Day Lila

Food & Farming · Thursday, 15 October 2026

01 Briefing what happened

Thirty days of extra US beef imports cut what ranchers get for cows by 12-14%, while ground beef in shops falls 2%

Food & Farming 46 sources

The US let in extra foreign beef without import tax to lower shop prices. A month later shoppers save about 13 cents a pound, ranchers get far less for their cows, and most of the beef has not arrived.

12-14%

drop in what US ranchers were paid for cows sold to make ground beef, in 30 days

Ground beef in shops fell about 2% over the same days. [1]

37,486 of 100,000

tonnes of the first month's tax-free beef allowance actually used by 28 September

One economist thinks only 8,054 to 21,936 tonnes of it was truly extra beef. [2]

$200-$400

taken off the value of one US cow, worth about $2,000, by the import news

That is the estimate of the head of the Kansas Farm Bureau. [2]

30 of 41

shops where ground beef did not change price after the imports began

The Farm Bureau checked shops in 22 states in September. [2]

The lead story — what happened

  • Thirty days after extra foreign beef began arriving in the US, ground beef in shops had fallen about 2%, from $6.92 to $6.79 a pound, or 13 cents, says Farm Action, a farmers' campaign group. [1]
  • Over the same 30 days, the prices paid for two kinds of cows sold to make ground beef fell 12.2% and 13.9%, its study of US farm department figures found. [1]
  • The US government said in August it would let in an extra 300,000 tonnes of beef over 90 days without the usual import tax, to bring shop prices down. [2][3]
  • Only 37,486 tonnes of the first month's 100,000-tonne allowance came in by 28 September. [2]
  • James Mitchell, a farm economist at the University of Arkansas, estimates that only 8,054 to 21,936 tonnes of it was beef that would not have come anyway. [2]
  • The American Farm Bureau Federation, the biggest US farmers' group, checked 41 shops in 22 states, and ground beef did not change price in 30 of them. [2]
  • Glenn Brunkow, head of the Kansas Farm Bureau, says the import decision took $200 to $400 off the value of a cow worth about $2,000. [2]
  • The announcement came just before September to November, when most US calves are weaned and sold, and the cattle market fell at once, the BBC reported from Nebraska. [3]
  • In the official US price count, ground beef fell 0.8% in September but still costs 5.4% more than a year ago. [5]
  • A shopper in Utah told the BBC she now pays $8 a pound for ground beef and treats it almost as a luxury. [4]
  • Anna Kelly, a spokeswoman for Trump, says he is lowering beef prices while letting the US cattle herd grow, and his administration is not planning to end the imports early. [1][2]
  • Senator Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming, a cattle state, called the plan somewhat self-defeating and said the big meatpacking companies' part in prices should be examined. [2]

37 of 100

thousand tonnes of the first month's 100,000-tonne allowance that arrived by 28 September

Each dot is 1,000 tonnes of beef the US allowed in tax-free in the first month. Only about 37 of the 100 were used.

Who is involved

  • The Trump administration

    the US government; it let extra foreign beef in without import tax to lower shop prices

  • Farm Action

    a US farmers' campaign group; its 30-day study compared what ranchers and shoppers saw

  • American Farm Bureau Federation

    the biggest US farmers' group; it tracked 41 shops and has urged the Trump administration to reconsider the imports

  • James Mitchell

    a farm economist at the University of Arkansas; he estimated how much of the beef was really extra

  • Cynthia Lummis

    a Republican senator from Wyoming, a cattle state; she called the plan self-defeating

How it unfolded

  1. August The US says it will let in 300,000 extra tonnes of beef over 90 days without import tax [2][3]
  2. 2-23 Sep Ground beef in 41 shops goes from $7.29 to $7.13 a pound, the Farm Bureau finds [2]
  3. 28 Sep Only 37,486 of the first 100,000 tonnes have arrived [2]
  4. 14 Oct Farm Action's 30-day study: cows down 12-14%, ground beef down 2% [1]
  5. November The extra allowance ends, and Trump has indicated he will not extend it [2]

Where this points

Watch whether the second and third months' allowances fill faster than the first, and whether the Trump administration uses its power to stop the imports early if shop prices do not fall. [2]

What is pushing on the whole day

The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing today. The arrow is where it is heading. The evidence is in the stories below.

