Personal Money · Sunday, 18 October 2026
US student borrowers on the scrapped SAVE plan get final notices, as research finds their payments could rise from 3% to 12% of take-home pay
About 6 million US borrowers still on SAVE, a student-loan plan that set payments by income, face being moved to fixed plans; a former bankruptcy judge expects more filings, and Britain's tight budget reaches apprentices, home insulation and doctors' pay.
3% to 12%
of take-home pay, a SAVE borrower's payment if moved to a standard plan
the estimate of the JPMorgan Chase Institute, a bank's research group
6 million
SAVE borrowers who had not chosen a new plan by mid-September
1.5 million of about 7.5 million had moved
9.3 million
US student borrowers in default at the end of June
up from 6.2 million in 2016
The lead story — what happened
-
The US Education Department is moving borrowers off SAVE, a Biden-era plan that set student-loan payments by income.
[1] A court struck the plan down in March.[5] -
About 7.5 million borrowers were on SAVE, and 1.5 million of them had chosen a new plan by mid-September.
[3] -
Each borrower gets 90 days to choose.
[2] Anyone who does not choose is put on a standard or tiered plan, the two most expensive options.[2] -
The first deadline passed on 29 September, and borrowers then got a 30-day 'final notice'.
[2] In early October more borrowers reported getting it before their own deadline.[1] -
On a standard plan, a SAVE borrower's payment would rise from about 3% to about 12% of take-home pay, the JPMorgan Chase Institute estimates.
[1] -
The new Repayment Assistance Plan sets payments at 1% to 10% of a borrower's total income, with a 10-dollar minimum.
[5] It can run for 30 years.[6] -
Older plans that set payments by income cancel what is left after 20 or 25 years of payments.
[5] -
The 2025 law behind the changes also ended the right to pause payments while out of work.
[6] -
About 9.3 million federal student borrowers were in default at the end of June, up from 6.2 million in 2016.
[6] -
Default can mean wages taken straight from a pay packet and federal benefits seized.
[2] -
Sarah Sharer Curley, a former US bankruptcy judge, says bankruptcy filings will most likely rise.
[7] More than 500,000 personal bankruptcy cases were filed in 2025, almost 50% more than three years before.[7] -
Student loans are nearly impossible to wipe out in bankruptcy, she says, and a 73-year-old in her court owed more than 584,000 dollars.
[7] -
The department also gave borrowers until the end of December to sign up for automatic payments.
[2] Paying that way takes one percentage point off the interest rate.[2]
Who is involved
-
The US Education Department
the US government department that runs federal student loans; it is ending SAVE and sending the notices
-
Nicholas Kent
the department's under secretary; he told CNBC in June that SAVE borrowers have to move
[4] -
The JPMorgan Chase Institute
the research arm of JPMorgan Chase, a big US bank; it estimated how much payments would rise
[1] -
Sarah Sharer Curley
a former US bankruptcy judge in Arizona; her new book says the law fails people in debt
[7]
How it unfolded
-
Jul 2024 SAVE borrowers are put on a payment pause while courts decide the plan's fate
[4] -
Mar 2026 a court strikes SAVE down
[5] -
1 Jul new repayment plans start, and 90-day notices to leave SAVE begin
[5] -
29 Sep the first deadline to leave SAVE passes
[2] -
Oct 30-day final notices go out, some before borrowers' own deadlines
[1] [2] -
End of 2026 loan companies expect every SAVE borrower to have had a notice
[3]
Where this points
Watch how many of the roughly 6 million borrowers still on SAVE choose a plan before their final notice runs out, and whether the default count rises as bills restart.
What is pushing on the whole day
The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing today. The arrow is where it is heading. The evidence is in the stories below.
Borrowers leaving SAVE report wrong bills and conflicting deadlines on their online accounts.
Northern Ireland's devolved government has no budget, so its doctors cannot be paid a 3.5% rise.
Typical US home loan rates were 7.37% last week, against 6.64% in mid-July.
The rest of the day
10 more stories on this beat.
Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.
-
02
Public-service loan forgiveness counts paused
Borrowers in Public Service Loan Forgiveness, a US scheme that cancels the student debt of government and non-profit workers after 120 monthly payments, say recent payments are not being counted.
