Personal Money · Wednesday, 19 August 2026
01 · Briefing · what happened
Tax location: why the same investment in two accounts ends up as two different amounts
Where you hold an investment changes how much of it you keep - and the choice between paying tax now or later comes down to one thing almost nobody names.
$112,000
added to a $1m pot
just from choosing which account held what
$2,301
kept either way
tax now and tax later, identical, when the rate does not move
$295
swing per 10 points
the gap opened by a tax rate that changes
$24,500
2026 US 401(k) cap
with $7,500 for an IRA
At a glance
- The same fund, the same money, held in two different accounts, can end up as two different amounts.
- Morningstar found that choosing which account holds which investment raised the final sum by an average of $112,000 on a $1 million portfolio.
- There are three shapes of account: tax now, tax later, and tax every year along the way.
- Tax now and tax later give the identical result if your rate is unchanged - because multiplying in either order gives the same number.
- The only thing that decides between them is whether your tax rate rises or falls before you take the money out.
- The plain account leaks a little every year, and that shortfall compounds - but it is the one that shares a loss with the tax authorities.
- For 2026 the US limits are $24,500 in a 401(k) and $7,500 in an IRA, and high earners over 50 must now make catch-up payments to a Roth.
- Britain runs the same two shapes under different names, and its pension relief flows most to 40% and 45% taxpayers.
Forces in play
In a plain account, dividends are taxed as they arrive, so less is left to grow - and that shortfall compounds year on year.
Sheltered accounts trade access for the tax break: a 401(k) taken before 59 and a half usually costs a 10% penalty on top of income tax.
Limits move yearly, and from 2026 workers over 50 earning above $150,000 must send catch-up payments to a Roth rather than pre-tax.
No cap, no withdrawal age, and losses can offset gains or up to $3,000 of ordinary income - which sheltered accounts cannot do.
Where this points
Watch the tax rate you expect when you withdraw, not the growth you expect on the way - growth cancels out of this comparison entirely.
Full briefing
The question nobody asks in time
You choose a fund. You put in the same money. Then someone asks which account to hold it in: a workplace retirement plan, a Roth, or a plain brokerage account. It sounds like paperwork.
It is not. Where an investment sits can change how much of it you keep by tens of thousands of dollars, without changing the investment at all
Morningstar’s retirement research puts a number on it. For someone reaching retirement with a $1 million portfolio, choosing which account held which holding raised the final amount left behind by an average of $112,000. Morningstar puts that at as much as 30 basis points a year of extra return - 0.3 percentage points - with no cut to yearly spending
The trade calls this asset location. It is one letter away from asset allocation, and often confused with it. Allocation is what you own - the mix of stocks and bonds. Location is which account it sits in
Three kinds of account, three moments of tax
Almost every account you can hold an investment in falls into one of three buckets
Tax later. A traditional 401(k) or IRA. Money goes in before tax, so your taxable income drops this year. Nothing is taxed while it grows. Every dollar taken out later is taxed as ordinary income
Tax now. A Roth 401(k) or Roth IRA. You pay tax before the money goes in, so there is no deduction. After that, growth and qualifying withdrawals come out tax-free
Tax as you go. A plain brokerage account. No break going in, none coming out. Every year the dividends and interest it throws off are taxed, and so is any gain you lock in by selling
A Morningstar interview with Baird’s Tim Steffen puts the first two plainly. They are, he says, “mirror images of each other”
The arithmetic that surprises people
Take $1,000 of earnings, a tax rate of 22%, and an investment that grows to 2.95 times its starting value. That is roughly 7% a year for sixteen years. These figures are illustrative, not a forecast.
Tax later: the whole $1,000 goes in. It grows to $2,950. You withdraw, pay 22%, and keep $2,301.
Tax now: you pay the 22% first, so $780 goes in. It grows 2.95 times. You keep $2,301.
Identical. Not close - the same number. Multiplying by 0.78 and multiplying by 2.95 give the same answer whichever order you do them in.
