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Sunday, 4 October 2026

4 Oct · Climate · In brief

Climate · Sunday, 4 October 2026

Climate, in brief

25 stories · 34 sources

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What is moving · 1 of 4

Heat out of season

High ↑

Los Angeles was forecast near 100F as an October heatwave began, 15 to 20 degrees above normal. [5] Hot seas have bleached coral this year from Florida to Kiribati. [6] England and Wales had 1,017 wildfires by mid-August. [2]

What is moving · 2 of 4

Warm water in the Pacific

High ↑

Experts tie this year's busy hurricane season off Mexico to El Nino, a warming of the Pacific. [7] El Nino is also the main reason the Atlantic had no hurricane in September, for the first time in more than 30 years. [8] NOAA scientists found it is what lets spring sunshine in the US Southwest be forecast months ahead. [9]

What is moving · 3 of 4

Dear diesel

High ↑

Harbinger says each of the 2,000 electric trucks FedEx ordered will cut fuel costs by about $20,000 a year. [10] US fishermen now pay about $6 a gallon for diesel, against under $4 a year ago. [11]

What is moving · 4 of 4

Batteries moving into homes

Building ↑

37% of new US home solar systems came with a battery in 2025, up from 25%. [12] A San Diego firm has shipped its first 100 sodium home batteries, with requests from four European countries. [13] Brazil has room on its grid for 56 gigawatts of big batteries ahead of December auctions. [14]

A UK plan to prepare the countryside for wildfires from 2023 was never started, and over half of 29 fire services lack wildfire gear

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A UK government plan from July 2023 promised a programme, from 2023 to 2027, to prepare England's countryside for wildfires. [1]

the figures were gathered by the Country Land and Business Association, a landowners' group [1]

Who is involved

Who is involved

Why it matters

The next test is the UK government's wildfire summit with fire services: watch whether it names money and dates for wildfire gear and training before next summer. [1]

What's really going on

England's 2023 climate plan promised a programme to prepare the countryside for wildfires, and it was never started. [1]

What's really going on

So the 1,017 wildfires of this summer met fire services where more than half of those that replied have no wildfire gear. [2][1]

Why it works on people

Saying a promise came from the previous government turns the question from why the work never began into who made the promise. [1]

Who pays

Ordinary gear does not filter carbon monoxide and can be too hot, so crews overheat or take it off. [1]

Who pays

19 homes were destroyed by grassfires on the UK's hottest day of the year. [3]

Nobody knows yet

Who decided not to start England's wildfire programme, and when.

The UK government says only that the promise was not brought into effect, and names no decision or date. [1]

Nobody knows yet

Whether this summer's fires would have been smaller if the programme had run.

The chair of Parliament's environment committee asked it, and nobody has measured it. [1]

Nobody knows yet

How many of England's fire services lack wildfire gear in all.

Only 29 services answered the landowners' group, and more than half of those had none. [1]

Nobody knows yet

What the UK government's wildfire summit will pay for.

It has given no date and no budget, beyond the 100 million pounds it says it gave earlier. [1]

The short version

That's the story in short.

The whole story has 12 more parts.

or swipe up for the next storyor scroll on for the next story ↓

The whole story, in 12 parts ↓

Part 1 of 12 · Who else is involved

Part 1 of 12 · Who else is involved

Part 2 of 12 · How it unfolded

Part 3 of 12

It was never carried out.

Part 3 of 12

The UK government says the promise was made by the previous government and not brought into effect. [1]

Part 4 of 12

Guy Shrubsole, a campaigner and author, found this out through a freedom of information request. [1]

Part 5 of 12

More than half of the 29 fire services that answered a separate request have no protective gear made for wildfires. [1]

Part 6 of 12

Ordinary firefighting gear does not filter gases such as carbon monoxide in wildfire smoke, and it can be too hot to wear. [1]

Part 7 of 12

Few staff are trained for it: in Cleveland, five people, 1.2% of staff, are qualified to command a wildfire. [1]

Part 8 of 12

This summer England and Wales had 1,017 wildfires by mid-August, equal to last year's record. [2]

