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Day Lila

Friday, 23 October 2026

23 Oct · Space · In brief

Space · Friday, 23 October 2026

Space, in brief

16 stories · 23 sources

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What is moving · 1 of 4

Wars reaching into orbit

Building ↑

A US official told the UN that a Russian satellite's close approach looked like a weapons operation. [5] Ukraine's army signed up to study satellites of its own after its Starshield links were slowed. [7] Xona's chief says jamming near the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted navigation for over 2,000 ships. [9]

What is moving · 2 of 4

Tests before the real flight

Steady →

Europe's Space Rider model crashed when its main parachute came off in a drop test. [8] Artemis II's crew nearly stopped their Moon trip over a cabin-leak warning that proved false. [18] SpaceX's first refuelling test is set for early 2027. [2]

What is moving · 3 of 4

Private money paying for space

Building ↑

Investors put $250m into Xona, a US company building a rival to GPS. [9] Philanthropists have pledged more than A$6m towards Australia's first astronaut to fly under its own flag. [10]

What is moving · 4 of 4

Old space puzzles, new tools

Steady ↑

Lasers in a Chinese lab made a tiny flare like those that may heat the Sun's outer layer. [13] A Japanese team found where a black hole's thin disc of gas stops. [14] A Korean-led team says star shapes date van Gogh's painted sky to 22 July 1889. [12]

Part of the day's signal

One pressure seen across the day runs through Space too.

A NASA safety adviser says a Starship Moon landing may need about 22 launches to fuel it; Musk says 6 to 8

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NASA's Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel, a group of outside experts who check the agency's safety, held its quarterly meeting on Thursday. [1]

Who is involved

Who is involved

Why it matters

The number will be settled by measurement, not argument: SpaceX's first ship-to-ship refuelling test, planned for early 2027, should show how much fuel is lost in transfer and to boiling. [2]

What's really going on

A member of NASA's own safety panel says a Starship Moon landing may need about 22 fuel launches, and Elon Musk says 6 to 8. [1]

What's really going on

The test that should settle it, SpaceX's first refuelling in orbit, is planned for early 2027, and NASA still aims to land astronauts in 2028. [2][3]

Why it works on people

A confident number from the person building the rocket sounds like a measurement, but it is an estimate that no test has checked yet. [1][2]

Who gains

NASA has not picked which lander flies first, and Blue Moon does not need refuelling in orbit on its first missions, so a high Starship count helps its case. [1][3]

Who pays

Every extra fuel launch is one more step that must work before they leave Earth. [1]

Nobody knows yet

How many Starship launches one Moon landing really needs.

The safety panel's figure is about 22 and Musk's is 6 to 8. [1] Both depend on how much fuel boils off and leaks in transfer, which has not been measured at this size. [1][2]

Nobody knows yet

What NASA says at Friday's Artemis briefing.

It starts at 18:00 GMT, after this edition, and is due to cover Artemis III and the 2028 landing plan. [3]

Nobody knows yet

Which lander will carry the first Artemis crew to the surface.

NASA says it depends on how each lander's development goes and on Artemis III in 2027. [3]

The short version

That's the story in short.

The whole story has 13 more parts.

or swipe up for the next storyor scroll on for the next story ↓

The whole story, in 13 parts ↓

Part 1 of 13 · Who else is involved

Part 1 of 13 · Who else is involved

Part 2 of 13 · How it unfolded

Part 3 of 13

Panel member Charlie Precourt, a former NASA astronaut, said the Moon lander needs many fuelling flights, and the last estimate is around 22. [1]

Part 4 of 13

He did not name Starship.

Part 4 of 13

But Blue Moon, the other crewed lander NASA has bought, from Blue Origin, does not refuel in orbit on its first missions, so only SpaceX's lander fits. [1]

Part 5 of 13

Starship is SpaceX's giant rocket.

