Climate & Energy · Thursday, 10 September 2026
August tied the hottest month ever measured, and the ocean set its own record
The EU's climate service put August at 16.96C, level with July 2023 and 1.65C above the 19th century. The sea surface outside the poles was the warmest ever observed, and the El Nino pushing it has not peaked.
16.96C
the world's average air temperature in August, level with the hottest month ever measured
the record it ties was set in July 2023
1.65C
how much hotter August ran than the 19th century, before industrial coal and oil
the first month over 1.5C since November 2025
21.1C
the sea surface outside the polar regions, the warmest ever observed
that warm water in the Pacific is feeding an El Nino that has not peaked
19.7m tonnes
carbon dioxide from Indonesia's fires in the first week of September
more than a third of the world's fire emissions, ahead of Russia
The lead story — what happened
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The world's average surface air temperature in August was 16.96C, tying July 2023 as the warmest month ever measured, the EU's Copernicus climate service said on Thursday.
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That is 1.65C above the average of the 19th century, before coal and oil were burned on an industrial scale.
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It was the first month above 1.5C since November 2025. Nearly 200 countries promised in Paris in 2015 to try to hold warming below that line, measured as a decades-long average.
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The world has not passed that line yet. Long-term warming stands at about 1.4C, so one hot month is not the breach.
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The sea surface outside the polar regions was the warmest ever observed, averaging a record for the month and peaking at 21.1C.
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Western Europe has just finished its hottest summer on record, and the UK its hottest since records began in 1884.
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El Nino, a warming of the eastern Pacific that hands stored ocean heat to the air, is still strengthening and is forecast to peak above anything seen since 1950.
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Samantha Burgess of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts listed the month's damage: "roads melting, train lines buckling, schools closing, hospitals completely overwhelmed".
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Copernicus links the month to floods in Nepal and Tibet, fires from Indonesia to Greece and Belgium, and drought in Hungary and Romania.
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Nothing warmer has been experienced by humans in about 100,000 years, Burgess said.
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Who is involved
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Copernicus Climate Change Service
the EU's climate monitoring service; it publishes the monthly global temperature and made this reading
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Samantha Burgess
a climate scientist at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which runs the Copernicus data; she presented the figures
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Australia's Bureau of Meteorology
the national forecaster; it says the El Nino now building will pass anything measured since 1950
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Simon Stiell
the UN's climate chief; he called the record the price of burning fossil fuels
How it unfolded
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July 2023 the previous hottest month, 16.96C
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Nov 2025 the last month before this one to run above 1.5C
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June-Aug western Europe's hottest summer on record, and the UK's hottest since 1884
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August 16.96C, and the warmest sea surface ever observed outside the poles
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1-7 Sept Indonesia's fires put out 19.7m tonnes of carbon dioxide, the most of any country
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Coming year forecasters expect the El Nino to peak, with its biggest push on global temperature still ahead
Where this points
Watch the next few Copernicus months: this El Nino has not peaked, and the test is whether the run of records continues into a season that is normally cooler.
What is pushing on the whole day
The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing today. The arrow is where it is heading. The evidence is in the stories below.
the US forecaster expects record demand in 2026 and 2027
Indonesia's fires put out 19.7m tonnes of carbon dioxide in a week, the most of any country
Brent passed $100 with Gulf exports near two-thirds of pre-war levels
tarpaulins now cover the Mer de Glace ice cave in France
cooling machines in hotter weather pushed Malaysia's data centre share to a record
The rest of the day
33 more stories on this beat.
Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.
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02
Oil passes $100 and a third of Gulf exports cannot be traced
Brent crude, the benchmark most of the world's oil is priced against, passed $100 a barrel on Wednesday for the first time since July, having been down at about $70 in early July.
[7] [15] Gulf shipments are still far below pre-war levels: Goldman Sachs and the analytics firm Vortexa each put them near 15 million barrels a day, about two-thirds of normal, and much of that sails with tracking transponders switched off.[7] Producers outside OPEC are adding 1.4 million barrels a day this year, and dear fuel has cut demand by about 3.5 million.[8] Why it matters — The US energy secretary said last week that shipments were almost back to pre-war levels, and the industry's own data says two-thirds.
[7] One of those numbers is a supply crisis and the other is a bad quarter. -
03
Serbia's diesel is the dearest it has ever been
Diesel in Serbia reached 234 dinars a litre in the week to 11 September, the highest retail price ever recorded there, the country's mining and energy ministry said.
