Day Lila
Day Lila

Saturday, 31 October 2026

31 Oct · Climate · In brief

Climate · Saturday, 31 October 2026

Climate, in brief

34 stories · 40 sources

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What is moving · 1 of 4

Money for green plans running short

High ↑

The Cali Fund for nature aimed at $1 billion a year and has about $10,000. [3] Volkswagen paused its electric Golf, its brand boss writing that it cannot afford the work. [29] LiveWire, an electric motorbike maker, saw its cash fall from $82.8 million to $39.9 million. [30]

What is moving · 2 of 4

Storms and floods on four continents

High ↑

A glacial lake burst in Bhutan, washing away a bridge and moving 4,000 people in India. [10][11] Storm warnings covered four Australian cities, with winds over 125km/h possible. [12] Central Greece and western Turkey expect another 100-150mm of rain. [13]

What is moving · 3 of 4

Gas tight before winter

Building ↑

Germany's gas stores are about 62% full and will miss Sunday's 70% goal. [6] Pakistan's regulator raised the price of imported gas by up to 15.3%. [18] A fault halved Northern Ireland's power link with Great Britain just before winter. [16]

What is moving · 4 of 4

Water pumped from under the ground

Building ↑

Turkey has recorded 684 sinkholes in farmland where groundwater is pumped for crops. [31] A survey of 465 big cities found pumping is usually the main reason they sink. [32]

COP17, the UN nature summit in Yerevan, ends with a deal to speed up work on the 2030 nature targets, but the money stays short

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Nearly 200 countries agreed a new plan for nature early on Saturday, after overtime. [2]

They met at COP17, the UN's nature summit, in Yerevan, Armenia's capital. [1]

Countries promised to speed up work on the nature targets they set for 2030. [1]

who pays, still open

But they left open the biggest fight: which countries must pay for it. [1]

Who is involved

Who is involved

Why it matters

Scientists say species are dying out about 100 times faster than the natural rate. [2]

Why it matters

Governments also pay twice: they fund harmful fishing, like trawling, then pay to repair nature. [2]

How it works

In diplomacy this is a consensus rule: a deal passes only when no country objects. [3]

The truth

The 2022 deal aims to cut $500 billion a year of subsidies that harm nature. [3]

The truth

weak wording on subsidies

Greenpeace says the agreed wording on those subsidies is weak. [4]

What comes next

Ecuador hosts in 2028

Ecuador beat Panama in a secret vote to host the next nature summit, in 2028. [4]

What's really going on

Nearly 200 countries in Yerevan agreed to try harder on 2030 nature targets that they are mostly missing, but they did not settle who pays.

What's really going on

The Cali Fund, meant to charge companies for nature's genetic data, has about $10,000 and was put off to 2028. [1][3]

Why it works on people

A gavel, applause and a deal announced at dawn look like a result, while the hardest questions are moved to the next meeting.

Who gains

The 2006 list of countries that must pay for nature still classes them as developing, and COP17 did not change it. [1][5]

Who pays

A significant share was meant to reach them, and the fund has raised just over $10,000. [1]

Nobody knows yet

How much new money COP17 actually raised.

The BBC counts more than $1 billion pledged, half from charities and rich donors; the summit's own secretariat counted more than $1.8 billion announced. [2][3]

Nobody knows yet

What the final COP17 texts say.

The final versions of the two main texts were still not published early on Saturday. [4]

Nobody knows yet

Whether China and Gulf states will ever join the countries that must pay for nature.

A late draft only invited other countries to join by choice, and the final agreement left it open. [4][1]

The short version

That's the story in short.

The whole story has 7 more parts.

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The whole story, in 7 parts ↓

Part 1 of 7 · Who else is involved

Part 1 of 7 · Who else is involved

Part 2 of 7

In 2022 nearly every government signed a deal to halt the loss of nature by 2030. [2]

Part 2 of 7

That deal, the Global Biodiversity Framework, set 23 targets. [3]

Part 2 of 7

fewer than half on track

A UN review this month found fewer than half of national targets on track. [3]

Part 2 of 7

Governments have never met a target in the convention's 34-year history, the Guardian reports. [1]

Part 3 of 7

One target is to protect 30% of the world's land and seas by 2030. [3]

Part 3 of 7

Share of the world protected for nature now, against the 2030 target.

