Day Lila

Saturday, 17 October 2026

17 Oct · Money · In brief

Money · Saturday, 17 October 2026

Money, in brief

23 stories · 37 sources

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What is moving · 1 of 4

Borrowing staying dear

High ↑

The average 30-year US home loan rate was 7.4% this week, up from about 6.3% a year ago. [14] US families' debt payments rose about eight times as fast as their incomes over three years. [13] Buying a starter home now costs more each month than renting one in all 50 of the biggest US cities. [27]

What is moving · 2 of 4

Energy and fuel prices

High ↑

Britain's January cap on household energy prices is forecast to be 25% higher than now. [9] Pakistan still charges 114 rupees of tax on every litre of petrol. [30] Prices of everyday goods in Pakistan were 11.38% higher than a year earlier. [31]

What is moving · 3 of 4

Votes on who pays tax

Building ↑

Florida votes on 3 November on a bigger tax break for people who own the home they live in. [15] Californians vote on a one-off 5% tax on about 200 billionaires. [18] Two US senators want to scrap the cap on Social Security tax. [22]

What is moving · 4 of 4

Low pay and young people out of work

Steady →

Almost 1 million young people in the UK are not in work, education or training. [8] A Conservative frontbencher wants the legal minimum wage frozen to get more of them into jobs. [5] The Living Wage Foundation says 61% of low-paid workers cut back on food or heating, fell behind on bills or borrowed for essentials last year. [1]

Part of the day's signal

One pressure seen across the day runs through Money too.

The UK's real Living Wage, paid by choice by about 17,000 employers, rises 65p to 14.10 pounds an hour, and to 15.45 pounds in London, for almost half a million workers

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The real Living Wage rises by 65p to 14.10 pounds an hour across the UK, and to 15.45 pounds in London. [1][2]

Who is involved

Who is involved

Why it matters

The next step is the Budget on 28 October, which is expected to set the legal minimum from April 2027 and so how far below 14.10 pounds the law's own floor sits. [1]

What's really going on

In the UK, the Living Wage Foundation raised its voluntary rate by 65p an hour for almost half a million workers. [1]

Who gains

Their pay rises 65p an hour, about 1,267 pounds a year for a full-time job. [1]

Nobody knows yet

When most workers on the real Living Wage will actually see the 65p.

Employers have until 1 May 2027 to start paying it, and are only encouraged to do so sooner. [1]

Nobody knows yet

What the UK legal minimum will be from April 2027.

MoneySavingExpert says the figure is not yet known and is likely to come in the Budget on 28 October. [1]

Good news

Almost half a million UK workers get a pay rise of 65p an hour, to 14.10 pounds, from employers who chose to pay more than the law asks.

The short version

That's the story in short.

The whole story has 12 more parts.

or swipe up for the next signalor scroll on for the next signal ↓

The whole story, in 12 parts ↓

Part 1 of 12 · Who else is involved

Part 1 of 12 · Who else is involved

Part 2 of 12

It is a voluntary rate.

Part 2 of 12

About 17,000 employers have signed up to pay it, and almost half a million workers get the rise. [1]

Part 3 of 12

The Living Wage Foundation, a campaign group, sets it from what families need to get by.

Part 3 of 12

The Resolution Foundation, a think tank on living standards, does the sums. [1][2]

Part 4 of 12

This year is the first worked out by a new method: the average of two measures, one based on the cost of a basic standard of living and one based on the poverty line. [2]

Part 5 of 12

The rise is 4.8%.

Part 5 of 12

Last year's was 85p, or 6.7%, when the rate went to 13.45 pounds. [1][3]

Part 6 of 12

The legal minimum for workers aged 21 and over is 12.71 pounds an hour, set in April 2026.

Part 6 of 12

That is 1.39 pounds less than the new voluntary rate. [1][4]

Part 7 of 12

A full-time worker on the new rate, at 37.5 hours a week, earns 27,495 pounds a year outside London.

