Day Lila

Climate & Energy · Wednesday, 14 October 2026

01 Briefing what happened

Saudi Arabia and Russia push the UN's climate science panel to delay its next big report to 2029, after the 2028 climate summit it was meant for

Climate & Energy 40 sources

At talks in Addis Ababa this week, a group led by Saudi Arabia and Russia wants the IPCC's seventh report held back a year, while ministers from 34 at-risk countries and the EU want it sooner. Also today: the US moves to reopen a finished wind farm's approval, an oil well blows out in Niger, Tesla now ships half its Chinese-built cars abroad, and land soaked up more carbon in 2025.

2028 to 2029

the delay Saudi Arabia and Russia want for AR7, the next big climate report

2028 would land it before the Cop33 summit's check on countries' plans [1]

34

members of the High Ambition Coalition whose ministers asked for the report sooner

the EU and the least developed countries were part of the call [1]

1.8C

of warming if every country meets its current climate target

most countries have no full plan to meet theirs [1]

The lead story — what happened

  • The IPCC, the UN panel of the world's leading climate scientists, is meeting this week in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia's capital. [1]
  • It is discussing its seventh assessment report, known as AR7, a survey of everything known about climate change. [1]
  • AR7 is due in 2028, in time for Cop33, the UN climate summit late that year. [1]
  • At Cop33 countries hold a 'global stocktake', a check on whether their plans to cut emissions are enough under the Paris agreement. [1]
  • A group led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, and including India and China, wants AR7 pushed back to 2029. [1]
  • They say the extra time would let developing countries add more to the science. For 30 years the EU, the UK and the US have done most of it. [1]
  • On Friday, ministers from 34 members of the High Ambition Coalition, a group of poor and at-risk countries, asked for AR7 to come out sooner. The EU and the group of least developed countries were part of the call. [1]
  • Jess Gasper, a minister from the Marshall Islands, said political interests must not decide 'which science the world is willing to hear'. [1]
  • Every government that takes part must approve the report's short 'summary for policymakers' line by line.
  • Since the last report in 2021 and 2022, greenhouse gases kept rising. Carbon dioxide in the air jumped by record amounts in both 2023 and 2024. [1][2]
  • Claudio Angelo of Observatorio do Clima, a Brazilian climate network, said a few months' delay will not fix the bias in climate models, and delegates must not leave without a decision. [1]
  • Some campaign groups sympathise with the call for more science from developing countries, and some are considering backing a delay. [1]
  1. 1Talks in Addis Ababa2,027
  2. 2AR7 as planned2,028
  3. 3Cop33 checks countries' plans2,029
  4. 4AR7 if delayed2,029
Where the dates fall. A 2028 report reaches the Cop33 check in time; a 2029 report arrives after it. Positions inside each year are approximate.

Who is involved

  • The IPCC

    the UN-convened panel of leading climate scientists; it writes the assessment reports and declined to comment

  • Saudi Arabia and Russia

    two of the world's biggest oil producers; they lead the push to delay AR7 to 2029

  • India and China

    two large developing countries; they back the delay, saying the science needs more voices

  • The High Ambition Coalition

    a group of poor and climate-threatened countries, with the EU; its ministers want AR7 sooner

  • Claudio Angelo

    of Observatorio do Clima, a Brazilian climate network; he says equity is being used to justify delay

How it unfolded

  1. 1988 The IPCC begins its series of big climate reports [1]
  2. 2021-22 The sixth report comes out, in three parts [1]
  3. Fri 9 Oct Ministers from 34 coalition members ask for AR7 sooner [1]
  4. This week The IPCC meets in Addis Ababa on the timetable [1]
  5. 2028 AR7 due, and Cop33 holds its check on countries' plans [1]

Where this points

Watch whether the Addis Ababa meeting ends this week with the 2028 date kept, which campaigners say must be settled before delegates go home. [1]

What is pushing on the whole day

The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing today. The arrow is where it is heading. The evidence is in the stories below.