Today about 19% of land and inland waters is protected, and 10% of oceans. [3]

Part 4 of 7

Countries reaffirmed a goal of $30 billion a year for nature by 2030. [1]

Part 4 of 7

In 2022 they also promised to raise a further $170 billion from private sources. [2]

Part 4 of 7

The yearly gap between what nature needs and what it gets is about $700 billion. [3]

Part 4 of 7

Many rich countries have moved aid money to defence and to energy shocks, the UN says. [2]

Part 5 of 7

The EU wanted China and rich Gulf states to join the countries that must pay. [3]

Part 5 of 7

The list of payers was written in 2006. [5]

Part 5 of 7

China and several Gulf states are still classed as developing countries in it. [1]

Part 5 of 7

Saudi Arabia and Qatar reportedly opposed widening the list. [3]

Part 5 of 7

who pays: left open

The final agreement left the question open. [1]

Part 6 of 7

The Cali Fund asks companies that profit from nature's genetic data to pay in. [2]

Part 6 of 7

drug companies use nature's genetic data

Drug companies are among the firms that profit from such data. [1]

Part 6 of 7

The fund aimed to raise $1 billion a year, and has about $10,000. [3]

Part 6 of 7

Decisions on it were put off to the next summit, in two years. [1]

Part 7 of 7

Saudi Arabia and Russia were reported to have held up approval of science reports. [2]

Part 7 of 7

Argentina, Saudi Arabia and Russia watered down the wording on ambition in the final text. [1]

Part 7 of 7

Every decision needs all countries to agree, so a few can block progress. [3]

Part 7 of 7

“designed to fail”
Juan Carlos Navarro, Panama's environment minister

Panama's environment minister, Juan Carlos Navarro, said the summits were "designed to fail". [1]

Germany will miss its gas storage goal

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Germany said it will miss its goal of having gas stores 70% full by Sunday. [6]

How full gas stores are before winter.

Its stores are about 62% full, against 91% in Italy and 75% across the EU. [6]

Alessandro Noce, an Italian energy official, blamed late German buying for prices above €100. [6]

That price is for a megawatt-hour of gas; he says it would otherwise be near €70. [6]

How it got here

SEFE told to buy gas

Late last month Germany's minister told SEFE, a state-owned firm, to buy and store gas. [6]

“We firmly reject the accusation.”
Germany's economy ministry

Germany's economy ministry said on Friday: "We firmly reject the accusation." [6]

How it got here

Italy spent about €300 million filling its own stores, Noce said. [6]

Why it matters

If winter is very cold, Italy may have to help cover Germany's shortfall. [6]

How it works

In energy economics a shared market has one price, so Germany's buying moves Italy's too. [6]

The truth

Countries that stored early, like Italy, may still pay for another country's late start. [6]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Germany's gas stores fill before a cold spell.

Germany will miss its 70% goal by Sunday, and Italy says it may have to help if winter is very cold. [6]

UAE says the tanker spill is contained

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Gem No. 2

UAE officials said they had contained the oil spill from the damaged tanker Gem No. 2. [7]

no new leak found

They have found no fresh leak, and the pollution has noticeably declined. [7]

How it got here

The Chinese-owned supertanker was hit off Sharjah more than two weeks ago, experts say. [8]

Beaches stay shut in Umm Al Quwain, Sharjah and Ras Al Khaimah, three UAE emirates. [7]

The slick lies mostly off Umm Al Quwain, reaching partly towards Ajman too. [7]

How it got here

A marine monitor, Windward, counted 12 spills near the strait between July and September. [8]

Why it matters

turtles, dolphins, seabirds

Experts warn that turtles, dolphins and seabirds could be harmed. [8]

How it works

Spill teams are using machines to remove oil, alongside chemical sprays called dispersants. [7]

The truth

fishermen kept away

Fishermen have been told to avoid polluted areas while the clean-up goes on. [8]

October is on track to be the hottest

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the hottest October recorded

This October is on track to be the hottest October ever recorded. [9]

Global temperatures are set to be about 1.76C above pre-industrial levels. [9]

  1. 1October 20231.7 C
  2. 2October 20261.76 C

That would beat October 2023, which reached 1.7C. [9]

Climate scientists Andrew Dessler and Zeke Hausfather made the projection. [9]

Who is involved

Copernicus climate data

They used data from Copernicus, a Europe-based service that tracks the climate. [9]

How it got here

El Nino in the Pacific

El Nino, an unusually warm patch of the Pacific Ocean, is adding to the heat. [9]

Why it matters

2026 is now on track to be among the hottest years recorded, if not the hottest. [9]

How it works

Climate scientists add two pushes: steady warming from burning fuels, and El Nino's swings. [9]

The truth

final figure still to come

The record is a projection; the final October figure is not out yet. [9]

What comes next

a record 2027 expected

Hausfather expects a series of record months, ending in a record 2027. [9]

Bhutan's glacial flood washes out a bridge

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A glacial lake in north-west Bhutan burst on Thursday night, flooding the Mochhu river. [10]