Part 7 of 12

That is 2,710.50 pounds more than the legal minimum pays. [1]

Part 8 of 12

The voluntary rate is paid to everyone aged 18 and over.

Part 8 of 12

The legal minimum for 18- to 20-year-olds is lower, at 10.85 pounds. [1][4]

Part 9 of 12

It applies from 15 October.

Part 9 of 12

Signed-up employers have until 1 May 2027 to start paying it. [1]

Part 10 of 12

The Foundation found 61% of low-paid workers cut back on food or heating, fell behind on bills or took a payday loan in the past year.

Part 10 of 12

37% used a food bank. [1]

Part 11 of 12

The ONS, the UK's statistics office, estimated 447,000 jobs were paid below the legal minimum in April 2025.

Part 11 of 12

It says this is not a count of rule-breaking. [6]

Part 12 of 12

A shadow business minister has backed a think-tank plan to freeze the legal minimum at 12.71 pounds for five years.

Part 12 of 12

Its authors say that would cost a low-paid worker about 8,900 pounds over five years. [5]

A signal, seen in Money

Dear fuel, and who earns from it

Britain's cap on household energy prices for January is forecast to be 25% higher than it is now.

Also seen in Finance, World, Food and Climate.

Ofgem plans a charge on switching

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Ofgem, the energy regulator for Great Britain, opened a consultation on Friday on switching on a Market Stabilisation Charge from as soon as November. [9]

If wholesale energy prices fall more than 10% below the level built into the price cap, a customer's new supplier must pay their old one 85% of the extra fall. [9]

Ofgem says suppliers have to buy energy in advance under the cap, and would lose money if customers left in large numbers. [9]

Martin Lewis, who founded MoneySavingExpert, called it a form of switching penalty. [9]

Why it matters

Households that switch to a cheaper deal after a price fall would keep only part of the saving.

Why it matters

The suppliers they leave would not be stuck paying for energy that their customers no longer use.

What's really going on

Ofgem, the energy regulator, plans to keep part of any fall in energy prices from people who switch supplier. [9]

Why it works on people

A charge called a Market Stabilisation Charge sounds like a safety measure, and its name does not say that the people who switch supplier are the ones who pay it. [9]

Who gains

Under Ofgem's plan, a rival winning their customer after a price fall must pay them 85% of the fall beyond 10%. [9]

Who pays

A new supplier would have to hand the old one 85% of any fall beyond 10%, so cheap deals would cost more. [9]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Ofgem's switching charge would ever be used.

It only applies if wholesale prices fall more than 10% below the cap's level, while January's cap is forecast to be 25% higher than now. [9]

US tightens checks on health-plan help

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The US Treasury and the IRS, the US tax agency, proposed stricter rules on 14 October for who gets tax credits towards health plans. [10][12]

The plans are sold on marketplaces set up by the health law called Obamacare. [10] They ask for more proof and give less help to people who are not US citizens. [12]

The same day US officials said they had removed the help from about 189,000 people found to have other public cover, or to have died. [11][12]

Brokers have sued over a ban on new brokers selling the plans for 2027. [36]

Why it matters

People who buy their own health cover in the US face more checks before next year's help is paid.

Why it matters

Insurers report on another 419,000 sign-ups under review only after the November elections. [11]

Who pays

They lost their tax credits after officials found other public cover or a death on record. [11][12]

Nobody knows yet

How many of the people removed from US marketplace health plans were real customers.

The US health agency says it has no more data to share, and has not said how many removals it has reversed. [11]

Debts swallow half of US pay gains

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A typical US household's take-home pay, after rising prices, went up 109 dollars a month from late 2022 to early 2026. [13]

For a typical US household from late 2022 to early 2026, after rising prices. The second bar is more than half the first.

Its monthly debt payments went up 57 dollars over the same time. [13]

For a household with one earner, that is 52 cents of every extra dollar, found The Century Foundation, a think tank, and Protect Borrowers, a consumer group. [13]

Their study counted cards, car loans, student loans and home-equity loans, but not mortgages. [13]

Why it matters

A pay rise reaches a family only after its debts are paid, and those payments grew about eight times as fast as income.