Part 9 of 12

On 13 August the UK reached a record 38.1C, and fires destroyed 19 homes in Stourbridge, a town in the West Midlands. [3]

Part 10 of 12

Prime Minister Andy Burnham then banned the sale of disposable barbecues across Great Britain and called in the military. [4][2]

Part 11 of 12

The UK government now says wildfires are a priority, and it will hold a summit with fire services. [1]

Part 12 of 12

The Fire Brigades Union, which represents firefighters, wants proper wildfire gear and training for all its members. [1]

Polo's rain floods the US Midwest

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Rain left over from Hurricane Polo, which hit Mexico's Pacific coast earlier in the week, flooded towns across the central United States. [7]

Lincoln, Nebraska, had 6.1 inches on 30 September, its wettest day on record, and Omaha's fire service made 80 water rescues in three hours. [7]

Parts of Texas were in drought: at Dallas Fort Worth airport no rain fell for 67 days, from 16 July to 20 September. [16]

In Mexico's Sonora state, hundreds of people were still out of their homes. [7]

Why it matters

Hurricane Rachel reached Category 3 off Mexico on Thursday, in a Pacific season experts link to El Nino. [7]

Why it matters

The same warming has kept the Atlantic quiet, with no hurricane in September for the first time in more than 30 years. [8]

How it works

How warm water in the Pacific moves the weather around the world

How it works

When El Nino warms the eastern Pacific, it shifts where storm clouds rise and where the high winds blow, so weather changes thousands of kilometres away.

How it works · step 1 of 5

Every few years the winds across the Pacific weaken, and warm water spreads east toward the Americas

How it works · step 2 of 5

The warm sea heats the air above it, so the big storm clouds move east with it

How it works · step 3 of 5

That rising air pushes the fast winds high in the sky onto new paths

How it works · step 4 of 5

Rain, heat and storms follow those winds to places thousands of kilometres away

How it works · step 5 of 5

Some places get more storms, like Mexico's Pacific coast, and some get fewer, like the Atlantic

The twist

One warm patch of the Pacific changed the weather in Mexico, Nebraska, Los Angeles and the Atlantic in the same few weeks.

The picture

One chain from this week: warm Pacific water fed Hurricane Polo, and its leftover rain gave Lincoln, Nebraska, 6.1 inches in a day.

Seen the same day

Polo's rain floods the US Midwest

Warm Pacific water fed Hurricane Polo off Mexico, and the winds carried its leftover rain north to Nebraska.

Seen the same day

Los Angeles bakes in October

A marine heatwave in the Pacific, which is also driving this El Nino, is adding to the October heat over the city.

Seen the same day

Coral bleaches again as El Nino grows

El Nino adds its warmth to the long warming of the oceans, and the extra heat bleached coral from Florida to Kiribati.

Seen the same day

El Nino helps forecast spring sunshine

Because El Nino moves clouds and winds months in advance, scientists can forecast spring sunshine in the US Southwest a season early.

The catch

El Nino changes the odds, not every day's weather: Los Angeles gets October heat in normal years too, and no single storm can be blamed on El Nino alone.

The whole

Families flooded out in Sonora, rescue crews in Omaha and scientists trying to save coral in the Caribbean are all living with the same warm water this autumn.

The whole

Each of them sees only the weather in front of them.

Who pays

Hundreds were still out of their homes after Polo's floods. [7]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Polo's rain eased the Texas drought or mostly ran off.

Forecasters warned the rain could run off dry ground like water on concrete, and more than 43% of Dallas County was in the worst class of drought. [16]

US ocean monitors go back to sea

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A 238-foot research ship set out on Saturday to put back the first batch of deep-sea monitors the US government had started to remove. [17]

The network of 900 instruments, worth $368 million, sat off Oregon, Washington State, Alaska and North Carolina, and between Greenland and Iceland. [17] It measures currents, sea life and undersea volcanoes. [17]

The National Science Foundation, the US agency that funds basic science, began removing it in late 2025, though it was built to run 15 more years. [17]

Scientists, fishermen and Congress pushed back. [17]

Why it matters

Weather forecasters, climate scientists and fishing fleets use the data. [17] It matters more now, because a strong El Nino is changing the Pacific's weather and fisheries. [17]

Who gains

The ocean monitors they relied on are going back into the water after Congress pressed the US science agency. [17]

Nobody knows yet

How many of the US ocean monitors will go back, and when.