Who is involved

Gasa district, Bhutan

The lake, Shintapu Tsho, lies in Gasa district, which borders Tibet. [10]

The flood damaged two roads and swept away a bridge built in 2022 with Indian help. [10]

Gasa Tshachu hot spring

It washed away almost all public buildings at Gasa Tshachu, a popular hot spring. [10]

no casualties reported

Officials reported no deaths or injuries. [10]

In India, at least 4,000 people in West Bengal were moved to safety. [11]

Why it matters

Assam's chief minister said his Indian state was watching the flood closely. [10]

How it works

This kind of flood has its own name: a glacial lake outburst flood, or GLOF. [10]

Good news

All 47 people reported missing in West Bengal were later found safe. [11]

The truth

The water crosses a border, so West Bengal relies on Bhutan's warnings and its own checks. [11]

What comes next

a second lake forming

Officials now fear a new lake, formed downstream near Taktsemakhang, could also burst. [10]

Who pays

The glacial flood washed away almost all its public facilities. [10]

Nobody knows yet

Whether the new lake in Bhutan bursts too.

Water is building up behind debris near Taktsemakhang, and officials fear a second outburst. [10]

Storms cross south-east Australia

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storm warnings in four cities

Storm warnings covered Melbourne, Canberra, Sydney and Brisbane as a cold front crossed Australia. [12]

The Bureau of Meteorology, Australia's weather agency, warned of winds over 125km/h. [12]

trees and homes at risk

Winds like that could bring down large trees and damage homes, it said. [12]

hail and flash floods

Large hail and flash floods were also possible in inland New South Wales. [12]

Storms reached Melbourne on Saturday and were due on the east coast on Sunday. [12]

Why it matters

wet ground floods first

Places soaked in the past fortnight face the highest flash-flood risk, a forecaster said. [12]

How it works

Meteorologists say these storms form where a cold front meets warm, humid air. [12]

The truth

damage not yet counted

How much damage the storms did is not yet known; these were warnings. [12]

What comes next

Brisbane on Sunday

Brisbane expects heavy rain and storms on Sunday afternoon. [12]

Greece and Turkey brace for more rain

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flood warnings in two countries

Greece and Turkey issued severe rain and flood warnings this week. [13]

Another 100-150mm of rain is expected in central Greece and western Turkey. [13]

locally higher totals

Some places could get even more, forecasters say. [13]

The rain comes with strong winds across south-eastern Europe and Turkey. [13]

How it got here

On Tuesday a tornado in Antalya, on Turkey's coast, killed 4 construction workers. [13]

How it works

Forecasters say an area of low pressure is letting powerful thunderstorms build there. [13]

Why it matters

Rain on this scale brings a risk of floods, which is why both countries issued warnings. [13]

Super Typhoon In-fa heads for the Marianas

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Typhoon In-fa became a super typhoon on Wednesday, with sustained winds of 240km/h. [13]

Its gusts went over 296km/h. [13]

It is heading north-west and expected to miss Guam, hit by Typhoon Champi this month. [13]

the Mariana Islands

In-fa is expected to affect the Mariana Islands in the western Pacific. [13]

Further east, Tropical Storm Vance brought 50-100mm of rain to western Mexico. [13]

Vance weakens

Vance has now weakened to a tropical depression, a weaker storm. [13]

Why it matters

4 of 4

super typhoons this year

The islands have already been battered by four super typhoons this year. [13]

The truth

path still a forecast

Its exact path, and how hard it hits the islands, is still a forecast. [13]

Xcel plans $70 billion of new building

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Xcel Energy, a US power company, plans to spend $70 billion over five years. [14]

Xcel's five-year spending plans.

That is 17% more than its previous $60 billion plan. [14]

New power Xcel plans to build.

It would add 9.2 gigawatts of renewables, 2.3 of storage and 3.3 of gas. [14]

data centres under contract

About $7 billion goes to data centre projects already under contract. [14]

Xcel will borrow $26 billion and sell $8 billion of new shares to pay for it. [14]

Its quarterly profit jumped 83% to $960 million. [14]

Why it matters

Its boss says existing customers should not subsidise new large users like data centres. [14]

How it works

Utility regulators set its prices: Minnesota approved a 2.9% yearly rise in July. [14]

The truth

Smokehouse Creek fire

Xcel cannot yet say what it owes for the 2024 Smokehouse Creek fire in Texas. [14]

The truth

Claims could exceed its $525 million insurance, its filing says. [14]

Who gains

Its quarterly profit rose 83% to $960 million on good weather, more sales and approved price rises. [14]

Britain approves the Sea Link power cable

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Britain's government approved Sea Link, a 138km undersea power cable from Suffolk to Kent. [15]