Data centres straining US power High↑

The US Energy Department said PJM, which runs a big eastern US grid, may move data centres onto their own generators until 16 October. [5] In an April survey, 56% of Americans opposed a data centre near their home. [18] FERC, the US grid regulator, approved new rules making big users in the Carolinas pay for the grid work they need. [14]

Oil and gas digging in Africa Building↑

Tanzania says it is close to a $42 billion gas export deal led by Equinor, Norway's state oil company, and Shell. [8] In Niger, a well run by China's state oil company has been gushing oil since 25 September. [7] Protesters in Cape Town opposed Shell's plan for up to five deep-sea wells off South Africa. [11]

Earlier decisions being reopened Building↑

The US Interior Department asked a court to let it reconsider a wind farm that has made power since March. [4] Indonesia said it no longer needs to clear forest for rice, three years into a huge farm project. [13] An Australian court cancelled an order that had blocked a gold mine's waste dam. [39]

Chinese-built cars going abroad Building↑

Tesla's Shanghai factory exported 361,972 cars in nine months, more than double last year. [28] Canada lets in only 49,000 Chinese-made electric cars a year, and Tesla has stopped taking orders. [29] Chinese brands took a record 10.9% of Europe's car market in June. [24]

A record El Nino High↑

Water above 30C has been measured in parts of the tropical Pacific for the first time. [3] Scientists expect it to cut how much carbon the world's land takes in next year. [2] It kept the Atlantic quiet until Isaias, the latest first hurricane of a season on record. [35]

The rest of the day

33 more stories on this beat.

Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.

  1. 02

    US moves to reopen a finished wind farm's approval

    On Friday 9 October, the US Interior Department asked a federal court to let it reconsider its 2023 approval of Revolution Wind. [4] The 704-megawatt wind farm off Connecticut and Rhode Island cost $6.2 billion and has made power since March. [4] Orsted, the Danish company that built it, put up the last of its 65 turbines in September. [4] The request comes in a lawsuit by Green Oceans, a Rhode Island group that says the permits cut corners. [4] Experts say the farm keeps running for now, and the case could last into early next year. [4]

    Why it matters — The farm can power more than 350,000 homes and is meant to ease strain on the region's grid in heat waves and cold spells. [4] Its permits took more than nine years to win, across several agencies. [4]

  2. 03

    US lets PJM move data centres onto backup power

    The US Energy Department issued an emergency order on Monday for PJM, the company that runs the power grid across 13 Mid-Atlantic and Midwest US states. [5][6] It lets PJM tell data centres and other big users to switch to their own backup generators if supply runs short. [5] The department said many power plants are shut for autumn repairs, which raises the risk of blackouts. [5] The order lasts until 16 October, and PJM called a maximum generation alert for 13 and 14 October. [5]

    Why it matters — The department says the US has 35 gigawatts of unused backup generators. [5] A week earlier it told PJM that data centres, not households, must pay for the new power they need. [6]

  3. 04

    Oil well blows out in Niger's desert

    Niger's petroleum ministry declared an environmental incident of 'exceptional severity' on Monday, after a blowout at the Goumeri W8 oil well. [7] The blowout began on 25 September, about 1,700km from Niamey, the capital. [7] Oil and gas sprayed more than 10 metres into the air, and a slick spread for hundreds of metres. [7] Niger's ministry said it was partly contained but not under control, and ruled out an attack. [7] The well is run by a local arm of CNPC, China's state oil company. [7]

    Why it matters — Niger has pumped oil since 2011, mostly around Agadem, and a military government has ruled since a 2023 coup. [7] An armed group has attacked the 2,000km pipeline that carries Niger's oil to the coast in Benin. [7]

  4. 05

    Tanzania nears a $42 billion gas export deal

    Tanzania expects to finish the agreements for a $42 billion project to export liquefied natural gas, gas chilled into a liquid so ships can carry it, its finance minister told Reuters. [8] Khamis Mussa Omar said 'it's almost there'; officials had expected it signed before June. [8] Equinor, Norway's state oil company, and Shell lead it, with Exxon Mobil among the partners. [8] It would tap 47 trillion cubic feet of gas. Most will be sold abroad and some kept for Tanzania. [8]

    Why it matters — Tanzania now pays for two-thirds of its budget from its own revenue as foreign aid shrinks, and wants projects that pay for themselves. [8] It also plans to double its power plants to 8,000 megawatts by 2030. [8]