Only the first batch sailed on Saturday, and dozens of instruments were switched off rather than removed. [17]

Good news

A 238-foot research ship set sail on Saturday to put back the first of the US deep-sea monitors that had been pulled out of the Pacific, after scientists, fishermen and Congress pushed back.

FedEx orders 2,000 electric trucks

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FedEx, the US parcel company, ordered 2,000 electric box trucks from Harbinger, a US start-up, in a deal reported to be worth more than $300 million. [10]

The saving is Electrek's own sum: Harbinger's estimate of $20,000 a truck a year, times 2,000 trucks, times a 20-year life.

It is one of the largest firm orders for electric delivery trucks so far. [10]

Harbinger says each truck cuts fuel costs by about $20,000 a year against the diesel truck it replaces, and lasts 20 years. [10]

FedEx aims to run an all-electric fleet by 2040. [10]

Why it matters

Electrek works out about $800 million saved over 20 years from Harbinger's own figures. [10] Harbinger's chief executive said the order shows electric trucks make business sense for large fleets. [10]

Who gains

Its biggest order yet, 2,000 electric trucks for FedEx, reported at more than $300 million. [10]

Who gains

Harbinger says each truck cuts its fuel bill by about $20,000 a year against diesel. [10]

Nobody knows yet

Whether FedEx will really save $800 million.

That is Electrek's own sum from Harbinger's estimate of $20,000 a truck a year over 20 years, not a figure from FedEx. [10]

Good news

FedEx ordered 2,000 electric box trucks, one of the largest firm orders for electric delivery trucks yet.

Los Angeles bakes in October

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A long heatwave began in southern California on Friday, and the US National Weather Service expects it to last at least a week. [5]

Downtown Los Angeles was forecast near 100F, about 38C, with hotter days inland. [5] A UCLA professor said Friday was nearly 7F hotter than any 2 October on record. [5]

October heatwaves come from high air pressure parked over the region, and this year a marine heatwave offshore adds to them. [5]

Why it matters

Hot weather and dry soil raise the wildfire risk, though no strong winds are forecast yet. [5]

Why it matters

Heatwaves grow likelier and longer with every half-degree of global warming, a UCLA physicist said. [5]

How it works

Los Angeles bakes in October

A marine heatwave in the Pacific, which is also driving this El Nino, is adding to the October heat over the city.

The idea, in story 2: How warm water in the Pacific moves the weather around the world →

What's really going on

A marine heatwave in the same ocean is adding to the October heat in Los Angeles. [5]

Coral bleaches again as El Nino grows

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Hot seas have bleached coral this year around Florida, on Panama's Pacific coast and in Kiribati in the central Pacific, Nature reports. [6]

Bleaching is when coral pushes out the tiny algae that feed it, and it can kill the coral. [6]

It comes less than a year after the last global bleaching ended in 2025. [6]

Hard coral cover in 2020-2024 was 9.5% lower than in 1980-2009, and it fell 8.9% in 2024 alone. [6] Scientists expect worse in 2027, when El Nino peaks. [6]

Why it matters

Researchers are trying new rescues, from moving coral to deeper, cooler water to playing the sounds of a healthy reef underwater. [6]

Why it matters

In tests, coral larvae that heard those sounds settled almost twice as often. [6]

How it works

Coral bleaches again as El Nino grows

El Nino adds its warmth to the long warming of the oceans, and the extra heat bleached coral from Florida to Kiribati.

The idea, in story 2: How warm water in the Pacific moves the weather around the world →

What's really going on

Much of the rest of the day's weather traces back to El Nino, the warm Pacific water feeding hurricanes off Mexico and bleaching coral. [7][6]

Nobody knows yet

How much coral will die in this bleaching.