It can carry 2GW, enough for the equivalent of two million homes, National Grid says. [15]

It will carry power from offshore wind farms, links abroad and nuclear plants. [15]

It runs under the sea from Pegwell Bay in Kent to near Aldeburgh in Suffolk. [15]

the Planning Inspectorate

The Planning Inspectorate said it heard local views before making its recommendation. [15]

Why it matters

fewer switch-off payments

Britain's government says it will cut payments to generators to switch off power. [15]

How it works

When the wires are full, the grid pays generators to stop; more wires cut that. [15]

The truth

Kent Wildlife Trust says the cable harms coastal habitats and will keep challenging it. [15]

A fault halves Northern Ireland's power link

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the Moyle link at half power

A fault has halved how much power Northern Ireland can import from Great Britain. [16]

The link, the Moyle Interconnector, is an undersea cable now carrying only 250MW. [16]

cause and repair date unknown

Mutual Energy, which runs it, does not know the cause or a repair date. [16]

Why it matters

just before the winter peak

The fault comes just before winter, when demand for power is highest. [16]

The grid operator, SONI, still expects enough power to meet demand this winter. [16]

How it works

Grid operators test winter against a base case that assumes plants and links work. [16]

The truth

higher risk, within limits

If the link stays broken, the risk rises but stays within safe limits, SONI says. [16]

Nobody knows yet

When the Moyle power link is repaired.

Mutual Energy does not yet know the cause or the repair date. [16]

EU and Canada agree minerals and gas study

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The EU and Canada agreed on Friday to study shipping Canadian gas to Europe. [17]

How it got here

no east-coast export plant

Canada has plenty of gas but no east-coast plant to turn it into liquid for ships. [17]

They also agreed more EU investment in Canada's critical minerals. [17]

Who is involved

The money would come through the European Investment Bank, the EU's lending arm. [17]

The deal was concluded after talks in Montreal. [17]

Why it matters

two like-minded democracies

Both sides call themselves like-minded democracies in a world moving away from shared rules. [17]

The truth

a study, not a supply deal

The gas part is only a long-term feasibility study, not a supply deal. [17]

Pakistan's imported gas price jumps 15%

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Ogra, Pakistan's oil and gas regulator, raised the price of imported gas by up to 15.3%. [18]

How it got here

a 20% cut the month before

The rise follows a 20% cut for September. [18]

dearer crude oil

Higher crude oil prices were the main cause, the regulator said. [18]

$0
$11
$21
JulOct

Imported LNG cost $18.96 in July, $12.12 in August, $10.06 in September, $10.75 in October. [18]

Who is involved

liquefied natural gas

LNG is liquefied natural gas, shipped in from abroad, priced per million British thermal units. [18]

Why it matters

Power stations burn this gas, so electricity costs in December are expected to rise. [18]

The truth

One gas company, SSGC, now loses 12.55% of its gas in its pipes, up from 10.6%. [18]

Who pays

Imported gas rose by up to 15.3%, which is expected to raise power costs in December. [18]

First Solar cuts its sales forecast

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First Solar's forecast cut

First Solar, a US solar panel maker, cut its sales forecast for 2026. [19]

a lower sales range

It now expects $4.6 billion to $4.9 billion, down from $4.9 billion to $5.2 billion. [19]

Its sales fell 23% in the third quarter as it sold fewer panels to other firms. [19]

Its profit still rose 25%, to $571 million. [19]

How it got here

the August tariff order

It blames uncertainty after an August US tariff order under a trade law, Section 232. [19]

Why it matters

Buyers who cannot tell what tariffs will cost hold back, so orders slow. [19]

How it works

policy uncertainty

Economists call this policy uncertainty: firms delay buying until the rules are clear. [19]

The truth

Its shareholders still gain: it approved a new $500 million share buyback. [19]

What comes next

the Malaysia factory

It faces a "binary decision" on the future of its Malaysia factory. [19]

SEG Solar plans a Texas cell factory

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SEG Solar plans a $950 million factory near Houston to make 4 gigawatts of solar cells. [20]

How it got here

Today SEG assembles panels in Texas; the new plant would make the cells inside them. [20]

heterojunction cells

It will use a high-efficiency design called heterojunction, or HJT. [20]

It would open in two halves, in 2028 and 2029, with over 700 jobs. [20]

Why it matters

rules that reward home-made parts

US-made cells help solar farms meet rules that reward home-made parts. [20]

The truth

SEG's own claim

SEG calls itself the only US firm making everything in one place: its own claim. [20]

