Day Lila

World News · Monday, 5 October 2026

01 Briefing what happened

Flavio Bolsonaro beats Lula in Brazil's first round, and the two meet again in a runoff on 25 October

World News 94 sources

The jailed former president's son won 47% to Lula's 45.1% and the right won most of Brazil's Senate seats, while Yemen's government launched a war on the Houthis, the US pulled its bombers out of Britain and a banned Dodik still won in Bosnia.

47% to 45.1%

of valid votes, Flavio Bolsonaro against Lula, with 99.9% counted

56.1 million votes against 53.8 million [2]

34 of 54

Senate seats won on Sunday by right-wing and far-right candidates

senators are the only lawmakers who can remove supreme court judges, which Bolsonaro supporters want [2]

27 years

the prison sentence Jair Bolsonaro is serving for plotting a coup

he was barred from running even before he was jailed [1]

5.3 million

votes won by two knocked-out right-wing candidates

Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos say they will back neither finalist [5][7]

The lead story — what happened

  • Flavio Bolsonaro, a right-wing senator and the eldest son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, came first in Brazil's presidential election on Sunday. [1][2]
  • With 99.9% of votes counted he had 47%, and President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, known as Lula, had 45.1%. [2]
  • A candidate needs more than half the valid votes to win outright, so the two meet again in a runoff on 25 October. [3][4]
  • Most polls had Lula finishing first, and the last Quaest poll before the vote had him on 46% to Bolsonaro's 45%. [5][4]
  • Analysts told Reuters that many people voted for Flavio to get Lula out, not because they liked Flavio. [6][5]
  • One analyst said those protest votes had been expected only in the runoff, so Flavio may have less room to grow there. [5]
  • Jair Bolsonaro was barred from running and is serving 27 years in prison for plotting a coup after he lost the 2022 election. [1]
  • Jair endorsed Flavio to run in his place, and Flavio has promised an amnesty that would free his father if he wins. [1][4]
  • The right did well in Congress too: 34 of the 54 senators elected on Sunday were from the right or far right. [2]
  • Jair's wife Michelle and his son Carlos won Senate seats, and his youngest son, Jair Renan, won a seat in the lower house. [2][5]
  • Lula, 80, wants a fourth term; he called the result unexpected and said he had expected to win in the first round. [1][7]
  • Brazil's top electoral court said it found no evidence of foreign interference, after Lula accused Donald Trump of trying to sway the vote. [1][2]
  • Flavio Bolsonaro47%
  • Lula45.1%
  • Ten other candidates7.9%
Valid votes in Sunday's first round, with 99.9% counted. Nobody passed half, so the top two meet again on 25 October.

Who is involved

  • Flavio Bolsonaro

    a 45-year-old senator for Rio de Janeiro and Jair Bolsonaro's eldest son; came first and promises to free his father

  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva

    Brazil's left-wing president, 80, seeking a fourth term; came second and says he will win the runoff

  • Jair Bolsonaro

    Brazil's former president, jailed for a coup plot and barred from running; he backed his son instead

  • Brazil's top electoral court

    the court that runs and counts the vote; it set the runoff and found no sign of foreign interference

  • Ronaldo Caiado and Renan Santos

    two right-wing candidates knocked out on Sunday; they say they will endorse neither finalist

How it unfolded

  1. 2022 Lula beats Jair Bolsonaro by 1.8 points, the closest result in Brazil's history [4][1]
  2. 8 Jan 2023 Bolsonaro supporters vandalise government buildings in the capital [1]
  3. Before his sentence Jair is barred from running; he is later jailed for 27 years for the coup plot [1]
  4. 4 Oct Flavio leads the first round, 47% to 45.1% [2]
  5. 25 Oct the runoff between Flavio and Lula [4]
  6. 5 Jan 2027 the winner takes office [3]

Where this points

Watch where the 5.3 million votes of the two knocked-out right-wing candidates go, and whether Lula can win back people who chose Flavio only to vote Lula out. [5][6]

What is pushing on the whole day

The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing today. The arrow is where it is heading. The evidence is in the stories below.