[9] Petrol stands at 205 dinars.[9] Serbia imports its fuel, and the reduced traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, the sea lane that carries a fifth of the oil traded worldwide, has raised shipping costs and refining margins.[9] Supply and demand are roughly balanced, the energy researcher Aleksandar Kovacevic told the BBC; what has grown is the risk attached to moving the stuff.[9] Why it matters — Serbia pumps almost no oil of its own, so a fight over a sea lane 3,000 kilometres away arrives as the number on the pump.
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04
Indonesia's fires overtake Russia's
Fires in Indonesia released 19.7 million tonnes of carbon dioxide between 1 and 7 September, more than a third of the world total and more than Russia, according to Fire Emissions Watch, run by the EU's Copernicus atmosphere service.
[5] The fires are burning forest and peatland on Borneo and Sumatra.[5] Peat is waterlogged ground packed with half-rotted plants; when it dries it burns underground and is very hard to put out.[5] Officials call this the country's most intense fire season in eleven years.[5] Why it matters — Mark Parrington of the Copernicus atmosphere service says El Nino is the reason they burn this hard: drier, hotter, and any ignition goes further.
[5] The same El Nino is in the record August above. -
05
Record electricity demand forecast for two years running
Power use in the United States will set records in 2026 and 2027, the US Energy Information Administration said in its short-term outlook on Wednesday.
[10] It expects demand to rise from 4,195 billion kilowatt-hours in 2025 to 4,270 billion this year and 4,349 billion next.[10] The agency names data centres running artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency, plus homes and businesses switching heating and driving from fuel to electricity.[10] Even with a pause on new data-centre connections in Texas, the south-central states account for the largest share of the growth.[10] Why it matters — Two decades of flat demand are over, and every extra kilowatt-hour has to be generated by something that exists.
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06
An Ohio utility says demand will nearly triple
American Electric Power's Ohio company, the state's largest regulated electric utility, expects demand on its system to nearly triple over the next decade, almost entirely because of data centres it expects to be built.
[11] Utilities size their grid spending on such forecasts, and customers repay that spending through bills.[11] Jonathan Koomey, a researcher who studies computing and energy, says the forecasts assume recent trends simply continue, when computing keeps getting more efficient and developers shop the same project around several states.[11] Ohio households are already seeing bills rise.[11] Why it matters — If the data centres arrive, the wires were needed. If they do not, Ohio households have paid for a grid built for customers who never came.
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07
Malaysia's data centres take a record share of its power
Data centres took 9.3% of Malaysia's electricity in the second week of August, a record, against an average of 7% this year, the head of its Energy Commission, Siti Safinah Salleh, said.
[12] Hotter weather is part of it: cooling the machines takes much more power as temperatures rise.[12] The country now needs 9 gigawatts more gas-fired capacity by 2032, its economy minister said, while it plans to close its last coal plant by 2044.[12] Malaysia is Southeast Asia's fastest-growing data-centre market.[12] Why it matters — The heat that raises the cooling bill is the same heat the extra gas burning adds to, and the bill for the gap falls to a country of 35 million people.
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08
Google's biggest European investment goes to Finland
Google will spend 13 billion euros, about $15 billion, on data centres in Finland, and will buy up to half the electricity from one of the country's nuclear power stations as part of it.
[13] It is the company's largest single investment in Europe, with sites at Kajaani, Muhos and Vaala and an expansion at Hamina, a converted paper mill.[13] Finland was picked for cool air, low-carbon power and a grid with room on it; cold outside air cuts what it costs to stop servers overheating.[13] TikTok announced a $1bn Finnish data centre this week too.[13] Why it matters — Electricity is expensive to move and computing is not, so the machines are going to where the spare cold power already sits, and half a reactor now has one customer.
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09
Brazil wants China to buy its carbon credits
Brazil will use a visit to China next week to test whether the country could buy Brazilian carbon credits. Its carbon market secretary, Cristina Reis, told Reuters she hopes for a deal by the COP31 climate summit in Turkey in November.
[14] Officials meet in Wuhan from 14 to 18 September, where a Brazil-China-EU group covering about 42% of world emissions is due to approve a plan to align their trading systems.[14] The credits at issue count towards a country's own emissions pledge.[14] Why it matters — A carbon credit is only worth what someone will pay for it, and the world's largest emitter has never been a buyer.