US releases Ethiopia-made solar cells

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TOYO's cells released

US customs released solar cells made in Ethiopia by TOYO, a Japanese company. [21]

proof of where the silicon came from

TOYO showed where its polysilicon and wafers, the cells' raw silicon, came from. [21]

How it got here

In May, 8 US makers, including First Solar, accused it of using Chinese wafers. [21]

How it got here

duties on Chinese solar goods

They say this dodges US duties on Chinese solar goods. [21]

How it got here

Ethiopia's solar cell and panel sales to the US were almost nil before July 2025. [21]

In the second half of 2025 they reached about $277 million. [21]

Why it matters

The ruling decides whether Ethiopia's fast-growing solar trade with the US can carry on. [21]

How it works

Trade lawyers call it circumvention: routing goods through another country to avoid a duty. [21]

The truth

duties could be backdated

Any duties could be charged back to the start of the inquiry. [21]

What comes next

first ruling by 10 December

The US Commerce Department makes a first ruling by 10 December. [21]

Who gains

Its Ethiopian cells were released and can be sold in the US while the trade inquiry runs. [21]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Ethiopia-made solar cells will face US duties.

The first US ruling is due by 10 December and the final one around May 2027. [21]

JA Solar's losses grow

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JA Solar, a Chinese solar maker, lost 3.64 billion yuan in the first nine months. [22]

JA Solar's nine-month losses.

That is more than its 3.558 billion yuan loss a year earlier. [22]

Its revenue fell 23.62% to 28.113 billion yuan. [22]

low panel prices

It blames low prices across the industry. [22]

Overseas buyers took 60.92% of the panels it shipped. [22]

Why it matters

Jinko moves into AI and space

Another Chinese maker, Jinko, renamed itself to invest in AI and space as well. [22]

The truth

three reasons for the loss

Its losses come from low prices, write-downs on its factories and compensation costs, it says. [22]

Benin funds its first private solar plants

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Benin, a West African country, secured €30 million for its first privately run solar plants. [23]

4 of 4

solar plants in four cities

The four plants will total 62 megawatts. [23]

Who is involved

The lenders are the International Finance Corporation and Proparco, France's development lender for firms. [23]

four Beninese cities

Axian, a pan-African company, will build them in Natitingou, Djougou, Parakou and Bohicon. [23]

They should add about 17% to Benin's power from 2028. [23]

Why it matters

Benin aims to connect about 928,000 more households to power by 2030. [23]

How it works

The state utility has agreed to buy the plants' power under long-term contracts. [23]

Good news

financing signed

The money is now agreed, with power due in early 2028. [23]

Good news

Benin signed €30 million in loans for four solar plants that should add about 17% to its power from 2028.

Italy rejects 468 megawatts of solar

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Solar projects decided by Italy's cabinet on 28 October.

Italy's cabinet rejected 10 solar projects totalling about 468 megawatts on 28 October. [24]

five approved in Puglia

It approved five others, totalling 272 megawatts, all in Puglia. [24]

Who is involved

Many were agrivoltaic: solar panels built over farmland that is still farmed. [24]

The largest rejected was a 113-megawatt plant in Ascoli Satriano, in Puglia. [24]

The largest approved is a 76.77-megawatt farm between Foggia and Lucera, also in Puglia. [24]

How it works

Each project needs a formal environmental review opinion from the cabinet before it is built. [24]

Why it matters

Italy's government said protecting landscape and heritage outweighed producing more clean power. [24]

The truth

Neighbours who value the view gain; developers lose 468 megawatts of planned plants. [24]

Hitachi's nuclear sales rise 48%

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Hitachi, a Japanese conglomerate, said its nuclear revenue rose 48% in a year. [25]

1 of 4

first of four reactors due in 2030

It plans to deliver the first of four small reactors to Ontario, Canada, in 2030. [25]

Who is involved

the BWRX-300 reactor

The reactors, called BWRX-300, make 300 megawatts each and are built with GE Vernova. [25]

What comes next

a reactor for the TVA by 2032

The Tennessee Valley Authority, a US public power firm, wants one by 2032. [25]

Most of Hitachi's energy money still comes from grid equipment: $5.7 billion in the quarter. [25]

Why it matters

data centres

Data centres are driving demand for its grid equipment, Hitachi says. [25]

The truth

new technology, new risks

Hitachi warns that new-technology projects can change in cost or even be cancelled. [25]

Edison says fire law delay costs customers

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wildfire law delayed

Edison International, owner of Southern California Edison, says delay on wildfire laws is hurting customers. [26]

How it got here

plan not passed

In September California lawmakers did not pass a plan to limit power firms' fire liability. [26]

Who is involved

Liability here means having to pay for fire damage. [26]

How it got here

Edison International's shares fell 23% on that news. [26]

Why it matters

“significant and costly consequences”
Pedro Pizarro, Edison International

Pizarro says delay into 2027 would bring "significant and costly consequences". [26]

What comes next

deadline: 15 November

Its boss, Pedro Pizarro, wants a law before the 15 November deadline. [26]

How it works

Lenders charge more when a borrower looks risky, and fire claims make SCE look risky. [26]

The truth

Higher borrowing costs could cost customers $300 million on 2027's bonds alone, Edison says. [26]

Nobody knows yet

Whether California passes a wildfire liability law this year.