Why it matters

Adding mortgages would make the squeeze look bigger, one author said. [13]

Who pays

52 cents of every extra dollar of take-home pay went on higher debt payments. [13]

Nobody knows yet

Whether the debt squeeze on US families is bigger than the study shows.

It leaves out mortgages and buy-now-pay-later loans, and one author called it the rosiest reading of the data. [13]

US Social Security tax reaches more pay

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The US Social Security Administration said the share of pay taxed for Social Security will stop at 192,300 dollars in 2027, up from 184,500. [22]

Workers pay 6.2% on pay up to that cap, and employers pay the same. [22] Anyone earning above it will pay 483.60 dollars more next year. [22]

Pay above the cap is not taxed and does not count towards the pension. [22] Two senators, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Moreno, want the cap removed. [22]

Why it matters

Most workers already pay the tax on all their pay, so the change reaches only higher earners.

Why it matters

Removing the cap would add about 50,561 dollars a year to the tax of someone earning 1 million dollars. [22]

Florida votes on a bigger home tax break

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Florida votes on 3 November on Amendment 3, which would raise the tax-free part of a home its owner lives in from 50,000 dollars to 150,000 in 2027 and 250,000 in 2028. [15][17]

It does not cover school taxes, and it gives renters no direct relief. [15][17] Florida's legislature estimates it would cut property tax income by 11.8 billion dollars a year. [17]

The Florida League of Cities says 85 cities could not then pay for police and fire at today's level. [15] Florida Realtors, an estate agents' group, backs it. [16]

Why it matters

Owners who live in their homes would pay less. Landlords, businesses and second-home owners could face higher rates or fees if councils try to keep their income. [17]

Who gains

Amendment 3 would make the first 250,000 dollars of their home's value free of non-school property tax by 2028. [15][17]

Who pays

They get no new exemption, and councils may raise rates on other property to replace lost income. [17]

Nobody knows yet

Who would pay for Florida's 11.8-billion-dollar tax cut.

Councils could raise rates on other property, add fees or cut services, and the amendment does not say which. [17][15]

Billionaires spend big against California's tax

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Californians vote in November on Proposition 40, a one-off 5% tax on the wealth of about 200 billionaires who lived in the state on 1 January 2026. [18][19]

Most of the money would go to health care, to make up for expected US federal cuts of about 30 billion dollars a year to the state's health programme for people on low incomes. [18][19]

The campaign against it has raised more than 340 million dollars and is spending over 1 million dollars a day. [20]

Sergey Brin, a Google co-founder, has given at least 102 million dollars. [20]

Why it matters

If it passes, the money would not arrive for months, and billionaires could spread payments over five years. [19]

Why it matters

The head of the California Medical Association, a doctors' group, says a one-off tax will run out, and wants lasting funding instead. [18]

Nobody knows yet

How much California's billionaire tax would raise.

The state's own analyst says tens of billions of dollars, backers say up to 100 billion over five years, and Sergey Brin has already bought a home in Nevada. [19]

California's next governor inherits Medi-Cal's bills

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Medi-Cal, California's health programme for people on low incomes, covers about 13.6 million people, one Californian in three. [21]

Its spending has grown from 50 billion dollars a year in 2010 to 222 billion. [21]

In 2025 the state borrowed 3.4 billion dollars to keep paying doctors, and the loan grew to 4.4 billion. [21]

A 2025 US law is expected to cut federal Medicaid spending by more than 900 billion dollars over 10 years. [21] Neither candidate for governor has a detailed plan. [21]

Why it matters

Steve Hilton, the Republican, wants to narrow who qualifies. Xavier Becerra, the Democrat, has promised to protect Californians from the cuts. [21]

Covid loans put restaurant owners' homes at risk

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During the pandemic the US government lent 3.9 million businesses a total of 378.4 billion dollars in cheap disaster loans, called EIDLs. [37]