[9] A notice from Federal Student Aid, the agency that runs the loans, said the counts were paused because of data problems.[9] Some borrowers have made their 120th payment and are still waiting.[9] At the end of April, 88,000 requests to buy back missed months were also waiting.[9] Why it matters — A borrower can ask to stop paying while they wait, but interest keeps growing during that pause.
[9] Business Insider reported the paused counts on 8 October, and the department did not answer its questions.[9] -
03
England may charge firms to train over-25s
Ministers in England plan to make employers pay a quarter of the cost of training an apprentice aged 25 or over, the Guardian reports.
[10] Large firms already pay 0.5% of their wage bill into a training pot, the 4-billion-pound-a-year growth and skills levy, and can spend it on apprentices of any age.[10] Under the plan the pot would pay the full cost for 16- to 24-year-olds, but only 75% for older apprentices.[10] It could start in September 2027.[10] - Paid from the training pot75 · 75%
- Paid by the employer25 · 25%
Under the plan, the training pot would pay 75% of an older apprentice's training and the employer would pay 25%. Why it matters — More than half of new apprenticeships now go to over-25s, while starts by young people have fallen 40% in a decade.
[10] The plan pushes firms towards young recruits, and makes training an older worker cost them more.[10] -
04
Northern Ireland doctors to strike over pay
Resident doctors in Northern Ireland will walk out for 24 hours on Friday 20 November, and consultants will run a much smaller service the next Monday.
[13] They are owed a 3.5% pay rise that an independent body recommended and the health minister, Robbie Butler, accepted.[13] It cannot be paid because the Northern Ireland Executive, its devolved government, has no budget seven months into the year.[13] The Royal College of Nursing has opened a strike vote too.[13] Why it matters — The Executive says it faces about 1.6 billion pounds of extra costs this year, against a UK government offer of about 525 million.
[13] Public-sector pay alone needs about 500 million, and Chris Bryant, the UK's Northern Ireland secretary, says emergency money runs out in January.[13] -
05
Study weighs home insulation against new oil
Britain's 15-billion-pound warm homes plan would insulate up to 5 million homes and cut household energy bills by about 1 billion pounds a year, says E3G, a climate think tank.
[12] Most of that saving would go to households on low incomes, it says.[12] The plan is under threat of cuts as ministers look for savings.[12] E3G puts its jobs at about 50,000, against about 1,100 for the Rosebank oil field off Shetland, which ministers have yet to decide on.[12] Why it matters — Oil and gas from a new UK field are sold on world markets, so experts say they would not lower UK fuel bills.
[12] Britain's energy department declined to comment on the plan's future.[12] -
06
More UK savers buy a pension bridge
More people in Britain are buying a fixed-term annuity, which pays a guaranteed income for a set number of years and then a lump sum, the Guardian reports.
[11] An annuity is bought with a pension pot, and most buyers choose one that pays until they die.[11] Standard Life said this week that a 62-year-old with 100,000 pounds could get about 13,800 pounds a year for five years, then 50,000 pounds back.[11] Canada Life reports a significant rise in demand.[11] 13,800 poundsFive-year annuity12,548 poundsFull state pensionA year's income from Standard Life's example annuity for a 62-year-old with 100,000 pounds, beside the full new UK state pension, which starts later. Why it matters — That income is more than the full new state pension of 12,548 pounds, which starts at 66 and at 67 from April 2028.
[11] From April 2027, money left in most private pensions at death can count towards inheritance tax, and the Guardian says that change has helped annuities sell.[11] -
07
US home loan rates ease, buyers still pull back
Typical US home loan rates were 7.37% last week, HousingWire, a US housing news site, reports.
[15] It was 6.64% in mid-July and rose as high as 7.60%.[15] Applications to buy a home were 16% lower than a year earlier.[15] Pending sales were 51,947 in the week, against 59,775 a year before.[15] 43% of homes for sale had a price cut, against 41% a year earlier.[15] Same week, 202559,775Last week, 202651,947US home sales agreed but not yet completed in one week, a year apart, from HousingWire's figures. Why it matters — The gap between home loan rates and the US government's 10-year borrowing cost is 2.21 points, against a usual 1.60 to 1.80, which keeps loans dearer.
