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Day Lila

Friday, 28 August 2026

28 Aug · Finance · In brief

Finance · Friday, 28 August 2026

Finance, in brief

23 stories · 49 sources

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What is moving · 1 of 4

Profit's grip on output

High ↑

a record 13.2% share of what America produced [1]

What is moving · 2 of 4

Pressure on pay

High ↑

wages took the smallest slice of national income on record [1]

What is moving · 3 of 4

Government's interest bill

Building ↑

above 3% of output, with the 30-year bond paying 5.161% [1][9]

What is moving · 4 of 4

Risk of losing your job

Easing →

claims fell to 203,000 and unemployment is 4.1% [2][4]

Company profits took a record 13.2% of the US economy. Wages took the smallest share ever.

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Company profits took a record 13.2% of American output in the three months to June, Reuters columnist Jamie McGeever wrote, citing figures published Wednesday. [1]

Who is involved

Who is involved

Why it matters

Watch whether company interest costs start climbing as fixed borrowing from 2020 comes up for renewal, because that is the point where the two ledgers stop moving apart. [1]

How it works

The comfort is made out of the squeeze

How it works

Profits took a record share of the American economy and wages the smallest ever, and share prices are worth more for exactly that reason.

How it works · step 1 of 6

A country's output is split between wages and profits

How it works · step 2 of 6

Profit's slice reaches a record; pay's slice hits a low

How it works · step 3 of 6

A share is a claim on the profit slice

How it works · step 4 of 6

So shares are worth more precisely because pay's slice shrank

How it works · step 5 of 6

The rising market is offered as the comfort for the smaller pay packet

How it works · step 6 of 6

But that comfort is only paid to whoever holds the claim

The twist

Share prices rise because pay's share of the economy fell, so the wealth offered as comfort for a smaller pay packet is minted from it.

The catch

Shares of a growing total can both rise in cash terms. A record profit share is a fact about the split, not proof that anyone's pay packet actually shrank.

The whole

Almost everyone sits on both sides of this line: a pension fund owns the shares, and the person whose pay it is owns the pension.

The whole

What no seat can see is which half of the split is paying for the other.

What's really going on

The same American output was split differently: owners took a record share, workers a record low, and the share prices offered as the offset are a claim on that split. [1]

Why it works on people

A record profit share and a rising market both get reported as news about the size of the economy, which sounds like news about everyone, and the word record does the rest.

Who gains

The market is priced off the profit share, so the offset for a smaller pay slice is paid only to people holding a claim on the bigger one. [1]

Who gains

Their interest bill is about 0.5% of output and locked, while they earn more on cash. A rate rise now hits Washington, not them. [1]

Who pays

Pay took the smallest share of national income on record, and the stock-market gain that offsets it does not reach a household with no shares. [1]

Nobody knows yet

How much of the record profit share lasts.

The 13.2% figure comes from a signed Reuters column reading data published on Wednesday, and quarterly profit series are revised afterwards. [1]

The short version

That's the story in short.

The whole story has 12 more parts.

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The whole story, in 12 parts ↓

Part 1 of 12 · Who else is involved

Part 2 of 12 · How it unfolded

Part 2 of 12 · How it unfolded

Part 3 of 12

Wages took the smallest share of national income ever recorded over the same stretch. [1]

Part 4 of 12

A share price is a claim on the profit slice.

Part 4 of 12

So the stock-market wealth softening the pay squeeze is priced off the squeeze itself. [1]

Part 5 of 12

Household debt is around 66% of output, the lowest since 1998.

Part 5 of 12

Much of it is locked into cheap mortgages that rate rises cannot reach. [1]

Part 6 of 12

Washington now spends more than 3% of national output on interest.

Part 6 of 12

Companies spend about 0.5%. [1]

Part 7 of 12

Many firms fixed their borrowing costs after the pandemic.

Part 7 of 12

Since 2022 they have also earned more on the cash they hold. [1]

Part 8 of 12

Federal debt passed $40 trillion this month.

Part 8 of 12

Corporate debt, at 71% of output, is near its lowest in two decades. [1]

Part 9 of 12

The Congressional Budget Office scores last year's tax-and-spending bill at $4.7 trillion added to deficits through 2035. [1]

Part 10 of 12

Layoffs stayed rare.

Part 10 of 12

New jobless claims fell to 203,000, under the 208,000 economists expected, with unemployment at 4.1%. [2][3][4]

Part 11 of 12

The Fed's preferred price gauge held at 3.7% a year and its core measure at 3.3%.

Part 11 of 12

Inflation has run above the 2% target for 65 straight months. [5][2]

Part 12 of 12

The split shows in the shops.