Fighting near Gulf oil routes High↑

The Houthis said they fired missiles and drones at Saudi oil sites near Riyadh and in Khurais. [8] Iran's parliament speaker said the Strait of Hormuz, the Gulf's way out to the ocean, stays shut until seven conditions are met. [9] Attacks on tankers go on even as Gulf oil exports recover. [10]

Right-wing and nationalist votes Building↑

In Brazil, right-wing candidates won 34 of the 54 Senate seats on Sunday. [2] In Bosnia, nationalist parties won most races, and Milorad Dodik's party kept power in the Serb half of the country. [11] In Latvia, the populist Latvia First party nearly doubled its share to 11.3%. [12]

Crowds facing governments Building↑

About 5,000 supporters of Imran Khan, Pakistan's jailed former prime minister, set off to march on the capital. [13] In France, up to 500 high schools close on Monday after weeks of student protests. [14] In India, protesters demanding the election chief's resignation came out for a third day. [15]

Pressure on cheap Chinese goods Building↑

At a G20 meeting the US pushed a statement against countries making far more than they can sell, and it failed. [16] Britain is weighing tariffs on Chinese electric cars to match the EU's 45%. [17] The EU's trade chief goes to China on Thursday to try to avoid a trade war. [18]

The rest of the day

40 more stories on this beat.

Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.

  1. 02

    Yemen's government starts a war to retake the north

    Rashad al-Alimi, head of Yemen's internationally recognised government, announced on Sunday a military operation to retake all land held by the Houthis. [8][19] The Houthis, an armed group backed by Iran, have held the capital Sanaa for more than a decade and took the whole Red Sea coast in September. [20] Hours before his speech, they cut the main road between Taiz, Yemen's third-largest city, and Aden, the Yemeni government's temporary capital. [21][20] Sources on both sides said more than 70 fighters died around Taiz in a day. [19]

    Why it matters — Al-Alimi was unlikely to announce it without the approval of Saudi Arabia, his main backer, the BBC says. [8] The Houthis answer by firing at Saudi oil sites, so the fight now reaches the Gulf's oil. [8]

  2. 03

    US pulls all its bombers out of RAF Fairford

    The US Air Force has flown all its bombers home from RAF Fairford, a British base it has used to strike Iran, the US Defence Department said on Sunday. [22][23] At least 10 of 12 B-1 bombers left that day, some only a week after they arrived. [22] A US official told the New York Times that warnings of a threat to the base had become more urgent in the past 24 hours. [22] Six people were arrested and then released on bail after a scare at the base in late September. [24]

    Why it matters — British authorities link that scare to Iran, which denies any role, and Iran has called any base used to attack it a target. [24] Trump said on Saturday he is still deciding on new strikes on Iran. [24]

  3. 04

    Dodik's party wins in Bosnia, though he is banned

    Milorad Dodik, a pro-Russian Bosnian Serb leader, was not on the ballot in Sunday's general election, because a court banned him from office for six years. [11] He was convicted last year of defying the international envoy who oversees the 1995 peace deal that ended Bosnia's war. [25] His ally Zeljka Cvijanovic still won the Serb seat on the country's three-person presidency with about 55.6%. [11] Turnout was a record low of 41.5%. [11]

    Why it matters — Dodik told a rally on Friday that Bosnia 'is dead', and he wants its Serb half to break away. [25][11] An analyst said the ban on him is not working, and that he is using it. [25]

  4. 05

    Imran Khan's party marches on Pakistan's capital

    Thousands of supporters of Imran Khan, Pakistan's former prime minister, set off on Sunday from Lakki Marwat, 275km from the capital, Islamabad. [26] Khan, a former cricket star, has been in prison since 2023 and is serving 14 years for corruption, which he calls political. [26] His party, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), says talks broke down because Pakistan's government would not let its leaders consult him. [27] Authorities have stacked shipping containers to block the roads into Islamabad. [26][28]

    Why it matters — The march is led by Sohail Afridi, who runs Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province for the party and calls his people 'soldiers of Imran Khan'. [29] Federal ministers have warned they could put his province under federal control, and he expects to be near Islamabad by Thursday. [30][26]

  5. 06

    Ethiopia's neighbours meet in Egypt as Mekelle falls

    Federal forces were in full control of Mekelle, the capital of Ethiopia's Tigray region, on Sunday, after the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) left the city. [31][32] The TPLF, which runs Tigray, began fighting the army again on 23 September. [31] The same day, the leaders of Egypt, Eritrea, Somalia and Sudan met in Egypt and signed a joint declaration. [33] It said the Red Sea should be controlled by the countries on its coast, and landlocked Ethiopia is not one of them. [33]

