Day Lila

Monday, 31 August 2026

31 Aug · Money · In brief

Money · Monday, 31 August 2026

Money, in brief

40 stories · 55 sources

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What is moving · 1 of 4

The pull to the dollar

High →

households hold about six times Argentina's official reserves in dollars [4]

What is moving · 2 of 4

Peso price pressure

Building ↓

yearly inflation down from 211% to 31.5%, on falling real wages [5]

What is moving · 3 of 4

Official defence of the exchange rate

High ↑

Argentina's central bank set trading limits in April and has spent billions holding them [6]

What is moving · 4 of 4

The dollar's own standing

Steady ↓

the US currency fell more than 9% in 2025 [45]

Paid in pesos, saved in dollars: what happens when one money cannot do all three of its jobs

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Money does three separate jobs.

It buys things now, it holds its worth between payday and spending day, and it is the unit prices are written in. [1][3]

Who is involved

Who is involved

Why it matters

Watch whether Argentina's central bank keeps the peso inside its trading band.

Why it matters

Economists quoted by the BBC say holding it is not sustainable, and point to Argentines crossing into neighbouring countries to shop as the sign. [6]

How it works

A currency loses its jobs one at a time

How it works

Money pays, money holds value, money sets the price.

How it works

Those are three jobs with three different requirements, and one currency can fail at one of them while still doing the others.

How it works · step 1 of 6

Money does three jobs: it pays, it stores, it prices

How it works · step 2 of 6

Each job needs something different from the money

How it works · step 3 of 6

Fast inflation ruins storing without stopping acceptance

How it works · step 4 of 6

So savers move the storing job to a foreign currency

How it works · step 5 of 6

Big, slow prices follow, because they must last months

How it works · step 6 of 6

Paying goes last, because nobody can leave it alone

The twist

A currency loses its jobs in the order of how long you have to hold it, and being accepted goes last, because leaving that job needs everybody else to leave with you.

The catch

The split costs money: everyone paid in the weak currency and saving in the strong one pays a fee at every crossing, and whoever cannot reach the strong one holds the shrinking one.

The whole

Where prices hold steady the three jobs sit inside one note, and money looks like a single thing to whoever is holding it.

The whole

Argentines trusted all three at once too, and checked none of them, until one of the three stopped working.

What's really going on

Argentina's $250bn dollar hoard is not lawlessness or a lack of faith in the country; it is what people do when the money they are paid in cannot safely be held for six months. [4]

Why it works on people

Governments talk about confidence in the currency, which sounds like a feeling people owe them, when what savers are actually judging is one measurable thing: whether it holds its value for the months they need it to.

Who gains

Argentine households holding more than $250bn in physical dollars are lending that sum, interest-free, to the country that prints them.

Who gains

More than half of all US paper dollars in circulation are already held outside the United States. [4][12]

Who pays

Inflation fell from 211% to 31.5% partly through a fall in real wages: more than 2,000 businesses closed and 73,000 jobs went, and car factories ran at 24% of capacity. [5]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Argentina's central bank can hold the peso inside its trading band.

The bank says it is committed to the band; economists quoted by the BBC say limits like these are not sustainable and expect it to let the peso fall further. The bank has not published the scale of its own purchases. [6]

Nobody knows yet

How much the US Treasury spent buying pesos, and what Argentina pledged in return.

Analysts estimate as much as $2bn, but the US Treasury has kept the timeline, the scale and any collateral behind the $20bn arrangement unpublished, and did not answer BBC questions. [6]

Nobody knows yet

Whether the $250bn figure for Argentina's hidden dollars is close to right.

It counts banknotes at home, offshore accounts and safe deposit boxes. By definition none of it is registered anywhere, and it is the number the recovery plan is sized against. [4]

The short version

That's the story in short.

The whole story has 15 more parts.

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The whole story, in 15 parts ↓

Part 1 of 15 · Who else is involved

Part 1 of 15 · Who else is involved

Part 2 of 15 · How it unfolded

Part 3 of 15

Nothing forces one object to do all three.

Part 3 of 15

A currency can keep one job and lose the others, and Argentina is what that looks like. [1][2]

Part 4 of 15

Argentine households hold more than $250bn in US dollars at home, in offshore accounts and in safe deposit boxes.