Part 5 of 13

Its Moon lander cannot get there on one tank, so it must be filled in orbit near Earth with fuel carried up by other Starships. [1]

Part 6 of 13

Precourt said Artemis IV, the planned landing, has a large number of firsts that lower its chance of success. [1]

Part 7 of 13

Elon Musk, SpaceX's founder, replied on X that 22 is 'way too high' and the real number will be more like 6 to 8. [1]

Part 8 of 13

NASA has long declined to give the number.

Part 8 of 13

In 2023 its lander chief would not say it, and later put it at 'high single digits to the low double digits'. [1]

Part 9 of 13

The count depends on how much super-cold fuel boils away in orbit and how much is lost moving it between ships.

Part 9 of 13

Neither has been measured at this size. [1][2]

Part 10 of 13

SpaceX plans its first ship-to-ship refuelling test early in 2027. [2]

Part 11 of 13

Musk says Starship could fly every week in the first half of 2027 and twice a week in the second half. [2]

Part 11 of 13

Even at twice a week, filling one fuel depot would take about three months. [1]

Part 12 of 13

NASA still aims to land astronauts near the Moon's south pole on Artemis IV in early 2028.

Part 12 of 13

It has not said which lander will fly. [3]

Part 13 of 13

NASA holds an Artemis briefing at 18:00 GMT on Friday, with its administrator Jared Isaacman. [3]

US calls a Russian satellite's approach weapon-like

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On Wednesday Brian Hardesty, a US State Department official, told a United Nations committee that Kosmos 2612's moves 'appear consistent with an on-orbit weapons operation'. [5]

Kosmos 2612 is a Russian military satellite. [5] It had moved close to ICEYE-X36, a radar satellite owned by the US arm of ICEYE, a Finnish company whose pictures Ukraine uses. [5]

Another US official suggested the gap may have shrunk to about 100 feet, some 30 metres. [5]

Konstantin Vorontsov, a Russian diplomat, called the charge 'unfounded' and said all Russian space activity is peaceful. [5]

Why it matters

In 2022 the same diplomat said commercial satellites helping Ukraine could be a 'legitimate target'. [5]

Why it matters

Earlier Russian inspector satellites came within about 30 to 70 km of US spy satellites, so this approach was far closer, and to a company's satellite. [6]

Why it matters

Closest approaches by Russian inspector satellites, in km. The 2026 bar is about 30 metres, a US official's estimate, too small to see at this scale.

Who pays

Its satellite was approached to within tens of metres, by a country whose diplomat has called such satellites possible targets. [5]

Nobody knows yet

How close Kosmos 2612 actually came to ICEYE-X36.

LeoLabs, a tracking company, said within 500 metres and likely closer, and a US official suggested about 100 feet. Satellite tracking cannot pin it down. [5]

Nobody knows yet

Whether the Russian satellite will move in again.

It backed away, but its path does not rule out another approach, and Russia has not explained the first one. [5]

Ukraine plans satellites it would own

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Ukraine's military signed a letter of intent with Nokia, a Finnish telecoms giant, and ICEYE, a Finnish satellite maker, to study a satellite network Ukraine would own. [7]

Ukraine now relies mostly on Starlink and Starshield, SpaceX's satellite internet and its military version. [7]

Since 14 October Starshield has limited the speed of terminals on Ukrainian drones, and the limit appears still to be in place. [7]

Nokia and ICEYE said on 1 October that they would build such networks for countries. [7]

Why it matters

Ukraine did not make the call to slow its links: Musk says the US government sets Starshield's limits. [7]

Why it matters

The letter only commits them to look into it, and names no cost or date. [7]

Who gains

Ukraine's letter of intent makes them the first partners for a network Ukraine would own, three weeks after they launched that offer. [7]

Who pays

Their Starshield links have been slowed since 14 October, and the limit appears still to be in place. [7]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Ukraine will build its own satellite network, and when.

The letter of intent only starts a study, and no budget or date has been given. [7]

Europe's reusable spacecraft model crashes

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A full-size model of Space Rider, the European Space Agency's planned reusable spacecraft, crashed in a drop test on 6 October, ESA said this week. [8]

It was released from a helicopter about 3 km above a military range in Sardinia. [8]

The order of the 6 October drop test over Sardinia. One step failing was enough to lose the model.

