World News · Monday, 21 September 2026
Ukraine fires more than 1,000 drones at Russia on the last day of its wartime election
The biggest attack on Moscow of the war hit the city's oil refinery as Russia closed a three-day parliamentary vote with no anti-war party on the ballot. Russian drones killed a mother, her two three-year-olds and a girl in the Kyiv region the same night.
1,110
Ukrainian drones Russia says it shot down in one night
450 of them were heading for Russia's capital, the mayor said
111 million
Russians entitled to vote in the three-day election
the first parliamentary vote since the full invasion began in 2022
11.6m tonnes
of crude oil the Moscow refinery processed in 2024
drones reached its grounds on Sunday and smoke was visible across the city
4
people killed by Russian drones in the Kyiv region
a mother, her two three-year-old children and a girl who died in hospital
The lead story — what happened
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Ukraine fired more than 1,000 drones at Russia overnight into Sunday, the largest attack on Moscow since the war began.
[1] -
Russia's defence ministry said it shot down 1,110 Ukrainian drones across the country, Crimea and the Black Sea, and Moscow's mayor Sergei Sobyanin said 450 of them were heading for the capital.
[1] [3] -
Russia launched 138 drones at Ukraine the same night and Ukraine's air force said it shot down 101 of them.
[2] -
Drones reached the grounds of the Moscow Oil Refinery, which processed 11.6 million tonnes of crude in 2024.
[3] -
A drone crashed into a 21-storey block of flats and the fire forced 400 people out of the building.
[2] -
Two people died in the Moscow region: a 74-year-old man and a 44-year-old woman, the regional governor Andrei Vorobyov said.
[1] -
Ukraine's president Volodymyr Zelensky said the strikes used Ukraine's own Flamingo and Pelican missiles and hit oil and logistics sites.
[1] -
The attack landed on the last day of Russia's first wartime parliamentary election, which ran from Friday to Sunday for 111 million eligible voters.
[5] -
Sobyanin said the attack was planned to disrupt the vote and that it failed.
[3] -
Russia held the vote in four Ukrainian regions it annexed and does not fully control, and in Crimea; the European Union called that a blatant violation of international law.
[5] -
Yabloko, the only registered party that publicly criticised the war, was struck off the ballot by Russia's Supreme Court 12 days after being registered.
[6] -
Russia's own drones killed a mother and her two three-year-old children in the Kyiv region, and a girl died in hospital after a second strike.
[4]
Who is involved
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Volodymyr Zelensky
Ukraine's president; he said the strikes hit oil and logistics sites worth billions to Russia
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Sergei Sobyanin
the mayor of Moscow; he said 450 drones were stopped before the city and that the vote was not disrupted
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Vladimir Putin
Russia's president; this is the first national vote since he ordered the full invasion in 2022
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Nikolai Rybakov
chairman of Yabloko, the only anti-war party registered for the election before it was struck off the ballot
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Andrei Vorobyov
governor of the Moscow region, the area around the capital; he reported the two deaths and 20 wounded
How it unfolded
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Friday Russia's three-day parliamentary vote opens, with online balloting encouraged
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Saturday a Russian drone kills a woman and her two three-year-old children in the Kyiv region
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Overnight Ukraine fires more than 1,000 drones, 450 of them towards Moscow
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Sunday the Moscow refinery is hit and 400 people leave a burning tower block
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Sunday night voting closes, with first results expected within hours
Where this points
Watch what Russia's government asks its new parliament to do: the result was never in doubt, and the first test is whether the new Duma is handed anything the old one was not.
What is pushing on the whole day
The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing today. The arrow is where it is heading. The evidence is in the stories below.
Ukrainian drones reached the Moscow Oil Refinery on Sunday.
Iran's military command says it has information that the United States is preparing a major new attack.
A Russian drone killed a mother and her two three-year-old children in a house near Kyiv.