Part 4 of 15

That is about six times the reserves of Argentina's own central bank, the Wall Street Journal reported. [4]

Part 5 of 15

Prices in Argentina rose more than 25% in a single month soon after Javier Milei became president in December 2023. [7]

Part 6 of 15

Annual inflation then fell from 211% in 2023 to 31.5% at the end of 2025.

Part 6 of 15

A political economist who studies Argentina argues the fall came from crushed wages, not a healthier economy: more than 2,000 businesses closed and 73,000 jobs went. [5]

Part 7 of 15

The peso has still fallen roughly 30% this year.

Part 7 of 15

Argentina's central bank set trading limits in April to hold it inside a band, and has spent billions of dollars defending them. [6]

Part 8 of 15

The saving job is the one a person can leave on their own.

Part 8 of 15

Argentine savers switched household by household, with no law changed, and the dollars sit in homes, offshore accounts and boxes. [4]

Part 9 of 15

The paying job cannot be left alone.

Part 9 of 15

Something only works as a means of payment if every party to the deal accepts it, so no single household can switch what it pays with. [2]

Part 10 of 15

That is why swapping a currency outright is done by governments.

Part 10 of 15

Full dollarisation replaces the national money as legal tender and hands away control of interest rates and the profit a state makes from issuing notes. [8][9]

Part 11 of 15

In the Americas, where more than three dozen currencies are in official use, only Ecuador, El Salvador and Panama have done it. [13]

Part 12 of 15

Seventeen countries and territories now use the US dollar as their currency, Zimbabwe among them. [11]

Part 13 of 15

Which prices break first is measurable.

Part 13 of 15

Turkiye's annual inflation hit 85% in late 2022, up from under 20% a year before.

Part 13 of 15

Goods prices there moved with the exchange rate; services prices moved by about a tenth of each currency move. [14]

Part 14 of 15

More than half of all US paper dollars in circulation are held outside the United States, according to the US Treasury. [12]

Part 15 of 15

The list of currencies people move into is short.

Part 15 of 15

The most tradable are the US dollar, the euro, the yen, the pound, the Swiss franc, and the Canadian and Australian dollars. [10]

US banks shelve a $20bn Argentina facility

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A group of US banks dropped plans for a $20bn debt facility for Argentina, part of a package that also included a $20bn arrangement with the US Treasury to lend dollars. [47]

Why it matters

The public half of the rescue survived; the private half did not.

Who gained from the Argentina rescue

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US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent said steadying Argentina served US interests. Critics quoted by the New York Times say some investors holding Argentine assets may have gained from it too. [48]

Why it matters

A currency defence pays whoever already owns what it defends.

Who gains

Critics quoted by the New York Times say the US package that steadied the peso also lifted the value of what those investors already owned. [48]

Argentines say the recovery has not arrived

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Nearly two years into Milei's overhaul the economy is contracting, tens of thousands of jobs have not come back, and pensioners and teachers say they cannot make ends meet, the Wall Street Journal reported. [21]

Why it matters

Slower inflation and a better life are not the same measurement.

The dollar fell more than 9% in a year

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The US dollar lost more than 9% of its value in 2025.

The US current account gap runs near 6% of its economy and US government debt is at a record. [45][19]

Why it matters

The currency people flee to has a price too.

Central banks hold a fifth of reserves in gold

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Gold rose from 10% of central bank reserves in January 2019 to more than 22% by August 2025, an IMF note found.

Almost all of that came from the price, not from buying: the market value went from $1.2 trillion to $4.5 trillion while the amount of metal rose about 8%. [20]

Why it matters

A share that moves because the price moved is not a decision anyone made.

Stablecoins reach about $300bn

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Stablecoins, digital tokens that promise to be worth one dollar each, doubled in size since 2024 to about $300bn by September 2025. Dollar-pegged ones are 97% of what is issued. [16]

Why it matters

A private money that borrows the dollar's steadiness rather than earning its own.

