Friday, 28 August 2026
Friday, 28 August 2026
- In brief
- 1The Helldivers 2 studio says every sales assumption in games should lose a zero
- 2Tariffs may return to consoles
- 3Xbox says it has to get cheap
- 4The anniversary Xbox costs $899
- 5Netflix stopped making games
- 6Creators argued over the rules
- 7Europe grew by adding countries
- 8Newzoo disowned its own analyst
- 9Saudi state media starts a studio
- 10Gamescom sold its whole floor
- 11Chinese and Korean games opened Gamescom
- 12A Chinese action game's pre-orders
- 13Google will police memory-hungry games
- 14Switch 2 goes up $50 on Tuesday
- 15Movie tie-in games have stopped
- 16Xbox is testing ads in streaming
- 17Britain opens a mentoring scheme
- 18Europe's studios re-elect their lobby
- TruthThe truth, across the day
28 Aug · Gaming · In brief
Gaming · Friday, 28 August 2026
Gaming, in brief
18 stories · 32 sources
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What is moving · 1 of 4
Cost of building in North America
Saber runs 15 studios and puts none of its development there
What is moving · 2 of 4
Faith in the old sales numbers
Arrowhead says every business case has lost its floor
What is moving · 3 of 4
Asian studios at the front
Chinese and Korean games opened and filled Gamescom's Opening Night Live
What is moving · 4 of 4
Money still arriving
Newzoo forecasts $213.9bn spent on games this year
4 sources
Gaming, in brief
The Helldivers 2 studio says every sales assumption in games should lose a zero
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Arrowhead boss Shams Jorjani told Gamescom the playbooks used from 2010 to 2020 no longer work.
up 6.1%, with mobile taking 57% of it
Who is involved
Shams Jorjani, Arrowhead
told Gamescom the industry's planning numbers are gone
Tim Willits, Saber
argues the crisis is North American cost, not global demand
Who is involved
Tim Cain, Fallout co-creator
named the industry's habit as survivorship bias
Emmanuel Rosier, Newzoo
says one unreleased game is the console market's whole growth
Why it matters
Newzoo publishes its full report on 10 September; the figure to watch is console revenue with Grand Theft Auto 6 taken out.
How it works
The rule you learned came only from the ones that lasted
How it works
Failures disappear faster than successes, so the evidence you can reach has already been sorted by the thing you want to explain.
How it works · step 1 of 5
Many teams try the same thing; most of them fail
How it works · step 2 of 5
The failures stop being visible - cancelled, shut off, forgotten
How it works · step 3 of 5
What is left to study is the ones that lasted
How it works · step 4 of 5
You find what those share and call it the reason
How it works · step 5 of 5
The failures shared it too, and are not there to say so
The twist
The evidence you can still reach has already been sorted by the very thing you are trying to explain.
The catch
Sometimes the shared trait really is the cause. You just cannot tell that from the winners alone, and almost nobody keeps the losers.
The whole
Everyone here is looking where the light is, and that includes us. This briefing is built from studios that still exist to be interviewed.
The whole
The cancelled ones left no interview, and their absence is the exact shape of what we cannot tell you.
Why it works on people
A number with a name attached feels checkable. So take a zero off travels far, and the sentence saying nobody measured the original does not.
Who gains
Studios outside North America
Saber's argument turns a cost gap into a strategy, and it is the argument its 15 non-American studios are already built on.
Who gains
Rockstar and Take-Two
Studios moved their release dates away from its launch, which Newzoo links to the game being cannibalistic.
Who pays
People who worked on the games nobody studies
Publishers only look at the games that sold, so whatever a failed project could have taught is never read.
Who pays
Players of Empulse and Splitgate: Arena Reloaded
1047 Games stops paying for dedicated servers on 3 September and hands hosting back to players.
Nobody knows yet
Whether Newzoo's console figures hold once Grand Theft Auto 6 is out.
Rosier said the 2027 forecast assumes a PC version nobody has announced, and that on the transition of GTA Online they have no information of any kind.
Nobody knows yet
What SnowRunner actually earned.
Hundreds of millions is Willits' own figure, given in an interview at Gamescom. No audited number appears anywhere in the reporting.
Nobody knows yet
How many games were cancelled this year.
Nobody publishes a count. Tim Cain's point is that these games are simply forgotten, and a project killed before it is announced leaves no record at all.
Good news
The most useful thing anyone said this week was that we should study the games that failed. That is an ordinary, unglamorous idea, and industries do eventually adopt ordinary ideas once enough people say them out loud.
The short version
That's the story in short.
The whole story has 12 more parts.