A senior Houthi official warned other countries not to join Saudi Arabia in Yemen's renewed war.
The rest of the day
30 more stories on this beat.
Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.
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02
Iran says a new US attack is coming
Iran's military central command said on Sunday that it has information the United States and its allies are preparing a major new attack.
[17] [18] It said any such attack would bring sustained retaliation against US bases and interests across the region, and that US allies in the Gulf would be treated as parties to the war.[17] The US State Department had already told Americans on Saturday to expect possible flight cancellations and airspace closures in the Middle East.[17] The war is nearly seven months old and neither side has offered a major concession.[17] Why it matters — Iran's security chief Mohsen Rezaei set out six conditions for ending the war, among them the release of billions in frozen funds and an end to the US blockade of Iran's southern ports.
[19] Iran's parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said on Sunday that the Strait of Hormuz, the sea gate for much of the world's oil, stays closed until those conditions are met.[19] -
03
World leaders gather at a weakened UN
Nearly 130 heads of state arrive in New York this week for the UN General Assembly, the yearly meeting where each of the 193 member countries gets to speak.
[9] [10] [11] Donald Trump speaks on Tuesday, Iran's president Masoud Pezeshkian on Wednesday, and Israel's prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Thursday.[9] [10] Trump has cut the US contribution to the UN and pulled out of dozens of its bodies.[10] Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas was refused a US visa for the second year running, and the assembly voted to let him appear by video instead.[9] Why it matters — Richard Gowan of the International Crisis Group, a conflict research group, said the UN is stuck in an open-ended crisis.
[10] The Security Council, the fifteen-country body that can order action, cannot move on Ukraine because Russia holds a veto there.[9] -
04
Xi skips the UN for a summit with Trump
China's president Xi Jinping will not attend the General Assembly and will instead spend two days with Donald Trump in Washington from Thursday.
[10] [8] He last addressed the assembly by video in 2021.[10] A state banquet in his honour on Wednesday night is due to include the heads of several American artificial intelligence companies.[8] Trump is not expected to meet Netanyahu while both men are in New York.[10] Why it matters — The week's biggest decisions on artificial intelligence and trade will be taken at a table with two countries at it, not in the hall where 130 leaders are speaking.
[8] [10] Governments that are not in that room will be told the result afterwards. -
05
US and China agree an AI alert line
The US treasury secretary Scott Bessent said on Sunday that the United States has proposed a notification mechanism, a way for the two countries to tell each other about artificial intelligence accidents serious enough to touch national security.
[12] He spoke after eight hours of talks in New York with China's vice premier He Lifeng.[14] The two sides also agreed to start running a Board of Trade that Trump and Xi discussed in May.[12] The US trade representative Jamieson Greer said farm products, energy and medical devices could be considered for lower tariffs.[12] Why it matters — The two countries are racing each other to dominate artificial intelligence, and each has said it worries about the technology in the other's hands.
[13] Sun Chenghao at Tsinghua University in China said there is meaningful room for cooperation on risks that would harm both, such as attacks made with AI or a model getting out of human control.[13] -
06
Bachelet quits the race to lead the UN
Michelle Bachelet, twice president of Chile and formerly the UN's human rights chief, withdrew on Sunday from the race to succeed Antonio Guterres as UN secretary-general.
[11] She pulled out a day after a third informal straw poll of the Security Council showed her support had all but collapsed.[11] That poll put Costa Rica's Rebeca Grynspan in front.[11] Seven candidates are left, and Guterres finishes his second five-year term on 31 December.[11] Why it matters — Bachelet had built her campaign on defending international law at a moment she said it was under sustained pressure.
[11] The Security Council recommends one name and the 193-member General Assembly has long treated that choice as a formality.[11] -
07
US prepares sanctions on the war crimes court
The Trump administration is preparing sanctions against the International Criminal Court itself, the court in The Hague that tries individuals for war crimes, people familiar with the plan told the South China Morning Post.