  5. 06

    El Nino now beats 2015 with warming taken out

    El Nino, the warm phase of a Pacific pattern that shifts weather around the world, has kept strengthening weeks before its expected December peak. [3] Water above 30C has been measured in parts of the tropical Pacific for the first time. [3] Forecasters in Australia and the US now use a measure that removes the ocean's general warming, so past events can be compared. [3] On that measure, Australia's weekly readings, which go back to 2008, now pass the record December of 2015. [3]

    Why it matters — Past super El Ninos brought drought and fires to south-east Asia and drought to southern Africa. [3] Zeke Hausfather of Berkeley Earth, a climate research group, called it unprecedented in the historical record. [3]

  6. 07

    Land soaked up more carbon again in 2025

    Forests, grasslands and swamps took in 2.36 billion tonnes of carbon in 2025, early research led by Philippe Ciais in France estimates. [2] That is 0.71 billion tonnes more than the average for 2015 to 2022. [2] In 2023 and 2024, El Nino and fires in the Amazon almost wiped out this uptake, and carbon dioxide in the air rose by record amounts. [2] The rebound came mainly from tropical forests in Africa and the Amazon growing again. [2]

    Carbon taken in by the world's land each year. The average is 2.36 minus 0.71, plain arithmetic on the figures above.

    Why it matters — Scientists expect the super El Nino now under way to cause another sharp slump next year. [2] They warn that repeated shocks may be weakening the land's ability to store carbon over the long run. [2]

  7. 08

    Africa gets a fifth of what it needs to adapt

    Africa needs almost $70 billion a year to protect people from the effects of climate change, a report by Power Shift Africa, a climate campaign group, finds. [9] It received about $14 billion in international help in 2021 and 2022. [9] African governments spend more of their own money on adapting than they get from abroad, it says. [9] Africa owes about $746 billion, at average interest near 9.8%, against 2.5% in the US. [9] The report wants help given as grants, not loans. [9]

    What Africa needs a year to adapt to climate change, against the international help it got in 2021 and 2022.

    Why it matters — Africa had 35% of the world's climate-related deaths from 1970 to 2021, while producing a tiny share of emissions. [9] Money for adapting will be argued over at COP31, the UN climate summit in Antalya, Turkey, in November. [9]

  8. 09

    Africa improves fastest at coping with disasters

    African regions made the world's fastest gains since 2023 in people's ability to cope with and recover from disasters, the World Risk Poll finds. [10] Gallup, the polling firm, surveyed more than 143,000 people in 140 countries for Lloyd's Register Foundation, a safety charity. [10] North Africa rose five points on a 100-point scale and Southern Africa four. [10] Better internet access, household planning and savings drove it, in countries including Nigeria, Kenya and Egypt. [10]

    Why it matters — Only 47% of adults hit by a disaster in Central and Western Africa said they got a warning. [10] Worldwide, 77% of people who got no warning owned a mobile phone. [10]

  9. 10

    Protesters picket Africa's oil and gas conference

    Campaigners from Greenpeace Africa and Extinction Rebellion, a climate protest movement, picketed African Energy Week in Cape Town, South Africa, on Tuesday, and police removed them. [11][12] They want no new oil and gas exploration anywhere in Africa. [11] South Africa's government wants more gas to bring in investment, and says gas plants can cover times when wind and solar drop. [11] Shell plans to drill up to five deep-sea wells off South Africa's west coast, and its approval faces appeals. [11][12]

    Why it matters — The same day, Tanzania said its $42 billion gas export deal is almost done. [8] In Niger, an oil well has been gushing since 25 September. [7]

  10. 11

    Indonesia says it will stop clearing forest for rice

    Indonesian officials said at an event last week that the country no longer needs to clear forest to grow rice. [13] Since 2023 it has been turning 7 million acres of forest in New Guinea into rice and sugarcane farms, which critics call the world's largest deforestation project. [13] A similar 3-million-acre project runs on Borneo. [13] Officials said rice self-sufficiency came three years early, and future farms will use damaged land. [13]

    Why it matters — A spokesperson for Indonesia's forest ministry said its government cannot yet say whether work already under way will stop, or when. [13] Indonesia's forest loss reached an eight-year high last year. [13]