The first small parachute opened, but the large steerable one, called a parafoil, came off as it unfolded. [8] An independent inquiry is looking for the cause. [8]

Why it matters

Space Rider is meant to carry experiments to orbit for up to two months and land them on a runway, and the parafoil is what steers it there. [8]

Why it matters

Geraldine Naja, ESA's head of space transport, said the remaining tests are not holding up its first flight, planned for later this decade. [8]

How it works

Why a plan made of many steps that each usually work can still often fail

How it works

When every step has to work for the whole plan to work, each small chance of failure adds to the rest, so long chains go wrong far more often than any one step.

How it works · step 1 of 5

A big job is a chain of steps

How it works · step 2 of 5

Every step must work for the job to work

How it works · step 3 of 5

Each step has a small chance of going wrong

How it works · step 4 of 5

Those small chances add up as steps are added

How it works · step 5 of 5

So a long chain fails far more often than any one step

The twist

Imagine a step that works 97 times in 100 sounds safe. Chain 22 of them together and all 22 work only about half the time.

The picture

Made-up numbers: every step works 97 times in 100. Each bar shows how often all the steps work together.

Seen the same day

Space Rider's crashed test model

The small parachute opened as planned, but the steerable parafoil came off, and that one failed step lost the whole model.

Seen the same day

Artemis II's false leak warning

The burn to the Moon could go only if nothing was wrong, and one false cabin-leak warning 15 minutes out nearly called off the trip.

Seen the same day

Australia's astronaut offer

The flight needs ESA to accept, about A$100m to be found and a place on a 2028 mission, and a gap in any one stops it.

The catch

It only holds when one failed step ruins the whole job. A tanker flight that fails can often be replaced by another, which costs time rather than the landing.

The whole

Each team on Artemis tests its own step: SpaceX its tankers, Blue Origin its lander, NASA its capsule.

The whole

No one team sees the odds for the whole trip, which is why NASA keeps a panel whose job is to add them up.

Who pays

It lost a full-size test model and must wait on the inquiry before the next drop. [8]

Nobody knows yet

Why Space Rider's parafoil came off.

An independent investigation is still running, and ESA has not said what it has found. [8]

Xona raises $250m for its rival to GPS

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Xona Space Systems, a US start-up building a paid alternative to GPS, raised $250m in a round led by Future Ventures, an investment firm. [9]

The deal values Xona at $2.45bn and brings what it has raised since 2019 to over $570m. [9]

It plans about 258 satellites, with signals it says are 100 times stronger than today's GPS. [9]

It aims to build 50 satellites a year by the end of 2027 and start a timing service next year. [9]

Why it matters

Xona's chief executive says governments are interested because jamming near the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted navigation for more than 2,000 ships. [9]

Why it matters

A stronger signal is harder to jam, and next year Xona plans tests with the US Army, Navy and Air Force. [9]

Who gains

Jamming near Hormuz has raised government interest in a stronger navigation signal, and the new round values Xona at $2.45bn. [9]

Part of a signal

Dearer fuel from the Iran war

Also seen in World, Finance, Food, Money and Climate.

Attacks around the Gulf keep oil above $110, so airlines, truckers and farmers pay more for fuel and pass it on to households in fares, food and heating.

The whole signal →

Australia offers ESA its own astronaut

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Australia's government has sent the European Space Agency an offer to fly Katherine Bennell-Pegg to the International Space Station on a mission planned for 2028. [10]

She finished astronaut training with ESA in 2024 and would be the first astronaut to fly under Australia's flag. [10] Earlier Australian-born astronauts flew as US citizens on NASA missions. [10]

Philanthropists have pledged more than A$6m in cash, and some states have offered support. [10]

Why it matters

The flight is expected to cost about A$100m, which the science minister's office once called too much for any government to fund alone. [10]

Why it matters

Australia has already paid A$466,000 for her training. [10]

How it works

Australia's astronaut offer

The flight needs ESA to accept, about A$100m to be found and a place on a 2028 mission, and a gap in any one stops it.