[29] It has already sanctioned a number of the court's judges and prosecutors, but has held off punishing the institution.[29] US officials want it to drop its arrest warrants against Israeli leaders and an investigation into American troops in Afghanistan.[29] The US secretary of state Marco Rubio announced a campaign in July to persuade other countries to leave the court.[29] Why it matters — Netanyahu, who is wanted by that court over alleged war crimes in Gaza that Israel denies, speaks at the UN on Thursday.
[9] Sanctioning the institution itself, rather than named judges, has long been one of the options under consideration.[29] -
08
Houthis warn others to stay out of Yemen
Mohamed al-Bukhaiti of the Houthis' political bureau warned other countries on Sunday against joining Saudi Arabia in Yemen's renewed civil war.
[20] [21] He told the Associated Press that the group has assured the Trump administration it will not attack US ships, though he confirmed only indirect contacts through Oman.[20] Oman brokered a 2025 ceasefire that ended a US bombing campaign in exchange for the Houthis sparing US vessels.[20] The group has taken a long stretch of Yemen's west coast this month, down to the Bab al-Mandab strait.[20] Why it matters — Turkey's foreign minister Hakan Fidan said his country could meet Saudi military needs in certain technical areas, and Pakistan has pledged support too.
[25] The three countries named their defence pact the Mecca Defence Alliance on 31 August, on the principle that an armed attack on one is an attack on all three.[24] -
09
US embassies warn Americans in Saudi Arabia
US embassies issued security alerts after Houthi missiles and drones were fired at Saudi cities.
[22] The Saudi-led coalition said its air defences shot down a ballistic missile aimed at Riyadh, and that Baish, Taif, Farasan and Yanbu were also targeted.[22] Residents reported flames and smoke at Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport on Saturday, and the tracking site Flightradar24 said the airport had major problems.[22] The UN recorded 28 people killed and 82 injured in Yemen in 31 separate incidents since fighting escalated in August.[22] Killed28 peopleInjured82 peopleThe UN counted these in Yemen across 31 separate incidents since August, and says access problems mean the real number is very likely higher. Why it matters — The Houthis declared a naval blockade of Saudi Arabia in July, and Saudi strikes have not stopped their advance.
[22] The UN spokesman Stephane Dujarric urged all parties, and those with influence over them, to de-escalate and protect civilians.[22] -
10
Oil rises after the attack on Riyadh
A barrel of Brent crude, the price most of the world's oil is set against, rose 81 cents to $104.68 on Monday morning.
[23] US crude rose 76 cents to $101.06.[23] Both went up after the Houthi missile and drone strikes on Riyadh on Saturday.[23] Oil passed $100 in recent weeks because tankers are being attacked around the Strait of Hormuz, and because the Houthis control the Red Sea route Saudi Arabia has been using to export.[19] - 1US crude, Monday morning$101.06
- 2Brent crude, Monday morning$104.68
Both prices rose on Monday morning, after missiles and drones hit Riyadh on Saturday. Why it matters — Attacks on tankers around the Strait of Hormuz and the loss of the Red Sea route pushed the price past $100 in recent weeks.
[19] Europe's airports are already bracing for jet fuel shortages linked to the same crisis.[27] -
11
Qatar's prime minister calls the war an earthquake
Qatar's prime minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani described the fallout from the US-Israeli war on Iran as an earthquake, speaking at the Qatar Economic Forum in New York.
[28] He said permanent security cannot be built on arrangements that leave any state permanently exposed to insecurity.[28] He pledged more than $38bn of spending on Qatari infrastructure over five years, which Al Jazeera's correspondent said was meant to attract private investors.[28] Qatar's foreign ministry spokesman Majed Al-Ansari said separately that Qatar's efforts to restart talks between the US and Iran are continuing.[28] Why it matters — Gulf leaders meet Trump on Tuesday during the assembly week.
