chile's floods come as El Nino gains strength, and the warm, calm eastern Pacific it helped set up has fed storms like Simon.
[16] [8] After an El Nino fades, the Atlantic often has a busier hurricane year.[8] -
04
Santiago floods with nine times October's rain
Mudslides swept cars through the streets of eastern Santiago, Chile's capital, on Thursday and flooded homes and hospitals.
[16] Las Condes, a district east of the city, had 14.4 cm of rain in a few days, about nine times its usual October total.[16] President Jose Antonio Kast declared a state of emergency there.[16] Firefighters rescued or moved more than 1,000 people, and at least six were hurt.[16] The disaster agency closed schools on Friday and put 10 more districts on alert for landslides.[16] Why it matters — El Nino often brings wetter springs to Chile and the rest of the southern half of the world.
[16] Storms earlier in the week had already left nearly 12,000 homes in Santiago without power.[16] -
05
COP31 host hedges on fossil fuels
Murat Kurum, Turkey's climate minister, will lead COP31, the UN climate summit in Antalya in November.
[18] He told the Guardian that rich countries should spend far more on climate than the 5% of their economies that Nato members promised for defence.[18] But he would not say whether the summit should repeat its 2023 call to move away from fossil fuels.[18] He said the world was already moving.[18] Only 13 national leaders joined Australia's prime minister at the meeting in Fiji that prepared for it.[18] Why it matters — Small island states such as Tuvalu, mostly about 2 metres above the sea, want that fossil-fuel promise kept.
[18] Australia's climate minister, Chris Bowen, said such islands get 0.2% of world climate money for coping with the changes.[18] -
06
Tories doubled the cost of net zero
The UK Conservative party's new policy booklet says the UK government's climate advisers put the cost of net zero at GBP957bn.
[19] Carbon Brief, a climate news site, found the advisers' 2020 figure was GBP478bn, exactly half.[20] Someone appears to have added a spreadsheet's total row to the rows it totals, counting everything twice.[19] [20] The advisers, the Climate Change Committee, now put the cost at about GBP108bn, mostly because electric cars got cheaper.[20] The party uses the figure to back dropping its 2050 net zero target.[19] In the Tory booklet957 GBP bnAdvisers' real 2020 figure478 GBP bnAdvisers' newest figure108 GBP bnThe cost of reaching net zero by 2050, in billions of pounds. The first bar is the second one counted twice. Why it matters — The booklet was written for the party's conference under its leader, Kemi Badenoch.
[19] The same doubled number had appeared before in a report by the Institute of Economic Affairs, a think tank, and in the Spectator magazine.[19] -
07
France and Germany back weaker car rules
France and Germany have agreed to back a weaker EU rule on car pollution, Electrek reported, citing Clean Energy Wire, a German news service.
[21] New cars would have to cut carbon by 80% by 2035, instead of the 90% now set.[21] The steps on the way there would be eased too.[21] The two countries plan to present the idea on 15 October, and six other EU countries oppose weakening the rules.[21] It would be the third loosening in two years.[21] Why it matters — A weaker target lets European carmakers keep selling more petrol cars for longer.
[21] It comes as Chinese electric cars win a growing share of European sales.[21] -
08
China agrees to halve hybrid exports to the EU
China has agreed to halve its exports of hybrid cars to the European Union, the EU's trade chief, Maros Sefcovic, said on Friday.
[22] Hybrids run on both petrol and electricity, and the EU had asked China to send fewer of them.[22] The deal came after two days of talks in Beijing with China's commerce minister, Wang Wentao.[22] The EU still has to approve it.[22] China also promised export licences for rare earths and magnets.[22] Why it matters — The EU's widening trade gap with China has been a point of fighting, and Germany and France had pushed for tougher trade tools.
[22] The two sides meet again in March.[22] -
09
US utilities ask for record bill rises
US power and gas companies owned by investors asked regulators for a record $4.5bn in price rises in July to September, more than double a year earlier.
[23] That takes this year's requests to $23.1bn, according to PowerLines, a group that campaigns on bills.[23] Home electricity prices rose about 7.3% in the year to April.[23] Households heating with oil face bills 31.3% higher this winter, and gas users 5.8% higher.[23] Why it matters — The money pays for new plants and wires as demand grows, including from data centres.