  11. 12

    Tesla now ships half its Chinese cars abroad

    Tesla sold 381,088 cars to buyers in China in the first nine months of 2026, down 11.9%, figures from China's passenger car association show. [28] Exports from its Shanghai factory more than doubled, to 361,972, already more than in any whole earlier year. [28] On Monday, China's government said its tax refund on electric car exports will fall from 13% to 9% on 1 April 2027. [28] China exported over 4 million electric and plug-in hybrid cars in nine months. [28]

    Why it matters — Electrek, an electric car news site, estimates the refund cut will cost Tesla about $1,235 a car, around $600 million a year. [28] Electrek expects carmakers to rush exports out before April. [28]

  12. 13

    Tesla stops cheap Model 3 orders in Canada

    Tesla has stopped taking Canadian orders for its Shanghai-built Model 3, priced at C$39,490, saying it has used up its import quota. [29] Canada cut its tariff on Chinese electric cars from 100% to 6.1% in January, but capped them at 49,000 a year. [29] Canada's own official tracker showed 33,069 permits still unused on 9 October. [29] Tesla expects to take orders again in March 2027, when a new quota year starts. [29] Canada's notice lets it set permits aside for other carmakers, including newcomers. [29]

    Why it matters — Electrek suspects Canada held back permits for BYD and Geely, two Chinese carmakers still building dealer networks. [29] Canada's government has not published how many permits each carmaker got. [29]

  13. 14

    Electric cars saved oil importers $20 billion

    Electric cars in oil-importing countries replaced about 200 million barrels of crude between March and August, worth about $20 billion, Ember, an energy research group, estimates. [23] China accounted for about $14 billion and EU countries for $3.1 billion. [23] Those months cover the oil shortage caused by fighting around the Strait of Hormuz. [23] Fully electric cars made up 18% of new car sales worldwide in the first eight months, up from 16%. [23]

    • China$14bn · 70%
    • EU countries$3.10bn · 16%
    • Other importers$2.90bn · 14%
    Ember's estimate of the oil that electric cars replaced, March to August. 'Other importers' is the rest of the $20 billion, by plain arithmetic.

    Why it matters — In the US they were 6% of sales, after the federal tax credit ended in September 2025. [23] Fifteen countries, including India and Brazil, passed the US on that share for the first time this year. [23]

  14. 15

    Volkswagen's US electric sales fall 90%

    Volkswagen sold 1,421 electric cars in the US from July to September, 90% fewer than a year earlier, InsideEVs, a car news site, reported. [24] Its ID.4 fell from 12,470 to 989. [24] Volkswagen stopped building the ID.4 at Chattanooga, Tennessee, in April, so the plant could make the petrol Atlas instead. [24] Its electric minibus, the ID. Buzz, starts at $61,545, and brand chief Thomas Schaefer says it is 'in the wrong cost base'. [24][25]

    US sales of Volkswagen's ID.4 in the same three months a year apart, after the car stopped being built in Tennessee.

    Why it matters — In Europe, fully electric cars took 29% of new registrations in August. [24] There, Volkswagen's worry is Chinese brands, which took a record 10.9% of the market in June. [24]

  15. 16

    US regulator approves Duke's data centre rules

    FERC, the US regulator of power grids, voted 4-1 on Friday to approve new rules from Duke Energy Carolinas for very big electricity users. [14] Duke has about 3 million customers in North and South Carolina. [14] A new big user that needs grid upgrades must pay as if it used at least 75% of the power it booked, for 15 years. [14] Commissioner Judy Chang voted against, saying the rules hold too little money as security. [14]

    Why it matters — The rules aim to stop households paying for grid work if a data centre never arrives or leaves early. [14] Commissioner David Rosner said protections for consumers are 'inadequate across the country'. [14]

  16. 17

    Georgia approves Google paying for nuclear upgrades

    Georgia's Public Service Commission, which sets what the state's utilities charge, voted last week to let Google help pay for nuclear upgrades. [15] Georgia Power, the state's main utility, will upgrade four reactors at its Vogtle and Hatch plants so they make more electricity. [15] From 2028, Google pays a fee on top of its bill and counts the power toward its goal of carbon-free energy by 2030. [15] The upgrades should add 96 megawatts. [15]