Diesel costing far more High↑

US diesel and similar fuels cost 60.9% more than a year ago. [5] British pig farmers name fuel among the costs that turn low prices into losses. [10] The US fresh produce trade says soaring diesel prices have pushed up costs for shoppers. [12]

Farm prices below costs High↑

Prices for US cows sold to make ground beef fell 12-14% in 30 days. [1] British pig prices are 11-13% below last year while feed and borrowing costs rise. [10] Fresh produce growers lost about $280m a month in shop sales after a lettuce scare. [12]

Farm groups lobbying hard Building↑

A new meat lobby has funded a $30m advert campaign to keep California's pig rules. [13] An advisory firm bought The Russell Group, a Washington lobby firm whose clients include Bayer and Cargill. [15] US distillers' groups want alcohol kept out of the trade fight with Canada. [14]

Governments setting farm targets Building↑

England wants a tenth of its farmland organic by 2036. [7] The states around the Chesapeake Bay set new pollution targets for 2040 after missing those for 2025. [20] The US farm department wants to restore at least 500,000 head months of cattle grazing on forest land within two years. [39]

The rest of the day

37 more stories on this beat.

Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.

  1. 02

    England plans to treble its organic farmland

    England's farm ministry, Defra, launched a 10-year plan on Wednesday to raise organically farmed land from about 3.4% to 10% by 2036. [7] France already farms 10.4% of its land organically. [6] UK shoppers spent 3.9bn pounds on organic food in 2025, but England's organic area has barely changed in a decade, so imports fill the gap. [7] The plan sets aside no new money, and grants from England's main farm payment scheme ran out in six hours in September. [6][7]

    Share of farmland farmed organically. England's goal for 2036 is about where France is today.

    Why it matters — Organic groups say farmers will not switch without steady grants, so the 10% depends on money the plan does not promise. [6][7] England's government hopes schools and hospitals, which spend about 5bn pounds a year on food, will buy more organic. [7]

  2. 03

    US grocery prices dip while fuel soars

    US prices rose 3.7% in the year to September, faster than forecast, official figures showed on Wednesday. [8][9] Food bought in shops was the exception: it fell 0.1% in the month and is up 1.8% in a year. [5] Eggs cost 20.6% less than a year ago, and fresh fruit 4.9% more. [5] Diesel and other fuels besides petrol rose 11.9% in September and are up 60.9% in a year. [5] FMI, the US food retailers' group, says record diesel prices are starting to work through to grocery supply chains and could push prices up in the months ahead. [5]

    Why it matters — Shoppers get a short pause on food while the cost of trucking it keeps climbing. [5] The figures were the last before the US midterm elections next month. [8]

  3. 04

    British pig farmers lose about 36 pounds a pig

    British pig prices rose a little in September but stayed 11% to 13% below a year earlier, while feed, fuel and borrowing costs rose. [10] Quality Meat Scotland, a farm body, worked out a loss of about 36 pounds on each pig from July to September. [10] Feed is at least 60% of the cost of raising a pig. [10] The official average price hides a wide spread: some contracts pay over 200p a kilo and others as little as 105p. [10]

    1. 1Lowest contracts105 p/kg
    2. 2Highest spot price190 p/kg
    3. 3Cost-linked contracts200 p/kg
    What different British pig farmers are paid for the same kilo of pig. The official price is an average of all of them.

    Why it matters — Farmers on the cheapest contracts lose money on every pig they sell, and abattoirs are expected to work shorter weeks before Christmas. [10] Some English farmers cannot afford to send breeding sows to slaughter at these prices, so the herd stays too big. [10]

  4. 05

    Hake and coley lose their green rating

    The Marine Conservation Society, a British ocean charity, downgraded European hake from green to amber on Wednesday, because stocks are falling and fishing is rising. [11] Coley caught around the UK dropped from amber to red, its worst rating. [11] Shoppers had been told to eat these fish instead of cod, whose stocks have fallen since 2015. [11] The charity's Good Fish Guide, updated twice a year, made 29 downgrades and 11 upgrades among 727 ratings. [11]

    Why it matters — Most seafood eaten in the UK is five kinds: cod, haddock, salmon, tuna and prawns, so a swap moves pressure from one stock to the next. [11] UK Atlantic bluefin tuna got a new green rating after recovering under rules brought in more than 20 years ago. [11]

