Day Lila

Food & Farming · Friday, 30 October 2026

01 Briefing what happened

New World screwworm reaches Arizona, a third US state, found in a dog in Cochise County on the Mexican border

20 stories 29 sources

A flesh-eating fly has now been confirmed in Texas, New Mexico and Arizona, with 19 US cases in October against 3 in September, as cattle crossings from Mexico reopen one by one.

71

US screwworm cases since June

18 of them were still active on 28 October [2]

19 vs 3

cases in October to the 28th, against all of September

the fly is now in three US states [2]

1.6 billion

sterile flies released to stop it breeding

about 100 million more go out each week [2]

20-kilometre

infested zone drawn around the Arizona case

animal moves inside it face limits and checks [1][2]

The lead story — what happened

  • US officials confirmed New World screwworm in Arizona for the first time on 28 October. [1] Screwworm is a fly whose young, called maggots, eat the living flesh of animals. [1][2] The case was a dog with an infested wound, in Cochise County on the Mexican border. [2] The fly now has confirmed cases in 3 US states: Texas, New Mexico and Arizona. [2]
  • Officials drew a 20-kilometre infested zone around the Arizona case. [1] Animals moving inside that zone face limits and must pass inspections. [2] Officials are also releasing sterile flies, which cannot produce young. [1][2] Sterile male flies mate with wild females, and no young come from it. [2] The US has released more than 1.6 billion sterile flies, says Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins. [2] About 100 million more are released every week, she says. [2] Arizona's state vet said: "We have been preparing for this possibility for a long while." [2]
  • The USDA counted 71 US cases since June, and 18 were active on 28 October. [2] October had 19 cases by the 28th, against 3 in all of September. [2] The cases include cattle, sheep, pets and wildlife. [2] The first wild case was an elk shot by a hunter in Pecos County, Texas. [3] Douglas, Arizona, had a sterile fly plant from 1963 to 1983. [2] Federal officials have now promised $25 million for new sterile fly work in the area. [2]
  • The US stopped cattle crossing from Mexico in November 2024, after screwworm was found there. [3] Before that, about 1 million Mexican cattle came into the US each year. [3] Crossings briefly reopened in February 2025, then shut again that May. [3] Douglas reopened on 24 August, Santa Teresa on 24 September and Columbus on 26 October. [3] Cattle now pass vet checks in Mexico, and a tick dip at Columbus, before entering. [3] Nogales, Arizona, is due to reopen to cattle on 30 November. [2] Rollins visited Nogales on 27 October to look at the border checks. [2] The import halt squeezed US cattle supply, one cause of record shop prices for beef. [2]

Who is involved

  • APHIS

    the US agriculture department's animal and plant health agency; it confirmed the Arizona case and runs the response [1]

  • Ryan Wolker

    Arizona's State Veterinarian; he says the state had prepared for a case [2]

  • Brooke Rollins

    the US agriculture secretary; she visited the Nogales crossing on 27 October [2]

How it unfolded

  1. Nov 2024 The US stops cattle crossings from Mexico over screwworm [3]
  2. 24 Aug Douglas, Arizona, reopens to Mexican cattle [3]
  3. 26 Oct Columbus, New Mexico, reopens [3]
  4. 28 Oct First Arizona case, in a dog in Cochise County [1]
  5. 30 Nov Nogales, Arizona, due to reopen to cattle [2]

Where this points

The Arizona case and rising numbers could complicate the Nogales plan, AgDaily reports. [2] The closures hurt ranchers and feedlots on both sides of the border. [3] The next test is whether Nogales opens to Mexican cattle on 30 November. [2]

Signals on this beat

The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing, and the arrow is where it is heading.

Farm prices below costs Building↑

US rice growers say prices still do not cover what it costs to grow rice. [6] US sugar growers blame cheap foreign sugar for pulling their price down. [10] US wheat sales abroad jumped only after the wheat price fell. [11]

Shoppers buying fewer sweets Building↑

US Halloween candy sales fell 6.7% in the month to 17 October. [7] Candy, gum and mint sales at US convenience stores fell nearly 5% in September. [8] Planet A, a German food firm, says people on weight-loss drugs eat 15-20% fewer calories. [18]

Food firms paying for greener farms Building↑

Royal Canin and Roquette will share the cost of greener farming on more than 60 French wheat farms. [21] Nestle will count birds on European farms with BirdLife Europe for three and a half years. [20] Aon and SAGE will price crop insurance by each field's own soil and risk. [24]

The rest of the day

19 more stories on this beat.

Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.