[23] Energy bills have become a big issue before next month's US elections.[23] -
10
Karachi warned of power cuts at night
K-Electric, which supplies power to Karachi, Pakistan's biggest city, said on Friday it may cut power at night.
[24] Gas shipped by sea as liquid, called LNG, is arriving late, and power plants across Pakistan run on it.[24] The company called the cuts an extreme, last-resort step.[24] Pakistan has been short of fuel since fighting disrupted the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea.[24] Its government has not yet settled how much gas to import for December to February.[24] Why it matters — Evening and night are the busiest hours for power, so cuts would fall on families after dark.
[24] Pakistan's government already apologised in August for cuts caused by late gas cargoes.[24] -
11
EU buys a record amount of Russian Arctic gas
European countries paid about EUR7.88bn for liquid gas from Russia's Yamal project in the Arctic from January to September, the campaign group Urgewald found.
[25] A record 12.18 million tonnes reached European ports, 9.5% more than a year earlier.[25] France took nearly three-quarters of September's deliveries, through Dunkirk and Montoir.[25] The EU banned new Russian gas contracts this year and bans all Russian LNG from 1 January 2027.[25] Why it matters — Europe's gas stores are at a record low, and the trade shows how hard the promised phase-out is to carry through.
[25] Urgewald built its count from ship-tracking data by Kpler, a market data firm.[25] -
12
Brazil cuts fuel taxes before its runoff
Brazil's government on Friday removed federal taxes on petrol for 30 days, the same day older cuts ran out.
[26] It added a subsidy of 1.40 reais (about $0.28) a litre for diesel importers, on top of 2.12 reais already paid.[26] The runoff vote between President Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro, son of the former president, is on 25 October.[26] Brazil's government says money from its oil assets will pay for the tax cuts.[26] Why it matters — Fuel prices are a sensitive issue for Brazilian voters, and Bolsonaro won about 2 million more votes than Lula in the first round.
[26] Drivers pay less this month, and Brazil's public purse pays for the cut out of oil income.[26] -
13
Nigeria sells petrol at cost at state pumps
Nigeria's finance minister, Taiwo Oyedele, announced a 30-day discount on petrol at pumps run by NNPC, the state oil company.
[27] [28] Bus and taxi operators come first.[27] Petrol costs about 1,400 naira a litre, up from 830 before the Iran war.[27] Oyedele said it is not a subsidy, only petrol sold at cost, but did not say how much a litre now costs.[27] President Bola Tinubu ended a costly fuel subsidy in 2023 and faces an election in January.[27] [28] Why it matters — The old subsidy cost $10bn in 2022, more than Nigeria spent on health and education together.
[28] Analysts widely rejected the claim that the discount is not a subsidy.[28] -
14
China lets fuel exports restart
China has approved about 3.7 million tonnes of diesel, petrol and jet fuel exports for October, traders told Reuters.
[29] Exports had stopped briefly during the Golden Week holiday.[29] China first curbed fuel exports in March to keep enough at home after the Iran war cut crude supplies.[29] It eased the curbs from July to September, and now checks shipments month by month.[29] Why it matters — Extra Chinese diesel and jet fuel helps a world market that is short of both.
[29] Month-by-month checks mean buyers cannot count on it beyond October.[29] -
15
Hiring a big oil tanker costs a record
Hiring a large tanker to carry crude from the US to Asia now costs up to $77m, against under $10m last year, Semafor reported.
[30] About 10 million barrels a day still leave the Strait of Hormuz despite attacks on ships.[30] But the biggest tankers wait outside the strait while smaller ships bring the oil out to them.[30] All that waiting ties up ships and has created a shortage of tankers.[30] under $10mUS to Asia, last yearup to $77mUS to Asia, nowThe cost of hiring one large tanker for the same trip. Ships waiting outside the Strait of Hormuz cannot carry anything else. Why it matters — It widens the gap between the oil price on traders' screens and what a refiner pays to get real barrels delivered.