  5. 06

    Lettuce scare cost growers $280m a month

    Fresh produce lost about $280m a month in shop sales after this summer's outbreak of Cyclospora, a stomach parasite, on lettuce, says the International Fresh Produce Association, a trade group for fruit and vegetable sellers. [12] Its head, Cathy Burns, says 6.5 million households stopped buying salad. [12] The outbreak was traced to shredded iceberg lettuce from Taylor Farms de Mexico, and US health officials declared it over on 11 September. [12] The group has hired Penta, a crisis communications firm, to win shoppers back. [12]

    Why it matters — Burns wants the US to stop delaying a rule that makes food firms record where produce came from, now put off to July 2028. [12] In the group's own survey, 68% named poor tracing as a key problem for the industry. [12]

  6. 07

    Rival lobbies fight over California's pig rules

    The American Meat Producers Association, a lobby group formed in late 2025, launched a $30m advert campaign this year to keep state animal-welfare laws such as California's Proposition 12. [13] That law bars selling pork in California from breeding pigs given less than 24 square feet each. [13] A linked group began a $3m campaign last week against Ashley Hinson, a Republican Senate candidate in Iowa. [13] The National Pork Producers Council backs a bill to override such laws. [13] Neither side says who funds it. [13]

    Why it matters — Large pig farms say the rules raise their costs, while some small farms say California gives them a market with better prices. [13] The pork council says California pork prices are up 20% since the law took effect in 2024. [13]

  7. 08

    US whiskey makers count losses in Canada

    Two weeks after the US banned Canadian alcohol and whey, a milk by-product used in protein powder, US distillers say their own losses keep growing. [14] Most Canadian provinces stopped selling American alcohol early in the trade fight, and Kentucky bourbon sales to Canada fell from $43.7m in 2024 to $25m in 2025. [14] Canada was days from putting US drinks back on shelves when the ban came, says Tom Bard, a craft distiller. [14] Big Canadian brands such as Crown Royal avoid the ban by shipping whisky in bulk and bottling it in the US. [14]

    Why it matters — Small Canadian distillers with no US bottling plant lose the US market, while the biggest brands keep theirs. [14] US craft distillers say the ban will not free any shelf space for American drinks. [14]

  8. 09

    An advisory firm buys a top farm lobby shop

    FGS Global, an advisory firm working in 31 markets, has bought The Russell Group, a Washington lobbying firm founded in 1985. [15] Its clients include Bayer, the seed and farm-chemical company, Cargill, the grain trader, and Growth Energy, an ethanol group, according to OpenSecrets, which tracks money in US politics. [15] The price was not disclosed. [15] At an event held by Syngenta, a seed and farm-chemical company, Val Dolcini, its head of public affairs, said less than 2% of Americans are closely connected to food production, so farm issues struggle to get heard. [16]

    Why it matters — The midterm elections in three weeks will bring new members of the US Congress, and Dolcini says farm companies must introduce themselves again to each new member and their staff. [16]

  9. 10

    EPA puts wildlife rules on pesticide labels

    The US Environmental Protection Agency plans to finish, in late November, its rules to protect more than 1,000 endangered species from fungicides, which kill crop moulds. [17] Similar plans for weedkillers and insect killers were finished in 2024 and 2025. [17] Labels now send farmers to a website whose maps say, month by month, where spraying is limited. [17] The agency changed its approach after meeting its endangered-species duties for under 5% of pesticide uses and facing more than 20 lawsuits. [17]

    Why it matters — Farmers must check a map before they spray and earn points for steps such as cover crops that cut runoff. [17] A chemical-industry spokesman says the fungicide plan started out terrible and is now something the industry can live with. [17]

  10. 11

    California almond growers cut pesticides 61%

    California's almond growers have cut the weight of pesticide ingredients they use by 61% in 20 years, a University of California farm adviser told a conference this week. [18] Over that time the risk to pollinators fell 39% and the risk to workers' skin almost 97%. [18] The Almond Board, paid for by a levy on every pound of almonds sold, has spent about $89m on research since 1973. [18] California is now moving its farms towards what it calls sustainable pest management, under a 2024 law, with state grants. [19]

    Why it matters — It shows a large cut is possible in one big crop over two decades. [18] The state now wants the same shift on its other farms, and its next round of grants opens in summer 2027. [19]

  11. 12

    Chesapeake Bay gets its best grade in 40 years

    University of Maryland scientists gave the Chesapeake Bay, the biggest US estuary, where rivers meet the sea, a C+ on Tuesday, their highest score in 40 years of checks. [20] Oxygen in the water scored an A, while water clarity got a D. [20] The six states around the bay missed their 2025 pollution targets and have set new ones for 2040. [20] Farms are expected to make 90% of the remaining cuts in nitrogen and phosphorus, which wash off fields into the water. [20]

    Scores in the University of Maryland's report card. The whole bay scored 56%, a C+, its best in 40 years.