[28] Qatar's foreign ministry says its efforts to restart US-Iran talks are still running, while its own gas company is shipping only a very small volume.[26] [28] -
12
Hormuz delays Qatar's gas expansion
QatarEnergy's chief executive Saad al-Kaabi said on Sunday that the crisis over the Strait of Hormuz could delay some of the company's expansion projects, because the equipment they need cannot reach Qatar.
[26] He said the company is currently shipping only a very minute volume of liquefied natural gas.[26] Several new production lines were due to start in 2027 and a second expansion in 2028.[26] Kaabi was speaking at the Qatar Economic Forum in New York.[26] Why it matters — A delay decided now lands on gas buyers in 2027 and 2028.
[26] QatarEnergy has already cancelled cargoes to buyers in Europe and Asia during this war.[26] -
13
Europe short of jet fuel before winter
Europe faces a shortfall of jet fuel in the last three months of the year, according to analysts and shipping data.
[27] Stocks at Europe's main trading hub fell to a seven-year low in the week to 10 September.[27] South Korea is stepping in, with September shipments to Europe running at about 129,000 barrels a day, a four-year high.[27] The Iran war cut off around half of Europe's jet fuel imports, so the continent has been buying from Nigeria, the United States and Canada instead.[27] Why it matters — Stocks are at a seven-year low with the busiest flying quarter still ahead.
[27] Airports across central and eastern Europe have already been bracing for shortages and flight disruption linked to the Middle East crisis.[27] -
14
Russians abroad vote against Putin
Russians queued at embassies in Berlin, Yerevan and other cities to vote in the parliamentary election, many of them people who left after the 2022 invasion.
[7] Some protesters outside the Russian embassy in Berlin held a placard reading that Putin is a murderer and a war criminal.[7] Most anti-war candidates were barred from the ballot, and the parties that remained have voted with United Russia on every major question.[7] A 24-year-old woman who left Moscow told Reuters in Berlin that she still wants to live in a democratic Russia one day.[7] Why it matters — Hundreds of thousands of Russians, many of them young and well educated, left after the war began and settled in Georgia, Armenia, Kazakhstan and across Europe.
[7] Their votes cannot change the result and they cast them anyway.[7] -
15
Merz's party beaten in two German states
Germany's chancellor Friedrich Merz called the results of Sunday's state elections a disaster.
[36] In the north-eastern state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern his CDU party was first projected to scrape through with its worst ever result, then slipped below the 5% needed to stay in the state parliament at all.[36] The far-right AfD was on track to win the most votes there, but is unlikely to govern because no other party will work with it.[36] Merz said he would fight on after crushing defeats in two states.[8] Why it matters — The party with the most votes in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern will not run it, because nobody will form a government with the AfD.
[36] Merz leads Germany's national government and his own party has just been voted out of a state parliament.[36] -
16
Canada builds an alliance with Europe
Canada's prime minister Mark Carney met France's president Emmanuel Macron on Sunday at Saint-Pierre, the capital of Saint-Pierre and Miquelon, a French archipelago just off Canada's Atlantic coast.
[37] [38] The two asked their space agencies and defence departments to build and share space-launch systems, with no timeline or funding announced.[38] Carney said last week he would welcome Canada becoming the European Union's first associate member.[37] There is now a price to be paid for access to the United States market, he said, pointing to tariffs and demands for policy changes.[37] Why it matters — Canada spent nearly four decades building its economy around closer ties with the United States, and Donald Trump turned that dependence into pressure with tariffs and claims on Canadian sovereignty.
[37] Carney is not waiting for a different US president to undo it.[37] -
17
China raises its trade negotiator's rank
China's cabinet appointed Li Chenggang as the country's international trade representative, a post carrying a minister's rank, the state news agency Xinhua reported on Sunday.