    Why it matters — Georgia Power says other customers gain about $900 million over the reactors' lives. [15] Upgrading an old nuclear plant takes about five years, while a new one can take decades. [15]

  17. 18

    Solar firms spend to change Georgia's regulators

    A political group tied to the Solar Energy Industries Association, the US solar trade body, is spending $250,000 on ads for two Democrats running for Georgia's Public Service Commission. [16] Democrats won two of its five seats last year, and November's vote could give them control. [16] The commission has approved six requests to raise customer rates since 2023, the solar group notes. [16] Last December it approved 10 gigawatts of new gas plants and batteries for data centres. [16]

    Why it matters — That approval adds an estimated $20 a month to household bills. [16] Whoever controls the commission decides how much of Georgia's new power comes from gas, or from solar and batteries. [16]

  18. 19

    Big solar farms linked to lower US power prices

    Researchers at MIT compared US home electricity prices with each state's power sources from 1998 to 2023. [17] A rise of 10 percentage points in large solar farms' share went with prices just over 8% lower. [17] A rise of 5 points in rooftop solar's share went with prices about 16% higher. [17] The authors say these are links, not proven causes, and the paper has not yet been checked by other researchers. [17]

    Why it matters — They suggest some states' bills move the fixed cost of the wires from rooftop owners onto everyone else. [17] California's public advocate puts that shift at $8.5 billion, while a solar industry report finds a $1.5 billion net benefit. [17]

  19. 20

    Most Americans oppose a data centre nearby

    In an April survey of 1,068 US adults, 56% said they would oppose a data centre in their area and 15% would support one. [18] The survey was run by climate communication programmes at Yale and George Mason universities. [18] About three-quarters of liberal Democrats and half of conservative Republicans opposed one. [18] And 59% expected their electricity bills to rise if one opened nearby. [18]

    56 of 100

    oppose a data centre in their area

    Out of every 100 US adults asked in April, 56 opposed a data centre near them and 15 supported one.

    Why it matters — Massachusetts now refuses state permits for data centres that lack the local town's approval. [18] Some towns in Vermont have banned them. [18]

  20. 21

    PG&E warns of more fire shutoffs

    PG&E, the main power company in northern and central California, warned that more planned power cuts are likely from Wednesday to Saturday. [19] It switches lines off on purpose when hot, dry winds raise the risk that they start fires. [19] The cuts could reach more than two dozen counties. [19] On 9 October it cut areas holding up to 12,200 customers in 17 counties and three tribal areas. [19]

    Why it matters — A heat wave pushed California's demand to about 46,000 megawatts on 5 October, and the grid operator issued six alerts. [19] San Diego Gas and Electric began its own shutoffs on 2 October. [19]

  21. 22

    Big battery failures fell 98% in seven years

    Failures of big lithium-ion battery systems, counted against how much storage exists, fell 98% from 2018 to 2025, EPRI, a US power research institute, reports. [20] They halved from 2024 to 2025 alone. [20] Each year 0.04% to 0.14% of systems fail, close to the 0.1% rate for oil-filled transformers on the grid. [20] And 93% of incidents worldwide hurt nobody. [20]

    Why it matters — In the US, no one has been hurt by a battery failure since an explosion in Arizona in April 2019. [20] Older systems, built before stricter safety codes, fail more often, and EPRI says owners should check them. [20]

  22. 23

    Qcells plans a factory for next-generation solar

    Qcells, a big solar maker owned by South Korea's Hanwha, plans a gigawatt-sized factory for tandem panels in 2029, its technology chief told Canary Media. [21] A tandem panel stacks a layer of perovskite, a crystal that can be made from many ingredients, on top of the usual silicon to catch more light. [21] The best panels now turn about 24% of sunlight into power. [21] A Qcells tandem cell reached 28.6% in 2024. [21]

    Why it matters — So far perovskite layers break down too fast outdoors, and no tandem panel has run for 20 years yet. [21] In July Qcells' tandem panel passed the industry's standard stress tests. [21]

  23. 24

    A Chinese lab cell turns 27.5% of light into power

    Researchers in China made a perovskite solar cell that turned 27.5% of sunlight into electricity, pv magazine reports. [22] They mixed three similar molecules in one of its layers, which helped it hold up under heat. [22] An independent test body in Tianjin certified 27.31% for one cell. [22] That is just below the 27.41% another Chinese-led team reported in May. [22]