    Why it matters — The next round of clean-up falls mainly on farmers, helped by state and federal grants. [20] A September order from Trump removed a federal committee that had coordinated the work since 2009. [20]

  12. 13

    Farm groups back a narrower US water rule

    The US Environmental Protection Agency and the Army Corps of Engineers have proposed a narrower meaning of waters of the United States, the streams and wetlands federal water law protects. [21] Under it, a stream would mostly count only if it flows all year. [21] It follows a 2023 Supreme Court ruling, known as Sackett, that narrowed which wetlands are covered. [21] The American Farm Bureau Federation supports it, and public comments closed after 30 days. [21]

    Why it matters — Farm groups say it makes clear where federal rules stop. [21] Environmental groups say streams and wetlands that dry up for part of the year would lose protection. [21]

  13. 14

    A new route to a US biofuel tax credit

    The US Energy Department set up a process on Wednesday for fuel makers to claim the 45Z tax credit when their fuel is missing from the US government's table. [22] To claim it, a producer needs an official figure for the greenhouse gas its fuel causes over its whole life. [22] The credit is meant to boost fuels made from raw materials from the US, Mexico or Canada. [22] The Renewable Fuels Association, the US ethanol trade group, welcomed it. [22]

    Why it matters — The ethanol group says it gives fuel makers more certainty. [22] It still wants the process changed to suit existing ethanol plants. [22]

  14. 15

    Iowa ethanol maker buys a Nebraska plant

    Southwest Iowa Renewable Energy has bought an ethanol plant in Ord, Nebraska, that can make about 70 million gallons a year, from Pilot Travel Centers, a US truck-stop chain. [23] Ethanol is a fuel made from corn, and such plants also sell leftover grain as animal feed and corn oil. [23] The deal closed on 9 October and takes the company to about 230 million gallons a year. [23] It will keep the plant's workers and keep buying grain from local farmers. [23]

    Why it matters — Corn growers around Ord keep a nearby buyer for their grain. [23]

  15. 16

    Nestle doubles its Mexico investment

    Nestle, the Swiss maker of Nescafe and Maggi, will invest another $1bn in Mexico from 2028 to 2030, taking its total commitment to $2bn. [24] The first $1bn, announced last year, expanded its Maggi factory and its Nescafe plant in Veracruz. [24] Mexico brings in 4% of Nestle's sales, which were 89.49bn Swiss francs in 2025. [24] Nestle says the money will go to local farming and Mexican-grown raw materials. [24]

    Why it matters — Nestle is spending in fast-growing countries while US shoppers cut back. [24] It says Nescafe will keep pushing farming that rebuilds soil among its Mexican suppliers. [24]

  16. 17

    B&G Foods sells its baked beans

    B&G Foods, a US maker of packaged food, is selling its B&M baked beans and Joan of Arc bean brands to McCall Farms, a vegetable canner. [25] It will use the money to pay down debt. [25] Its sales fell nearly 10% in the second quarter, to $383.3m. [25] Earlier this week it called off the sale of its Green Giant vegetable brand in Canada after competition regulators raised concerns. [25]

    Why it matters — Once a busy buyer of brands, B&G is now selling them as shoppers spend less and bigger rivals compete harder. [25]

  17. 18

    Monster and Mars add protein to snacks

    Monster Energy will launch a canned protein shake next year with 30 grams of protein and 160mg of caffeine. [26] Its first protein shake came out in 2014 and was dropped in 2017. [26] Mars is adding Cheez-It Protein to its 2027 snacks, along with M&M's Peanut Butter Cinnamon Roll and Twix Frosted Cookie. [27] Nearly half of adults are trying to eat more protein, Food Dive reports. [26]

    Why it matters — Food firms are putting protein into treats people already buy, because shoppers trust brands they know. [27]

  18. 19

    Shoppers say they will pay more for simple food

    In a survey of 2,000 Americans by LEK Consulting, published on 5 October, 71% said familiar ingredients matter more to them than three years ago. [28] Those who care say they would pay 7% more on average for such food. [28] Taste still came first for 70% of people, and price for 64%. [28] Only 32% said they would pay extra because of ingredients or how food is made. [28]