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The whole story, in 12 parts ↓
Part 1 of 12 · How it unfolded
Last week
Tim Cain publishes the video calling the industry's blind spot survivorship bias
Thursday
Arrowhead and Saber both tell Gamescom the old assumptions are finished
Part 1 of 12 · How it unfolded
3 September
1047 Games switches off dedicated servers for two of its shooters
December
Riot ends active development on its fighting game 2XKO
Part 2 of 12
Studios used to assume a game would sell at least a certain amount.
Part 2 of 12
Jorjani's version of that number: take a zero away.
Part 3 of 12
He said the bottom has fallen out of every business case studios had.
Part 4 of 12
Fallout co-creator Tim Cain named the habit underneath it.
Part 4 of 12
Publishers only study the games that sold well, so failure teaches them nothing.
Part 5 of 12
Cain called it survivorship bias, and said the search should also cover what the games that flopped had in common.
Part 6 of 12
Saber's Tim Willits argued the reckoning is North American, not global.
Part 6 of 12
Saber has 3,500 staff across 15 studios and no development in North America.
Part 7 of 12
Willits said Saber's driving game SnowRunner cost around $6 million and has brought in hundreds of millions.
Part 8 of 12
He said World War Z was made by about 50 people and has been played by 32 million.
Part 9 of 12
Newzoo forecasts console revenue up 5.1% this year, to $46.9 billion.
Part 10 of 12
Take out Grand Theft Auto 6 and that growth is zero.
Part 10 of 12
Newzoo's Emmanuel Rosier said console revenue would be flat against 2025.
Part 11 of 12
Rosier said the game will be cannibalistic to other releases.
Part 11 of 12
GamesIndustry.biz gives that as the likely reason so many studios moved their dates.
Part 12 of 12
CD Projekt Red now runs The Witcher 4 on PC, PS5 and Xbox every day, because Cyberpunk 2077 was built PC-first and shipped broken.
7 sources
The Helldivers 2 studio says every sales assumption in games should lose a zero
- 1Arrowhead CEO Shams Jorjani on the games industry's changing assumptions
- 2Saber exec: The game industry must look beyond North America and dilute risk
- 3Newzoo: 2026 console revenue would be flat year-on-year without GTA 6
- 4Newzoo: Global games market to generate $213.9bn in 2026, up 6.1% year-on-year
- 5Fallout dev Tim Cain says we should pay more attention to bad games
- 6CD Projekt Red has The Witcher 4 running on all target platforms
- 81047 Games ends active development on Empulse and Splitgate: Arena Reloaded
The full story
The Helldivers 2 studio says every sales assumption in games should lose a zero
Arrowhead boss Shams Jorjani told Gamescom the playbooks used from 2010 to 2020 no longer work.
Studios used to assume a game would sell at least a certain amount. Jorjani's version of that number: take a zero away.
He said the bottom has fallen out of every business case studios had.
Fallout co-creator Tim Cain named the habit underneath it. Publishers only study the games that sold well, so failure teaches them nothing.
Cain called it survivorship bias, and said the search should also cover what the games that flopped had in common.
Saber's Tim Willits argued the reckoning is North American, not global. Saber has 3,500 staff across 15 studios and no development in North America.
Willits said Saber's driving game SnowRunner cost around $6 million and has brought in hundreds of millions.
He said World War Z was made by about 50 people and has been played by 32 million.
Newzoo forecasts console revenue up 5.1% this year, to $46.9 billion.
Take out Grand Theft Auto 6 and that growth is zero. Newzoo's Emmanuel Rosier said console revenue would be flat against 2025.
Rosier said the game will be cannibalistic to other releases. GamesIndustry.biz gives that as the likely reason so many studios moved their dates.
CD Projekt Red now runs The Witcher 4 on PC, PS5 and Xbox every day, because Cyberpunk 2077 was built PC-first and shipped broken.
Why it matters. Newzoo publishes its full report on 10 September; the figure to watch is console revenue with Grand Theft Auto 6 taken out.
Tariffs may return to consoles
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Politico reported the White House is weighing tariffs on chips and on the goods that use them, including consoles.
Why it matters
Nintendo raised Switch prices weeks after the 2025 round, which the Supreme Court later ruled unconstitutional.
Nobody knows yet
Whether the console tariffs happen at all.
The report is of proposals under consideration, and Politico's sources said the framework could change drastically in coming weeks. Nothing has been published.
The full story
Tariffs may return to consoles
Politico reported the White House is weighing tariffs on chips and on the goods that use them, including consoles.
Why it matters. Nintendo raised Switch prices weeks after the 2025 round, which the Supreme Court later ruled unconstitutional.
Xbox says it has to get cheap
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Xbox boss Asha Sharma told the BBC the whole industry must innovate on affordability and efficiency. That, she said, is something it has not had to do.
Why it matters
She named the cause as the crisis in hardware and components, and said Xbox has not had to think this way before.
Nobody knows yet
Whether the next Xbox has a disc drive.
Sharma declined to confirm or deny it, and answered a question about physical media by describing a feature that converts discs to downloads.