[30] Vitol, a big oil trader, warned of $200 a barrel if Gulf exports fall again.[30] -
16
Iraq to send crude by lorry to Syria
Iraq expects to start moving crude oil by lorry to Syria's Mediterranean coast from mid-October, the head of Syria's state oil company said.
[31] Iraq's usual route, by tanker through the Strait of Hormuz, has been disrupted since the Iran war began in February.[31] Since April, at least 2.1 million tonnes of Iraqi fuel oil have gone by lorry to Syria's port of Baniyas.[31] Oil pays for at least 90% of the Iraqi government's income.[31] Why it matters — Iraq exported about 3.3 million barrels a day before the war.
[31] Syria has become its main back-up export route since April.[31] -
17
US states split on cheap red diesel
Missouri's governor, Mike Kehoe, on Friday let every driver use dyed red diesel on the state's roads.
[33] Red diesel is the same fuel as road diesel, but untaxed, because it is meant for tractors.[32] President Trump told the US tax agency on Monday to stop fining people who use it on roads.[32] California's governor, Gavin Newsom, refused to follow, though diesel there costs $8.36 a gallon on average.[32] California's farm lobby says the change, with a state tax cut, would save farmers about 73 cents a gallon.[32] Why it matters — Newsom's office said the order adds no diesel and only puts off a tax bill that may come due later.
[32] So the same truck's fuel bill now depends on which state it fills up in.[32] [33] -
18
A tipped fuel bundle stalls a reactor restart
Holtec International has asked the US nuclear regulator, the NRC, to approve a plan to lift out a fuel bundle that tipped over inside its Palisades reactor in Michigan.
[34] It tipped while fuel was being loaded on 30 August, and the restart has been on hold since.[34] No radiation escaped.[34] The NRC says the bundle is badly bent, and Holtec says it should straighten inside a protective canister.[34] Palisades closed in 2022, and Holtec bought it to restart it.[34] Why it matters — A campaign group, Don't Waste Michigan, says the fuel could be out of water for up to 133 hours during the lift.
[34] The NRC has not said whether it will approve the plan.[34] -
19
Biggest US grid fast-tracks batteries and gas
PJM, which runs the power grid across much of the eastern US, approved the first three projects on its new fast track on Thursday.
[35] Engie, a French energy company, will build two big batteries in Pennsylvania and Ohio, together nearly 1.7 gigawatts.[35] LS Power will add 455 megawatts to its Hunterstown gas plant in Pennsylvania.[35] All three should run by mid-2029.[35] The fast track takes up to 10 large projects a year that can start within three years.[35] Why it matters — PJM has had little new power coming online while data centres push demand up, and that has raised bills in parts of its region.
[35] -
20
Australia backs a world rooftop solar goal
Australia became the first country to sign the Global Rooftop Solar Declaration, at the meeting in Fiji ahead of COP31.
[36] The declaration aims to double the number of homes with rooftop solar by 2030, about 150 million new systems.[36] It asks governments to cut red tape, offer cheap loans, upgrade grids and train installers.[36] About 35% of Australian houses already have rooftop solar, said Chris Bowen, its climate minister.[36] Why it matters — Solar groups now want other countries to sign before COP31 in November.
[36] They say home solar shields households from swings in fuel prices.[36] -
21
Austrians rush for solar grants
Austria opened its last solar and battery grant round of the year on Thursday afternoon.
[37] About 43,300 applications came in within 10 minutes, against 24,900 in the summer round.[37] Grants go first come, first served, in three windows a year.[37] Austria's government now plans to take applications all year from 2027, after the panels are fitted, with a bonus for adding a battery.[37] Summer round24,900 applicationsOctober round43,300 applicationsSolar and battery grant applications in the first 10 minutes of each round. Why it matters — Elisabeth Zehetner, the energy state secretary, said people need to plan rather than race against the clock.
[37] The battery bonus favours homes that add a battery to their solar panels.[37] -
22
Heat pumps keep selling without a tax credit
US heat pump shipments stayed strong in the first half of 2026 and are on track to match or beat their best year, the Building Decarbonization Coalition reported.