    Why it matters — Ethiopia accuses Egypt, Eritrea and Sudan of backing the rebels, which all three deny. [33] Egypt gets about 95% of its water from the Nile, the river Ethiopia has dammed. [34]

  6. 07

    Iran holds firm on Hormuz, and its oil minister quits

    Iran's foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said on Sunday there is no military solution to the war with the US, as talks appear stuck. [35][36] The US and Israel started the war in late February, and an outline deal in June collapsed over the Strait of Hormuz. [35] Iran's parliament speaker said the strait stays shut until seven Iranian conditions are met. [9] Separately, Oil Minister Mohsen Paknejad resigned with no reason given. [37]

    Why it matters — Paknejad had just said that money for oil Iran has sold is 'still coming'. [37] The head of the state oil company now runs Iran's oil ministry while the war squeezes Iran's economy. [37]

  7. 08

    Gulf oil exports climb back past pre-war levels

    Crude oil exports from the Middle East rose above their pre-war level on four days in the last week of September, the ship-tracking firm Kpler says. [10] They reached 19.5 to 22.5 million barrels a day, against an average of 18 million before the war. [10] Saudi Aramco, Saudi Arabia's state oil company, has cut its November price for Asian buyers to the lowest in six years. [38] Attacks on ships around Hormuz continue. [10]

    Middle East crude exports, in millions of barrels a day.

    Why it matters — Saudi Arabia is selling cheaper to win back Asian buyers now that its oil can move again. [38] The figures miss ships that switch off their trackers, so the true flow is not known. [10]

  8. 09

    Ukraine agrees to three-way talks as strikes go on

    President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Sunday Ukraine is ready for talks with the US and Russia this month, possibly in the United Arab Emirates. [39] He spoke beside Germany's chancellor, Friedrich Merz, who was visiting Kyiv. [39] A Russian drone hit Kyiv's Northern Bridge for a second day, and bridges in the city have now been hit four days running. [40] Russia also said it hit two cargo ships carrying military equipment to Odesa. [41]

    Why it matters — India's foreign minister said for the first time that India is passing messages between Russia and Ukraine on Black Sea shipping and grain. [42] Both Russia and Ukraine say they will step up long-range attacks while the talks are planned. [39]

  9. 10

    Latvia's prime minister wins a record victory

    Near-final counts gave Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs's United List 35.3% and 42 of the 100 seats in Saturday's election. [12] It is the biggest win in a Latvian election since the country left the Soviet Union in 1991. [12] The two parties already in his coalition, National Alliance and New Unity, both passed the 5% needed for seats. [43] Talks on a new government began on Sunday. [44]

    Why it matters — Kulbergs has ruled out working with pro-Russian parties, so Latvia, which borders Russia and Belarus, looks set to keep a pro-Ukraine government. [12][44]

  10. 11

    Trump puts his spy chief in charge of AI

    Donald Trump on Sunday named Jay Clayton, the US director of national intelligence, as the US president's new head of artificial intelligence policy. [45] Clayton runs the 18 US spy agencies and once led the US stock market regulator. [45] He will lead a group Trump calls the 'Super Intelligence Force', with the head of the US trade regulator and the US Defence Department's technology chief. [46] Trump has opposed strict laws on AI safety. [46]

    Why it matters — Trump is under pressure before November's midterm elections to answer worries about the risks of AI. [46] A senior Democratic senator welcomed Clayton but said the Trump administration has resisted real safeguards. [45]

  11. 12

    FBI arrests a woman for spying on Taiwan's president's son

    The FBI arrested Wanying Zhang, 34, at Los Angeles airport on Sunday as she was about to fly to China. [47] Prosecutors say she went to Seattle in 2025 on Chinese officials' orders and sent them photos, video and car number plates of a son of Taiwan's president, Lai Ching-te. [47][48] She is charged with acting as an unregistered agent of a foreign government. [47]

    Why it matters — China claims Taiwan as its own territory, and the US is bound by law to help the island defend itself. [47] The arrest came days after the US delivered two new F-16 fighter jets to Taiwan. [47]

  12. 13

    A US Marine is held over a killing in Okinawa

    Japanese police arrested a 20-year-old US Marine on suspicion of murdering a 39-year-old woman in a hotel in Naha, the main city of Okinawa. [49][50] Police say he took her wallet and backpack, and he denies it. [49] Japan's prime minister, Sanae Takaichi, called the crime exceptionally brutal and lodged a protest with the US. [49][50] Okinawa hosts about 70% of the US military sites in Japan. [49]