Coral can recover, but this event began less than a year after the last, and El Nino peaks in 2027. [6]

Good news

In tests by the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, coral larvae that heard recorded sounds of a healthy reef settled on damaged reefs almost twice as often as larvae that did not.

A third of US home solar comes with a battery

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Share of new US home solar systems sold with a battery, from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.

37% of new US home solar systems came with a battery in 2025, up from 25% the year before, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory found. [12]

The laboratory is a US government research centre, and its data covers about 450,000 systems built that year. [12]

In California the share was 74%, after a 2023 rule cut what homes are paid for power they send to the grid. [12] Outside California it rose from 7% to 17%. [12]

Why it matters

When selling spare daytime power pays less, storing it for the evening is worth more. [12]

Why it matters

Installers in other states face similar changes to how exported power is paid, so the same push is spreading. [12]

Good news

More than a third of new US home solar systems came with a battery in 2025, up from a quarter the year before.

Brazil's grid has room for batteries

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Brazil's grid has room to connect about 56 gigawatts of big batteries ahead of auctions on 2 and 4 December, the Brazilian Association of Energy Storage Solutions calculated. [14]

Figures from Brazil's battery industry association, ahead of the December auctions.

It used a note from the national grid operator published on 30 September. [14] The association expects a power shortfall of 4.5 to 10 gigawatts in 2028-2030. [14]

Developers registered 6,091 projects, totalling 296.8 gigawatts, for the auctions. [14]

Why it matters

With plenty of room and many bidders, price should decide which projects win, which the association says helps power users. [14]

Why it matters

Batteries at chosen substations get a 10% bonus, because they can help keep the grid's voltage steady. [14]

Who gains

The grid has room for 56 gigawatts, and batteries at chosen substations get a 10% ranking bonus. [14]

US fishermen turn on Trump over costs

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Some US commercial fishermen who voted for President Donald Trump now blame his policies for their rising costs, AP reports. [11]

Diesel, which their boats burn, has reached about $6 a gallon during the war with Iran, against under $4 a year ago. [11]

Staff cuts at NOAA, the US agency that runs fisheries and weather forecasting, have slowed its help and reduced the weather balloons fishermen rely on. [11]

A trade war with Canada has hurt crab markets. [11]

Why it matters

Fishing matters in close midterm races in Washington, Alaska and Maine. [11] Fishermen were also among those who pushed back against removing the US ocean monitors. [17]

Who pays

Diesel for their boats costs about $6 a gallon, against under $4 a year ago. [11]

National Trust: not every site can be saved

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A manager at the National Trust, the British charity that looks after historic houses and land, said protecting every heritage site from climate change may not be possible. [18]

Justin Scully, who runs Fountains Abbey in North Yorkshire, said heat, heavy rain and wildfire risk already harm its gardens, moors and buildings. [18]

Heavy rain can soak into walls, and dry spells can make the ground sink. [18] The trust is planning for the next 40 years and gets no guaranteed government money. [18]

Why it matters

It asked for a Cabinet-level minister to lead climate preparation across government. [18] The request came the same weekend England's wildfire programme was found never to have started. [1]

Who pays

It gets no guaranteed government money, and its manager says some climate repairs will be very expensive. [18]

Sodium batteries reach homes

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Unigrid, a San Diego company, has shipped its first 100 home batteries made with sodium instead of lithium and expects to ship 1,000 by the end of the year, the BBC reports. [13]

Requests have come from Spain, France, Germany and the Netherlands, where people want to store cheap power to run air conditioning in heatwaves. [13]

Sodium batteries could be cheaper and less likely to catch fire. [13] In Germany, Revolta won about 264,000 euros of EU money to build a sodium battery for flats. [19]

Why it matters

China makes most sodium cells today, and Unigrid buys its cells there for now. [13]

Why it matters

Germany began letting home batteries take power from the grid and sell it back on 1 October, which makes them more worth owning. [19]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Unigrid's sodium battery is as safe as it is sold to be.