[38] A heat pump heats and cools a home with electricity and can replace a gas furnace.[38] The federal tax credit, worth up to $2,000, ended at the end of 2025, seven years early.[38] Lucas Davis, a Berkeley economist, suspects most buyers never knew about it.[38] Why it matters — Earlier research found heat pump buying is driven by climate, place and electricity prices.
[38] Rooftop solar and electric cars have struggled more since their own credits ended.[38] -
23
Most US solar factory plans lack money
More than 70% of US solar factory plans that need spending in 2027 have no money behind them or have stalled, a PV Magazine analysis finds.
[39] Spending on US solar factories peaked at almost $4bn in 2024 and is heading for about $3bn this year.[39] Separately, a rise in the US minimum price for imported polysilicon, the raw material for panels, may slip into early 2027.[40] Why it matters — That minimum price was meant to protect US factories, so a delay leaves them facing cheaper imports for longer.
[40] Tesla's plans to make its own panels on a huge scale could change the picture.[39] -
24
Tesla buys power from a desert solar farm
ContourGlobal started building Project Sterling, a 450-megawatt solar farm with batteries in Mohave County, Arizona, on 6 October.
[41] Tesla has agreed to buy about 90% of its power, roughly 1 terawatt-hour a year.[41] The batteries store about 1.4 gigawatt-hours, enough to run at full power for four hours.[41] With them, the plant can supply power for up to 16 hours a day from 2028.[41] Why it matters — It will be ContourGlobal's biggest renewable plant anywhere.
[41] Its power can also reach California through the western grid.[41] -
25
Louisiana's wind firms wait out Trump
Offshore wind firms in Louisiana are trying to keep their workers and suppliers until January 2029, when President Trump leaves office, a forum at Tulane University heard.
[42] The Trump administration has paid developers about $4bn to walk away from projects.[42] Developers have given up 12 offshore wind leases, including a planned 2-gigawatt farm in the Gulf of Mexico.[42] Joe Orgeron, a Republican state lawmaker who worked in the industry, said the plan is to wait for the clock to run out.[42] Why it matters — Madelyn Smith of the Southeastern Wind Coalition said there is no real path to progress for two or three years.
[42] Trump's policies have brought US offshore wind building close to a standstill.[42] -
26
Clean-power money targets US lawmakers
Invest in Tomorrow, a political group that backs clean energy, says it will spend $15m to defeat Republicans in seven US House races.
[43] The three sitting members it targets, including Lauren Boebert and Victoria Spartz, all voted last year to end clean energy tax credits.[43] It has started a $2m advert campaign against Spartz.[43] The adverts attack her record on health care, not on energy.[43] Why it matters — The US midterm elections are less than a month away.
[43] The group's chair, Tom Matzzie, said attacking American energy now has a real political cost for lawmakers.[43] -
27
Chinese brands crowd the Paris Motor Show
About 20 Chinese car brands will be at the Paris Motor Show, which opens on Monday with around 100 new models.
[44] Fully electric cars were 21.7% of new cars registered in the EU in the first eight months of 2026, up from 15.8% a year earlier.[44] In France, electric car registrations rose 74.2%.[44] Petrol and diesel cars together fell to 29% of sales, from 37.5%.[44] Jan-Aug 202515.8%Jan-Aug 202621.7%Fully electric cars as a share of all new cars registered in the EU. Why it matters — Tim Urquhart, an analyst at Mobility Global, called the outlook for traditional European carmakers extremely worrying.
[44] It comes as France and Germany push to soften the EU's car rules.[21] -
28
Volkswagen's best-seller goes electric
Volkswagen unveiled the ID. Tiguan, an electric version of the Tiguan, its best-selling car.
[45] It goes on sale in early 2027 with up to 372 miles of range.[45] It replaces the ID.4 and ID.5, which have sold more than 950,000 since 2021.[45] The new car looks more like the petrol Tiguan, with a boxy shape and ordinary door handles.[45] Why it matters — Volkswagen says the new look makes it seem like a premium car.
[45] It will compete with Chinese brands now pushing into Europe.[44] -
29
BYD makes its $10,000 car bigger
BYD, a Chinese carmaker, opened orders for a larger new version of its Seagull.