    Why it matters — Crimes by US troops have set off protests on Okinawa for decades. [49] Japan has asked the US to enforce stricter discipline among its forces. [50]

  13. 14

    A Russian lab worker dies, and plague is suspected

    Darya Shipilova, 28, a technician at an anti-plague research institute in Irkutsk, in Siberia, died on 2 October. [51] Local media say she broke a test tube holding the plague germ on 25 September. [51] Russia's health watchdog says she had pneumonia of unknown cause and found no germs linked to her work. [52] About 200 people have been put under medical watch, local media report. [51]

    Why it matters — Pneumonic plague is highly infectious and can kill if not treated early. [52] The US State Department is watching the case and asked Russia to share accurate information quickly. [52]

  14. 15

    India's protests against the election chief reach a third day

    Thousands marched in Delhi and Mumbai on Sunday for a third day, demanding that Gyanesh Kumar, head of India's Election Commission, resign. [15][53] The commission has struck 130 million names off the voter lists, saying it is removing duplicates and people not entitled to vote. [53] Protesters say the cuts help Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party, and both deny it. [15] Three women journalists accused Delhi police of sexually harassing them at a protest. [53]

    Why it matters — Delhi police passed the journalists' complaint to their crime branch for an inquiry. [53] A voter list decides who can vote, so the fight is over who takes part in India's next elections.

  15. 16

    France shuts up to 500 schools after student riots

    Up to 500 French high schools will be partly or fully closed on Monday, Education Minister Edouard Geffray said. [14][54] Students began protesting on 17 September over too few teachers, crowded classes and run-down buildings. [54] Twenty-four schools have been burned or ransacked, 78 staff injured and more than 5,000 people arrested, most of them children. [54] Organisers have called new marches for Tuesday. [54]

    Why it matters — France's government blames far-left activists for the violence. [14] A right-wing group in the European Parliament now wants a vote on cutting EU money to the far-left alliance that includes France Unbowed, a French party. [55]

  16. 17

    Britain's Greens vote that Zionism is racism

    Britain's Green Party voted 1,022 to 813 on Sunday to call Zionism a form of racism and to back one democratic state across historic Palestine. [56] The party won 6% of the vote at the 2024 general election. [56] Israel's foreign ministry called the vote a stain on Britain's history, and British Jewish groups condemned it. [57][56] The party's leader, Zack Polanski, did not vote. [56]

    Why it matters — Polanski is standing on Thursday in the London seat left empty when former prime minister Keir Starmer quit as an MP. [56][58] Labour could lose that seat to the Greens, and about 16% of people in the area are Muslim. [58]

  17. 18

    G20 splits over China's cheap goods

    Trade ministers from the G20, a group of the world's 20 biggest economies, failed to agree a statement against countries making far more than they can sell. [16] The US, which chairs the group this year, says only a handful of members objected. [16] China said on Sunday that most members disagreed. [59] The EU's trade chief, Maros Sefcovic, goes to Beijing on Thursday for two days of talks to avoid a trade war. [18]

    Why it matters — The complaint is aimed at China, which the EU accuses of flooding markets with cheap high-tech goods. [18] China has threatened to hit back at any EU move against it. [18]

  18. 19

    Britain weighs tariffs on Chinese electric cars

    Britain is drawing up possible tariffs on Chinese electric cars, the Times reported on Sunday. [17] Ministers may match the EU's 45% tax on them. [17] EU officials had warned Prime Minister Andy Burnham that otherwise British cars could face new barriers in Europe, Britain's biggest car market. [60] The British government told Reuters no tariffs have been imposed yet. [17]

    Why it matters — Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds had argued that China would hit back and cost British carmakers sales there. [60] Tariffs would also make cars dearer for British drivers, many of whom have bought cheaper Chinese models. [60]

  19. 20

    Israel's flight checks questioned after the flydubai attack

    An early Israeli inquiry found that the co-pilot who attacked his captain on Wednesday's flydubai flight to Tel Aviv acted alone, CBS News reported. [61] He planned to crash the plane into skyscrapers in Tel Aviv, an Italian newspaper said. [61] The UAE had sent Israel the crew's names and nationalities in advance, and Israel raised no warning. [62] Israel's prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, ordered a review of security on all foreign flights to Israel. [63]