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10
UN says cleaning the air and the carbon together pays
Tackling air pollution and climate change together would raise world economic output by 2.8% by 2035, a new report from the UN Environment Programme finds, as reported by the Financial Times and summarised by Carbon Brief.
[15] The two problems share causes: burning fossil fuels, some farming practices, and industrial processes.[15] The authors say that holds on market benefits alone, and that each year of delay carries costs that cannot be recovered.[15] Why it matters — Clean-air rules and carbon rules are usually written, argued over and paid for separately, by different agencies.
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11
French wine heads for a 30-year low
French winemakers expect this year's production to be the lowest in three decades after a summer of drought and heatwaves, the Guardian reports.
[15] Early estimates point to a 6% drop on last year and output 17% below the average of 2021 to 2025.[15] Champagne is expected to make about half what it made in 2025.[15] Most French vineyards began picking in August because the heat pushed ripening forward.[15] Why it matters — France has just had its hottest summer on record, and this is what a record August looks like in a farm account rather than in a temperature series.
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12
The EU puts 200 million euros into Greenland
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced a 200 million euro partnership package for Greenland in Nuuk on Monday, to be spent this year and in 2027 on digital connections, mining, energy and tourism.
[16] Greenlanders are Danish citizens, though Greenland itself left the EU in 1985, and the US president has spent this year pressing for American control of the island.[17] Von der Leyen said the Arctic is of strategic importance to the EU; melting ice is making the island's minerals easier to reach and opening new shipping routes.[17] Why it matters — Greenland's ice retreating is what put its rocks within reach, and the money now arriving is a consequence of that, not a response to it.
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13
A Chinese ship finishes the first scheduled Arctic run
The Dubai Tower, a Chinese cargo ship, is completing a three-week voyage from Qingdao in China to Teesport in England across the top of Russia, part of the first regular cargo service using the Northern Sea Route.
[18] The northern passage takes about 21 days; the same ship's route to Europe through the Suez Canal took 36.[18] China lies more than 800 miles from the Arctic Circle and calls itself a near-Arctic state; it has run coast guard patrols with Russia and announced Arctic projects that mostly never happened.[18] Why it matters — The route exists because the sea ice that closed it has thinned, which makes a shipping line one of the first businesses to be built on warming rather than damaged by it.
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14
The US offers to help Kenya process its own minerals
The United States will help Kenya build an industry that processes critical minerals rather than exporting raw rock, Frank Garcia, the US assistant secretary of state for Africa, told a business group in Nairobi on Wednesday.
[19] Kenya is weighing bids to develop Mrima Hill on its coast, thought to hold tens of billions of dollars of rare earth minerals and niobium, a metal used in aerospace.[19] The US development finance agency is backing several African rare-earth projects.[19] China dominates the processing of these metals worldwide.[19] Why it matters — Every wind turbine, motor and magnet runs on these metals, and processing is the step where nearly all the value and nearly all the pollution sit.
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15
Venezuela's opposition loses control of Citgo
The boards that have run the US refiner Citgo on behalf of Venezuela's opposition for seven years are winding down this month, two people involved told Reuters.
[20] Citgo refines oil in the United States and is owned by Venezuela's state oil company, PDVSA.[20] Venezuela's interim president Delcy Rodriguez, whose government replaced Nicolas Maduro's after he was captured by US forces in January, has been recognised by the US government and has replaced the lawyers representing the country abroad.[20] Why it matters — Citgo has been the one large Venezuelan asset outside the country's own control, and it is now going back.
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16
China now has more solar capacity than coal capacity
China's installed solar capacity reached 1.286 terawatts at the end of July, edging past its 1.285 terawatts of coal, the National Energy Administration said.
[21] Solar is now about 31.5% of the country's total generating capacity of 4.078 terawatts.[21] It ends a century in which coal was the largest source by installed size.[21] Capacity is not output: coal still generates far more electricity, because a coal plant runs whenever it is told to and a panel only works when the sun is on it.[22] Why it matters — The two numbers get reported as one story and they are not: the crossover in capacity happened this summer, the crossover in electricity has not.
[22] -
17
Portugal's solar sets a new peak
Solar generation in Portugal peaked at about 3.85 gigawatts in August, a record, after the country added 372 megawatts of panels between December and May to reach 7.3 gigawatts.