[46] The Seagull starts at about $10,000 in China and sells in Europe as the Dolphin Surf from EUR22,900.[46] It was the world's sixth best-selling electric car through August, with more than 212,000 sold.[46] The cheapest new car in the US costs just over $20,000.[46] Why it matters — BYD is upgrading the Seagull to compete with a coming wave of cheap, entry-level electric cars.
[46] -
30
Geely plans to sell cars in Canada
Geely, a Chinese carmaker that also owns Volvo, Polestar and Lotus, will start selling cars under its own name in Canada in 2027.
[47] It has not said which models, prices or dealers.[47] Geely sold more than 3 million cars in 2025, nearly 1.69 million of them electric or plug-in hybrids.[47] Its lineup is led by the EX5, an electric SUV.[47] Why it matters — Geely says it is building a network of local dealer partners.
[47] Bryan Wu, who runs Geely Auto Canada, called it a long-term commitment.[47] -
31
Tesla opens a truck charging route
Tesla opened two charging stations for its electric Semi lorry between Atlanta and Savannah, in the US state of Georgia.
[48] There are 8 chargers near Atlanta and 6 at a Pilot truck stop near Savannah, each up to 1.2 megawatts.[48] The two sites are about 220 miles apart.[48] It is the Semi's first public charging route outside California.[48] Why it matters — A Semi can now leave the Savannah port area, drive to Atlanta, charge and drive back.
[48] Tesla says more sites in the south-east are coming.[48] -
32
Helsinki votes to ban fossil fuel adverts
Helsinki's city council voted in favour of banning adverts for fossil fuels and other high-carbon products.
[49] The idea came from councillor Isaac Jyvasjarvi and 27 other councillors.[49] Existing advertising contracts run until 2035, so the ban may take almost ten years to start.[49] Helsinki is the second Nordic capital to move towards such a ban, after Stockholm.[49] Why it matters — The ban could one day cover adverts for flights, shipping and tourism as well as fuel.
[49] The city will first study what is legal and what it would cost its budget.[49] -
33
Pakistan sets a fee to use its grid
Pakistan's power regulator, Nepra, set fees of 6.23 to 19.62 rupees a unit for big users that buy electricity from private suppliers.
[50] The fee pays for carrying their power over the national grid.[50] It clears the way for a 400-megawatt auction, where these users can buy from private suppliers.[50] Big users that stay out of the auction will pay 19.17 to 32.56 rupees.[50] Why it matters — A little over 3,000 big power users across Pakistan could take part.
[50] The fee includes a cross-subsidy, a charge that helps keep other customers' bills down.[50] -
34
Brazil's power market opening carries a risk
Brazil plans to let businesses choose their electricity supplier from November 2027, and homes from November 2028.
[51] A study of 88,000 customers of shared solar farms found that 17% paid late each month.[51] About 4% left each month, more than 40% of customers in a year.[51] The authors, Guilherme Susteras and Alexandre Bueno, say regulators must watch suppliers' cash, not only the grid.[51] Why it matters — If many customers pay late, small suppliers can run short of cash.
[51] The researchers drew on data from 1,400 shared solar plants.[51] -
35
Aditya Birla refinances a Shell solar buy
Aditya Birla Renewables, part of India's Aditya Birla group, is seeking $1.5bn in rupee loans to pay for Shell's Indian clean power business, bankers told Reuters.
[52] It agreed in July to buy the unit, Solenergi Power, for $1.8bn.[52] It already had a $1.6bn short-term loan from MUFG Bank, which costs more.[52] The new loans would be spread across 17 to 20 separate project companies.[52] Why it matters — Loans backed by the power projects themselves cost less than a short-term bridge loan.
[52] The loans would run for about 80% of each project's life.[52] -
36
American frackers bring first Beetaloo gas
The first gas was sold from the Beetaloo Basin, in Australia's Northern Territory, in September, Fortune reports.