    Why it matters — The co-pilot, from Oman, had been barred from flying in his own country over his extreme views, the Wall Street Journal reported. [64] Australian counter-terrorism police are looking at his links to Australia, where he studied. [65]

  20. 21

    Strikes in Gaza kill a charity head and two Christian women

    Israeli strikes killed at least six Palestinians in Gaza over the weekend, medics said. [66] Mary Abu Dawud and her mother Maysaa, both Christians, died when an apartment block in Gaza City was hit. [67][66] Israel said it killed Saqr Qais, head of the Turkish charity Deniz Feneri, and called him a Hamas member without giving evidence. [68] Gaza's health ministry says 1,445 people have been killed since last October's ceasefire. [69]

    Why it matters — Israel's defence minister ordered all crossings into Gaza and the West Bank closed on 7 October, the anniversary of Hamas's 2023 attack. [66] In the West Bank, Israeli forces and settlers killed one Palestinian and wounded more than 15 on Sunday. [70]

  21. 22

    Israel digs along its line inside Syria

    Israeli forces shot dead a man in southern Syria early on Monday, saying he tried to break into a military post. [71] More than seven Israeli bulldozers and vehicles were seen digging trenches near Al Rafid, along the 1974 line between Israeli and Syrian forces. [71] Syria, Qatar and Jordan condemned Israel's work on the 'Sufa 53' military road, which it began in 2022 inside the buffer zone set by the 1974 deal. [72]

    Why it matters — Syria calls the digging a flagrant breach of the 1974 agreement. [72] Israel gave no name for the man it killed, and no evidence that he was armed. [71]

  22. 23

    Lebanon wants a fresh start with Iran

    Lebanon's prime minister, Nawaf Salam, said on Sunday his country wants a new chapter with Iran, based on respect and staying out of each other's affairs. [73] He agreed to a meeting that Iran's president, Masoud Pezeshkian, asked for. [73] Lebanon wants Iran to send a new ambassador, since the current envoy's permit was renewed only as a private citizen. [73]

    Why it matters — Salam said Lebanon cannot sit and wait for a deal between the US and Iran. [73] He repeated Lebanon's demand that Israel pull out fully and stop its attacks. [73]

  23. 24

    Iraq arrests men who drove over a US flag

    Iraq's prime minister, Ali al-Zaidi, ordered an inquiry after Iran-backed militias drove vehicles over US and Israeli flags at parades in Baghdad on Friday. [74] The parades celebrated the withdrawal of US-led forces from Iraq. [74] His spokesman said people involved have been arrested, without saying how many. [74] The marchers also carried pictures of Iran's former supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed on the first day of the war. [74]

    Why it matters — The militias belong to the Popular Mobilisation Forces, which are officially part of Iraq's security services. [74] Al-Zaidi has promised to disarm armed groups outside state control now that US troops have gone. [74]

  24. 25

    Clashes in a Christian town in Syria

    Syrian security forces were sent to Suqaylabiyah, a Christian town in central Syria, after young Sunni men from a nearby town started a fight there on Saturday. [75] State TV said several people were arrested and calm returned, with no reports of deaths. [75] It was the second clash between religious groups in the area this year. [75]

    Why it matters — Syria's Sunni-led government, in power since Bashar al-Assad fell in December 2024, has so far spared Christians the worst violence while it courts the US. [75] Two other minorities, the Druze and the Alawites, have suffered far more. [75]

  25. 26

    Egypt charges a fact-checker with terrorism

    Egypt on Sunday charged Mohamed Ashraf, a journalist at the fact-checking site Matsadaash, with joining a terrorist group and spreading false news. [76] Matsadaash means 'don't believe'. [76] He and five colleagues, the site's whole newsroom, were arrested last week. [76] Ashraf will be held for 15 days, and where the other five are being held is still unknown. [76]

    Why it matters — Egypt accuses the site of publishing false news for the Muslim Brotherhood, a group it banned in 2013, and the site's co-founder denies any link. [76] Rights groups call the arrests part of a crackdown on the press. [76]

  26. 27

    Nicaragua quits Central America's parliament

    Nicaragua said on Saturday it is leaving the Central American Parliament, a six-country body set up to promote human rights and democracy. [77] The day before, the Organization of American States, a group of governments in the Americas, had asked Nicaragua to free political prisoners. [77] Nicaragua left the OAS in 2023 and the UN Human Rights Council in 2025. [77]