Loans over 200,000 dollars needed the owner's personal guarantee, so a default can reach their own belongings. [37]

A loan 120 days late passes to the US Treasury for collection, adding fees of about 30%. [37]

The IRS, the US tax agency, can then take wages, tax refunds or part of Social Security. [37]

Why it matters

Many restaurants never recovered, and a scheme that let struggling owners pay less ended in March. [37] In Virginia, bankruptcy protects only 25,000 dollars of home equity per person from seizure. [37]

Older Americans feel price rises less

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Prices rose about 31.5% from January 2019 to August 2026 for Americans born in 1964 or earlier, by an analysis for CNBC by Moody's, a ratings and research firm. [14]

For millennials, born 1981 to 1996, they rose 33.3%. [14] Most older Americans own their homes and need no childcare, so dearer mortgages and nurseries reach them less. [14]

Their Social Security pensions rise with prices, by 3.6% next year. [14]

Why it matters

Young families aged about 30 to 45 feel the most pressure, said William Galston of the Brookings Institution, a think tank. [14]

Why it matters

Housing takes a bigger share of their budgets, which explains most of the gap. [14]

Renting a US starter home beats buying

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With 30-year home loans at 7.40%, the highest since November 2023, buying a starter home costs more each month than renting one in all 50 of the biggest US metro areas, Realtor.com found. [27]

The gap is about 960 dollars a month. [27] On a 299,400-dollar home with 10% down, the loan payment is about 1,866 dollars a month at 7.40%, against 1,286 at 4%. [27]

The monthly loan payment on the same 299,400-dollar US starter home with 10% down. Only the interest rate differs.

Central bankers meeting in Bangkok this week discussed whether cheap borrowing will come back at all. [27]

Why it matters

Buyers now pay more each month and build up ownership of the home more slowly, because more of each early payment is interest. [27]

How it works

Why rents and loan payments keep pulling towards each other

How it works

When buying costs far more than renting, families keep renting, rents climb and prices stall, until buying is cheaper in some places again.

How it works · step 1 of 5

A family can rent a home or borrow to buy one

How it works · step 2 of 5

Buying costs mostly interest, so it rises with loan rates

How it works · step 3 of 5

When buying costs far more, more families keep renting

How it works · step 4 of 5

More people renting pushes rents up, and fewer buyers hold prices back

How it works · step 5 of 5

The gap shrinks until buying is cheaper again in some places

The twist

A high loan rate does not only hurt buyers. It keeps more people renting, and that slowly pushes rents up too.

The picture

The typical Melbourne flat, in Australian dollars. Rents rose and prices fell until the gap was 211 dollars a week.

Seen the same day

Buying beats renting in some Australian suburbs

Rents rose 5.5% in a year while prices stayed flat, so the loan payment caught up with the rent and passed it in some suburbs.

Seen the same day

Renting a US starter home beats buying

At a 7.40% loan rate the monthly cost of buying runs about 960 dollars above renting, so in every big US city the sums point towards renting.

Seen the same day

More US millionaires choose to rent

Once prices and loan rates were both higher, even households earning 1 million dollars a year found buying less worth it and kept renting.

The catch

The pull is slow and uneven: moving costs a lot, homes take years to build, and in most of Australia houses still cost more to buy than to rent.

The whole

Each renter who stays put and each buyer who waits moves rents and prices a little for everyone else.

The whole

Most of us are one of them at some point, and we only ever see our own monthly bill.

Who pays

At 7.40% a starter home costs about 960 dollars a month more to buy than to rent. [27]

Buying beats renting in some Australian suburbs

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Australian rents rose 5.5% in the year to September, to a median of 713 Australian dollars a week, data firm Cotality found. [28]

Home prices were flat after six months of falls. [28]

The typical Melbourne flat, in Australian dollars. The gap is 211 dollars a week, and in some suburbs it has closed.