3 sources
Xbox says it has to get cheap
The full story
Xbox says it has to get cheap
Xbox boss Asha Sharma told the BBC the whole industry must innovate on affordability and efficiency. That, she said, is something it has not had to do.
Why it matters. She named the cause as the crisis in hardware and components, and said Xbox has not had to think this way before.
The anniversary Xbox costs $899
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Microsoft priced its translucent green 25th-anniversary Xbox at $899, with preorders from 27 August and a 13 November launch.
Why it matters
Under the shell it is an Xbox Series X, which itself now lists at $799.99 after an earlier rise.
2 sources
The anniversary Xbox costs $899
The full story
The anniversary Xbox costs $899
Microsoft priced its translucent green 25th-anniversary Xbox at $899, with preorders from 27 August and a 13 November launch.
Why it matters. Under the shell it is an Xbox Series X, which itself now lists at $799.99 after an earlier rise.
Netflix stopped making games
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Netflix dropped its plans for big games. Instead it hosted the Grand Theft Auto 6 extended look, six hours before YouTube got it.
Why it matters
Grand Theft Auto V has sold more than 230 million copies, so the audience was never the problem.
Who gains
Netflix
It walked back its own games and still got the exclusive first showing of the Grand Theft Auto 6 look, six hours before YouTube.
2 sources
Netflix stopped making games
The full story
Netflix stopped making games
Netflix dropped its plans for big games. Instead it hosted the Grand Theft Auto 6 extended look, six hours before YouTube got it.
Why it matters. Grand Theft Auto V has sold more than 230 million copies, so the audience was never the problem.
Creators argued over the rules
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Rockstar told creators they could share reaction content after the Netflix debut, without saying whether they could show footage.
Why it matters
Co-streaming a showcase is normal, and a copyright strike is not a small thing for a channel.
The full story
Creators argued over the rules
Rockstar told creators they could share reaction content after the Netflix debut, without saying whether they could show footage.
Why it matters. Co-streaming a showcase is normal, and a copyright strike is not a small thing for a channel.
Europe grew by adding countries
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Video Games Europe put 2025 revenue at 30bn euros, after expanding its report from five countries to sixteen.
Why it matters
The original five fell 4%, to 25.7bn euros.
Nobody knows yet
Which number describes Europe.
Video Games Europe reported 30bn euros for 2025 across sixteen countries, while the five countries it counted last year fell 4% to 25.7bn euros. Both are in the same report.
The full story
Europe grew by adding countries
Video Games Europe put 2025 revenue at 30bn euros, after expanding its report from five countries to sixteen.
Why it matters. The original five fell 4%, to 25.7bn euros.
Newzoo disowned its own analyst
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Newzoo said Rosier's remarks that the Epic Games Store cannot recover were not supported by its data and should not be treated as its assessment.
Why it matters
Epic answered with numbers: third-party spending up 57% to a record $400 million in 2025.
Nobody knows yet
Whether the Epic Games Store is recovering or finished.
Newzoo's own analyst said it cannot recover; Newzoo then said the remark was not supported by its data; Epic said third-party spending rose 57% to $400 million.
1 source
Newzoo disowned its own analyst
The full story
Newzoo disowned its own analyst
Newzoo said Rosier's remarks that the Epic Games Store cannot recover were not supported by its data and should not be treated as its assessment.
Why it matters. Epic answered with numbers: third-party spending up 57% to a record $400 million in 2025.
Saudi state media starts a studio
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MBC Group, 54% owned by Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund since 2025, is building a games studio around 1001 Threads of Mizan.
Why it matters
The studio's head calls the region fast-growing, and says it has ruled out using generative AI.
1 source
Saudi state media starts a studio
The full story
Saudi state media starts a studio
MBC Group, 54% owned by Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund since 2025, is building a games studio around 1001 Threads of Mizan.
Why it matters. The studio's head calls the region fast-growing, and says it has ruled out using generative AI.
Gamescom sold its whole floor
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Gamescom filled all 233,000 square metres in Cologne, with more than 1,600 exhibitors from 67 countries. Its indie area grew 16%.
Why it matters
ChinaJoy drew over 438,000 attendees this year, so the largest games show in the world is in China.
2 sources
Gamescom sold its whole floor
The full story
Gamescom sold its whole floor
Gamescom filled all 233,000 square metres in Cologne, with more than 1,600 exhibitors from 67 countries. Its indie area grew 16%.
Why it matters. ChinaJoy drew over 438,000 attendees this year, so the largest games show in the world is in China.
Chinese and Korean games opened Gamescom
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Hoyoverse opened Opening Night Live with Nodusfall, followed by games from Krafton, NetEase, NCSoft and Chengdu's Eclipse Glow Games.
Why it matters
Arrowhead's boss says Asian studios have reached a tipping point in quality.