Part 12 of 12

Dollar General's same-store sales rose 3.5% on 2.0% more customer visits.

Part 12 of 12

Build-A-Bear's sales fell 7.2%. [6][7]

Fed officials split on the eve of Jackson Hole

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Kansas City's Jeffrey Schmid said the 3.50%-3.75% policy rate is not restricting anything. Cleveland's Beth Hammack said now is the time to act. [12][13]

Why it matters

Boston's Susan Collins called the same report mixed. She pointed to portfolio management fees, which track stock values rather than supply and demand.

Why it matters

Warsh speaks Friday. [14][11]

Nobody knows yet

What the Fed chair will say at Jackson Hole.

Prediction-market traders put only 16% odds on him mentioning the bond market and 8% on the yield curve, while his own officials disagree in public. [10][12]

Seven-year note sold at a near two-year high

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The Treasury sold seven-year notes at 4.512%, the highest since December 2024. The 30-year yielded 5.161% and the 10-year 4.645%. [15][9]

Why it matters

This is the government's side of the lead. Lenders charge Washington more [16], while companies pay rates they fixed years ago [1].

Bessent's bond buybacks draw fire

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The Treasury doubled buybacks of long-dated debt to at least $4 billion from $2 billion, to push long-term borrowing costs down. [10]

Why it matters

The Economist called it a salesman buying his own wares. Stanley Druckenmiller says it costs the Treasury credibility. [17][1]

Who gains

The Treasury doubled its buybacks to at least $4 billion, putting itself on the other side of the trade to hold yields down. [10][17]

The yen has given back its rescue

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A month after the joint US-Japan intervention lifted the yen from about 164 per dollar to 155.23, it has slid back toward 160. [18]

Why it matters

The interest-rate gap that pushed it down never changed. Washington asked Tokyo to borrow dollars rather than sell US bonds. [19][20]

Who pays

The yen is back near 160 per dollar, so the whole gain from July's intervention has gone and imports cost what they did before. [18][19]

Nobody knows yet

Where the yen actually stood on Friday.

Reuters wrote that it had slid back toward 160 and, in the next sentence, that it stood at 155.41. It also puts the post-intervention jump at 155.20 where Bloomberg puts it at 155.23. [19][18]

Nvidia adds $442 billion in a day

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Nvidia's market value rose about $442 billion after it reported $96.2 billion of quarterly revenue, up 106% on a year earlier. [21][22]

Why it matters

It guided above forecasts while assuming no China data-centre sales. Options traders had bet the shares would fall. [22][21]

Retail splits by price point

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Dollar General's sales rose 5.2% to $11.3 billion. Best Buy lifted its year after comparable sales grew 4.1% against 1% guided. [6][8]

Why it matters

Build-A-Bear's sales fell 7.2% and its shares dropped 18.2%. Refunds of tariffs already paid flattered both winners' margins. [7][8][6]

Nobody knows yet

Whether the tariff refunds flattering retail margins repeat.

Best Buy named a $34 million benefit and Dollar General named refunds first among the reasons its margin rose. Neither said whether more are owed. [8][6]

Uber's offer for Delivery Hero opens

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Germany's financial regulator cleared the document. Shareholders can now take EUR 41.50 in cash, 108% above where the shares closed on 8 May, before the bid moved them. [23][24]

Why it matters

Uber already holds about 53% of the economics. Delivery Hero's chief called competition in key markets pretty brutal. [23][25]

Two firms walk away from an agreed merger

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Solstice Advanced Materials and Element Solutions cancelled their deal by mutual agreement, with no fee payable by either side. [26]

Why it matters

Solstice's chairman cited shareholder feedback, and the board approved a $500 million share buyback the same day. [26]

Who gains

The merger they objected to was cancelled with no fee payable, and a $500 million buyback was approved the same day. [26]

Nobody knows yet

What broke the Solstice and Element merger.

No fee was paid by either side and neither company published what the objecting shareholders actually said. [26]

Copper hits a record with no boom behind it

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Front-month copper reached $6.7095 a pound on Tuesday. The London three-month contract sat at $14,350 a tonne, near its record $14,527.50. [27]

Why it matters

Gold sentiment firmed too as rate-rise fears eased, while oil slipped to $83.07. Metal usually rises on demand, not on doubt. [47][49]

Wheat at its highest in three years

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Chicago wheat rose by its daily limit of 45 cents on Wednesday, then further, to $7.55 a bushel as the Black Sea crisis deepened. [28]

Why it matters

Prices sit about 30% above their end-of-June low. Bread and animal feed follow the grain price with a lag of months. [28]

Bitcoin back above $80,000

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Bitcoin traded at $80,254.97, up 2.33% in a day, valuing the network at $1.590 trillion. It rose 23% last week, its best in three years. [29]

Why it matters

A separate report the same morning had it at $78,676.2 and slipping. It is still 36% below its October 2025 peak. [30][29]

Nobody knows yet

Where bitcoin traded on the day.