Who gains

They hold reserves in short-term US government debt - one issuer's, managed by BlackRock, yielded about 4% - and pass no interest to the people holding the tokens. [16]

Most stablecoin traffic is machines

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About 80% of stablecoin transactions are bots rebalancing between markets, the IMF found.

One of the two biggest traded 12% below a dollar in March 2023 after Silicon Valley Bank collapsed, where it held deposits. [16]

Why it matters

The promise to be worth a dollar held 99% of the time, which is not all of it.

Nobody knows yet

Whether stablecoins are money at all.

They are used to settle payments, but about 80% of transactions are bots rebalancing, one of the two biggest traded 12% below a dollar for a spell in March 2023, and the IMF puts forecasts for their size by 2030 anywhere from $0.5 trillion to $3 trillion. [16] A US central bank governor cited a narrower private range of $1 trillion to $3 trillion. [43]

The US central bank sizes up the tokens

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Miran, a governor of the US Federal Reserve, said private forecasts put stablecoins at $1 trillion to $3 trillion by the end of the decade.

Circle keeps about 13% of its reserves in bank deposits; Tether keeps almost none. [43][44]

Why it matters

What backs the promise differs sharply between the two largest issuers.

Sending money home costs 6%

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Migrant workers sent an estimated $856bn in 2024, $653bn of it to low- and middle-income countries.

The cost of sending has fallen from more than 9% in 2009 to about 6%, the World Bank says. [40]

Why it matters

For many families this is the most reliable income there is.

Good news

In 2009 sending money home cost more than 9% of the amount sent. It now costs about 6%, and nearly half of all routes charge under 5%.

Cash transfers cost nearly twice digital ones

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Digital remittances average about 4% of the amount sent against about 7% for cash-based services. [40]

Banks are the priciest route of all, averaging close to 14.55% on a small transfer under World Bank pricing data. [41]

Why it matters

The people least able to go digital pay the most to send.

Who gains

Every crossing between a weak currency and a strong one is charged. Banks average close to 14.55% of the amount on a small transfer, against about 4% for digital services. [40][41]

Who pays

Cash remittance services cost about 7% against 4% for digital ones, and the new US tax adds 1% to cash transfers and nothing to the others. [40][42]

A 1% US tax on cash remittances began

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From 1 January 2026 a 1% US tax applies to money sent abroad using cash, a money order or a cashier's cheque, and not to other methods.

The IRS waived deposit penalties for providers for the first three quarters. [42]

Why it matters

The tax is written against a form of money, not an amount.

Nobody knows yet

Whether the new 1% US tax on cash remittances moves senders to digital routes or to informal ones.

It began on 1 January 2026 and applies only to cash, money orders and cashier's cheques. The IRS has waived deposit penalties for providers for three quarters, and no figures on sender behaviour have been published. [42]

Santander to close 44 UK branches

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Santander will shut 44 branches and put 291 jobs at risk, saying 96% of its transactions are now digital.

Last year it closed 95 branches, a quarter of its network, affecting 750 workers. [28]

Why it matters

Each closure is defended by the customers who already left.

Who gains

Santander closed 44 branches and put 291 jobs at risk while saying 96% of its transactions are already digital, so the cost falls away and the argument is made by the customers who left first. [28]

Britain has lost 6,795 branches since 2015

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The consumer group Which? counts 6,795 UK bank branch closures since January 2015, 69% of the branches open at the start of that year.

Lloyds Banking Group intends to shut almost 150 more outlets by March 2027. [29]

Why it matters

Cash and paper payments need a physical place to exist.

The last bank in Crowborough closes

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Lloyds is closing its Crowborough branch, following Barclays and Santander, leaving the nearest bank about eight miles away in Tunbridge Wells.

Just under 700 people used it regularly and more than half were over 55. [30]

Why it matters

Where the branch map thins out first is where the oldest customers are.

Who pays

Britain has lost 6,795 branches since 2015.

Who pays

In Crowborough, where just under 700 people used the last one and more than half were over 55, the nearest bank is now about eight miles away. [29][30]

213 banking hubs now open in Britain

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Cash Access UK has opened 213 shared banking hubs, which average more than 150 transactions a day. [30]

A new one opens in Stamford Arts Centre, run by the Post Office, weekdays 9am to 5pm. [31] NatWest, which is closing 32 branches including Godalming, has a hub planned there. [54]

Why it matters

A shared counter replaces the branches of several banks at once.