Its cathode contains chromium-3, and a Cambridge chemist warned it can turn into toxic chromium-6 under some conditions. [13]

Mercedes drops two US electric models

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Mercedes-Benz will stop selling its EQE electric saloon and its $180,000 electric Maybach SUV in the US for the 2027 model year, Electrek reports. [20]

Both belong to its first generation of electric cars, which it is replacing with newer models such as the CLA, from $47,250. [20]

Kia, the South Korean carmaker, is offering up to $10,000 off some electric cars in the US as its cheapest, the EV3 at about $30,000, reaches showrooms. [21]

Why it matters

Kia sold just over 500 EV3s in its first full month and wants a fourth record sales year in a row. [21]

Why it matters

Both carmakers are putting their weight behind cheaper electric models. [20][21]

A battery graphite maker seeks a buyer

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Vianode, a Norwegian company that makes synthetic graphite for car batteries, is looking for a partner or a buyer, its chief executive told Reuters. [22]

Graphite forms the anode, one of the two ends inside a battery. [22] China controls about 95% of the world's battery-grade graphite. [22]

Vianode is building a plant in Ontario, Canada, that could supply about 2 million electric cars a year, and General Motors signed a supply deal with it in 2025. [22]

Why it matters

GM has since scaled back its electric plans, and battery firms struggle to raise money after Sweden's Northvolt collapsed. [22]

Why it matters

Western companies are racing to cut their reliance on China for battery materials. [22]

Colorado homes heated from the ground

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Dandelion Energy and Lennar, one of the biggest US homebuilders, finished nearly 100 homes south of Denver that each draw heat through a hole drilled 200 to 500 feet into the ground. [23]

Down there it stays about 50F all year, warming the home in winter and cooling it in summer. [23]

Drilling one home at a time often costs over $10,000, so the firms drill a whole estate before the foundations go in. [23] They plan 1,500 such homes in Colorado. [23]

Why it matters

In cold snaps these systems use a quarter of the electricity of air heat pumps, Dandelion says. [23]

Why it matters

A US Department of Energy report found 7 million such homes by 2035 could cut winter peak demand by more than 40 gigawatts. [23]

Who gains

Its deal with Lennar puts its ground heat pumps in 1,500 new Colorado homes. [23]

Households could fill Britain's grid gap

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Britain faces a gap of about 10% in flexible power, the kind that can be switched on at short notice, Cornwall Insight, an energy consultancy, calculated. [24]

Filling it would take about 100 large batteries or 400 small gas plants. [24]

Its research says homes that shift when they charge cars and run appliances could do much of that job. [24]

Britain's grid operator says total generating capacity may need to rise by 206% to 245% between 2024 and 2050. [25]

Why it matters

Demand peaks in the evening, when people get home, and wind and solar do not always match it. [24]

Why it matters

Building the extra batteries or gas plants would be expensive and need other grid upgrades, Cornwall Insight says. [24]

The world's land is losing water

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Water stored on land, in soil, rivers, lakes and underground, fell by about 173 cubic kilometres a year from 2002 to 2025, a study in Scientific Reports found. [26]

It used the GRACE satellites, which track water by measuring small changes in Earth's gravity. [26] A few drying hotspots outweighed gains elsewhere. [26]

In 55% of the river basins losing water, the land also got worse at holding out against drought. [26]

Why it matters

In some dry regions droughts now start faster and hit harder, the authors say. [26]

A few big methane leaks skew the count

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Methane, a gas that warms the planet, leaks from oil and gas sites, and a few very large leaks make up a big share of it, a study in Communications Earth & Environment found. [27]

So a small number of measurements can get the average badly wrong. [27] A sample reads too low when it catches fewer big leakers than really exist. [27]

The authors studied six US oil and gas fields and found each needs its own sampling plan. [27]

Why it matters

Estimates built from a few site visits can miss much of what escapes. [27] Very large samples may be needed to get it right, the authors say. [27]

El Nino helps forecast spring sunshine

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Scientists at NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory showed that spring sunshine in the US Southwest can be forecast a season ahead. [9]

The main source of that skill is the state of El Nino and La Nina, the swings in Pacific sea temperatures. [9]

Their forecast system also caught times when wind and solar ran low together. [9]

Why it matters

Grid planners with more wind and solar want to know months ahead when power will run short or run over. [9]

How it works

El Nino helps forecast spring sunshine

Because El Nino moves clouds and winds months in advance, scientists can forecast spring sunshine in the US Southwest a season early.