    Why it matters — Food makers are being told simpler recipes can pay for themselves. [28] In the same survey, taste and price still decide most of what people buy. [28]

  19. 20

    Turkey and cranberry sauce cost more this year

    Turkey breast costs 12% more and cranberry sauce 15% more than a year ago in US shops, says NIQ, a firm that tracks what shops sell. [29] Pie crust is 2% cheaper. [29] Nearly half of US shoppers, 47%, expect to spend more on Thanksgiving dinner. [29] To cope, 46% plan to buy more of the shops' own-brand food and 12% plan smaller portions. [29]

    Why it matters — Shops' own brands, which cost less, stand to gain most from the holiday. [29]

  20. 21

    Greek food exports top 10bn euros

    Greece's food exports have more than doubled, from 4.5bn euros in 2014 to over 10bn euros, says Enterprise Greece, the Greek government's trade agency. [30] Another 10% growth is forecast for 2026. [30] Yoghurt, feta cheese, olive oil and olives lead the rise. [30] Kri Kri, a dairy firm from Serres, now sells 75% of its yoghurt abroad, and its profit for the first half of 2026 rose 87.6%. [30]

    Greece's yearly food exports, then and now.

    Why it matters — Greek food firms turned to selling abroad after the debt crisis that began in 2009 shrank sales at home. [30] EU protected-name labels, of which Greece has 283, help them charge more. [30]

  21. 22

    Start-up raises $5.8m for pest sprays it can update

    Molagri, a Toronto start-up, has raised $5.8m to make sprays that target one kind of insect pest. [31] They are designed to be changed as pests become resistant, the way a flu jab is updated, says co-founder Zaky Hassan. [31] Its first targets include the navel orangeworm, a big pest of almonds and pistachios, and the codling moth in apples. [31] The technology is still at an early stage. [31]

    Why it matters — Broad sprays also kill helpful insects, which a targeted spray is meant to spare. [31] Pests that survive a spray breed the next generation, which is why farmers keep needing new products. [31]

  22. 23

    AI crop camera fitted to new Valtra tractors

    PerPlant, a Danish start-up, will have its AI crop camera fitted at the factory on new Valtra tractors in parts of Europe. [32] Valtra is a tractor brand owned by AGCO, a big US farm-machinery maker. [32] The camera scans crops as the tractor drives, so it can spray only weeds or vary fertiliser across a field. [32] PerPlant says farmers using it have cut what they spread by 40% to 87%. [32]

    Why it matters — The company is betting its long-term value lies in the field data its cameras collect, which it plans to share with advisers and suppliers. [32]

  23. 24

    Salt-tolerant wheat start-up raises $5.5m

    OlsAro, a Swedish start-up breeding wheat that grows in salty soil, has raised 5m euros ($5.5m). [33] Salt affects about a tenth of the world's cropland. [33] Its wheat gave up to 41% more grain than a moderately salt-tolerant variety in salty fields in Bangladesh. [33] It plans to launch there in 2027 with Lal Teer, Bangladesh's largest private seed company. [33]

    Why it matters — About a million hectares of Bangladesh's farmland is affected by salt, while demand for wheat grown there keeps rising. [33] The variety was bred without genetic modification, which avoids those rules. [33]

  24. 25

    Fewer sheep keep lamb prices firm

    The AHDB, Britain's farm levy board, expects UK sheepmeat production to fall 2.4% in 2027, to 262,000 tonnes. [34] Britain's breeding flock is shrinking, and EU output fell 2% in the first half of 2026. [34] Lamb prices fell to about 705p a kilo in late August and recovered to 723.7p by 10 October. [34] The AHDB expects tight supply to keep prices firm through 2027, even as shoppers buy less. [34]

    Why it matters — Sheep farmers can expect steadier prices. [34] The board warns that bluetongue and rising costs could still upset them. [34]

  25. 26

    Welsh farmers get 80% of payments early

    The Welsh government has paid most farmers 80% of their yearly support early, up from 70% in past years. [35] By 13 October, 90% of claimants under its new Sustainable Farming Scheme and 94% under the older Basic Payment Scheme had their advance. [35] The rest is due from mid-December. [35] It expects to settle all but the most complex claims by the end of March 2027. [35]