[53] Tamboran Resources and Daly Waters Energy produced it with American fracking firms and American money.[53] Fracking breaks up rock deep underground to free the gas inside it.[53] The territory banned fracking from 2016 to 2018, and earlier wells did not flow well.[53] Liberty Energy, co-founded by US Energy Secretary Chris Wright, owns a stake in Tamboran.[53] Why it matters — Australia's offshore gas fields are running down, and the country could face gas shortfalls.
[53] The basin still has to prove it can pay over the long term.[53] -
37
Power firms sell ways to stretch the grid
Octopus Energy US wants to buy more software start-ups that help power companies cope with data centres, its chief executive Nick Chaset told Semafor.
[54] In March it bought Uplight, whose software trims customers' power use at busy moments.[54] ABB and Schneider Electric, two big makers of power equipment, are selling products to get more out of grids that already exist.[55] Schneider bought a US industrial software firm for $22.6bn.[55] Why it matters — Using existing wires and plants harder is quicker than building new ones while demand climbs.
[55] Chaset said data centres have no money reason to cut their own use.[54] -
38
A blast at a Greek refinery hurts two
An explosion at Motor Oil's refinery in Agioi Theodoroi, about 60 km west of Athens, seriously injured two workers on Friday.
[56] The company said they were hurt during major maintenance work.[56] They were taken to hospital in Corinth.[56] The cause and the damage were not yet clear.[56] Why it matters — AP describes it as a major refinery.
[56] European diesel prices jumped 8% this week, after the IEA said a promised release held no new barrels.[30] -
39
Drones hunt fires still burning underground
Three months after a wildfire burned about 3,300 hectares of Scotland's Cairngorms National Park, drone pilots still fly over it at dawn.
[57] Their heat cameras find places where the ground is still burning beneath the surface.[57] On one recent flight they found eight.[57] Crews then dig up each spot and soak it with water.[57] Why it matters — A fire that looks out from above can keep burning below it for months.
[57] Without the heat cameras, the pilot said, they would be blind to it.[57] -
40
Interpol arrests 233 for forest crime
A two-month Interpol operation across nine Latin American and Caribbean countries led to 233 arrests for illegal logging, gold mining and wildlife trafficking.
[58] It found about 60,000 hectares of illegally cleared forest.[58] In one Colombian case, investigators linked the clearing of 52,000 hectares of protected Amazon to 11 foreign companies.[58] New evidence tied that network to 161 more companies and 65 people.[58] Why it matters — Investigators are now following the money to the companies and buyers that profit, not only the people who cut the trees.
[58] -
41
UK water firms earn from factory waste
UK water companies earned more than GBP340m last year by taking factory wastewater into sewage works, an investigation by the Guardian and two partners found.
[59] Up to 608bn litres a year comes from sites such as power stations, drug factories and abattoirs.[59] Most sewage works clean waste only with bacteria and cannot remove most chemicals.[59] The water firms issue and police the permits themselves, with no regulator involved.[59] Why it matters — Chemicals that get through end up in rivers and seas, or on farmland in sewage sludge spread as fertiliser.
[59] -
42
Kent's illegal waste dump is cleared
The clean-up of an illegal waste dump in Hoads Wood, an ancient woodland near Ashford in Kent, finished on Friday after 15 months.
[60] It cost taxpayers GBP15m.[60] Criminals dumped nearly 40,000 tonnes of waste there over six months in 2023, piled up to 15 feet high.[60] Contractors took away 2,500 lorry loads.[60] Why it matters — Campaigners fear gangs will dump waste there again now the site is clear.
[60] Clean-ups at two other such sites bring the bill to GBP26m.[60] -
43
Norfolk data centre plan raises noise fears
A planned 150-megawatt data centre at Keswick, on the edge of Norwich, could make very high noise without strong measures, an assessment in its plans says.
[61] Most of the noise would come from 72 cooling units on the roof.[61] Thousands of people have signed a petition against it, fearing harm to nature sites such as Marston Marshes.[61] Norwich Apex Data Centre says it will use air cooling and need no river water.[61] Why it matters — The firm says the centre could create up to 150 permanent jobs.
[61] The developer says noise at nearby homes will match the existing background level.[61] -
44
Rising seas threaten famous surf waves
More than three-quarters of 57 famous surf breaks in protected surfing reserves are at high risk, a study in the journal Climatic Change found.