[23] Renewable sources supplied 52% of the country's electricity that month, with imports covering 36% and non-renewable generation 12%.[23] Solar became Portugal's largest single source of electricity for the first time in July, at 19% of consumption, ahead of hydropower, wind and biomass.[23] Imports also hit a record 5.2 gigawatts.[23] Why it matters — A country that used to burn coal for its baseload now leans on the sun and on its neighbours' wires, and both of those have weather attached.
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18
Three in ten new UK cars in August were electric
New car registrations in the UK rose about 13% in August to more than 90,000, the strongest August in eight years, preliminary figures from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders show.
[24] Battery electric cars took about 30% of the month, and 26% of the year so far.[24] Both figures sit below Britain's zero-emission vehicle mandate, which requires 33% of a carmaker's sales to be electric in 2026.[24] A separate count by New AutoMotive also put August at about 30%.[24] Why it matters — The mandate is what makes carmakers discount electric models, and a gap this size decides how hard they discount for the rest of the year.
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19
The US government leans on Ford over Chinese batteries
US Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy wrote to Ford's chief executive Jim Farley on Tuesday about the carmaker's dealings with the Chinese battery maker CATL and the Chinese carmakers Geely and BYD.
[25] He said they raise national security concerns and urged Ford to cut the ties.[25] CATL makes more electric-car batteries than anyone else and licenses its technology to Ford's plant in Marshall, Michigan; it sits on the US defence department's list of firms accused of military links.[25] Ford called the letter wrongheaded and said it is investing in batteries built in the United States.[25] Why it matters — Cheap batteries are what make an affordable electric car possible, and the cheapest ones are Chinese or built to Chinese designs.
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20
Plug-in hybrids emit six times their official figure
Plug-in hybrid cars in Europe emit about six times more carbon dioxide than laboratory tests indicate, and the gap is widening.
[26] That comes from on-board fuel monitoring data for 220,000 vehicles, analysed by the campaign group Transport and Environment.[26] Real-world emissions rose from 138 grams per kilometre in 2023 to 145 in 2024, only 14% below the average petrol or diesel car.[26] The tests assume owners plug in far more often than they do.[26] Why it matters — Buyers who paid extra for a car sold as the clean middle option are getting a fraction of the saving, and carmakers count these sales towards emissions targets.
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21
Solar paired with batteries drew a record $25bn
Projects that combine generation and storage on one site attracted $25 billion of investment worldwide in the first half of 2026, nearly double the previous record set in the second half of 2025, according to BloombergNEF.
[29] The category is dominated by solar with batteries alongside it.[29] Solar's weakness is timing: nothing at night, a flood in the afternoon, rarely matching when people want power.[29] A battery on the same site lets the project behave like a plant that can be switched on.[29] Why it matters — This is the money deciding that the useful unit is not a solar farm but a solar farm that can choose its hour.
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22
The US wind pipeline shrinks as solar undercuts it
The queue of planned land-based wind projects in the United States is shrinking as the price gap with solar widens, according to the American Clean Power Association.
[30] At least 44 gigawatts of wind projects are stuck in review at the US defence department, the group's John Hensley said.[30] The wider clean-power pipeline, counting wind, solar and storage, passed 200 gigawatts and grew 11% on the year.[30] Utilities signed 71% of new purchase contracts; Google alone accounted for 54% of corporate deals in the second quarter.[30] Why it matters — Wind and solar are not interchangeable: wind blows at night and in winter, which is exactly when a solar-heavy grid is short.
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23
Rock falls around Mont Blanc are up tenfold
Ludovic Ravanel, a researcher at Savoie Mont Blanc University, expects about 400 rock collapses in the Mont Blanc range this year, roughly ten times the number two decades ago and above the previous worst year, 2022, at nearly 300.
[31] A collapse means more than 100 cubic metres of rock coming off a face.[31] Permafrost, ground that has stayed frozen for thousands of years, works like cement in these peaks, and this summer's heatwaves took it apart.[31] July on the Aiguille du Midi averaged 3.3C, its warmest on record, against 1.6C in 1994.[31] Why it matters — Chamonix's deputy mayor says the town must now plan for pieces of glacier or mountain reaching inhabited ground, and a local guide cancelled a summit trip last week.