[15] He was previously the commerce ministry's international trade negotiator, so the new title gives him a national mandate rather than a ministry one.[15] The change was made days before Xi Jinping's White House visit.[15] Vice premier He Lifeng is leading China's delegation to the United States for talks running from Saturday to Wednesday.[15] Why it matters — The appointment names one person for other governments to deal with on trade.
[15] It landed in the same weekend as the eight-hour New York talks that produced the AI alert line.[12] [14] -
18
Trump to meet New York's mayor
Donald Trump meets New York City's mayor Zohran Mamdani on Monday at Gracie Mansion, the mayor's official residence, while he is in the city for the General Assembly.
[16] Mamdani's office said the two would discuss issues affecting the city and New Yorkers.[16] Mamdani, a democratic socialist who beat former governor Andrew Cuomo in the Democratic primary, was called a 100% Communist Lunatic by Trump during the 2025 campaign.[16] Their meetings since have been cordial; at one, Mamdani handed Trump a mock newspaper front page reading Trump to City: Let's Build.[16] Why it matters — New York is hosting nearly 130 heads of state this week.
[9] Trump called Mamdani a communist during the 2025 campaign, then said after his win that the mayor would surprise some conservative people.[16] -
19
Israel says it killed three Hamas men in Gaza
Israel's military and the Shin Bet security agency said on Sunday that they had killed three Hamas members in Gaza over the weekend.
[32] Two of them took part in the 7 October 2023 attack on Israel and one was a commander in Hamas's Nukhba force, the joint statement said.[32] It said the three were systematically violating the ceasefire by rebuilding Hamas's capabilities.[32] Separately COGAT, the Israeli body that controls what enters Gaza, denied being to blame for the shortage of shelter materials and said more than 20,000 tents had entered in the past month.[32] Why it matters — Israel says the three men were violating the ceasefire, and the strikes happened inside that ceasefire.
[32] The second dispute is about shelter: COGAT was answering a claim that it is holding back the materials people in Gaza need before winter.[32] -
20
A shooting in the West Bank kills an Israeli
Israeli security officials suspect that a Palestinian opened fire on a group of Israelis at a spring outside the settlement of Neve Tzuf in the occupied West Bank.
[42] An Israeli man in his 30s was seriously wounded, medics and Israeli military sources said.[42] The army said the gunman remains at large and that it has launched large-scale sweeps in the area.[42] Why it matters — Nobody has been named or caught, and the army is searching the villages around the settlement.
[42] Neve Tzuf is one of the Israeli settlements built in the West Bank, land Israel has occupied since 1967.[42] -
21
Gantz may stop campaigning in Israel's election
Benny Gantz said he would halt his campaign if polls in the final week show his Blue and White party failing to clear the threshold for entering Israel's parliament.
[34] The party is polling at 2%, against the 3.25% a party needs to win any seats.[34] He said his only obligation is to his own voters and that he can guarantee their voice will not be thrown away.[34] Israel votes on 27 October.[34] - 1Blue and White in the latest poll2%
- 2Needed to win any seats at all3.25%
Blue and White is polling at 2%. A party needs 3.25% to enter Israel's parliament. Why it matters — Under Israel's rules, votes cast for a party below the threshold elect nobody at all.
[34] Gantz says he knows he will not be prime minister and is pitching his party as a bridge between the blocs for and against Netanyahu.[34] -
22
Britain moves to ban settlement goods
Britain plans to ban imports of goods made in Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank, together with related measures, and eleven other countries have pledged similar steps.
[30] Israel's government responded angrily, though the Haaretz analyst David Rosenberg writes that the measures would have little effect on Israeli exports and that most would be easy to get around.[30] What is different is that Britain says it will enforce the ban in law, rather than leave it to shoppers.[30] Why it matters — A consumer boycott depends on individuals choosing not to buy.
[30] A legal ban puts customs officers and company lawyers in the way instead.[30] -
23
The EU calls Israel about rebuilding Gaza
Dubravka Suica, the European Commissioner for the Mediterranean, said on Sunday that she had spoken to Israel's foreign minister Gideon Saar about EU-Israel relations, regional stability and rebuilding Gaza.