So if your tax rate is the same going in and coming out, the choice between those two accounts changes nothing whatsoever.
What breaks the tie is the rate moving. Hold everything else still and drop the later rate to 12%: tax-later returns $2,596, tax-now still returns $2,301. Raise the later rate to 32% and it flips - $2,006 against $2,301. The swing is exactly $295 each way, because ten percentage points of $2,950 is $295.
That is the whole question. Not how fast the money grows. Not how long you hold it. Those cancel out completely.
The third account leaks
The plain brokerage account is a different problem. It is not about order.
Dividends and interest are taxed in the year they arrive, so less is left to reinvest, and that shortfall compounds. Investopedia calls it tax drag
Run the same $780 through a plain account where tax takes about 7% of each year’s growth, on the same illustrative figures. The money reaches roughly $2,195 rather than $2,301. Sell, pay 15% on the $1,415 gain, and you keep about $1,982 - some $319 short, near 14% less, from an identical investment.
Hence the placement rule. Morningstar’s version has two halves. Put the highest-growth holdings in the tax-free Roth, where decades of compounding come out untaxed. Put the lower-growth income holdings, such as bond funds, in the tax-deferred account, where the annual interest is not taxed each year
Where the plain account wins
It would be dishonest to stop there. The taxable account has advantages the sheltered ones cannot match
There is no contribution limit and no withdrawal rule. The money is reachable at any age, for any reason. You can also harvest losses: sell something below what you paid, and the loss offsets gains, or up to $3,000 of ordinary income
Put plainly: when an investment loses money, the plain account is the only one that shares the loss with the tax authorities.
Four traps
Phantom gains. Inside a mutual fund, other people’s selling can trigger a tax bill for you. In 2022 the Growth Fund of America fell about 25% and still paid shareholders $3.71 a share in long-term capital gains that December
The wrapper decides. Brookings finds a mutual fund and an ETF holding identical portfolios can produce very different tax outcomes, purely from how each meets withdrawals. It argues this breaks a basic principle - that otherwise identical investors should be taxed alike
A deferred balance is not all yours. The statement includes tax not yet paid. Required minimum distributions begin at 73, rising to 75 in 2033, and force money out whether you want it or not
Early access costs. Take money from a 401(k) before 59 and a half and there is generally a 10% penalty on top of income tax
What varies
The limits move every year. For 2026 the IRS set the 401(k) limit at $24,500 and the IRA limit at $7,500, with catch-up amounts of $8,000 and $1,100
From 2026, workers aged 50 and over whose prior-year wages from that employer topped $150,000 must make catch-up contributions to a Roth rather than pre-tax
The names change by country; the shapes do not. Britain has ISAs and pensions rather than Roths and 401(k)s. Pension tax relief there is worth more than 50 billion pounds a year and ISA relief more than 10 billion. Higher-rate taxpayers (40%) and additional-rate taxpayers (45%) are the biggest gainers, while those on low incomes who cannot save are excluded altogether
The one thing to carry
The order of two multiplications cannot change the answer. Tax before growth, or growth before tax, leaves exactly the same money. So the only live question in the now-or-later choice is whether your rate will move - and that is a guess about a law nobody has written yet.
02 · Lesson · why it matters
When the order can't matter, the argument is about something else
Tax before growth and growth before tax give the same money - so claiming one account wins is really claiming your tax rate will change.
How it works
- Two steps: tax takes a slice, growth multiplies
- Multiplication gives the same answer in either order
- So tax-now and tax-later end up identical
- Unless the rate itself changes between the two moments
- A third account is taxed every year instead, and that leaks
The twist
When the whole argument is about the order of two steps that commute, the argument is secretly about something else - here, a future tax rate nobody can see.
Where you've seen this
A discount and a sales tax
20% off then tax added, or tax then discount, comes to the same till total
Currency and commission
converting then paying a percentage fee equals paying the fee then converting
A pay rise and a pension deduction
the order they are applied cannot change take-home pay, only the rates can
The catch
The tie only holds while the rate stays put. Caps, withdrawal ages, forced payouts from 73 and an employer match all sit outside the arithmetic.