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24
Swiss students try sheep wool on a glacier
A project run by the Summit Foundation and the University of Lausanne is testing sheep wool instead of plastic sheeting to slow melting on the Tsanfleuron glacier in western Switzerland.
[32] The tarpaulins normally used shed plastic microfibres into the mountains; sheets like them now cover the ice cave of the Mer de Glace above Chamonix.[32] [31] Between 40% and 70% of Swiss wool is thrown away each year, so the four master's students behind the idea had a free material to work with.[32] This summer's heat stripped the snow off Swiss glaciers weeks earlier than usual.[32] Why it matters — Reuters notes that the early loss of snow feeds the ice loss blamed for rockslides like the one that destroyed the village of Blatten in 2025.
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25
What made the Blatten avalanche run so far
A study in Communications Earth and Environment reconstructs the rock and ice avalanche that buried the Swiss village of Blatten on 28 May 2025, using seismic recordings, ground surveys and models.
[33] About 9.3 million cubic metres of rock and ice moved.[33] More than two weeks of accelerating rockfalls and small glacier collapses came first.[33] The models only match what happened if friction inside the moving mass fell very low, possibly because water pressure built up in the rock, though the authors cannot rule out the ice itself.[33] Why it matters — The authors write that these cascading failures are becoming more common as glaciers retreat and slopes adjust, and this gives the next one a method to be studied with.
[33] -
26
Sunlight is changing the air trapped in shallow ice
Air bubbles in ice are the record of what the atmosphere used to contain, and a study in Communications Earth and Environment finds that sunlight can alter that record near the surface.
[34] In the Larsen blue-ice area of East Antarctica, carbon dioxide fell with depth and levelled off at about 4.6 metres, while methane first rose and then declined.[34] The authors rule out melting, modern air leaking in and microbes, and point to chemical reactions driven by light.[34] Why it matters — The authors say light-driven chemistry should be allowed for when anyone reads a greenhouse-gas record out of blue ice.
[34] -
27
Ocean currents once set the planet's heat balance
During the last ice age the Atlantic's overturning circulation, the system of currents that carries warm water north and cold water back south, reorganised abruptly several times.
[35] A study in Nature Geoscience finds those switches changed how much heat the Earth held overall: the ocean interior took up heat while the circulation was weak and gave it back when the circulation was strong.[35] The effect was amplified by changes in how much sunlight the planet reflected or trapped.[35] Why it matters — The same circulation is being watched now for signs of weakening, and this says a change in it does not just move heat around, it changes the total.
[35] -
28
Peat and fire, ninety million years ago
Researchers found charcoal, burnt plant matter and fire chemistry in Late Cretaceous rainforest and wetland deposits laid down about 900 kilometres from the South Pole, and report it in Communications Earth and Environment.
[36] The record shows frequent, low-temperature surface fires in a world with far more carbon dioxide in the air than today.[36] Those fires ran alongside the swamp turning into the oldest known peat bog from southern high latitudes.[36] Repeated burning kept the vegetation open and helped the peat form.[36] Why it matters — It is the same pairing burning in Borneo this week, running in a hot, high-carbon world, and it says fire is normal in these systems rather than an intruder.
[36] -
29
Fires reach the damp corners of Europe
Almost 650,000 hectares have burned across the European Union since the start of the year in more than 1,913 separate large fires, according to European Commission figures reported by New Scientist.
[6] The headline fires were in France and Spain, but the United Kingdom, Belgium, Germany, Portugal and Italy have all had major blazes in forests, grassland and nature reserves.[6] Those are countries whose fire services and land managers have not had to plan around this.[6] Why it matters — A country that has never needed fire breaks, water bombers or burn bans has to buy them and learn to use them, which takes years.
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30
Renewable agency pushes electrification at Climate Week
The International Renewable Energy Agency, the intergovernmental body that tracks and promotes renewable power, is using the UN General Assembly and Climate Week in New York to argue for electrification as the fastest way to cut emissions.
[37] Its target is for electricity to meet 35% of the world's final energy demand by 2035, through four routes: tripling renewable capacity, doubling grid investment, switching more end uses to electricity, and lowering the cost of borrowing.[37] An Electrification Day is co-hosted with the COP31 presidency.[37] Why it matters — Most energy is still burned rather than wired, so the share of demand that runs on electricity is the number that decides how much cleaning the grid is worth.