Edison wants one before the 15 November deadline, and lawmakers have not voted. [26]

Meta backs a low-carbon cement plant

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a low-carbon cement plant

Meta, the tech company, will buy certificates from a planned low-carbon cement plant. [27]

Ste. Genevieve, Missouri

The plant, by a start-up called Fortera, would be in Ste. Genevieve, Missouri. [27]

How it works

Fortera captures carbon dioxide from other factories and locks it inside cement. [27]

Meta's certificates cover about 200,000 tons of cement. [27]

price not disclosed

The companies did not say what Meta is paying. [27]

Microsoft, which invested in Fortera last year, also plans to buy its certificates. [27]

little clean cement made

Very little clean cement or green steel is made in the US today. [27]

Why it matters

A promised buyer helps the start-up raise money to build its first plant. [27]

How it works

a certificate, not the cement

A certificate lets Meta claim the green part while the cement is sold locally. [27]

The truth

So Meta can claim greener building without that cement reaching its data centres. [27]

US voters decide energy questions on Tuesday

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energy on the ballot

US voters decide several energy measures on Tuesday, alongside the midterm elections. [28]

a right to natural gas

Colorado's Amendment 82 would put a right to natural gas in its constitution. [28]

California's Proposition 45 would limit most environmental reviews to 365 business days. [28]

fossil fuels left out

Fossil fuel building would be left out of that limit. [28]

Michigan's Proposition 2 would stop utility bosses and their families giving to campaigns. [28]

Why it matters

power projects and politics

These votes shape how fast power projects get built, and how utilities spend on elections. [28]

The truth

Utilities have spent at least $215,000 opposing it. [28]

Ann Arbor's grid vote

Ann Arbor votes on studying a takeover of DTE Energy's local grid. [28]

The truth

Opponents say a takeover could cost $1 billion; supporters say far less. [28]

Volkswagen pauses its electric Golf

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the electric Golf, paused

Volkswagen paused work on its electric Golf at its Wolfsburg plant in Germany. [29]

VW Group lost €5.9 billion in the third quarter, its worst since 2015. [29]

three causes

Causes include a write-down on Porsche, weak China sales and thin profits on electric cars. [29]

“We simply can't afford this work right now.”
Thomas Schafer, head of the VW brand

The VW brand's boss, Thomas Schafer, wrote: "We simply can't afford this work right now." [29]

How it got here

The car was due in 2028, then delayed to nearer 2030. [29]

VW plans to cut 100,000 jobs worldwide by 2030. [29]

Why it matters

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg is called the heart of the VW brand, and the Golf matters most there. [29]

The truth

the works council's promise

VW's works council says the pause will not delay the launch. [29]

LiveWire warns it may not survive

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a survival warning

LiveWire, Harley-Davidson's electric motorbike brand, warned it may not survive. [30]

Its shares fell more than 40% on Thursday. [30]

LiveWire's cash.

Its cash fell from $82.8 million at the end of 2025 to $39.9 million. [30]

Sales rose 38% to $7.9 million in the quarter, but it lost $18.6 million. [30]

How it works

a going concern?

Accountants' phrase "going concern" asks whether a firm can keep operating; LiveWire doubts it. [30]

Why it matters

The warning comes just as it prepares its cheapest bikes, meant for many more riders. [30]

The truth

cash running down

It is spending cash faster than its rising sales bring it in. [30]

What comes next

new bikes in Milan

It plans bikes under $5,000, and shows new models in Milan next week. [30]

Turkey's farmland fills with sinkholes

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Turkey's disaster agency, AFAD, has recorded 684 sinkholes in three farming provinces. [31]

Who is involved

Turkey's farming heartland

They are in Konya, Karaman and Aksaray, on Turkey's central Anatolian plateau. [31]

fields swallowed

Some are tens of metres wide and deep, and swallow farmland. [31]

New sinkholes a year in the Konya basin.