    Why it matters — President Daniel Ortega and his wife, co-president Rosario Murillo, call such bodies tools of outside interference. [77] The exit takes effect at once. [77]

  27. 28

    Floods kill two in Catalonia

    Two people died and one was missing after torrential rain hit Catalonia, in north-east Spain, from Saturday into Sunday. [78][79] One died when a wall fell at a campsite in Tordera, and another drowned in a flooded garage. [78] More than 100mm of rain fell overnight in many places. [78] Officials warned of extreme danger in parts of Barcelona and Girona. [78]

    Why it matters — People near the Besos River were warned it could burst its banks. [78] Officials told residents of five districts to avoid all journeys that were not essential. [79]

  28. 29

    Spain's prime minister weighs an early election

    Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez spent Sunday talking to ministers and party leaders about calling an early general election. [80] On Friday parliament rejected two of his housing decrees, by 178 votes to 172 and 184 to 166. [80] The conservative People's Party, the far-right Vox and Junts, a Catalan separatist party, voted them down. [80] No decision has been made. [80]

    Why it matters — If he announced it on Monday, the earliest possible election date would be 29 November. [80] Some Socialist leaders have said this could be a good moment for voters to decide. [80]

  29. 30

    Puigdemont may come home after nine years

    Spain's constitutional court is expected on 6 October to remove the last block on Carles Puigdemont, Catalonia's former leader, coming home from exile. [81] He fled in 2017 after a failed and illegal push for Catalan independence, for which nine colleagues were jailed. [81] The court must decide whether a 2024 amnesty law covers the charge of misusing public money. [81] Support for independence now sits in the low 40s per cent. [81]

    Why it matters — His party, Junts, still holds votes Spain's government needs, and on Friday it helped vote down that government's housing plans. [81]

  30. 31

    Spain clears Ceuta's largest migrant camp

    Spanish riot police began clearing the Trampolin camp in Ceuta, Spain's small city on Morocco's coast, on Sunday. [82] More than 3,500 people live there, and those moved were taken by bus to a reception centre. [82] Spain's government wants the camp cleared by 15 October, two days after a visit by Spain's king and queen. [82] The camps date from late July, when more than 70,000 people crossed from Morocco. [82]

    Why it matters — Ceuta does not have enough places: in September a camp built for 1,700 left more than 2,000 people outside. [82]

  31. 32

    Le Pen backs Bardella over antisemitic messages

    Marine Le Pen, the far-right National Rally's hope for president, said on Sunday she has total confidence in Jordan Bardella. [83] The news site Mediapart has published messages it says Bardella wrote at 17 or 18, attacking Jews. [83] Bardella calls them crude fakes and has announced two legal complaints. [83] He is expected to be Le Pen's prime minister if she wins the 2027 presidential election. [83]

    Why it matters — Le Pen spoke after three days of silence. [83] Bardella says the articles are meant to wreck the party's campaign for president. [83]

  32. 33

    US strike kills four on a boat in the Caribbean

    The US military said it destroyed a boat it accused of smuggling drugs in the Caribbean on Sunday, killing four people. [84] It gave no evidence that the boat carried drugs. [84] At least 235 people have now been killed in 70 such strikes since September 2025. [84] The Trump administration calls the targets narcoterrorists. [84]

    Why it matters — The US is seeking deals with friendly governments to take the campaign onto land in Latin America. [84]

  33. 34

    Philippines arrests 244 in a raid on scam centres

    Philippine police and soldiers raided two sites on the southern island of Mindanao on Friday and arrested 244 foreign workers, most of them Chinese. [85] It was the country's biggest raid this year on illegal offshore gaming firms. [85] The Philippines banned these firms in 2024, saying gangs used them as cover for trafficking, fraud and kidnapping. [85]

    Why it matters — A 2023 UN report said hundreds of thousands of people had been trafficked and forced to work in scam centres in South East Asia. [85]

  34. 35

    At least 17 die in a crash on Kenya's Mombasa highway

    At least 17 people died early on Saturday when a minivan and a truck collided at Salama, on the highway to Kenya's port of Mombasa. [86] The truck driver was trying to overtake another vehicle. [86] The van was carrying Catholic pilgrims to a prayer site in Nakuru County. [86] A local official said everyone in the van died, along with three people in the truck. [86]