    Why it matters — The early money is meant to ease cash pressure on farms in a costly year. [35]

  26. 27

    Gangs slip through rural policing, MPs told

    Organised gangs steal from and threaten farmers because they fall between local police and regional crime units, experts told MPs on Tuesday. [36] Kate Tudor of Durham University said they are too large for local forces and too small for the regional units. [36] NFU Mutual, a farm insurer, put the cost of rural crime at 41.5m pounds in 2025. [36] Police do not record rural crime the same way everywhere, so its true size is unknown. [36]

    Why it matters — Stolen machinery can hold up jobs that cannot wait, such as vaccinating livestock or sowing crops. [36] Tudor warned that plans to merge police forces could pull officers further from the countryside. [36]

  27. 28

    Beef processor spends 15m pounds in Omagh

    Foyle Food Group, one of the largest beef processors in Britain and Ireland, will spend 15m pounds upgrading its plant in Omagh, Northern Ireland. [37] It will add automated warehouses and packing machines. [37] Invest NI, the region's business agency, has offered 2.9m pounds towards it. [37] Seven new jobs will be created. [37]

    Why it matters — More of the work moves to machines, so a 15m-pound project adds only seven jobs. [37]

  28. 29

    Bluetongue suspected in Northern Ireland

    Northern Ireland's farm department is testing two suspected cases of bluetongue, a virus disease of cattle and sheep. [38] No case has been confirmed there this year. [38] In the Republic of Ireland, cases have reached 28 herds in 11 counties, most of them cattle. [38] The disease does not affect people or food safety. [38]

    Why it matters — A confirmed case can limit sales of live animals to other countries. [38]

  29. 30

    USDA urges ranchers onto forest grazing land

    US Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins wrote to ranchers on 5 October urging them to use new rules that open more national forest land to cattle. [39] A June order aims to restore at least 500,000 head months of grazing within two years. [39] A head month counts one animal grazing for one month. [39] The Forest Service and Bureau of Land Management run about 240 million acres of rangeland used by more than 23,000 permit holders. [39]

    Why it matters — The order sets goals but does not by itself allow more cattle on any piece of land. [39] It is part of the US government's push to grow the domestic cattle herd. [39]

  30. 31

    Grant pays for a cattle vaccine against screwworm

    The Foundation for Food and Agriculture Research, a US farm research charity, and Medgene, a vaccine company, are spending $499,996 on a screwworm vaccine for cattle. [40] The New World screwworm is a fly whose maggots eat the living flesh of animals and, left untreated, can kill one in 7 to 14 days. [40] One female can lay up to 400 eggs in a single wound. [40] Researchers are already vaccinating cattle to check safety. [40]

    Why it matters — The pest puts more than $100bn of US farm business at risk, the foundation says. [40] A vaccine would help most on big ranches where animals are hard to check. [40]

  31. 32

    John Deere gives $18.5m to food banks

    The John Deere Foundation, the charity of the farm-machinery maker, will give $18.5m over several years to fight hunger. [41] Feeding America, a network of more than 250 US food banks, gets $17m, and the Farmlink Project, which saves surplus farm produce, gets $1.5m. [41] More than $13m goes to Iowa, linking more than 100 farmers with three food banks. [41] Farmlink expects to save 6.4 million pounds of produce. [16]

    Why it matters — Farmers get a buyer for food that might otherwise be wasted, and food banks get fresh produce. [41]

  32. 33

    Farm Bureau warns on soil-fertiliser tax claims

    The American Farm Bureau Federation warned on 13 October that some tax breaks sold to farmland buyers could backfire. [42] Promoters tell buyers to deduct the value of fertiliser left in the soil by the last owner, sometimes at over $1,300 an acre. [42] The US tax agency, the IRS, has never approved the practice. [42] On a 500-acre purchase, a rejected claim of $2,000 an acre could leave a farmer about $170,000 worse off. [42]

    Why it matters — If every possible claim were made at that level, it could cost about $964m a year in tax, against $150m a year for the whole fertiliser deduction today. [42] The group says those figures are a ceiling, not a count of real claims. [42]

  33. 34

    Foreign wind and solar leases cover 6.3m acres

    Foreign companies lease 6.3 million acres of US farmland for wind and solar power, University of Illinois researchers found in US farm department records. [43] That is about 0.7% of US land in farms. [43] Canadian firms hold 59% of those acres, followed by Italian and British ones. [43] Oklahoma has the most, almost one million acres. [43]