[62] Rising seas, sea walls and shifting sand can wreck the exact sea-floor shape that makes a wave.[62] The breaks most at risk include Croyde in Devon, Noosa in Australia and reefs near Santa Cruz in California.[62] Almost 200 local surfers and experts did the assessment.[62] Why it matters — Towns near famous waves often depend on surfing visitors and have little else.
[62] Some places, such as Australia's Gold Coast, now protect surf breaks in planning law.[62] -
45
A new giant waterlily, found on Instagram
Scientists have named a new species of giant waterlily, Victoria colombiana, after first spotting it in an Instagram photo from eastern Colombia.
[63] Carlos Magdalena of Kew Gardens in London saw that the plant could not be the species named in the post.[63] He found it on satellite images, and an Indigenous boatman led his team to one in flower.[63] Fewer than 50 are known in the wild.[63] Why it matters — With so few plants left, the species is at risk of dying out.
[63] -
46
UN team checks Pakistan's nuclear security
A team from the International Atomic Energy Agency, the UN's nuclear body, finished its first review of how Pakistan protects its nuclear material.
[64] The 12-day review found a strong system that was properly applied at the site it visited.[64] It made recommendations to improve it further.[64] The team of seven included experts from China, Romania, Russia and Slovakia.[64] Why it matters — The review covered both Pakistan's laws and one working nuclear site.
[64]
Shutting down for a storm that may miss you
Oil firms, governors and schools act on a storm's forecast, because a shutdown that was not needed costs days and being caught can cost lives.
The twist
Oil companies stopped about 63 of every 100 barrels of US Gulf oil before Isaias arrived, and the storm then came ashore in Florida, away from Louisiana's big refineries. That was still the right call, because a few lost days of oil can be made up and a platform caught by the storm cannot.
The picture
63 of 100
barrels of US Gulf oil a day, out of every 100, stopped before Isaias
How it works
- A forecast shows a range of places a storm could hit, days ahead
- Waiting to be sure means acting too late to move people or close wells
- A shutdown that was not needed costs a few days of oil output or lessons
- Being caught costs lives, spills and flooded homes, and cannot be undone
- So people act on the worst likely case, and many places the storm misses shut anyway
The same force, elsewhere today
Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.
-
Hurricane Simon nears Mexico at Category 4
Jalisco closed schools in 22 coastal towns and moved people out before Simon reached land, choosing two lost school days over children caught by floods.
-
Santiago floods with nine times October's rain
Chile's disaster agency closed schools on Friday, the day the rain was expected to ease, because more landslides were still possible.
-
Drones hunt fires still burning underground
Crews dig up every warm spot the drones find, even where nothing shows, because a hidden spot left alone can start the fire again.
-
A tipped fuel bundle stalls a reactor restart
The US regulator keeps Palisades shut until it is sure the bent fuel can be lifted safely, accepting weeks of delay over a mistake with radioactive fuel.
Where you've seen this
Smoke alarms
they go off for burnt toast so that they never stay quiet in a real fire
Airlines
a whole fleet of one plane type is grounded after a single fault is found
Hospitals
chest pain is treated as a heart attack until tests show it is not
Snow days
schools close on the forecast, before the first flake falls
The catch
It only works while people trust the warnings. If most shutdowns look wasted, people start to ignore the next order to leave.
And the whole of it
An oil worker sent ashore, a child in Jalisco kept home from school and a Florida driver waiting for petrol deliveries all paid a small cost for a storm that might have hit them. Each of them sees their own lost day, and none of them sees the harm the shutdown was there to stop.
What is really going on
Isaias grew from Category 1 to Category 3 in one night over a Gulf of Mexico 1.5C warmer than normal, after El Nino's winds had kept every earlier Atlantic storm from becoming a hurricane.
Why it works on us — A hurricane's category is one easy number, so a storm that drops from 3 to 2 before landfall sounds like good news, though forecasters warned that the storm surge and the floods were still life-threatening.
Who gains
-
Owners of large oil tankers
— Ships waiting outside the Strait of Hormuz have made tankers scarce, so one trip from the US to Asia now earns up to $77m, against under $10m last year.