    Why it matters — Crashes in the region are often blamed on badly kept vehicles, speed and poor roads. [86] Kenya's road safety authority urged drivers to take extreme care. [86]

  35. 36

    Shooting at a Georgia block party kills two

    Two men, aged 21 and 23, were shot dead early on Sunday at a block party in Vienna, a town in the US state of Georgia. [87] Thirty-five people were hurt, most by gunshots, and the wounded are aged 14 to 51. [87] The party marked the end of a high school's homecoming week. [87] Police have named no suspects and no motive. [87]

    Why it matters — Hundreds of people were at the party, and officials say there is no further threat. [87]

  36. 37

    Six presumed dead after an air ambulance is lost

    The US Coast Guard ended its search on Sunday for six people aboard an air ambulance lost off Nantucket, an island off Massachusetts. [88] The operator, Latitude Air Ambulance, said its four crew, a patient and the patient's relative are presumed dead. [88] The jet was flying from Bermuda to Boston when contact was lost early on Saturday, and debris was found that evening. [88]

    Why it matters — The jet dropped from about 24,000 feet to 11,000 feet before its signal went dark, flight-tracking data show. [88] All six on board were Canadian or Bermudian. [88]

  37. 38

    Samoa's leader apologises for a Nazi salute

    Samoa's prime minister, La'auli Leuatea Schmidt, apologised on Monday after a newspaper published a 2007 video of him leading a Nazi salute. [89] In the seven-second clip, filmed at a family reunion when he was a member of parliament, he tells the group to say 'Heil Hitler'. [89] About a dozen people appear to follow him. [89]

    Why it matters — He said he rejects Nazism, antisemitism and racism. [89] Radio New Zealand said it had checked the footage. [89]

  38. 39

    Jordan arrests a suspect in the FBI data theft

    Jordan confirmed it arrested a suspected member of ShinyHunters, a hacking group that says it stole data on every FBI employee. [90] The arrest took place last week, an official said. [90] The suspect is reportedly helping the FBI find other members. [90] The group has also hit Rockstar Games and Canvas, a website used by US schools. [90]

    Why it matters — The group's theft has been compared with a large breach of US government records in 2015. [90]

  39. 40

    China and Pakistan join Russia's war games

    Troops from eight countries, including China and Pakistan, finished a joint military exercise in Russia on Saturday, Chinese state TV said. [91] Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, said the Centre-2026 drill used 47,000 troops at 11 ranges and in the Caspian Sea. [91] Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Mongolia and Tajikistan also took part. [91]

    Why it matters — Pakistan also has a defence pact with Saudi Arabia and Turkey, and their foreign and defence ministers meet in Riyadh on Monday. [92]

  40. 41

    Experts warn Britain has no plan to feed people in a crisis

    More than 150 experts wrote to Prime Minister Andy Burnham warning that Britain has no plan to feed people in a crisis. [93] They say the British government is complacent about food as a national security matter. [93] Britain keeps little food in stock, and ministers wound up its wartime food stockpile in the 1990s. [93]

    Why it matters — The letter names climate change, wars, cyber attacks and power cuts as threats to the food supply. [93]

02 Lesson why it matters

Why barring a leader from the ballot rarely removes his voters

A court can stop one man from running, but his voters can still back the son, ally or party he picks to run in his place.

The twist

A ban takes one name off the ballot. The voters who wanted that name are still there, and they vote for whoever he points to.

The picture

Both men who backed these candidates were barred from running. These are the shares their stand-ins won on Sunday.

How it works

  1. A court or a law bars a popular leader from running
  2. His voters still want what he stood for
  3. He names someone to run in his place: a son, an ally, his party
  4. The ban itself gives that stand-in a complaint to campaign on
  5. The stand-in collects the votes, and often promises to free or clear the leader

The same force, elsewhere today

Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.

  • Dodik's party wins in Bosnia

    A court banned Dodik from office, so his ally ran for the Serb seat and won it with about 55.6%.

  • Imran Khan's party marches on Pakistan's capital

    Khan is in prison, so the chief minister who runs a province for his party leads the march in his name.

  • Puigdemont may come home after nine years

    Puigdemont has been abroad for nine years, but his party Junts still helped vote down Spain's housing plans on Friday.

Where you've seen this

Trade unions

When a union leader is jailed, members follow the deputy he names, and the strike goes on.

Family firms

A founder pushed out by a court hands the company to a child, and staff keep following his plan.