In one suburb or town in ten, the weekly loan payment on a typical home is now less than 200 dollars above the rent. [28]

In some, such as Carlton in Melbourne, it is below the rent. [28] The sums assume a 30-year loan for 95% of the price at 6.2%. [28]

Why it matters

Some tenants are asking to buy from their landlords. Cotality's Gerard Burg says these places are unusual, and most houses still cost more to buy than to rent. [28]

How it works

Buying beats renting in some Australian suburbs

Rents rose 5.5% in a year while prices stayed flat, so the loan payment caught up with the rent and passed it in some suburbs.

The idea, in story 11: Why rents and loan payments keep pulling towards each other →

More US millionaires choose to rent

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US households earning at least 1 million dollars a year who rent their home rose 229% from 2020 to 2024, to about 18,400, a RentCafe analysis of census data found. [26]

Almost half of them are millennials. [26] Millionaire owners also grew, by 193%, and still far outnumber renters. [26]

By the time more homes came up for sale, both prices and loan rates were higher, said Hannah Jones, an economist at Realtor.com. [26]

Why it matters

Renters move far more often: about 21.6% of people in rented homes moved in 2024, against 6.2% of owners. [26]

Why it matters

Early in a career, moving for a better job brings a large part of a worker's pay growth, one study found. [26]

How it works

More US millionaires choose to rent

Once prices and loan rates were both higher, even households earning 1 million dollars a year found buying less worth it and kept renting.

The idea, in story 11: Why rents and loan payments keep pulling towards each other →

Germany backs pension savings for children

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Germany's parliament approved a plan to pay every child aged 6 to 18 10 euros a month from the state towards private retirement savings. [29]

The money would be invested for decades to give young people a head start on a pension. [29] Parents and grandparents could add up to 6,840 euros a year. [29]

The plan still needs the approval of the Bundesrat, the chamber that represents Germany's states. [29]

Why it matters

Opposition lawmakers say it would widen inequality, because richer families can add far more than 10 euros. [29] It comes as an ageing population strains Germany's state pension. [29]

Who gains

They can add up to 6,840 euros a year to a child's state-backed pension pot, against 10 euros a month from the state. [29]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Germany's children's pension plan becomes law.

The Bundesrat, which represents the states, still has to approve it. [29]

Good news

Germany's parliament voted to put 10 euros a month into a retirement savings pot for every child aged 6 to 18.

Pakistan trims petrol as food costs climb

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Pakistan's government cut the price of petrol by 3.93 rupees to 386.30 rupees a litre for 17 to 19 October, and left diesel at 396.96. [30]

It still takes 114 rupees a litre in taxes on petrol and 100 on diesel. [30] Petrol peaked at 458.41 rupees on 3 April, after the US-Iran war began in February. [30]

Prices of 51 everyday goods were 11.38% higher than a year earlier in the week to 15 October, Pakistan's statistics bureau said. [31]

Why it matters

Food led the rise, and energy costs push food prices up. [31] Markets must close by 9pm under Pakistan's rules to save fuel. [30]

Who pays

Pakistan's government still takes 114 rupees in tax on every litre of petrol, against a cut of 3.93 rupees this week. [30]

England's smaller towns have more idle youth

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On average 15.7% of 16- to 24-year-olds in ten of England's smallest cities and towns are not in work, education or training, the Centre for Cities, a think tank, found. [8]

In the nine biggest cities the average is 13.9%. [8] In Blackpool it is 21.2%. [8]

Almost 1 million young people in the UK are in that position, official figures show. [8]

A review of youth unemployment led by Alan Milburn, a former Labour cabinet minister, reports soon after the Budget. [8]

Why it matters

Places with weaker economies have more young people out of work, the think tank says. [8] A charity in Telford says many families cannot afford to drive or take the bus. [8]

Compass sues a home listings network

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Compass, a large US estate agency, filed an antitrust lawsuit on Friday against CRMLS, the second-biggest shared database of homes for sale in the US. [23]