  1. 02

    USDA buys $472.5 million of US food

    The USDA, the US agriculture department, will buy up to $472.5 million of US-grown food. [4] The food goes to food banks and other programmes that feed people in need. [4] It includes milk, cheese, lentils, almonds, rice and catfish, says Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins. [4] Dairy gets $165.5 million, pork $41 million, rice $21 million and chicken $20 million. [6] The buying uses Section 32, a power from a US law passed in 1935. [5] The USDA calls it one of its most direct tools when farm markets are tight. [4]

    Why it matters — US rice growers asked for the rice purchase, saying prices still fall short of their costs. [6] They blame large stocks of rice and cheaper foreign rice for pulling prices down. [6]

  2. 03

    Drought wrecks family farms in Papua New Guinea

    A drought in Papua New Guinea is affecting as many as 8 million people. [27] Papua New Guinea, a Pacific country, is normally one of the world's wettest places. [27] Many people there grow their own food and depend on rain alone, a weather official says. [27] Family food gardens have shrivelled, and many rivers and creeks have dried up. [27] Some highland families eat one meal a day, says the aid group CARE International. [27] A hailstorm in Enga province this month buried sweet potato crops under ice. [27] The weather service blames El Nino, a Pacific swing that has moved the rain away. [27]

    Why it matters — The wet season starts in November, but El Nino may cut it short. [27] Two months of rain is not enough to grow crops, a weather official says. [27] Prime Minister James Marape told provinces to prepare for a long dry season. [27]

  3. 04

    US states face a $1.1 billion SNAP bill

    The Congressional Budget Office, which works out what US laws cost, priced the Senate farm bill. [14] From October 2027, US states must pay part of SNAP, food aid for poorer households. [14] That share will cost states $1.1 billion a year, the office estimates. [14] The US Senate's bill would delay it by one year, to October 2028. [14] The delay and other changes would save states about $5.2 billion, the office says. [14] Jim Costa, a California Democrat, wants to lead his party on the House farm committee. [15] Costa said: "I will keep fighting to reverse the cost shift to states." [15] In his district, more than 3 in 10 households rely on SNAP, he says. [15]

    Why it matters — This cost-share fight is the biggest block to a new farm bill, Agri-Pulse reports. [14]

  4. 05

    Oil-state lawmakers push back on E15

    22 House Republicans, led by Texas congressman August Pfluger, wrote to Speaker Mike Johnson. [13] They object to E15 rules in a farm bill now moving through the US Senate. [13] E15 is petrol with more ethanol in it, and US ethanol is made from corn. [13] The ethanol industry's top goal is to sell E15 all year round across the US. [13] The letter says the bill's terms would push refineries to make less fuel. [13]

    Why it matters — Lawmakers return on 9 November and want a farm bill before 3 January. [13] A deal on who pays for SNAP would open the door to talks on E15. [13]

  5. 06

    Halloween candy sales slip

    US Halloween candy sales fell 6.7% in the month to 17 October, NielsenIQ data show. [7] Hershey, maker of Reese's and Kisses, warned that dearer fuel may make shoppers buy less. [7] In September, candy, gum and mint sales at US convenience stores fell nearly 5%. [8] Hershey expects 35% of its seasonal sales this week, with Halloween on Saturday. [7] "We need consumers to show up," said Hershey chief executive Kirk Tanner. [7] A LendingTree survey found 35% of Halloween shoppers expect to skip candy. [7] Sales of reduced-sugar candies are up 66% on a year ago, Spins data show. [9] Shops now start Halloween displays in July and run them to 2 November. [9]

    Why it matters — The season now rests on the last days before Saturday, when shoppers buy big packs. [7]

  6. 07

    Sugar growers say candy gains skip them

    A chocolate bar costs 397% more than a generation ago, the American Sugar Alliance says. [10] The alliance speaks for US sugar beet and sugar cane growers, processors and refiners. [10] It says the sugar in that bar still costs only a few cents. [10] Its survey does not show how much cocoa, wages or packaging added. [10] The growers blame cheap, subsidised foreign sugar for pulling their own prices down. [10] Hawaii stopped growing sugar cane in 2016, Texas in 2024, and California sugar beet in 2025. [10]

    Why it matters — US sugar is already protected by import limits and price-support loans. [10] Critics say those rules keep US sugar dearer than sugar on world markets. [10]