[15] HousingWire says rates could fall below 7% by the holidays only if the Iran war and oil prices calm and US job numbers weaken.[15] -
08
ChatGPT often gets shop prices wrong
Which?, a UK consumer group, asked ChatGPT where popular products were cheapest, and it named the right shop and amount for only eight of them.
[14] In 68% of cases the answer had at least one problem, such as a wrong price or a different product.[14] It said a Lenovo Chromebook cost 399 pounds, when the lowest price Which? could find was 599 pounds.[14] OpenAI, which makes ChatGPT, said the prices in its first listings may not be the lowest available.[14] Why it matters — In a Which? survey of 1,078 people, 32% said they use AI chatbots for shopping, with the autumn sales coming.
[14] A shopper who trusts the first answer can pay more, or skip a product wrongly shown as too dear.[14] -
09
Cut-price vet clinic treats 160 pets
A cut-price vet clinic run by the RSPCA, an animal charity, treated 160 pets in its first 11 days in Medway, in Kent.
[16] It is for pet owners on low incomes or benefits, who pay less than a normal vet would charge.[16] The branch says its animal centres are full, and some people give up pets they cannot afford to keep.[16] Its pet food bank has handed out 18,909 food items this year.[16] Why it matters — Owners told the BBC they would go without food themselves before their pets did, so a vet bill lands on the family's food budget.
[16] Treating pets at home also keeps them out of the charity's full centres.[16] -
10
Squatters out of a dead man's Queens home
Two people accused of serial squatting have been removed from a house in Bayside, in Queens, New York, now listed at 915,000 dollars, Realtor.com reports.
[17] The owner died in 2018 with a large reverse mortgage, a loan against a home that is repaid when the owner dies or sells.[17] Nobody told the county office that handles such estates, and a Covid-era pause on evictions held up the bank's attempt to take the house back.[17] Both deny burglary and other charges.[17] Why it matters — Neighbours say it took more than two years and a congressman's help to get them out.
[17] The county office says hospitals and funeral homes no longer reliably report deaths to it, and this house sat empty for years.[17] -
11
Pakistan's car loans rise for a 22nd month
Car loans owed in Pakistan rose to 407 billion rupees in September, from 393.3 billion in August, figures from the State Bank of Pakistan, the country's central bank, show.
[18] It was the 22nd monthly rise in a row, Dawn, a Pakistani newspaper, reports.[18] Sales of cars, SUVs, pickups and vans still fell 12% from a year earlier, to 15,104.[18] Pakistan's central bank held its main interest rate at 11.5% on 14 September.[18] Why it matters — Topline Securities, a Karachi investment firm, says Pakistan's central bank may raise that rate by half a point because oil and food prices are high.
[18] Car loans follow the interest rate, so a rise would make each new loan dearer, and Topline expects car lending to grow more slowly.[18]
Why a loan paid as a share of pay carries the borrower's bad years
A loan payment set as a share of pay shrinks when pay falls, so the lender, not the borrower, carries the bad year.
The twist
A loan payment that shrinks when pay shrinks works like insurance for the borrower. On a fixed payment, losing a job does not lower the bill, so the borrower carries the whole bad year.
The picture
How it works
- A plan like SAVE sets each payment as a share of what the borrower earns
- When pay falls, the payment falls with it, sometimes to almost nothing
- What is still owed after 20 or 25 years is cancelled, so the lender takes that loss
- A standard plan sets a fixed payment that clears the loan in 10 years, whatever the pay
- Moving a borrower from the first kind to the second moves a bad year's cost onto the borrower
The same force, elsewhere today
Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.
-
More UK savers buy a pension bridge
The insurer carries the bad years here: a 62-year-old's 100,000 pounds buys a fixed 13,800 pounds a year for five years, whatever markets do.
-
Cut-price vet clinic treats 160 pets
The price is set by what the owner can pay, so owners on low incomes or benefits pay less and the charity covers the rest.