A UK fund targets towns with no bank

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A new fund will target towns left without a branch after closures.

In Bentham, a councillor said losing the bank removed a place people used for guidance on accounts, savings and mortgages. [55]

Why it matters

A branch was doing more than dispensing notes.

Nationwide promises to keep its counters

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Nationwide, Britain's biggest building society, has pledged to keep its remaining branches open until at least 2030. [46]

It had already closed about 10% of them before making that promise in 2023. [28]

Why it matters

A promise made after the cutting is a promise about what is left.

Nobody knows yet

How many branches Nationwide has actually promised to keep open.

The BBC reports 696 remaining branches held open until at least 2030; a sign in a Nationwide window photographed by the Guardian says 605. Neither figure is dated. [28][29]

Insuring a house costs six times more in one US city than another

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Home insurance averages $9,770 a year in Oklahoma City and $1,475 in San Jose. A third of US homeowners, 34%, say their premium rose in the past twelve months. [53]

Why it matters

The same roof, priced by the weather above it.

Latin America's inflation beliefs held

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Long-run inflation expectations across Latin America barely moved through the price surge that followed the pandemic, an IMF study found.

Credibility is asymmetric: soft policy surprises erode it faster than tough ones rebuild it. [15]

Why it matters

What people expect prices to do is itself part of what prices do.

US branch count fell by 6,000 in five years

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The US had 74,721 insured commercial bank branches in 2019 and 68,330 at the end of 2024.

Only 9% of US consumers now name a branch as their preferred way to bank, against 76% for mobile or online. [32]

Why it matters

The same trend, on a different continent, with the same argument behind it.

Fewer branches, barely longer journeys

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Bank branches in the US fell 19% between 2014 and 2024, yet the average distance to the nearest one rose only modestly, a Federal Reserve study using census-block data found.

Gaps by race and income existed but did not widen much. [33]

Why it matters

An average distance can hide the household for whom the last mile was the only one.

US card arrears at a 15-year high

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13.1% of US credit card balances are 90 or more days overdue, the highest since early 2011, Bankrate reports.

The Wall Street Journal, using New York Federal Reserve data, put the first-quarter figure above 13%, near the peak that followed the 2008 crash. [34][35]

Why it matters

The last time it was here, a financial crisis was the reason.

Nobody knows yet

How much of the US credit card arrears is inability rather than choice.

Bankrate puts balances 90 or more days late at 13.1%, the highest since early 2011; the Wall Street Journal, using New York Federal Reserve figures, says above 13% for the first quarter. Neither number separates households that cannot pay from those who have stopped. [34][35]

Americans owe $1.25 trillion on cards

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US card balances total $1.25 trillion. One borrower profiled by the Wall Street Journal earns $194,000 and pays a $572 monthly minimum on a $15,000 balance at 26% interest. [36]

Why it matters

A payment you can afford and a debt that shrinks are different things.

Most card debt is now more than a year old

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61% of US cardholders with card debt have carried it for at least a year, up from 53% in late 2024, and 22% do not think they will ever clear it.

The average balance is $6,523. [37]

Why it matters

Debt that stops being an event becomes a fixed household cost.

Groceries, not shopping sprees

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41% of US card debtors say the debt began with an emergency such as a medical bill or a car repair, and 33% name day-to-day costs like groceries and utilities, up from 26% in 2023. [37]

Why it matters

The category that is growing is the one nobody chooses.

Missed payments creep up on other loans

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The share of US consumer loans 30 to 59 days late reached 1.13%, up from 1.02% the month before and near the 1.15% recorded in January 2020, VantageScore data shows. [38]

Why it matters

Early misses arrive before the arrears figures move.

Half of Black applicants for credit were refused

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54% of Black applicants for credit in the US were denied in 2025, more than twice the rate for white applicants, the Federal Reserve's household survey found.

7% of US adults used a payday, pawn or car-title loan. [39]

Why it matters

Being outside ordinary credit is what makes expensive credit a market.