[31] She said she pressed the urgent need to advance early recovery, the first repairs that let people live somewhere again.[31] She also raised what she called a reformed and functioning Palestinian Authority.[31] The EU and partner countries launched a fund in July aimed at restoring essential services in Gaza.[31] Why it matters — Europe is arguing with itself about Israel this week.
[30] [31] Britain is preparing sanctions written into law while the European Commission is making phone calls about reconstruction.[30] [31] -
24
UAE answers a report of an October 7 warning
An official from the United Arab Emirates said that national leaders do not discuss security matters between themselves.
[35] He was responding to a Haaretz report that the UAE's president Mohammed bin Zayed warned Benjamin Netanyahu shortly before 7 October 2023 that Hamas was planning a major attack.[35] The comment came through The National, a UAE outlet owned by the Emirati president's brother.[35] The official did not outright deny the report.[35] Why it matters — Israel votes on 27 October, and the question of who was warned before 7 October is part of that campaign.
[34] [35] Haaretz published the original report earlier this month, and the UAE has not said it is untrue.[35] -
25
North Korea fires a ballistic missile
North Korea launched a short-range ballistic missile on Sunday, South Korea's military said.
[8] It came two days after North Korea said it would strengthen its nuclear weapons.[8] The launch landed in the week the UN General Assembly meets in New York, where nearly 130 heads of state are gathering.[9] Why it matters — South Korea's military is the body that detects and reports each North Korean launch.
[8] A short-range missile is one built to reach neighbours such as South Korea and Japan rather than distant countries. -
26
South Korea to brief MPs on a $350bn US deal
South Korea's industry ministry will hold a closed-door briefing for a National Assembly committee on Tuesday morning about the first project under the country's $350bn investment commitment to the United States, the Yonhap news agency reported.
[39] The commitment is part of South Korea's trade deal with the US.[39] The foreign minister Cho Hyun said on Thursday that the announcement of the investment plans had been delayed.[39] Reuters said it could not independently confirm the briefing, and the National Assembly did not comment.[39] Why it matters — The money was promised in order to secure a trade deal, and South Korea's parliament is being told about the first project behind closed doors.
[39] The shape of that first project sets the pattern for the rest.[39] -
27
Iran shuts a French language school in Tehran
Iranian authorities sealed a French language centre linked to the French embassy in Tehran after a court order, the Tehran prosecutor's office said, according to the semi-official Tasnim news agency.
[33] The authorities said the centre had taught languages for years without a licence, despite repeated warnings.[33] They accused it of acting against Iranian culture and national security, including identifying and building networks.[33] They also accused it of helping skilled Iranians leave the country.[33] Why it matters — The stated reason is about who leaves Iran, not about language lessons.
[33] France is one of the few European countries that still runs an embassy in Tehran.[33] -
28
Pakistan frees 23 held at an illegal checkpoint
Pakistani security forces killed five armed men and freed 23 people who were being held near Kalat in Balochistan province, the military said on Sunday.
[40] The men had set up an illegal checkpoint overnight into Saturday, stopping vehicles to take people for ransom, extort money and seize cars.[40] Troops recovered six trucks, three buses and two cars along with weapons, ammunition and explosives, and reported no casualties among the hostages or the soldiers.[40] The military described those killed as members of the outlawed Baloch Liberation Army and similar separatist groups.[40] Why it matters — Last month armed men in the same province killed 18 police officers after abducting them.
[40] Balochistan's chief minister Sarfraz Bugti ruled out negotiations with the insurgents just over a week ago.[40] -
29
Eighteen flown to Florida over a president's killing
Eighteen suspects in the 2021 assassination of Haiti's president Jovenel Moise were flown to Florida on a military plane to stand trial, US officials said on Sunday.