The idea, in story 2: How warm water in the Pacific moves the weather around the world →

Dry places get drier as the world warms

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A study in Communications Earth & Environment used 191 records of past climate over 21,000 years, along with computer models. [28]

It found monsoon regions near the equator were wetter in warm periods, while many mid-latitude regions under westerly winds were wetter in cold ones. [28]

Its models expect drying across many subtropical and mid-latitude regions as warming continues, and wetting in the far north and monsoon regions. [28]

Why it matters

That would widen the gap between wet and dry places and put more pressure on water in dry lands. [28]

Thin ice threatens Arctic whaling

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By 2050, about half of spring days at Utqiagvik, Alaska, may have ice too thin for whaling crews to work from safely, a study in Scientific Reports projects. [29]

50 of 100

spring days with possibly unsafe ice by 2050

About half of spring days at Utqiagvik, Alaska, in the study's projection.

People there hunt bowhead whales from the sea ice in spring and autumn, for food and by tradition. [29] The authors compared four sets of results from a US climate model. [29]

Changes to autumn winds were less clear. [29]

Why it matters

Whaling at Utqiagvik is hunting for food, so thinner ice threatens a food supply as well as a tradition. [29]

Hong Kong's roofs could make far more solar

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Rooftops on Hong Kong's 338,550 buildings could make 3.77 terawatt-hours of solar power a year, a study in a Nature journal estimated from satellite and ground data. [30]

Solar makes only 0.37% of Hong Kong's power today. [30]

With Hong Kong's payments for solar power sent to the grid, panels would pay for themselves in about 3.5 to 6.4 years. [30]

Why it matters

The authors say the method can guide solar plans in other crowded, cloudy cities. [30]

Europe's foresters weigh timber against drought

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Forest managers across Europe agree that drought is the biggest climate risk to their woods, a survey in Communications Earth & Environment found. [31]

Most rank mixing broadleaf trees with conifers as the best way to adapt. [31]

But a quarter said they would keep or raise the share of conifers, because they expect timber prices to rise. [31]

Why it matters

Expected timber prices are changing what gets planted, against what the same managers rank as best for the forest. [31]

Sussex volunteers find more ancient trees

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Volunteers with the Lost Woods project have recorded 5,570 old and notable trees across 314 square kilometres of Sussex, in southern England, more than they expected. [32]

They include 348 ancient trees, in the last stage of their lives, and 2,743 veteran trees. [32]

About 20 volunteers each cover a square kilometre, and the trees go into the UK's Ancient Tree Inventory. [32]

Why it matters

Old trees carry fungi that matter for wildlife, and a tree has to be found before it can be protected. [32]

Good news

Volunteers in Sussex have recorded 5,570 old and notable trees, more than they expected, including 348 ancient ones.

Could a Greenland iceberg hit Europe?

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In Tom Cruise's new film Digger, a giant iceberg breaks off Greenland and threatens Europe. [33] Scientists told Scientific American it could not happen as shown. [33]

Ice shelves already float, so an iceberg breaking off does not raise the sea, and the waves it makes reach only a few kilometres. [33]

The film's iceberg is about 400 square miles, four times Greenland's largest in recent history, from Petermann Glacier in 2010. [33]

Why it matters

The real risk from polar ice is slow: melting ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica will raise sea levels around the world. [33]

Solar panels between the rails

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Researchers found room for more than 8.5 megawatts of solar panels laid between the rails on five South Korean railway lines, pv magazine reports. [34]

They studied lines in Busan, Seoul and Daegu and the main Seoul-Busan line, leaving out tunnels and shaded stretches. [34]

The idea is to make solar power in crowded cities without using new land. [34]

Why it matters

Railways already sit on public land next to the power lines that trains use. [34]

That's the whole Climate day.

25 stories, 34 sources.