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31
Four US firms put $2bn into South Korea
Four American companies committed a combined $2 billion of investment in South Korea across semiconductors, advanced materials and energy, the country's industry ministry said, announced at a ceremony in Washington.
[38] The industrial gases supplier Air Products will expand facilities in Pyeongtaek that make the gases used in chip manufacturing, and the equipment maker Axcelis will expand production of ion implanters.[38] Both projects supply chipmaking rather than making chips, which is the part of the industry South Korea already leads.[38] Why it matters — Chip plants are among the heaviest continuous electricity users there are, so an investment in fabrication is also an order placed on a national grid.
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32
Treated wastewater still makes rivers give off gas
A study in Nature Water traced 159 chemical contaminants from a wastewater treatment plant into the river below it.
[39] The plant removed 82% of them, and downstream concentrations still rose by 53%, toxicity by 44% and carbon dioxide equivalent emissions by 11%.[39] The authors report that microbes in the river cut back their own defences and shifted towards metabolism that produces greenhouse gases.[39] Why it matters — The plant removed most of what it was built to remove, and the water below it still came out more toxic and giving off more gas.
[39] -
33
Tesla shows a two-seat robotaxi
Tesla said it would show the Cybercab, a two-seat electric vehicle built with no steering wheel and no pedals, at an event in Texas.
[27] Texas records show the company has 45 Cybercabs among 420 autonomous vehicles registered there.[27] Tesla already runs a small driverless ride-hailing service using Model Y cars, some with a human monitor on board.[27] US federal rules cap how many vehicles without manual controls a manufacturer may sell.[27] Why it matters — A car with no controls can only be sold in small numbers under current US rules, so this is a bet on the rules changing.
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34
Rivian's smaller electric SUV arrives
Rivian, the American electric vehicle maker, has launched the R2, a two-row sport utility vehicle that is 15 inches shorter and about 2,000 pounds lighter than its existing R1S, which reaches six-figure prices.
[28] The R2 is aimed at ordinary suburban buyers rather than the luxury market, and cheaper versions are due next year.[28] The company also makes an electric pickup, the R1T.[28] Why it matters — The electric market in the United States has been short of mid-priced family cars, which is the segment most households actually buy from.
The peat is held down by water. The mountain is held together by ice.
Water keeps Borneo's peat from burning and ice keeps the rock faces above Chamonix from falling, and this summer took away some of each.
The twist
The thing keeping thousands of years of carbon underground in Borneo is this year's rainfall.
How it works
- Wet peat cannot burn, and frozen rock cannot slide
- So the carbon and the slope stay put for thousands of years
- Heat dries the swamp and thaws the ice
- Nothing else was holding either of them
- Then it goes in days: fire underground, rock off a face
The same force, elsewhere today
Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.
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Indonesia's fires overtaking Russia
drought dried the peat swamps of Borneo and Sumatra, and the carbon the water was holding down came out as 19.7 million tonnes in seven days
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Rock falls around Mont Blanc up tenfold
the same step with frozen water: permafrost was the cement in those faces, the heatwaves thawed it, and about 400 collapses are expected this year
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The study of the Blatten avalanche
ice was part of what held that slope together, and when its grip weakened 9.3 million cubic metres of rock and ice moved at once
Where you've seen this
A freezer in a power cut
the food is not preserved by the box, only by the cold inside it
A shipwreck raised from the seabed
timbers that survived centuries under water start falling apart within months in the air
A cellar of paintings
they last while the room stays cool and dark, and go quickly once it does not
The catch
Not every store is like this: the coal still underground is waiting on a buyer, not on the weather.
And the whole of it
A water table, a frost line, a slope that has not moved in living memory: most people are living on top of at least one of them. From a single seat it all looks like ground.
What is really going on
The hottest month ever measured is not arriving as weather. It arrived this week as 19.7 million tonnes of carbon from burning peat in Borneo, a French wine harvest heading for a 30-year low, and a tally of rock collapses around Mont Blanc running at about ten times the level of two decades ago.
Why it works on us — A figure like 16.96C is easy to file away, because nobody has a feel for a tenth of a degree, and the things that are easy to feel arrive as separate local stories on separate days.
Who gains
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Finland's grid, and one of its nuclear plants
— Google will buy up to half the electricity from one of the country's reactors as part of a 13 billion euro investment, which is a guaranteed customer for power that had to find buyers before.