    Why it matters — The cells were tested at 85C, because heat is what wears these cells out. [22] Qcells' plan shows the harder step: making panels that last outdoors for decades. [21]

  24. 25

    US electric car prices rise in September

    The average price paid for a new electric car in the US rose 2.4% in September, to $55,879, says Kelley Blue Book, a car-pricing firm. [26] That is still 3% below a year earlier. [26] Discounts shrank to 11% of the price, the lowest this year. [26] Chevrolet raised the starting price of its Blazer EV by $300, to $45,000. [27]

    Why it matters — Electric cars now cost about 11% more than comparable non-electric cars, down from nearly 18% in 2025. [26] Blazer EV sales are down 78% since the federal tax credit ended last year. [27]

  25. 26

    BYD's big electric saloon claims 1,000km

    BYD, China's biggest electric carmaker, began selling its Great Han saloon in China on Tuesday, from about $35,000. [30] The base model is rated at 1,008km on China's official range test. [30] BYD says it charges from 10% to 70% in five minutes. [30] It is slightly bigger than a Tesla Model S. [30]

    Why it matters — BYD's Great Tang, a bigger SUV, sold over 10,000 a month in its first three months. [30] Tesla in China still sells mainly two models, while BYD and others launch cheaper new ones every few months. [28]

  26. 27

    US passes 80,000 fast-charging points

    The US now has 80,964 public fast-charging points at 14,614 sites, says Paren, a charging data company. [31] Operators added 4,106 points from July to September, fewer than in the spring. [31] Drivers charged 50.4 million times in the quarter, 26% more than a year earlier. [31] Tesla added the most points, 1,287. [31]

    Why it matters — Tesla's price for drivers without a membership rose 15% in a year, to 56.9 cents per kilowatt-hour. [31] Other networks stayed near 53.3 cents. [31]

  27. 28

    US fund for storm-hit forests runs dry

    The US Emergency Forest Restoration Program has more requests than money, the US Department of Agriculture confirmed. [32] It repays private landowners up to 75% of the cost of clearing and replanting woods after a disaster. [32] The US Congress gave it $357 million almost two years ago, much of it for the 2024 hurricanes. [32] In Michigan, an ice storm in March 2025 damaged about 3 million acres of forest in two days. [32]

    Why it matters — About 600 Michigan landowners are applying, and any work they start before approval is at their own expense. [32] Minnesota is not approving applications either. [32]

  28. 29

    Lab-raised sea stars tested to save California's kelp

    Scientists from the Sunflower Star Laboratory, a non-profit, are placing lab-raised sunflower sea stars on the seabed off Monterey, California, a first for the state. [33] A disease spread by a marine heatwave from about 2013 killed over 90% of the Pacific's sunflower stars. [33] Without them, purple sea urchins multiplied and ate the kelp, the giant seaweed that forms underwater forests. [33] The lab says 95% of local kelp has gone in 10 to 12 years. [33]

    Why it matters — One star eats three or four urchins a day, and its smell alone makes urchins hide. [33] The team hopes to return the stars to Monterey Bay for good within a few years. [33]

  29. 30

    Isaias kills six in Florida, then deepens near Iceland

    Florida's governor, Ron DeSantis, said on Tuesday that six deaths in the state are linked to Hurricane Isaias. [34] One person died when a tree fell on a home, and another was found in a garage with a generator running. [34] Isaias was the latest first hurricane of an Atlantic season on record. [35] Its remains have deepened very fast into a storm near Iceland, and Britain's Met Office, its weather service, warned of gusts up to 70mph in north-west Scotland. [36]

    Why it matters — A strong El Nino usually holds back Atlantic hurricanes, which is why this season was so quiet. [3][34] About 5,000 people in Florida were still without power on Tuesday. [34]

  30. 31

    Europe's clean power contracts get dearer

    Prices in long-term contracts to buy wind and solar power in Europe rose 5% in September, by the index of Pexapark, a Swiss consultancy. [37] Higher gas prices pushed up expected power prices. [37] Britain rose most, by 10.9%, while Spain fell 3.5%. [37] Buyers signed 25 such contracts for about 1.2 gigawatts, up from 14 in August. [37]