About 3 a year formed in 2000-10, rising to 32 a year in 2016-19. [31]

about 22 a year since 2020

The rate eased to about 22 a year after 2020. [31]

How it got here

Farmers pump groundwater for maize and sugar beet, and pumped more in 2025's drought. [31]

The ground there is also sinking slowly, by up to 90 millimetres a year. [31]

Why it matters

COP31 in Turkey

Countries meet in Turkey for COP31, the UN climate talks, as this grows at home. [31]

How it works

Hydrogeologists say pumping lowers water pressure in the rock, which can let caves collapse. [31]

The truth

Policies favouring high farm output over saving water keep the pumps running, the authors say. [31]

How it works

Why pumping water out from under the ground makes the land sink

How it works

Water in the gaps between grains of soil holds up part of the weight above, so pumping it out lets the ground squeeze down, mostly for good.

How it works · step 1 of 6

Soil is grains, with water filling the gaps between them

How it works · step 2 of 6

That water pushes back and holds up part of the weight above

How it works · step 3 of 6

Pumping it out lowers the water's push

How it works · step 4 of 6

The grains must carry the extra weight, so they squeeze closer

How it works · step 5 of 6

Clay layers pack tight and do not spring back

How it works · step 6 of 6

The ground sinks, and cracks or collapses where it sinks unevenly

The twist

Groundwater does two jobs at once. Farms and cities drink it, and it also holds up the ground they stand on.

The picture

New sinkholes a year in Turkey's Konya basin. The count rose as pumping grew, then eased as the weakest caves had already fallen in.

Seen the same day

Turkey's farmland fills with sinkholes

Konya's farmers pumped more in the 2025 drought, the water's push in the rock fell, and the roofs of old caves gave way.

Seen the same day

Satellites find big cities sinking

Water firms and factories pumping under cities like Jakarta lower the water's push, and the soft ground squeezes down.

The catch

Not every sinking city is pumping water: in New York the weight of buildings squeezes soft soil, and a sinkhole also needs a cave already there.

The whole

The farmer in Konya, the water firm in Jakarta and the family with the cracked wall stand on the same ground.

The whole

Each well is small, and no one owner sees what all the wells together are doing to the floor beneath them.

Who pays

Sinkholes are swallowing fields, and the ground is sinking by up to 90 millimetres a year. [31]

Satellites find big cities sinking

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A satellite survey of 465 big cities found many sinking, some by several inches a year. [32]

They include New Orleans, Mexico City, Jakarta and Rome. [32]

Sinking was worst in Southeast Asia, West and Central Asia, and North America. [32]

In New York, the weight of buildings squeezes soft soils instead. [32]

How it works

radar from orbit

The study, in the journal Nature Cities, used satellite radar from 2014 to 2023. [32]

half never studied before

For almost half the cities, no such study had ever been done. [32]

How it works

The biggest cause is usually pumping water out from under the ground. [32]

Why it matters

Uneven sinking cracks foundations, breaks sewers and makes floods worse. [32]

Why it matters

a new capital on Borneo

Indonesia is building a new capital on Borneo partly because Jakarta is sinking. [32]

The truth

“cumulative and largely irreversible”
Guoquan Wang, University of Houston

Sinking is "cumulative and largely irreversible", says co-author Guoquan Wang. [32]

Good news

cities that stopped sinking

Tokyo, Beijing and Tianjin slowed or halted their sinking by limiting pumping. [32]

How it works

Satellites find big cities sinking

Water firms and factories pumping under cities like Jakarta lower the water's push, and the soft ground squeezes down.

The idea, in story 26: Why pumping water out from under the ground makes the land sink →

A new kind of Arctic landslide

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a new kind of landslide

Scientists described a new kind of landslide in Canada's Northwest Territories. [33]

permafrost detachment slide

They call it a permafrost detachment slide. [33]

Who is involved

Permafrost is ground that stays frozen for 2 years or more. [33]

Two slides, in 2017 and 2018, moved 30 million cubic yards of earth. [33]

How it got here

Both began with a wildfire in 1995 that burned off the plants shading the ice. [33]

failure from below

The frozen ground then weakened from below until it gave way within hours or days. [33]

Why it matters

Thawing permafrost lets microbes eat old plant matter and release greenhouse gas. [33]

How it works

thermokarst

Soil scientists call land collapse from thawing ice thermokarst. [33]

The truth

how much gas, unknown

How much gas these slides release is unknown, lead author Joseph Young says. [33]

Nobody knows yet

How much greenhouse gas the Arctic's new landslides release.