The idea, in story 4: Why a plan made of many steps that each usually work can still often fail →

Who gains

The flight is pitched as a full Australian mission carrying locally made experiments and technology. [10]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Australia can pay for its astronaut's flight.

Supporters put the cost at about A$100m. Philanthropists have pledged more than A$6m, and some states have offered only indicative support. [10]

Good news

Australia's government has offered the European Space Agency a 2028 space station flight for Katherine Bennell-Pegg, who would be the first astronaut to fly under Australia's flag. Philanthropists have already pledged more than A$6m in cash towards it.

Spacewalks set to fit new solar wings

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Two spacewalks to fit a new roll-out solar array to the International Space Station are planned for 29 October and 5 November, NASASpaceflight reports. [4]

NASA's Anil Menon and Canada's Joshua Kutryk will do the work. [4] The array arrived on a SpaceX cargo Dragon that docked on 15 October with about 2,870 kg of supplies. [4]

ESA has also switched off its Fluid Science Laboratory, built to last ten years and run since 2008. [4]

Why it matters

The station is due to be retired by the end of 2030. [4] NASA plans to pick about two companies in spring 2027 to build stations to replace it. [4]

Artemis II crew describe two scares

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Speaking at Starmus, a science festival in Tenerife, Artemis II pilot Victor Glover said a cabin-leak warning came about 15 minutes before the engine burn that sent the crew to the Moon on 2 April. [18]

The warning was false, and the burn went ahead. [18] Glover said that if it had come five minutes later, they might not have been able to make the burn. [18]

Commander Reid Wiseman said he feared they would never get home when the distance counter rose past its planned top of 219,667 nautical miles. [19]

Why it matters

Artemis II was the first crewed trip to the Moon since 1972, and its four astronauts landed safely on 10 April. [18][19]

Why it matters

Wiseman credited the engineers and flight controllers on Earth for bringing them home. [19]

How it works

Artemis II's false leak warning

The burn to the Moon could go only if nothing was wrong, and one false cabin-leak warning 15 minutes out nearly called off the trip.

The idea, in story 4: Why a plan made of many steps that each usually work can still often fail →

Exploding stars first helped, then blocked, early light

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Astronomers led by Cody Carr of the University of Michigan used the Hubble telescope to study six nearby galaxies that resemble those of the early universe. [15]

They asked how ultraviolet light escaped young galaxies and lit up the gas between them, ending the dark ages after the Big Bang. [15]

Winds driven mostly by young stars first cleared paths for the light. [15] Later, supernovae, which are exploding stars, filled those paths with dust and gas that blocked it. [15]

The study is in Nature Astronomy. [15]

Why it matters

Computer models of the early universe give supernovae a central part in letting that light out. [15]

Why it matters

This result points instead to young stars, which did the work before many supernovae could explode. [15]

Why a fast-feeding black hole still fires jets

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Japanese astronomers aimed XRISM, an X-ray space telescope, and several radio telescope networks at 3C 120, a galaxy about 420 million light years away. [14]

Its central black hole swallows gas fast and also fires a jet. [14]

Theory said a fast-feeding black hole's thin, cold disc of gas cannot make the magnetic field a jet needs. [14]

The team found the thin disc stops about 20 times the black hole's radius out, and a hot, thick flow fills the space inside. [14]

Why it matters

It suggests jets always start in a hot inner flow, whatever the outer disc is like. [14]

Why it matters

Jets matter because they can stir up gas and disrupt star formation across whole galaxies. [14]

Lasers make a tiny solar flare in a lab

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Researchers at the China Institute of Atomic Energy fired four powerful lasers at a small plastic target to make a 2 mm patch of plasma, a hot gas of charged particles. [13]

When the target's surface was wavy, the plasma's magnetic field suddenly rearranged itself and released a burst called a nanoflare. [13]

That plasma reached about 800,000C, nearly twice as hot as with a flat target. [13] The work is in Physical Review Letters. [13]

Why it matters

The Sun's outer layer, the corona, is millions of degrees, far hotter than its surface, and nobody is sure why. [13]

Why it matters

Rony Keppens of KU Leuven, a Belgian university, said the result adds one possible cause but does not settle the puzzle. [13]

Good news

Researchers at the China Institute of Atomic Energy made a tiny solar flare in a lab for the first time, using four lasers and a speck of plastic. Their plasma reached about 800,000C, nearly double the run without one.