Sport

A coach banned from the touchline sends his assistant out with his instructions.

The catch

It works only while voters still share the leader's complaint: in Catalonia, support for independence has fallen to the low 40s per cent during Puigdemont's nine years away.

And the whole of it

Judges banned two men, the men picked stand-ins, and millions of voters then made their choice. Each of them could see only their own step. Anyone who votes can be part of a chain like this, where the vote is really about someone who is not on the ballot.

03 Truth what's really going on

What is really going on

Courts barred Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil and Milorad Dodik in Bosnia from running, and on Sunday the candidates each man backed came first: his son Flavio with 47%, and Dodik's ally Zeljka Cvijanovic with about 55.6%. [2][11] In Pakistan the same day, the party of the jailed Imran Khan marched on the capital, led by the man who runs a province in his name. [26][29]

Why it works on us — A familiar face is easy to vote for, so Flavio held up a portrait of his father at his last campaign event, and Khan's marchers drove a truck carrying a huge picture of him. [4][29]

Who gains

  • Jair Bolsonaro — His son leads the race and has promised an amnesty that would free him from his 27-year sentence. [1][4]
  • Milorad Dodik — His party kept the Serb seat on Bosnia's presidency and power in the Serb half of the country while he is banned from office. [11]
  • Saudi Aramco — With Gulf exports back above pre-war levels on some days, it cut its Asian price to win back buyers. [10][38]
  • The Houthis — Cutting the road from Taiz to Aden leaves Yemen's third-largest city almost surrounded, just as Yemen's government starts its offensive. [19][21]
  • Britain's Green Party — Polanski has built his by-election campaign in a London seat on Palestine, aimed at Muslim voters who are about 16% of the area, and Labour could lose the seat. [58]

Who pays

  • A future Lula government — Even if he wins the runoff, a Brazilian Congress with more right-wing members would make his plans harder to pass. [5][4]
  • People in Taiz — Their main road to Aden is cut, and more than 70 fighters died around the city in one day. [19]
  • French high-school pupils — Up to 500 schools are partly or fully shut on Monday. [14]
  • Egyptian fact-checkers — Matsadaash's whole newsroom was arrested, and one journalist now faces a terrorism charge. [76]
  • People in Mekelle — Shops stayed shut and residents said there were no police, so they guarded their own streets at night. [31]

What nobody knows yet

Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.

  • 01

    The exact first-round result in Brazil.

    Counts were reported at different moments: the BBC had 47.03% to 45.16% with 99% counted, and the Guardian 47% to 45.1% with 99.9%. [1][2]

  • 02

    Whether Flavio Bolsonaro can grow in the runoff.

    Analysts told Reuters many of his first-round votes were protest votes against Lula that were expected only in round two, so his extra support may already be spent. [5][6]

  • 03

    What new threat made the US fly its bombers out of RAF Fairford.

    US officials told the New York Times it was linked to warnings from three weeks ago, but declined to say what the new information was. [22]

  • 04

    Whether the Houthis really hit Saudi oil sites near Riyadh.

    The Houthis say their missiles struck, the Saudi-led coalition calls the claim misleading, and Saudi Arabia itself has not commented. [8][94]

  • 05

    How many G20 members opposed the US statement on cheap Chinese goods.

    The US says only a handful did; China says most members disagreed. [16][59]

  • 06

    Whether the dead Russian lab worker had plague.

    Local media say she broke a tube holding the plague germ, while Russia's health watchdog says she had pneumonia of unknown cause. [51][52]

  • 07

    Whether anyone directed the flydubai co-pilot.

    An early Israeli inquiry says he acted alone, but the inquiries in the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Australia are still going on. [61][64][65]

  • 08

    Why Iran's oil minister resigned.

    State media gave no reason, and he had just said oil money was still coming in. [37]

  • 09

    How many died in the crash on Kenya's Mombasa highway.

    The report gives at least 17 dead, but a local official's account of 14 pilgrims, a driver and three people in the truck adds up to 18. [86]

04 Hope carry this

Phones started working again in parts of Mekelle, the capital of Ethiopia's Tigray region, for the first time in more than a week.

Also true today

  • Oil shipped out of the Middle East rose above its pre-war level on four days in late September, even with attacks on tankers.
  • Brazil had counted 99.9% of the votes by the morning after the election, and its top electoral court said it found no evidence of foreign interference.

Across the beats