  7. 08

    US wheat sales abroad hit a high

    US wheat sold abroad had its biggest week of the marketing year, USDA figures show. [11] The marketing year is wheat's trading year, which began on 1 June. [11] Buyers ordered 849,800 tons in the week to 22 October. [11] The Philippines bought 226,300 tons and South Korea 154,000 tons. [11] Both countries use US wheat for flour and for animal feed. [11] A recent fall in the wheat price helped bring the buyers in. [11] Wheat exports so far this year are 423.2 million bushels, against 598.9 million for 2025/26. [11]

    Why it matters — There is talk of China buying US wheat, but such talk has come before. [12] The USDA's next crop estimate comes out on 10 November. [11]

  8. 09

    Albertsons takes Kroger to trial

    Albertsons is suing Kroger for more than $9 billion over their failed merger. [16] In 2024 Kroger, the biggest US grocery chain, offered $24.6 billion for rival Albertsons. [16] Two courts blocked the deal, agreeing it would cut competition in parts of the US. [16] Kroger had planned to sell 579 stores to C&S, a food distributor. [16] Court papers show Kroger bosses could share $400 million if the deal hit profit goals. [16] Albertsons says that pay plan made Kroger hold on to its more profitable stores. [16]

    Why it matters — Kroger says regulators would have blocked the deal anyway. [16] A judge will now decide which account holds. [16]

  9. 10

    US farm lending shrinks by a quarter

    US bank lending to farms, leaving out land loans, fell 25% in the third quarter. [26] It dropped from $75.33 billion to $56.47 billion. [26] Banks made 11.1% more loans, but each was 32.5% smaller on average. [26] Operating loans, which pay day-to-day farm costs, fell 29.2%. [26] Farm machinery loans now run for 29.3 months on average, down from 53.9. [26] Farmdoc Daily, at the University of Illinois, read the figures from a US Federal Reserve survey. [26]

    Why it matters — Interest averaged 6.77%, down from 7.11% a year ago but far above 3.26% in 2020. [26]

  10. 11

    31 states join a farm diesel break

    31 US states have joined a federal break on farm diesel, says Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins. [25] On Thursday she asked the remaining governors to join before the harvest ends. [25] Dyed diesel is fuel meant for off-road use, such as on farms. [25] President Trump's 5 October order lets it be used on roads, without the federal fuel tax. [25] That tax is 24.4 cents a gallon. [25] The USDA expects more than $640 million in federal and state savings. [25]

    Why it matters — The break covers farmers, ranchers and truck drivers through the harvest. [25]

  11. 12

    Danone puts a new boss in charge of the US

    Danone, maker of Oikos and Activia yogurts, named Francois Lacombe to run it in the US. [17] Lacombe had turned around Danone's business in Spain. [17] People taking weight-loss drugs have been buying its protein-rich yogurts. [17] Danone could not make enough in the US, so it expanded plants in Texas and Ohio. [17] The new capacity then disrupted its supply chain and hurt customer service, its finance chief said. [17]

    Why it matters — Finance chief Juergen Esser said Danone wants 2027 to look very different. [17]

  12. 13

    Crop insurance priced field by field

    Aon, an insurance broker, and SAGE, an AI farm-risk firm, will offer field-by-field crop insurance. [24] US federal crop insurance prices risk by the average of each county. [24] So some farmers pay premiums that do not fit their own land and soil. [24] SAGE judges each field from satellites, farm machine data and soil data. [24] It will be offered on corn and soybeans in 15 states for the 2027 crop. [24] SAGE co-founder Robert Bonnie was once a senior official at the USDA. [24]

    Why it matters — Michigan farmers using cover crops and no-till may pay less in a 2027 pilot. [24]

  13. 14

    A cocoa-free powder joins the swap

    Planet A Foods, a German food start-up, launched a powder to replace cocoa. [18] It can replace all the cocoa powder in cakes, fillings, drinks and puddings, the firm says. [18] It has 69 grams of fibre per 100 grams, against about 37 in cocoa powder. [18] People on weight-loss drugs eat 15-20% fewer calories, the firm says. [18] Its sunflower-seed chocolate, ChoViva, is already in more than 230 products in 12 countries. [18] Cocoa prices soared in December 2024 and have fallen back only somewhat. [19]

    Why it matters — Win-Win, a British rival, expects real chocolate to become a premium treat. [19]

  14. 15

    Bezos fund backs grown beef and soy meat

    The Bezos Earth Fund gave Aleph Farms and Mottainai Food Tech S$1 million each. [23] Aleph Farms, from Israel, grows beef from animal cells instead of raising whole cattle. [23] It will start with costly cuts like sirloin, where plant-based copies struggle. [23] Aleph is cleared in Singapore and plans restaurant launches in the first half of 2027. [23] Mottainai, from Singapore, ferments okara, the soy pulp left from making tofu. [23] Replacing half the chicken or pork with it cuts the cost by 18%, the firm says. [23]