Full lesson
Two doors, one sum
Two people put the same money into the same fund on the same day. One uses a traditional retirement account: nothing taxed going in, everything taxed coming out. The other uses a Roth: taxed going in, nothing taxed coming out.
Sixteen years later they open their statements. One shows $2,950. The other shows $2,301.
It looks like one of them won. Neither did. Once the first pays her tax, both have exactly $2,301 to spend. The larger number was never larger.
Why the order cannot matter
Two things happen to that money. Tax takes a slice, which is multiplying by 0.78. Growth multiplies it too, by 2.95. That is the whole story.
Multiplication does not care which you do first. A thousand times 0.78 times 2.95 is a thousand times 2.95 times 0.78. Same numbers, different order, identical answer.
This is not an approximation or a rough rule. It is the arithmetic. And it means a decision millions of people agonise over - pay the tax now or pay it later - has, at a fixed tax rate, no consequence at all.
So what is the argument really about
Something has to break the tie, and only one thing can.
Change the rate at one end. Twenty-two percent going in, twelve percent coming out, and deferring wins by $295. Twenty-two in, thirty-two out, and prepaying wins by exactly the same $295. The gap is the rate gap. Nothing else moves it.
Notice what dropped out. Not the growth rate. Not the number of years. Not the amount. Those sit on both sides of the comparison, so they cancel. Double the growth and the two doors stay tied. Wait forty years instead of sixteen and they stay tied.
That is the part worth carrying past today. When two paths differ only in the order of steps that commute, and somebody insists one path is better, they are not really talking about order. They have smuggled in a claim about something else - and it is worth asking what.
Part of that balance was never yours
There is a second thing hiding inside the larger number.
A deferred account has a silent partner. Some fixed share of every dollar on that statement belongs to a tax authority that has not collected yet. You are reading a balance that includes someone else’s money, and no line on the page says so.
The third kind of account - the plain one, taxed a little every year - is honest about this in a way the others are not. It settles up as it goes. It also leaks: each year’s small tax bite leaves less to compound, and the shortfall quietly widens.
But it earns something back. When an investment loses money, the plain account is the only one where the loss counts for anything, because it can be set against gains. Sheltered accounts share your gains with nobody, and they share your losses with nobody either. The protection runs both ways.
The doors were built by someone
None of these accounts are facts of nature. Each is a rule somebody wrote, and the rules decide who gains.
The contribution caps are flat dollar amounts. The same $24,500 for the person earning $60,000 and the person earning $600,000. A flat cap never touches whoever could not have reached it anyway. It only bites whoever could have gone further.
Relief on the way in is worth most to whoever pays the highest rate. In Britain, more than 50 billion pounds of pension relief flows disproportionately to 40% and 45% taxpayers, while those too stretched to save get none of it. That is not a scandal. It is simply what a deduction does, and a deduction was the design.
The wrapper can decide too. Two funds holding the very same shares can hand their investors different tax bills, purely because of how each one is legally built. Brookings calls that a flaw. It has stood for decades, and by now it looks like weather.
What nobody at the table can see
Strip it all away and the choice rests on one number: your tax rate on the day you take the money out.
Nobody knows it. Not the saver, not the adviser, not the legislature that will eventually set it. It depends on rules not yet written, on an income not yet earned, in a life that has not happened. The most confident answer available is a guess about a law that does not exist.
So the arithmetic is exact and the input is unknowable. That is not a reason to stop deciding. It is a reason to hold the decision loosely. And to notice how much of the certainty around it was borrowed from a number none of us can see.
03 · Lab · your turn
Two doors, one sum
Set the tax rate at each end and feel why the order of tax and growth cannot change the answer - and what can.
04 · Hope · carry this
Most of this you can work out yourself, with nothing more than multiplication. The part nobody knows is smaller than the part anyone can check.
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