2 sources
Chinese and Korean games opened Gamescom
The full story
Chinese and Korean games opened Gamescom
Hoyoverse opened Opening Night Live with Nodusfall, followed by games from Krafton, NetEase, NCSoft and Chengdu's Eclipse Glow Games.
Why it matters. Arrowhead's boss says Asian studios have reached a tipping point in quality.
A Chinese action game's pre-orders
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Alinea Analytics estimates Phantom Blade Zero has taken over 300,000 Steam pre-orders worth $14.5 million, with 1.6 million wishlists.
Why it matters
That is an outside firm's estimate, not a figure from the studio.
Nobody knows yet
How many Steam pre-orders Phantom Blade Zero really has.
The 300,000 units and $14.5 million come from Alinea Analytics, an outside firm. S-Game has published nothing.
1 source
A Chinese action game's pre-orders
The full story
A Chinese action game's pre-orders
Alinea Analytics estimates Phantom Blade Zero has taken over 300,000 Steam pre-orders worth $14.5 million, with 1.6 million wishlists.
Why it matters. That is an outside firm's estimate, not a figure from the studio.
Google will police memory-hungry games
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Google told Android developers that apps over its new memory limits will be slowed down and may be shut off, blaming the memory shortage.
Why it matters
Mobile is 57% of what the world spends on games.
Who gains
The memory shortage lets the Play Store write a rule every Android game must meet, enforced by slowing down or shutting off apps that miss it.
2 sources
Google will police memory-hungry games
The full story
Google will police memory-hungry games
Google told Android developers that apps over its new memory limits will be slowed down and may be shut off, blaming the memory shortage.
Why it matters. Mobile is 57% of what the world spends on games.
Switch 2 goes up $50 on Tuesday
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Nintendo raises the 256GB Switch 2 from $449.99 to $499.99 on 1 September, in the US, Canada, the UK and Europe.
Why it matters
Bundles including a game arrive from late September, priced above $500.
Who pays
Switch 2 buyers after Tuesday
The 256GB model goes from $449.99 to $499.99 on 1 September in the US, Canada, the UK and Europe.
2 sources
Switch 2 goes up $50 on Tuesday
The full story
Switch 2 goes up $50 on Tuesday
Nintendo raises the 256GB Switch 2 from $449.99 to $499.99 on 1 September, in the US, Canada, the UK and Europe.
Why it matters. Bundles including a game arrive from late September, priced above $500.
Movie tie-in games have stopped
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More than 30 licensed movie games came out in 2007. In 2025 the nearest thing was an event server in Minecraft and Fortnite skins.
Why it matters
Half-Life 2 cost $40 million in 2004; Marvel's Spider-Man 2 cost about $300 million.
The full story
Movie tie-in games have stopped
More than 30 licensed movie games came out in 2007. In 2025 the nearest thing was an event server in Minecraft and Fortnite skins.
Why it matters. Half-Life 2 cost $40 million in 2004; Marvel's Spider-Man 2 cost about $300 million.
Xbox is testing ads in streaming
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Xbox is trialling a game streaming tier paid for by ads. An eMarketer survey found 52% of players would quit over repeated disruptive ads.
Why it matters
One in five said good ads would make them play a game more often.
The full story
Xbox is testing ads in streaming
Xbox is trialling a game streaming tier paid for by ads. An eMarketer survey found 52% of players would quit over repeated disruptive ads.
Why it matters. One in five said good ads would make them play a game more often.
Britain opens a mentoring scheme
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Creative UK launched Fast Forward, sponsored by Barclays and backed by lottery money, matching games, film and TV firms with industry mentors.
Why it matters
It is help running a company, not money to make a game.
The full story
Britain opens a mentoring scheme
Creative UK launched Fast Forward, sponsored by Barclays and backed by lottery money, matching games, film and TV firms with industry mentors.
Why it matters. It is help running a company, not money to make a game.
Europe's studios re-elect their lobby
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The European Games Developer Federation named its 2026-28 board and re-elected Hendrik Lesser as president, with funding and skills access on its agenda.
Why it matters
Its stated agenda is better access to funding, talent and skills, while Europe's longest-counted markets shrank 4%.
Who pays
European studios
The five European markets with the longest run of comparable data shrank 4% year-on-year, to 25.7bn euros.
2 sources
Europe's studios re-elect their lobby
The full story
Europe's studios re-elect their lobby
The European Games Developer Federation named its 2026-28 board and re-elected Hendrik Lesser as president, with funding and skills access on its agenda.
Why it matters. Its stated agenda is better access to funding, talent and skills, while Europe's longest-counted markets shrank 4%.
The truth, across the day
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What's really going on
An industry is diagnosing its own collapse using only the survivors. Everyone it interviews runs a company that is still here to be asked.
That's the whole Gaming day.
18 stories, 32 sources.