    Why it matters — Companies, not utilities, signed 21 of them. [37] One of the largest was Google's 22-year deal for 507 megawatts to help keep Finland's Loviisa nuclear plant running. [37]

  31. 32

    Qatar builds solar to burn less gas at home

    Qatar's solar capacity reached 1,675 megawatts after QatarEnergy, the state energy company, opened plants at Ras Laffan and Mesaieed in April 2025. [38] GlobalData, an analysis firm, expects renewables to make up 25.9% of Qatar's power capacity by 2035, up from 12% in 2025. [38] It says Qatar wants to burn less of its own gas for electricity and cut emissions. [38]

    Why it matters — The 800-megawatt Al Kharsaah plant, part-owned by France's TotalEnergies and Japan's Marubeni, sells its power to the state utility under a 25-year deal. [38] A GlobalData analyst says Qatar's power is moving away from total reliance on gas. [38]

  32. 33

    Australian court lifts a block on a gold mine

    Australia's Federal Court on Wednesday cancelled an order that had stopped Regis Resources, an Australian gold miner, from building a waste dam for its McPhillamys gold mine in New South Wales. [39] Tanya Plibersek, then environment minister, made the order in 2024 under an Aboriginal heritage law. [39] Wiradyuri traditional owners had asked her to protect springs at the head of the Belubula River. [39] The judge said the order was made by a faulty process, and did not rule on the site's importance. [39]

    Why it matters — The current minister, Murray Watt, may now have to decide the request again. [39] Regis is also planning a different waste design that avoids the protected area. [39]

  33. 34

    Small batteries cut a New York chain's bills

    Wonder, a food company with 160 sites in the north-east US, says it saved about $20,000 on energy in six months. [40] It plugged suitcase-sized batteries into 21 of its New York City sites. [40] David Energy, a power retailer, gave the batteries free and earns from the power it sells and from grid payments. [40] The batteries cut the short peaks in use that push business bills up. [40]

    Why it matters — Wonder's kitchens run only on electricity, so its power rates matter more than most. [40] The saving is 3% to 5% of energy costs at those sites, and Wonder plans to add more. [40]

02 Lesson why it matters

Why a car factory in China sends its cars abroad when buyers at home stop

A car factory costs almost as much to run half-empty as full, so when buyers at home fall away, its maker ships the extra cars to other countries.

The twist

A factory that is already built costs least per car when it runs full. So when buyers at home fall away, its cars go looking for buyers in other countries.

The picture

Cars from Tesla's Shanghai factory, January to September 2026. Nearly half of them left China.

How it works

  1. A car factory's machines, buildings and staff cost money every day, whether it builds many cars or few
  2. So each car it does not build makes every car it does build dearer
  3. When buyers at home buy fewer, the maker sends cars abroad instead of slowing the line
  4. Cars from that factory then arrive in other countries, often cheaper than local ones
  5. Those countries cap or tax them, and the home government may stop helping exports

The same force, elsewhere today

Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.

  • Tesla now ships half its Chinese cars abroad

    Chinese buyers took 11.9% fewer Teslas, and exports from Shanghai more than doubled, so the factory kept running near full.

  • Tesla stops cheap Model 3 orders in Canada

    The extra cars hit a limit: Canada lets in 49,000 Chinese-made electric cars a year, and Tesla has stopped orders until March.

  • Volkswagen's US electric sales fall 90%

    Volkswagen kept its Tennessee plant busy another way: when US electric sales fell, it switched the line to the petrol Atlas.

Where you've seen this

Airlines

a plane costs almost as much to fly with empty seats, so spare seats are sold cheap at the last minute

Steel

when building slows in a big steel-making country, its mills keep running and sell the extra steel abroad

Hotels

a room left empty tonight earns nothing, so late bookings get a discount

The catch

It only works while other countries let the cars in. Canada's cap and the EU's tariffs can close that door, and China is cutting its export tax refund from April 2027.

And the whole of it

A buyer in Canada waiting for a cheaper Tesla, a worker on a shift in Shanghai and a Volkswagen worker in Tennessee are all inside choices about keeping factory lines full. Each of them sees only the price, the shift or the order form in front of them.