    Why it matters — A lease does not sell the land, so it stays with the farm owner when the lease ends. [43] Solar panels usually take land out of crops for the life of the project, while wind turbines leave most of a field farmed. [43]

  34. 35

    Junk-food advert bans did not cost councils money

    British councils that banned junk-food adverts on their own sites did not lose advertising income, a report for Sustain, a food campaign group, found. [44] University of Portsmouth researchers compared 38 councils' income from 2019 to 2023. [44] Only three of them had brought in such a ban. [44] London's transport advert ban has been linked to households buying about 1,000 fewer calories of unhealthy food a week. [44]

    Why it matters — Lost income has been one of the main arguments against such bans. [44] The finding rests on just three councils with a ban. [44]

  35. 36

    Refugees in Uganda farm insects for food

    About 500 people in Kyaka II, a refugee settlement in western Uganda, now farm insects in 32 groups. [45] They raise black soldier flies to feed chickens and fish, and crickets and mealworms as food. [45] The settlement holds nearly 140,000 people, most from Congo, and newer families got plots of only 30 by 30 metres. [45] In a trial with 342 schoolchildren, those given porridge with mealworms grew taller, the University of Copenhagen reports. [45]

    Why it matters — Insects need less space and water than other farm animals, which matters as food aid to the settlement falls. [45]

  36. 37

    Pig farm worker sentenced for abuse

    Steven Woolger, who worked at a boar breeding farm in Norfolk, England, got a suspended 17-week jail sentence for beating pigs. [46] He hit them with a pitchfork and a pipe between May and September 2024, at a centre run by Innovis that collects boar semen. [46] Campaigners from the Animal Justice Project filmed it. [46] He is banned from caring for or moving animals for 10 years. [46]

    Why it matters — The case was brought by Norfolk council's trading standards team after the campaigners released their film. [46]

  37. 38

    USDA hands out $86.6m for fruit and vegetables

    The US farm department will give $86.6m in grants to 609 projects for specialty crops, such as fruit and vegetables, in 56 states and territories. [16] Florida gets more than $4.3m for crops including mangoes and blueberries. [16] Michigan gets more than $2.64m for crops including apples and asparagus. [16] The grants pay for research, education and marketing. [16]

    Why it matters — The department says the aim is to help these crops compete. [16]

02 Lesson why it matters

Why ranchers fight beef imports harder than shoppers defend them

Each rancher can lose hundreds of dollars on a cow while each shopper saves cents on a pound, so ranchers organise and shoppers stay quiet.

The twist

A rancher losing $200 to $400 on every cow has a reason to call his senator. A shopper saving about 13 cents on a pound of ground beef has no reason to call anyone. So lawmakers hear from the ranchers.

The picture

What the import decision meant in one sale for each side. A cow and a pound of beef are different sales, but the gap shows who has a reason to fight.

How it works

  1. A rule helps many people a little and costs a few people a lot
  2. Each of the few has a strong reason to act, and each of the many has almost none
  3. The few pay for groups, adverts and visits to lawmakers
  4. Lawmakers hear mostly from the few
  5. The many win only when something, like an election, makes their small gain loud

The same force, elsewhere today

Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.

  • Rival lobbies fight over California's pig rules

    Groups of pig farmers and their backers, with a lot at stake on each side, spend millions on adverts and visits to the US Congress, while California shoppers have no group of their own.

  • US whiskey makers count losses in Canada

    Distillers who lost most of their Canadian sales speak through their trade groups, while drinkers, who can simply pick another bottle, have no group in the fight.

  • EPA puts wildlife rules on pesticide labels

    Chemical makers, who lose sales on every spraying limit, worked on the fungicide plan until their spokesman called it something they could live with.

  • An advisory firm buys a top farm lobby shop

    Bayer, Cargill and Growth Energy each have enough at stake to pay a Washington lobbying firm, which is what made that firm worth buying.

Where you've seen this

Sugar import limits

a few sugar growers gain a lot from keeping cheap foreign sugar out, while every buyer pays a little more

Taxi licences

licence holders lose a lot if more drivers are allowed, while each rider saves only a little

Local planning

neighbours who lose a view come to object, while the families who would get a new home are not there yet

The catch

It can break when an election is close and the many are voters: the US government let the beef in to cut shop prices, and Republicans are worried about beef prices weeks before the midterm elections.