Minimum payments cost 22 years

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A US household carrying the average revolving card balance and paying only the minimum would run up about $18,500 in interest, NerdWallet calculates.

Half of Americans say carrying such debt is normal. [52]

Why it matters

The cheapest monthly payment is the most expensive total.

Home insurance is dragging on home values

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US home prices rose about 55% since 2018, while New Orleans prices rose 14%, less than inflation, as insurance costs climbed.

In one Louisiana town a premium quadrupled in 2022 to $500 a month, against a $700 mortgage. [22]

Why it matters

The cost of insuring a house is now part of what the house is worth.

A credit record sets the insurance price

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In much of the US the same home costs $1,272 a year to insure for an owner with strong credit and $2,898 for one with weak credit, New York Times analysis found.

Some states ban pricing on credit history. [23]

Why it matters

A record built to predict repayment is being used to price a storm.

Who pays

The same house costs $2,898 a year to insure instead of $1,272, because many US insurers price on credit history. [23]

Highest-risk areas pay 82% more

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US households in the 20% of postal areas with the highest expected weather losses pay 82% more for home insurance than those in the lowest 20%.

About 45% of the rise in the worst areas is reinsurance costs passed down. [24]

Why it matters

Reinsurance is insurance for insurers, and it reprices faster than households can move.

Insurance costs are landing in rents

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Insurance on US apartment buildings rose from $39 a unit each month in 2019 to $68 in 2024 after inflation, a rise of more than 75%, a Federal Reserve study found.

It remains about 5% of a building's revenue. [25]

Why it matters

Renters pay a premium on a policy in someone else's name.

Who pays

Insurance on apartment buildings rose more than 75% in real terms between 2019 and 2024, and part of that reaches the rent. [25]

One in seven US homes has no cover

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About 14% of US owner-occupied homes are uninsured, and in the five costliest states, Nebraska, Louisiana, Florida, Oklahoma and Kansas, cover averages upwards of $4,400 a year, more than $2,000 above the national average. [26]

Insurers are also pulling out of areas with extreme weather, including parts of southwest Florida hit by Hurricane Ian in 2022. [27]

Why it matters

Going without is the option left when the premium outruns the budget.

A quieter disaster year, and prices still rising

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US disaster costs fell in 2025, yet it was the fourth year in five with more than $100bn of weather losses.

Industry forecasts still show home insurance premiums rising 3% to 8%. [26]

Why it matters

Insurers price the next decade, not the last year.

Nobody knows yet

Whether US home insurance premiums come down after a quieter year for disasters.

Losses fell in 2025, but it was still the fourth year in five above $100bn, and industry forecasts point to rises of 3% to 8%. [26]

New US workplace plans must enrol you

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Under the SECURE 2.0 law, US 401(k) and 403(b) workplace pension plans must automatically enrol eligible staff, who can then opt out.

Savers may also take one emergency withdrawal of up to $1,000 a year without the usual extra 10% tax. [51]

Why it matters

The default was switched from out to in, which is the whole intervention.

US prices rose 4.2% in May

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US consumer prices were 4.2% higher over twelve months in May, up from 3.8% in April, driven by energy costs after the war with Iran.

The peak in this cycle was 9.1% in mid-2022. [49]

Why it matters

A rate this size still leaves the dollar doing all three jobs; Argentina's did not.

Myanmar's currency steadies after a slump

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Myanmar's kyat appreciated steadily through 2025 after a sharp fall the year before, the World Bank reports. Inflation has eased, though prices remain high enough to strain household budgets. [17]

Why it matters

Currencies recover their store-of-value job slowly, and the price level does not come back.

Fiji's average inflation hides its food bills

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Fiji's headline inflation has been moderate, but the pressure sits in food and transport, which take a large share of household spending, an IMF review found.

Migration and remittances act as the shock absorber. [18]

Why it matters

An average price index is not what a household actually buys.

Losses from payment cyberattacks quadrupled

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The financial impact of cyber incidents more than quadrupled between 2017 and the end of 2023, reaching $2.5bn, the IMF reports in a study of payment systems in conflict-hit states. [50]

Why it matters

Digital money needs a working network the way cash needs a shop that will take it.

That's the whole Money day.

40 stories, 55 sources.