Where you've seen this
Income tax
a year of lower pay brings a lower tax bill, while a flat fee stays the same
Rent in some public housing
rent set as a share of the tenant's income falls when the tenant's pay falls
Crop insurance
a farmer pays every year and the insurer pays out in the year the harvest fails
The catch
The protection is not free: a smaller payment in a bad year leaves more interest to grow, so the loan can last longer and cost more in total.
And the whole of it
Borrowers, loan companies, the US Education Department and the taxpayers who cover cancelled debt each carry part of these bad years. Each of them sees only their own part, and most people pay some bill that does not change when their pay does.
What is really going on
The US government is ending SAVE, the cheapest student-loan plan, and about 6 million borrowers who had not chosen a new plan by mid-September can be put on fixed plans that take up to four times as much of their pay.
Why it works on us — The department says the changes stop students taking on debt they may never repay, a promise about future borrowers that says nothing about the people already on SAVE whose bills rise now.
Who gains
-
The US government, as the lender
— Borrowers moved to standard plans pay about 12% of take-home pay instead of about 3%, so more money comes back each month.
[1] -
Private lenders for graduate study
— Lower caps on federal loans push some students to private loans, which a former judge says can carry 16% interest for weaker credit.
[7] -
Insurers selling fixed-term annuities, such as Standard Life and Canada Life
— Higher rates and the coming inheritance tax on pensions have lifted demand for their product.
[11] -
Apprentices aged 16 to 24 in England
— If the plan goes ahead, the levy pot pays for all of their training, while firms pay a quarter for anyone older.
[10] -
The owners of the Rosebank oil field, Equinor, Shell and Ithaca Energy
— They could make 1.5 billion pounds of profit over its life, while tax breaks could cost the UK government 258 million, by WWF and Uplift's research.
[12]
Who pays
-
SAVE borrowers who do not choose a plan in time
— They are put on the standard or tiered plan, the most expensive options.
[2] -
Workers over 25 wanting an apprenticeship in England
— Firms would pay a quarter of their training, making them dearer to take on than a younger apprentice.
[10] -
Low-income households waiting for insulation in Britain
— If the warm homes plan is cut, they miss most of an estimated 1 billion pounds a year in lower bills.
[12] -
Doctors and nurses in Northern Ireland
— Their accepted 3.5% pay rise cannot be paid without a budget.
[13] -
US home buyers
— Typical home loan rates were 7.37% last week, against 6.64% in mid-July.
[15]
What nobody knows yet
Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.
-
01
How many SAVE borrowers will end up on the most expensive plans.
The department has not said how many borrowers got a final notice, or whether every borrower will get one.
[2] -
02
Whether US bankruptcy filings rise because of the student-loan changes.
A former bankruptcy judge expects it, but the latest full count is for 2025, before most of the changes took effect.
[7] -
03
When payment counts for Public Service Loan Forgiveness start again.
The notice gave no date, and the department did not answer Business Insider's questions.
[9] -
04
Whether the warm homes plan is cut in the Budget.
Ministers are looking for savings, and Britain's energy department declined to comment on the plan's future.
[12] -
05
Whether firms will really pay a quarter of older apprentices' training.
The plan is still being drawn up, and the UK government says it will not get ahead of a review of youth jobs due in the autumn.
[10] -
06
Whether Northern Ireland's doctors strike on 20 November.
It depends on a budget deal, and the Executive's 1.6 billion pounds of pressures and the UK offer of about 525 million are far apart.
[13] -
07
Whether US home loan rates fall below 7% this year.
HousingWire ties it to the Iran war, oil prices, tariffs and job numbers, none of which has settled.
[15] -
08
How much money shoppers lose to wrong chatbot answers.
Which? ran a one-off check on ChatGPT alone, so it shows how often the price was wrong, not what people paid.
[14]
A cut-price vet clinic run by the RSPCA treated 160 pets in its first 11 days in Medway, in Kent, for owners on low incomes or benefits.
Also true today
- Borrowers who missed the first deadline to leave SAVE were given 30 more days to choose their own plan. They also have until the end of December to sign up for automatic payments, which take one percentage point off the interest rate.
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