    Why it matters — Both firms now face the same test: making it at a price buyers will pay. [23]

  15. 16

    Two firms share the cost of greener wheat

    Royal Canin, Mars's pet food maker, and its wheat supplier Roquette will share farm costs. [21] The money helps farmers switch to regenerative farming, which aims to rebuild the soil. [21] The switch needs money up front for new machines and cover crops. [21] Farmers usually pay that themselves, or join one company's scheme. [21] The plan covers more than 60 farms and 4,700 hectares of wheat in France. [21] Soil Capital, a farm data firm, will measure and check the results for both companies. [21] Farmers get 70% of the carbon credits the changes earn. [21]

    Why it matters — Both firms want other buyers to copy the model. [21]

  16. 17

    Nestle counts birds to judge greener farms

    Nestle, the world's biggest consumer goods firm, will measure wildlife on farms in Europe. [20] It is working with BirdLife Europe on a project lasting 3.5 years. [20] Europe's farmland birds fell by 58% between 1980 and 2024, a Europe-wide bird count found. [20] Intensive farming is cited as the main cause. [20] Bird numbers are used because they follow changes in insects and the wider land. [20]

    Why it matters — The project will test whether regenerative methods actually help wildlife. [20]

  17. 18

    FAO updates its land-use guide

    The FAO, the UN's food agency, issued new guidelines on how countries plan their land. [22] They were launched at COP17, a UN meeting on protecting nature's variety of life. [22] It is the first major update since 1993. [22] They help weigh farming, cities and roads against nature, food and water. [22] They are voluntary, so no country has to follow them. [22] FAO deputy chief Beth Bechdol said soil data and maps are central. [22]

    Why it matters — A practical guide to the nine-step plan is still to come. [22]

  18. 19

    Rain in Brazil lifts sugar as coffee slips

    Raw sugar rose 0.7% on Thursday, to 19.47 US cents a pound. [28] Brazil, the top sugar grower, is battling too much rain, linked to El Nino. [28] Sugar output in Brazil's main growing region fell 27.1% in early October from a year earlier. [28] Heat hurt Europe's beet crop, and a weak monsoon cut India's cane hopes, a broker says. [28] Arabica coffee fell 0.5% to $2.8545 a pound, its lowest since late September. [28] More than 42,000 bags of coffee are waiting to be graded at exchange warehouses. [28] A weak Brazilian real makes selling coffee in dollars pay more for Brazil's farmers. [28] Robusta coffee hit its lowest price since March 2024 on Monday, as Vietnam's harvest began. [28]

    Why it matters — Analysts at Expana cut Ivory Coast's cocoa crop forecast by 40,000 tons, to 1.83 million. [28] Ivory Coast is the top cocoa grower, and dry weather is stressing its cocoa trees. [28]

  19. 20

    Pakistan and China open a farm-goods fast lane

    Pakistan and China agreed a fast lane for farm goods at their Khunjerab border crossing. [29] Khunjerab Pass, at 15,500 feet, is the highest paved international border crossing. [29] It links Pakistan's Gilgit-Baltistan region with China's Xinjiang region. [29] Customs officials from both countries signed the deal online on Thursday. [29] Farm goods on an agreed list will get priority checks at the border. [29] Food that spoils quickly will be handled first, to cut delays. [29] The pass is open for trade from April to November; winter snow gets in the way. [29]

    Why it matters — Last year Pakistan collected 15 billion rupees in customs on Chinese imports through the pass. [29] The lane is expected to make farm trade between the two countries faster. [29]

02 Lesson why it matters

Why a new food goes after one group of buyers first

A new food cannot beat the old one for everybody, so its makers pick the buyers it suits best and start there.

The twist

A new food does not have to beat the old one for everybody. It has to beat it for one group of buyers today.

The picture

Two newcomers, opposite ends: one starts where beef is dearest, the other where buyers want meat cheaper.

How it works

  1. A new food cannot beat the old one everywhere at once
  2. So its makers pick one group of buyers where its edge is biggest
  3. That is where the old food is dearest, hardest to copy, or least noticed
  4. It wins there first, and only then tries to reach wider

The same force, elsewhere today

Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.

  • The Bezos fund's grown beef

    Aleph Farms starts with sirloin, where plant copies struggle and a high price is already normal.

  • The Bezos fund's soy meat

    Mottainai goes the other way: it replaces half the chicken in a dish to cut the cost by 18%.