Nobody has measured it yet, the lead author says, because the slides have not been classified. [33]

Warming may have stopped an ice age

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a study in Science

A study in the journal Science says human warming halted the start of an ice age. [34]

the Barnes ice cap

It tracked the Barnes ice cap on Baffin Island in northern Canada. [34]

How it got here

The ice cap is the last remnant of an ice sheet that once reached Manhattan. [34]

How it got here

The ice began to grow about 2,000 years ago. [34]

By the 1960s, summers were warm enough to shrink it again. [34]

How it works

carbon dating old plants

The team carbon-dated old plants the melting ice uncovered, to time its advance. [34]

Why it matters

“a very powerful example of how we have jolted the system”
Nicolas Young, Columbia University

Nicolas Young called it "a very powerful example of how we have jolted the system". [34]

The truth

Earlier research said the next ice age was thousands of years away; this study disagrees. [34]

AI counts Britain's woodland bats

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Britain's biggest woodland bat survey recorded 98 million calls in 310 woods over three years. [35]

AI sorted calls that would have taken over 30 years to analyse by hand. [35]

south-west England

Rare barbastelle bats turned up mostly in south-west England. [35]

Who is involved

red-listed

The barbastelle is on Britain's red list of the most threatened species. [35]

“nice story of AI for good”
Kate Jones, University College London

Kate Jones of University College London called it a "nice story of AI for good". [35]

Why it matters

hard to find

The bat's secretive habits had made it hard to track until now. [35]

How it works

Ecologists call this acoustic monitoring: listening devices count animals nobody sees. [35]

A Highland fire may have killed ancient pines

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the Glenmore wildfire

A summer wildfire near Glenmore in the Cairngorms may have killed many ancient Scots pines. [36]

Some of these "granny pines" were 100 to 200 years old. [36]

Who is involved

seed sources lost

Forestry and Land Scotland, a government agency, says they were key seed sources. [36]

green again

Grasses, bracken and blaeberry are turning parts of the hillside green again. [36]

Regrowth is strongest where the soil stayed moist or the fire burned less hot. [36]

Deer and capercaillie birds now come to feed on the new grass. [36]

Why it matters

Without them, trees of that size could take centuries to return. [36]

The truth

burned soil

Badly burned soil layers make recovery harder, a forester warns. [36]

Good news

birch, rowan, willow return

Birch, rowan and willow are already growing back from surviving roots. [36]

Work starts to rewet a Lake District bog

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Cumbria Wildlife Trust has started restoring 435 hectares of damaged peatland in Skiddaw Forest. [37]

Who is involved

peat

Peat is soil packed with partly rotted plant matter. [40]

a big carbon store

Skiddaw's bog is one of the largest in the Lake District, and a huge carbon store. [37]

The work takes three to four months and repairs a 6km fence. [37]

Why it matters

Wetter peat slows water running off the hills, helping protect towns from floods. [37]

How it works

rewetting

Ecologists call this rewetting: keeping the bog wet so sphagnum mosses grow back. [37]

Nine orangutans go back to the forest

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9 of 9

orangutans released

Nine orangutans rescued from Indonesia's fires were released into protected forest on Thursday. [38]

They included 4 mothers with young; three were found to be pregnant. [38]

How it got here

They were rescued in August and September from a burning oil palm plantation in Ketapang. [38]

burns treated

Some had burns on their hands and feet. [38]

Batu Nyambu forest

Their new home, Batu Nyambu, is a 23,000-hectare protected forest. [38]

How it got here

Fires have burned more than 4.6 million acres in Indonesia since August. [40]

Why it matters

At least 51 orangutans have been rescued from fires in West Kalimantan since August. [38]

How it works

Peat burns easily once drought dries it, and El Nino brought that drought. [40]

Good news

back in the trees

Freed from their cages, the apes climbed the trees and vanished into the canopy. [38]

Good news

Nine orangutans rescued from Indonesia's fires were set free in a protected forest on Thursday. Four were mothers with young, and three were pregnant.

Standard Bank faces a greenwashing complaint

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Standard Bank

Campaigners filed a greenwashing complaint against Standard Bank, a South African bank. [39]

an oil pipeline

They say its climate claims mislead, because it lends to an oil pipeline. [39]

Who is involved

The East African Crude Oil Pipeline would carry oil 1,443km from Uganda to Tanzania's coast. [39]

the advertising regulator

The complaint went to South Africa's Advertising Regulatory Board on Tuesday. [39]

4 of 4

big South African banks that refuse

Absa, FirstRand, Nedbank and Investec, four big South African banks, refuse to fund it. [39]

Standard Bank says it did years of checks, and over 8,000 people work on the project. [39]

Why it matters

The case tests whether a bank can advertise itself as green while lending to oil. [39]

How it works

true and provable

Advertising rules require green claims to be true and provable. [39]

The truth

The complaint cites up to 34 million tonnes of carbon dioxide a year at peak. [39]

That's the whole Climate day.

34 stories, 40 sources.