And the whole of it

Most people sit on the quiet side of many rules like this one, as shoppers, drivers or taxpayers, gaining or losing too little to notice. The ranchers calling their senators see their own loss clearly, and the shoppers saving a few cents mostly never hear about the fight.

03 Truth what's really going on

What is really going on

The Trump administration let extra foreign beef into the US without import tax to bring shop prices down. After 30 days, ground beef was about 2% cheaper, the price ranchers get for cows had fallen 12% to 14%, and only about 37% of the first month's beef had arrived. [1][2]

Why it works on us — A promise of cheaper beef is heard at every checkout, while a rancher's loss of $200 to $400 on each cow happens far from most shoppers. [2]

Who gains

  • Beef exporters in Brazil and Paraguay — Their beef can enter the US without the usual import tax until the allowance ends in November. [2]
  • Big Canadian whisky brands such as Crown Royal — Shipping whisky in bulk and bottling it in the US lets them keep selling there despite the ban. [14]
  • Shops' own-brand food — Some 46% of US shoppers plan to buy more of it to keep Thanksgiving dinner affordable. [29]
  • Greek dairy firms such as Kri Kri — Selling abroad lifted Kri Kri's first-half profit by 87.6%. [30]
  • FGS Global — Buying The Russell Group brings it farm clients such as Bayer and Cargill. [15]

Who pays

  • US cattle ranchers — Cows sold to make ground beef fetched 12% to 14% less in 30 days. [1]
  • British pig farmers — A farm body worked out a loss of about 36 pounds on each pig from July to September. [10]
  • Small Canadian distillers with no US bottling plant — The ban shuts them out while bigger brands ship in bulk. [14]
  • US lettuce and salad growers — They lost about $280m a month in shop sales after the summer's parasite outbreak. [12]
  • Farmland buyers who take large soil-fertiliser deductions — If the IRS rejects a $2,000-an-acre claim on 500 acres, the buyer could end up about $170,000 worse off. [42]

What nobody knows yet

Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.

  • 01

    Whether the imports or only the announcement pushed cattle prices down.

    Farm Action's Sarah Carden says it is unclear, because less than 40% of the first batch had arrived by the end of September. [1]

  • 02

    How much of the imported beef is really extra.

    James Mitchell estimates 8,054 to 21,936 tonnes of the 37,486 that came in, because some beef would have arrived anyway. Nobody has an exact count. [2]

  • 03

    What ground beef really costs, and how much it fell.

    Farm Action's figures from US farm department data go from $6.92 to $6.79 a pound. The Farm Bureau's check of 41 shops went from $7.29 to $7.13. Both show about 2%, from different shops and dates. [1][2]

  • 04

    Whether England's organic target will get any money.

    The plan sets aside no new funding, and the main farm grant scheme closed after six hours in September. [6][7]

  • 05

    What British pig farmers are actually paid.

    The official pig price is an average of contracts that pay anywhere from 105p to over 200p a kilo, and farmers say it does not show what many receive. [10]

  • 06

    Who pays for the lobbies fighting over California's pig rules.

    Neither the American Meat Producers Association nor the pork council's other critics name their donors, and US law does not make them. [13]

  • 07

    Whether the two suspected bluetongue cases in Northern Ireland are real.

    Samples have gone to the laboratory and no result has been published. [38]

  • 08

    How much tax the soil-fertiliser claims are really costing.

    The Farm Bureau's $964m a year is a ceiling built on assumptions, and the IRS has issued no rule on the practice. [42]

  • 09

    Whether the Chesapeake Bay keeps improving without the federal committee.

    Trump's order removed the body that coordinated federal work on the bay, and the bay's states have already missed one set of targets. [20]

04 Hope carry this

Scientists at the University of Maryland gave the Chesapeake Bay a C+ this week, its best grade in 40 years of checks. Oxygen in its water scored an A.

Also true today

  • UK Atlantic bluefin tuna got a green rating from the Marine Conservation Society for the first time, after a recovery helped by fishing rules brought in more than 20 years ago.
  • California's almond growers use 61% less pesticide by weight than 20 years ago, and the risk to farm workers' skin has fallen by almost 97%.
  • In a refugee settlement in western Uganda, schoolchildren given porridge with mealworms in a trial grew taller, the University of Copenhagen reports.
  • US eggs cost 20.6% less than they did a year ago.

Across the beats