[41] Moise, 53, was shot dead at his home on 7 July 2021 by a hired group of about twenty military-trained Colombian men, and his own security detail did not intervene.[41] The FBI agent Brett Skiles called the arrests part of a continuing effort to reach everyone involved.[41] The federal prosecutor Jason Reding Quinones said the eighteen would face American justice in southern Florida.[41] Why it matters — Haiti has had no elected president since the killing, and its own courts have not brought the case to trial.
[41] The prosecution is happening in another country's courtroom.[41] -
30
More bodies recovered from the Java Sea ferry
Indonesia's search and rescue agency said on Sunday that it had recovered more victims from the passenger ship that capsized and sank in the Java Sea last weekend.
[43] The Virgo Transport 8 was carrying 243 people from Surabaya on Java to Banjarmasin on Borneo when it went down in bad weather.[43] Bodies are being brought ashore at Trisakti Port in Banjarmasin, in South Kalimantan province.[43] The agency did not say how many were recovered on Sunday.[43] Why it matters — The ship went down a week ago, so the work now is recovering bodies rather than finding survivors.
[43] The agency has still not published a full count of the dead and missing.[43] -
31
Ed Sheeran speaks about Gaza on stage
Ed Sheeran opened a concert at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia on Saturday by saying he could no longer stay silent about the war in Gaza, calling the devastation there catastrophic and unjustifiable.
[44] [45] He also called the Hamas attack of 7 October horrific.[44] It was his first concert since the rapper Macklemore was dropped from his US tour over pro-Palestinian remarks made during his sets.[45] I have had to take, and make, difficult decisions, and I am making mistakes, and I am so, so sorry, Sheeran told the crowd.[44] Why it matters — A small group protested outside the venue over Macklemore's removal.
[44] Sheeran said he had never wanted to be an activist musician and that the row had put him in the middle of an argument about free speech.[44]
Why leaders would rather meet one to one than in a room of 130
Any one country can block a meeting of many, so a government that wants an answer goes straight to the one that can give it.
The twist
Two governments can settle in an afternoon what 193 governments cannot settle in a year. What the two sign covers the two of them, and every other country is told about it afterwards.
The picture
How it works
- A shared body needs many countries to agree
- Any one of them can block it or slow it down
- So a government that wants an answer asks one other government
- The two sign something that binds only them
- Fewer decisions go through the shared body
The same force, elsewhere today
Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.
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Xi skips the UN for a summit with Trump
China's government took its trade and AI business to a two-country table in Washington instead of the hall where 130 leaders are speaking
-
US and China agree an AI alert line
the alert line binds two governments, while the UN's own AI advisory body, set up in 2023, has no such agreement
-
Houthis warn others to stay out of Yemen
the group dealt with the US government through Oman rather than through the UN's Yemen envoy or the Saudi-led coalition
-
Bachelet quits the race to lead the UN
she campaigned on defending international law, and the countries choosing the next UN chief dropped her within days
Where you've seen this
Trade rules
when the World Trade Organization's members cannot all agree, two countries sign a deal with each other instead
Court cases
two firms settle privately rather than wait years for a ruling that would bind everyone in their industry
A block of flats
the residents' meeting cannot agree on the roof, so two neighbours pay a builder to fix the part above their own ceilings
The catch
A two-country deal lasts only as long as the two governments that signed it. Nobody else agreed to it, so nobody else is obliged to keep it when one of the two changes its mind.
And the whole of it
Nearly 130 leaders are flying to New York this week, and the week's decisions on artificial intelligence and trade are being taken by two men in Washington. The countries that are not at that table still live with what is agreed there. Each of us only ever sees the meeting we are in.
What is really going on
Nearly 130 heads of state are flying to New York this week for the UN General Assembly, and the two meetings most likely to decide something are somewhere else.
Why it works on us — Counting heads is the easiest way to judge a meeting, and 130 leaders sounds like more power than two.