[30] -
Russia's Yamal gas project
— European buyers took a record 12.18 million tonnes of its liquid gas in nine months and paid about EUR7.88bn, before the EU ban starts in 2027.
[25] -
European carmakers
— If the France-Germany plan passes, they must cut new cars' carbon by 80% by 2035 rather than 90%, so they can sell more petrol cars for longer.
[21] -
President Lula's campaign
— Petrol taxes are gone for 30 days, through the 25 October runoff, and Brazil's government pays for it from its oil income.
[26] -
Oil sellers outside the storm's path
— With about 63% of US Gulf output stopped, Brent ended the week 2.41% higher at $104.72.
[10] [11]
Who pays
-
Homes and businesses in Florida and Alabama
— More than 726,000 customers had no power early on Saturday.
[4] -
Families in Karachi
— K-Electric may cut their power in the evening and at night because gas cargoes are late.
[24] -
US households heating with oil
— Their bills are expected to be 31.3% higher this winter, as utilities ask regulators for a record $4.5bn in rises in one quarter.
[23] -
US taxpayers
— The US government has paid offshore wind developers about $4bn to walk away from projects.
[42] -
Taxpayers in England
— Clearing three illegal waste dumps, including Hoads Wood, cost GBP26m.
[60]
What nobody knows yet
Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.
-
01
How many people Isaias left without power.
The counts were taken at different hours by different trackers: about 500,000 customers on Friday evening, about 655,000 as it hit shore, and more than 726,000 early on Saturday.
[2] [3] [4] Florida's governor gave about 260,000 for his state alone.[5] -
02
How much damage Isaias did.
Some Panhandle counties suspended emergency response on Friday night because conditions were too dangerous, and the extent of the damage was not yet clear.
[4] -
03
Whether Isaias set a record for the latest first Atlantic hurricane.
The Guardian says it tied a record set on 8 October 1905.
[2] Phil Klotzbach, a Colorado State University researcher, calls it the latest first hurricane since 1914.[9] We have not been able to check which count is right. -
04
Whether Gulf refineries keep running.
Chevron said its Pascagoula refinery was working on Thursday, and Vertex was not available to comment on its Saraland plant.
[10] A shutdown would take one to two weeks to reverse even without damage.[10] -
05
Where and how strong Hurricane Simon comes ashore.
Forecasters expect landfall on Sunday somewhere between Manzanillo and Puerto Vallarta, with up to 30 inches of rain in places.
[14] [13] -
06
How strong El Nino gets.
The forecast is about 3.7C above normal in the middle of the Pacific, against a record of 2.6C.
[17] The WMO says only that it could be among the most intense since at least 1950.[16] -
07
Whether the EU weakens its car rule.
France and Germany plan to present the 80% target on 15 October, and six countries oppose weakening the rules.
[21] The report comes through Electrek, citing Clean Energy Wire, and no EU body has confirmed it. -
08
What price Nigeria's state pumps now charge.
The finance minister said the petrol is sold at cost but did not say how much a litre now costs.
[27] -
09
Whether the US nuclear regulator approves Holtec's plan for the tipped fuel.
The NRC has not said, and it has asked Holtec about how badly the bundle is bent.
[34] -
10
Where the Tories' doubled figure came from.
It appeared earlier in a report by the Institute of Economic Affairs and in the Spectator, and the party may have copied it without checking.
[19]
Firefighters in Santiago rescued or moved more than 1,000 people from floods and mudslides on Thursday, and no deaths were reported that day.
Also true today
- Crews have taken 2,500 lorry loads of illegally dumped waste out of Hoads Wood, an ancient woodland in Kent, and the clean-up finished on Friday.
- US heat pump shipments stayed strong in the first half of 2026 and are on track to match or beat their best year, even after the federal tax credit ended.
- About 43,300 Austrians applied for solar and battery grants in the first 10 minutes of the year's last round, against 24,900 in the summer round.
- Fully electric cars were 21.7% of new cars registered in the EU in the first eight months of 2026, up from 15.8% a year earlier.
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