Stars date van Gogh's The Starry Night

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A team led by Elijah Kim, a South Korean astronomer, says the star cluster in van Gogh's The Starry Night is the Hyades, in the constellation Taurus. [12]

By matching the shape of five painted stars, they date the sky to before dawn on 22 July 1889, over Saint-Remy in France. [11][12]

A month separates the date historians give and the sky the team matched. That gap is the dispute the paper opens.

Art historians have dated the painting to mid-June. [12] The paper came out on 22 October in Scientific Reports, a journal. [12]

Why it matters

In mid-June the Moon would have looked like a lopsided oval, not the thin crescent van Gogh painted, the team says. [12]

Why it matters

Don Olson, a Texas astronomer who studies skies in art, says Venus is in the wrong place for their date. [12]

Nobody knows yet

When The Starry Night was really painted.

Kim's team matches the sky to 22 July 1889. Don Olson says Venus does not fit, and van Gogh wrote of a new starry study on 18 June. [12]

Good news

A team led by Elijah Kim matched five stars in van Gogh's The Starry Night to the Hyades, a star cluster, as it stood before dawn on 22 July 1889.

Venus passes between Earth and Sun

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Venus passes between Earth and the Sun at 04:00 UT on Saturday 24 October, an event called inferior conjunction. [17]

It will be about 40 million km from Earth and only 6 degrees from the Sun in the sky, so it is very hard to see safely. [17]

SOHO, a spacecraft that watches the Sun, can see Venus in one of its cameras from 21 to 28 October. [17] After that, Venus moves into the dawn sky. [17]

Why it matters

This is when Venus comes closest to Earth on its loop. [17]

Why it matters

Its tilted path keeps it from crossing the Sun's face this time, and the next such crossing is in 2117. [17]

Rubin's test camera shows the Seagull Nebula

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The Vera C. Rubin Observatory has released a new picture taken by its test camera, called ComCam, to mark two years since testing began. [16]

It shows part of the Seagull Nebula, a cloud where stars are forming, about 3,700 light years away. [16] ComCam took about 16,000 pictures in seven weeks in late 2024. [16]

It is a smaller version of the observatory's main camera, the largest digital camera ever built. [16]

Why it matters

ComCam's 144-megapixel pictures went through the same processing the main camera will use, so they test the whole system. [16]

Trump says Musk restored Ukraine's Starlink

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On Thursday Donald Trump, the US president, said Elon Musk had restored Ukraine's access to Starlink, SpaceX's satellite internet. [20]

'Bottom line, he put it back,' Trump said, without saying whether he had phoned Musk. [20]

The Wall Street Journal reported that Trump asked Musk to lift the limits, and that Starshield, the military version, worked more normally soon after the call. [21]

Earlier that day Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky said its speed limit had still not gone back up to 400 km/h. [20]

Why it matters

A senior European official told the Associated Press that nothing had changed in how Starshield works. [22]

Why it matters

Who ordered the slowdown is still disputed: Musk says the US government sets Starshield's limits, and Trump says he was not involved. [22][21]

Mars Express to watch Japan's Phobos probe

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JAXA, Japan's space agency, said on 21 October that MMX, its probe to Phobos, a moon of Mars, had opened its solar panels and finished its first critical steps after launch. [23]

MMX is due at Mars in 2027 and plans to bring about 10 g of Phobos soil to Earth in 2031. [23]

Mars Express, a European orbiter circling Mars since 2003, will photograph MMX's landing site, a former team member told The Register. [23] Its mission now runs to 2029. [23]

Why it matters

An orbiter already at Mars can look over ground that the new probe reaches only in 2027. [23]

Why it matters

Mars Express may also help Europe's Rosalind Franklin rover, now due to launch in 2028. [23]

That's the whole Space day.

16 stories, 23 sources.