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Climate & Energy · week of 10 Aug – 16 Aug

Climate & Energy: 10 Aug – 16 Aug

Pressure climbed 5 points across the week, 63 to 68. It peaked at 69 on 11 Aug.

68

pressure at the week’s end, 0–100

+5

move across the week

7

editions published

105

sources read behind them

The arc · 7 days with a board

The band each day fell in.

No written analysis for this week

Everything on this page is measured from the week’s own boards and editions. The written read is added when the engine runs its report pass; a week without one still has its record.

What we said to watch

10 Aug Whether COP31's push to grow the carbon market is tied to hard proof that credits are additional - grow demand without it and the honesty problem scales up with the money.

The beat ended the week Under strain.

11 Aug Whether the record cash flowing into deep-water oil pays off in net energy, or whether cheaper solar and batteries keep undercutting it faster than the barrels come up.

The beat ended the week Under strain.

12 Aug Whether Texas mandates a share of firm gas capacity - a rule that would pay plants for standing by, not just for power delivered, and reshape how every US grid values reliability against cheap but intermittent solar.

The beat ended the week Under strain.

13 Aug Whether global emissions stop growing this decade. Warming tracks the carbon already piled up in the air, so it keeps rising until the yearly flow falls near zero, not merely lower.

The beat ended the week Under strain.

14 Aug Whether Europe can rebuild its gas storage before winter - caverns sat 48% full in early August versus 64% a year ago - while the closed Strait of Hormuz keeps gas dear and low rivers keep cutting nuclear output.

The beat ended the week Under strain.

15 Aug Whether Britain's constraint bill, the money paid to wind farms to stop generating, falls next windy season now that new lines and batteries are being pushed through, or keeps climbing because communities and landowners still block the routes.

The beat ended the week Under strain.

16 Aug Whether the fast, flexible plants keep getting built quickly enough to cover the swings, because when a grid cannot find a machine that moves in seconds it starts asking households to move instead - as Romania did when it asked people to use less in the evening peak.

The beat ended the week Under strain.

The honest half. These are the markers the boards named at the time — kept on the record whether or not they turned out to matter.

The board on Monday, and the board at the end

Opened

10 Aug

Carbon-market trust gap 80
Clean-tech cost squeeze 66
US policy reversal 62
Heat and grid strain 74
Clean build-out momentum 34

Ended

16 Aug

Heat on power plants 88
Swings in supply 80
Missing wires 76
Demand from data centres 68
Fast, flexible power 60
Reliance on gas 36

Both boards exactly as they were written at the time — not a diff. The engine names the forces fresh every morning, so "The cheap-yen gap" on Monday and "Money leaving the dollar" on Friday may well be the same pressure under different words. Comparing the labels would measure the labels; comparing the two boards yourself is the honest version.

The week’s editions · 7

Climate 16 Aug · 21 SRC

Kenya's grid is straining, and it is not short of power

Climate 15 Aug · 16 SRC

Britain pays households to live beside pylons, because the wires are what is missing

Climate 14 Aug · 14 SRC

A heatwave knocked out Europe's cheap power, and the price jumped for everyone

Climate 13 Aug · 15 SRC

The world keeps setting heat records even as clean energy wins

Climate 12 Aug · 13 SRC

AI's power hunger hits records, and the grid runs into a hard truth about "capacity"

Climate 11 Aug · 13 SRC

The oil industry bets record money on the hardest oil left

Climate 10 Aug · 13 SRC

Kenya fences in its carbon credits as the offset market's honesty problem resurfaces

The same week, another beat

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