CRMLS fines agents up to 2,500 dollars for marketing a home in public without putting it on the shared list, even when the seller asks. [23]

Compass says it will pay those fines for its agents. [23] CRMLS sued Compass first, a little over a week earlier. [23]

Why it matters

CRMLS says the shared list only works if no firm keeps its own homes back. Compass says sellers should choose how a home is marketed. [23]

Senators ask for a probe of home-search sites

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US senators Elizabeth Warren and Cory Booker asked the Federal Trade Commission, the US consumer watchdog, to investigate online home-search sites and big estate agents. [24]

They say 'contact agent' buttons often send buyers to agents who pass part of their fee back to the site, without telling the buyer. [24]

They also say some agents are pushed to steer buyers to the site's own lenders. [24] Zillow, a big home-search site, said it agrees hidden listings deserve scrutiny. [24]

Why it matters

Such fees are often added to a 30-year mortgage, so the senators say they can grow into tens of thousands of dollars over the loan. [24]

Who gains

The senators say agents pass part of their fee back to the site, and the buyer is not told. [24]

California fire losses could rise 85%

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Wildfires could cause 5 billion dollars a year of damage to owner-occupied homes in California by 2047, a report from the Terner Center at the University of California, Berkeley, estimates. [25]

That is 85% above the recent yearly average, and the report blames climate change. [25] The Eaton and Palisades fires of early 2025 destroyed about 12,000 homes. [25]

In some cities, home insurance prices could rise sharply as insurers expect bigger losses. [25]

Why it matters

California already has a home insurance crisis, worst where homes face high wildfire risk. [25] One of the authors says broad changes in how the state prepares could save money overall. [25]

Indian embassy warns of fake job offers

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India's embassy in Abu Dhabi and its consulate in Dubai warned Indians about agencies selling fake jobs and residence visas in the United Arab Emirates and Europe. [32]

The consulate said it had received a large number of complaints, mostly from India's southern states. [32]

Most of the job offers were for Europe, and most adverts were on social media. [32] In most cases the money was sent from India. [32]

Why it matters

The agencies take payment for jobs and visas that do not exist, the missions say. [32] They point applicants to official government websites for visa rules. [32]

Dating-app fraud suspect pleads not guilty

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Daejon Love, 35, of California, pleaded not guilty in a US federal court in Portland, Oregon, to conspiring to commit wire fraud. [33]

Prosecutors say he met women on dating apps posing as a rich Swiss property investor and as a San Francisco 49ers player. [33]

They say he took about 1.3 million dollars from at least 26 women from 2022 to 2026. [33] His trial is set for 15 December. [33]

Why it matters

The women were told their money would buy property, and prosecutors say none of it was used that way. [33]

US candidates promise cheaper homes

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Housing costs were the fourth-biggest issue for US voters in a July CNBC poll, and the biggest for under-35s. [34]

Mike Rogers, the Republican running for the US Senate in Michigan, ran a seven-figure advert on building more homes. [34] He proposes zones where new homes would pay no tax. [34]

James Talarico, the Democrat running for the US Senate in Texas, wants to expand a tax credit for building cheaper rented homes. [34] Most candidates give few details. [34]

Why it matters

US elections on 3 November decide who writes the next housing law. [34] The US Congress passed one in July, and a second is being talked about. [34]

St. Louis sets limits on data centres

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St.

Louis, a US city of about 280,000 people, already has more than a dozen data centres, the buildings full of computers that run AI and websites, and up to 10 more are planned. [35]

A new city law sets gaps between them and homes and schools, and limits their noise. [35]

One planned centre may not seek tax cuts and is expected to pay 432 million dollars in tax over ten years. [35] Some residents are suing to stop it. [35]

Why it matters

The law does not protect households from higher utility bills, said Anne Schweitzer, the councillor who co-sponsored it. [35]

The truth, across the day

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What's really going on

Most of today's money news is about who pays while loans and energy stay dear.

That's the whole Money day.

23 stories, 37 sources.