Who gains
-
Russia's United Russia party
— It faced no registered anti-war opponent. Yabloko was struck off by Russia's Supreme Court 12 days after registering, and the OSCE was not invited to observe.
[5] [6] -
South Korea's oil refiners
— Europe's jet fuel shortfall pulled their September shipments to about 129,000 barrels a day, a four-year high.
[27] -
Oil producers outside the Gulf
— A barrel sells at $104.68 because tankers cannot use Hormuz and the Red Sea, and that price is paid to everyone selling oil.
[19] [23] -
Germany's AfD
— It was on track to win the most votes in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern while the governing CDU fell below the 5% needed to stay in that state parliament.
[36] -
Israel's government
— A US move to sanction the International Criminal Court as a body would reach the court that holds arrest warrants against Israeli leaders.
[29] -
Rebeca Grynspan of Costa Rica
— Michelle Bachelet's withdrawal leaves her leading the straw polls to run the UN, with seven candidates still in.
[11]
Who pays
-
Families in the Kyiv region
— A Russian drone killed a mother and her two three-year-old children in their home, and a girl died in hospital after a second strike.
[4] -
People living near the Moscow refinery
— A drone set a 21-storey block of flats on fire and 400 residents had to leave; two people died in the wider region.
[1] [2] -
Gas buyers waiting on Qatar's new production lines
— QatarEnergy says the equipment cannot reach Qatar, so lines due in 2027 and 2028 may be late.
[26] -
Air passengers in Europe
— Jet fuel stocks at Europe's main hub fell to a seven-year low, and the continent is short for the last quarter of the year.
[27] -
Civilians in Yemen
— The UN recorded 28 killed and 82 injured in 31 incidents since August, and says the real figure is likely higher.
[22] -
Yabloko's candidates in Russia
— Some are in jail, many were barred from running, and some of the party's election observers were not registered.
[6]
What nobody knows yet
Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.
-
01
What the United States is actually planning against Iran.
Iran's military command says it has information that a major new attack is being prepared and has not said what that information is. The US has confirmed nothing beyond a general travel alert.
[17] [18] -
02
Who fired at the Israelis near Neve Tzuf.
Israeli security officials suspect a Palestinian gunman. The army says he is still at large and has named nobody.
[42] -
03
How much damage the Moscow refinery took.
Reuters reporters saw smoke and the mayor said drones reached the grounds, but the scale of the damage was not known.
[3] -
04
Whether the Houthis promised the United States anything.
Mohamed al-Bukhaiti said the group had assured the Trump administration it will not hit US ships, then confirmed only indirect contacts through Oman. The US has published nothing.
[20] -
05
What is actually in the US-China Board of Trade.
Bessent and Greer said it will start operating and named categories that might get lower tariffs, without saying what the two sides had settled.
[12] [14] -
06
How many people are still missing from the Java Sea ferry.
Indonesia's agency said it recovered more bodies on Sunday and did not say how many, a week after the ship went down with 243 people aboard.
[43] -
07
Whether the United Arab Emirates warned Netanyahu before 7 October 2023.
Haaretz reported that Mohammed bin Zayed gave the warning. A UAE official said leaders do not discuss such matters and did not deny the report.
[35] -
08
What sanctioning the International Criminal Court as an institution would cover.
The plan comes from unnamed people familiar with it, and the US State Department did not comment.
[29] -
09
How many civilians have been killed in Yemen since August.
The UN counted 28 killed and 82 injured in 31 incidents and said access problems mean the real number is very likely higher.
[22]
Pakistani soldiers freed 23 people who had been stopped at an illegal checkpoint near Kalat and held for ransom. None of them was hurt.
Also true today
- Eighteen men accused of killing Haiti's president Jovenel Moise landed in Florida on Sunday to stand trial, five years after he was shot at his home.
- The United States and China agreed on Sunday to set up a way of telling each other when something goes badly wrong with artificial intelligence, and to start running a joint trade board the two leaders discussed in May.
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