  • Planet A's cocoa powder

    It targets cakes, fillings and drinks, where cocoa is hidden, and people on weight-loss drugs who want more fibre.

  • Win-Win's cocoa-free chocolate

    Its boss expects real chocolate to become a luxury and wants everything else.

Where you've seen this

Electric cars

early models were costly sports cars for rich buyers, before cheaper ones followed

Budget airlines

they began with travellers who cared most about price, on short routes

Plant milks

they first sold to people who could not drink cow's milk

The catch

A slice can stay a slice. If the cost never comes down, the new food stays a small, premium extra.

And the whole of it

Most shoppers never see this choice being made. The makers decide which buyers come first, and everyone else meets the product years later, at a lower price, if it lasts.

03 Truth what's really going on

What is really going on

New World screwworm, a flesh-eating fly, is spreading north in the US, with 19 cases in October against 3 in September, just as cattle crossings from Mexico reopen one by one. [2][3] The US is releasing about 100 million sterile flies a week to stop it breeding, and a dog in Arizona shows the fly has reached a third state anyway. [2]

Why it works on us — A round total like $472.5 million sounds like a rescue for farmers, but each crop's share is much smaller: US rice gets $21 million of it. [6]

Who gains

  • US dairy farmers — Dairy gets $165.5 million of the USDA's food purchase, the largest share named so far. [6]
  • Food banks — The food the USDA buys goes to the charitable food network and other food programmes. [4]
  • Wheat buyers in the Philippines and South Korea — They ordered 226,300 and 154,000 tons in one week after the US wheat price fell. [11]
  • Farmers in the 31 states that joined the diesel break — They can run dyed diesel on roads without the 24.4-cent federal tax during harvest. [25]
  • Makers of cocoa replacements such as Planet A and Win-Win — Cocoa prices that have fallen back only somewhat send food firms looking for cheaper powders. [18][19]

Who pays

  • Livestock and pet owners in Cochise County, Arizona — Animals moving inside the 20-kilometre zone face limits and inspections. [1][2]
  • Families in Papua New Guinea's highlands — Some eat one meal a day as their food gardens dry out. [27]
  • US states — From October 2027 they must pay part of SNAP, about $1.1 billion a year, the Congressional Budget Office estimates. [14]
  • US farmers who borrow — Farm loan interest averaged 6.77% in the third quarter, against 3.26% in 2020. [26]
  • US rice growers — They say prices still do not cover their costs, with large stocks and cheaper foreign rice in the market. [6]

What nobody knows yet

Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.

  • 01

    Whether screwworm is breeding in Arizona, or the dog was a single case.

    Officials are trapping flies inside a 20-kilometre zone and watching animals there to find out. [1][2]

  • 02

    Whether the Nogales crossing opens to Mexican cattle on 30 November.

    The USDA says it depends on animal health holding, and AgDaily reports the Arizona case could complicate it. [2][3]

  • 03

    How much of the world's cocoa comes from West Africa.

    Planet A says Ghana and Ivory Coast grow about 60%; Win-Win's boss says two West African countries grow 75%. The two firms give different figures. [18][19]

  • 04

    Whether US Halloween candy sales recover by Saturday.

    The 6.7% fall runs only to 17 October, and Hershey expects 35% of its seasonal sales in the final week. [7]

  • 05

    What pushed a chocolate bar's price up 397%.

    The sugar growers' survey does not split the rise between cocoa, wages, packaging and profit. [10]

  • 06

    Whether the US Congress passes a farm bill before 3 January.

    Lawmakers return on 9 November, and the fight over who pays for SNAP blocks other deals, including E15. [13][14]

  • 07

    How many people in Papua New Guinea are short of food.

    About 8 million people are affected by the drought, and a coalition of churches, unions and businesses says Papua New Guinea's government still needs to carry out proper assessments. [27]

  • 08

    Whether a judge believes Kroger's pay plan killed its Albertsons deal.

    Albertsons points to a $400 million bonus pool; Kroger says regulators would have blocked the deal anyway. [16]

04 Hope carry this

US wheat had its best week abroad of the year, with 849,800 tons ordered, led by the Philippines and South Korea.

Also true today

  • Three border crossings have reopened to Mexican cattle since August, the latest at Columbus, New Mexico, on 26 October after nearly two years shut.
  • The USDA will buy up to $472.5 million of US milk, cheese, lentils, almonds, rice and catfish for food banks and other food programmes.
  • On more than 60 French wheat farms, farmers will keep 70% of the carbon credits their new methods earn, with two buyers sharing the cost of the switch.

Across the beats