03 Truth what's really going on

What is really going on

Saudi Arabia and Russia, two of the world's biggest oil producers, are pushing for the UN's next big climate science report to come out in 2029, after the 2028 summit where countries check whether their climate plans are enough. [1] In the US, the Trump administration is asking a court to let it reconsider the approval of a wind farm that has been making power since March. [4]

Why it works on us — A delay asked for in the name of fairness to poorer countries is hard to argue against, even when the countries asking include Saudi Arabia, Russia, India and China, which a Brazilian campaigner says could build their own climate models. [1]

Who gains

  • Saudi Arabia and Russia — If AR7 slips to 2029, the 2028 check on countries' plans goes ahead without the newest survey of climate science. [1]
  • Tesla — Sending nearly half its Shanghai cars abroad kept the factory running near full while its sales in China fell 11.9%. [28]
  • Equinor, Shell and their partners — A $42 billion project would give them 47 trillion cubic feet of Tanzanian gas to sell, mostly abroad. [8]
  • Google — It pays a fee toward Georgia's nuclear upgrades and counts the power toward its 2030 carbon-free goal. [15]
  • Regis Resources — The court ruling reopens its route to building the gold mine's waste dam, and the minister must decide the request again. [39]

Who pays

  • Low-lying island states such as the Marshall Islands — A later report gives the 2028 check on climate plans less to work with, and their minister said politics must not choose which science is heard. [1]
  • Orsted — Its $6.2 billion wind farm is built and running, and its approval may now be reviewed. [4]
  • Michigan forest owners — About 600 of them are waiting for money that has run out, and any work they start before approval is at their own expense. [32]
  • Canadian car buyers — Those who want the C$39,490 Model 3 must wait until March 2027 at the earliest. [29]
  • Georgia households — The commission's December approval of 10 gigawatts of gas plants and batteries adds an estimated $20 a month to their bills. [16]
  • Wiradyuri traditional owners — They lost the order protecting the Belubula River's headwaters, though the court did not rule on the site's importance. [39]

What nobody knows yet

Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.

  • 01

    Whether the Addis Ababa meeting keeps the 2028 date for the IPCC's report.

    The meeting is still going. The IPCC declined to comment, and Saudi Arabia, Russia, China and India had not answered the Guardian. [1]

  • 02

    What caused the blowout at Niger's Goumeri well, and how much oil has spilled.

    Niger's petroleum ministry says the causes are not fully established and gives no volume. It announced the blowout 17 days after it began. [7]

  • 03

    Whether the court lets the US Interior Department reopen Revolution Wind's approval, and what a review could change.

    Judge Royce Lamberth has not ruled, and experts say the case could run into early next year. [4]

  • 04

    How Canada shared its 49,000 permits for Chinese-made electric cars.

    Tesla says its quota is used up, but Canada's official tracker shows 33,069 permits unused, and no figures for each carmaker are published. [29]

  • 05

    Whether Indonesia stops forest clearing already under way in New Guinea and Borneo.

    A spokesperson for Indonesia's forest ministry said its government cannot yet say whether the work will stop, or when. [13]

  • 06

    How much carbon the world's land will take in next year, under the super El Nino.

    The 2025 figures are preliminary. Scientists expect another sharp slump, and one says nobody knows whether the land can keep recovering. [2][3]

  • 07

    Whether rooftop solar really raises other people's power bills.

    The MIT figures are links, not proven causes. California's public advocate says $8.5 billion is shifted, and a solar industry report says rooftop solar brings a $1.5 billion benefit. [17]

  • 08

    What Google pays for the Georgia nuclear upgrades.

    The precise details of its deal with Georgia Power have not been made public. [15]

04 Hope carry this

The world's forests, grasslands and swamps took in 2.36 billion tonnes of carbon in 2025, 0.71 billion more than the 2015-2022 average, as tropical forests in Africa and the Amazon grew back after two bad years.

Also true today

  • Failures of big battery systems fell 98% between 2018 and 2025, and nobody in the US has been hurt by one since 2019.
  • African regions made the world's fastest gains since 2023 in people's ability to cope with and recover from disasters, with North Africa up five points.
  • Electric cars in oil-importing countries replaced about 200 million barrels of crude between March and August, oil worth about $20 billion that those countries did not have to buy.

Across the beats