[13] -
Oil producers outside OPEC
— The US, Canada and Guyana are adding 1.4 million barrels a day this year into a market where the price passed $100.
[8] -
American Electric Power's Ohio company
— Grid spending is recovered from customers whether or not the data centres it is sized for ever connect.
[11] -
Malaysia's gas industry
— The country says it needs 9 gigawatts more gas-fired capacity by 2032, largely because data centres are drawing more power as the weather gets hotter.
[12] -
Ship operators willing to sail north of Russia
— Fifteen days saved on a China-to-England run is fifteen days of ship time, fuel and cargo interest, and the ice that closed the route has thinned.
[18] -
Carmakers selling plug-in hybrids in Europe
— The cars count towards emissions targets on a laboratory figure that the on-board data from 220,000 vehicles puts about six times below their real emissions.
[26]
Who pays
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Drivers in Serbia
— Diesel hit 234 dinars a litre in the week to 11 September, the highest ever recorded there, in a country that pumps almost no oil of its own.
[9] -
French winemakers
— Production is heading for a 30-year low after the drought and heat, 17% below the 2021-25 average, with Champagne at about half of last year.
[15] -
People living under the smoke in Borneo and Sumatra
— The fires are the most intense in eleven years and burn through peat, which smoulders underground and is very hard to extinguish.
[5] -
The town of Chamonix
— Its deputy mayor says it now has to prepare for pieces of glacier or mountain reaching inhabited ground, after a summer with about 400 rock collapses in the massif.
[31] -
Ohio households
— Bills are already rising, and the grid being built for a near-tripling of demand is paid for through those bills.
[11] -
European buyers of plug-in hybrids
— Real-world emissions rose to 145 grams per kilometre in 2024, only 14% below the average petrol or diesel car, for a vehicle sold as the clean middle option.
[26]
What nobody knows yet
Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.
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01
How strong this El Nino gets, and when it peaks.
Australia's forecaster says it will pass anything measured since 1950 and Copernicus says it is still strengthening, but neither will give a number for the peak, and its biggest push on global temperature is still ahead.
[2] [4] -
02
How much oil is actually leaving the Gulf.
The US energy secretary said last week that shipments were almost back to pre-war levels; Goldman Sachs and Vortexa each put them near 15 million barrels a day, about two-thirds. Much of the cargo sails with its transponders off, so nobody is counting it directly.
[7] -
03
How long Indonesia's peat keeps burning.
Peat fires burn below the surface and are very hard to put out, and the Copernicus figure covers only the first week of September. Nobody has published how much ground is alight underground.
[5] -
04
Whether Ohio's data-centre demand shows up at all.
American Electric Power's Ohio utility is planning for demand to nearly triple; the researcher Jonathan Koomey says the forecasts assume recent trends continue, and that developers shop the same project around several states. Nobody can tell yet which projects are counted twice.
[11] -
05
Whether China will buy Brazilian carbon credits.
Brazil's carbon market secretary says she will test the idea in Wuhan next week and hopes for a deal by COP31 in November. China has never been a buyer, and no price or volume has been discussed in public.
[14] -
06
What actually made the Blatten slope let go.
The models only reproduce the avalanche if friction inside it fell very low. The authors suggest water pressure built up in the rock, and say they cannot rule out the ice itself, fragmentation or sorting of the debris.
[33] -
07
How much of Europe's greenhouse gas from rivers has a pipe attached.
The Nature Water study found one treatment plant raised carbon dioxide equivalents in the river below it by 11%, having removed 82% of the contaminants it measured. River emissions are counted as natural in national inventories.
[39] -
08
Whether the Arctic route is a business or a demonstration.
The Dubai Tower's northern run took 21 days against 36 through Suez. But the New York Times notes that most of China's announced Arctic projects never happened, and no operator has published what the ice-strengthened ships and the insurance come to.
[18]
Portugal took 52 per cent of its electricity from renewable sources in August, and in July solar was the country's single biggest source of power for the first time, at 19 per cent of everything consumed.
Also true today
- China now has more solar capacity installed than coal capacity, 1.286 terawatts against 1.285, ending a century in which coal was its largest power source by size.
- Battery electric cars were about 30 per cent of new car registrations in the United Kingdom in August, in the strongest August for car sales there since 2018.
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