One report puts it at $80,254.97 and up 2.33%; another the same morning at $78,676.2 and slipping. Neither timestamp can be checked against the other. [29][30]

An Abu Dhabi royal owns 49% of a Trump crypto bank

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Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed al Nahyan and co-investors hold the largest stake in the company built to house World Liberty Financial's bank. [31]

Why it matters

The sheikh is the UAE's national security adviser. US regulators gave preliminary approval for a trust bank to run a $4 billion stablecoin. [32]

Charges coming over prediction-market bets

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Federal authorities are preparing an insider-trading case against a US servicemember who made over $1 million betting on the timing of strikes in Iran and Venezuela. [33]

Why it matters

A KPMG employee is also a target. The SEC's enforcement chief said the agency is gearing up to focus more on financial fraud after case numbers fell sharply. [33][48]

Office loans knock two mortgage bonds

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Morningstar DBRS cut one 2018 commercial mortgage deal's Class G to CCC and Class H-RR to C, both deep in junk. [34]

Why it matters

On a second deal it turned four classes negative and projected $34.6 million of losses, with offices about a third of the pool. [35]

Who pays

One deal's Class G was cut to CCC and Class H-RR to C; a second faces $34.6 million of projected losses. [34][35]

Nobody knows yet

How far the losses on office loans run.

Morningstar DBRS projected $34.6 million of losses on one deal where offices are about a third of the pool, and put no figure on the wider market. [35]

Private credit holders refuse a 26% haircut

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Cox Capital offered up to $90 million of instant cash for private-credit fund shares at an average 26% discount. Investors said no. [36]

Why it matters

The queue of people wanting out of these funds is near $15 billion. In India the same lending has grown to $25-30 billion. [36][37]

Who pays

The queue for redemptions is near $15 billion and the only instant cash offered was at an average 26% discount. [36]

Canada's banks report and split

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CIBC's adjusted earnings per share rose 26% and revenue 15%, its ninth straight quarter of double-digit earnings growth [39]. Royal Bank's rose 11% to C$4.28 [38].

Why it matters

Royal Bank's lending income grew 5% against a peer average of 8% [38]. EQB missed and fell 9.86% after hours, setting aside more for bad loans [40].

UK youth out of work slips under a million

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The number of young Britons not in work, education or training fell below one million. The TUC's Paul Nowak still called that a crisis. [42]

Why it matters

The Work Foundation says entry-level vacancies have fallen 49% in a decade, leaving one starter job for every three young people out of work. [42]

Who pays

Entry-level vacancies have fallen 49% in a decade, leaving roughly one starter job for every three young people out of work or study. [42]

India moves to make loan prices comparable

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The Reserve Bank of India proposed one framework for how banks and non-bank lenders quote loan costs, in force by 1 April 2027. [43]

Why it matters

It would cap the annual rate on small loans and freeze the non-risk part of a lender's markup for three years. [43]

Crypto plumbing consolidates

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BitGo agreed to buy NYDIG's institutional trading business, taking on about 30 staff and 250 institutional client relationships. [44]

Why it matters

It adds derivatives, structured products and financing to a firm that had only held and settled coins.

Anthropic dropped a $7 billion chip purchase

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Anthropic discussed buying the chip startup MatX for roughly $7 billion, two people briefed on it told Reuters. The talks became a partnership discussion instead. [45]

Why it matters

Reuters could not learn why. MatX was founded by former Google chip engineers.

Nobody knows yet

Why Anthropic dropped its $7 billion purchase of MatX.

Reuters reported the talks and said plainly that it could not learn why they stopped. [45]

BioXcel Therapeutics files for bankruptcy

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The drug developer filed for Chapter 11 with liabilities of $100-500 million against assets of $10-50 million. Its shares are down about 55% this year. [46]

Why it matters

Creditors had extended a further $1.25 million on Monday. Cheap money for loss-making firms has not come back.

Murdoch weighs putting Fox and News Corp back together

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Court documents and an attorney's testimony show Rupert Murdoch's wish to reunite the two companies could return as a merger. [41]

Why it matters

A 2022 attempt failed when investors balked. The combined firm would hold Fox News, the Wall Street Journal and the New York Post. [41]

More good news from the day

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Good news

How a country's output gets divided has shifted many times before, in both directions. It shifts because people can see the number and argue about it, and this week the number was published.

That's the whole Finance day.

23 stories, 49 sources.