Day Lila

Finance News · Wednesday, 23 September 2026

01 Briefing what happened

Meta's AI app Muse topped the download charts. Schwab fell 6.1% and Allstate 5.5%, and Shopify rose nearly 7% after letting Muse shop

Finance News 44 sources

Investors sold US banks, brokers and insurers on Tuesday, afraid an AI helper will shop around for their customers. Firms that plug into Muse rose instead.

6.1%

fall in Charles Schwab's shares on Tuesday

the biggest drop among the big money managers; Ameriprise fell 4.4% [4]

3%

fall in big US bank shares on Tuesday

Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan dragged the Dow down 0.4% while the Nasdaq hit a record [4][7][8]

11.3%

rise in Meta's shares on Monday

the day after Muse passed ChatGPT's first 13 days of downloads [3]

0.18

percentage points between two-year and ten-year US borrowing costs

its low on Tuesday, down from 0.555 on 18 August and the smallest since March 2025 [4]

The lead story — what happened

  • Muse is a personal AI helper from Meta, the owner of Facebook and Instagram. It does tasks for people online, not just answer questions. [1][2]
  • Meta launched it two weeks ago, and it has been the top app on Apple's US App Store since Friday. [1]
  • Meta's shares jumped 11.3% on Monday. Analysts pointed out that Muse got more downloads in its first 13 days than ChatGPT did. [3]
  • On Tuesday investors sold the companies they think Muse could hurt. A broad index of US financial companies fell 2%, and the S&P 500 bank index fell 3%. [4]
  • Charles Schwab, which holds savings and investments for millions of Americans, fell 6.1%. Ameriprise fell 4.4% and Raymond James more than 3%. [4]
  • Allstate, a big US car and home insurer, fell 5.5%, its sixth losing day in a row. [5]
  • JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo each fell more than 2.5%. [6] Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan did the most damage to the Dow, which fell 0.4%. [7][8]
  • The fear is simple. An app that moves idle cash to a better account, re-shops insurance at renewal and cancels unused memberships takes money from firms that rely on customers not bothering. [2]
  • The same fear hit other kinds of company. Booking fell 3.9%, Expedia 3.7% and Verizon 2.8%, and the gym chain Planet Fitness lost 10.6%. [2]
  • Companies that let Muse work through them rose. Shopify, which runs online shops for sellers, gained nearly 7% after saying Muse will handle checkout on its platform. [9]
  • PayPal rose 3% after a deal to let Muse users shop and pay through PayPal's network of sellers. [10]
  • Amazon went the other way. On Sunday it blocked Muse from buying on its site, saying it had not been told in advance. [1]
  • Banks had a second worry. The gap between what the US government pays to borrow for two years and for ten fell as low as 0.18 points, the smallest since March 2025. [4]
  • That gap was 0.555 points on 18 August. [4] Banks borrow for short periods and lend for long ones. A fund manager at Gabelli said the smaller gap could eat into their returns. [4]
How far five share prices moved on Tuesday. The two that work with Muse rose; three that could lose customers to it fell.

Who is involved

  • Meta

    the owner of Facebook and Instagram; it launched Muse two weeks ago

  • Charles Schwab

    a big US firm that holds people's savings and investments; its shares fell 6.1%

  • Allstate

    one of the biggest US car and home insurers; its shares fell 5.5%

  • Shopify and PayPal

    companies that run online shops and payments; both said Muse will work through them

  • Amazon

    the biggest online shop; it blocked Muse from buying on its site

How it unfolded

  1. Two weeks ago Meta launches Muse [1]
  2. Friday Muse becomes the top app on Apple's US App Store [1]
  3. Sunday Amazon blocks Muse from buying on its site [1]
  4. Monday Meta's shares jump 11.3% [3]
  5. Tuesday US bank, broker and insurer shares fall; Shopify and PayPal rise [4][9][10]
  6. Wednesday Mark Zuckerberg, Meta's boss, speaks at its Meta Connect event [22]

Where this points

Watch whether OpenAI launches its own helper in the next week or two, as analysts expect, and whether more big shops follow Amazon and keep Muse out. [1]

What is pushing on the whole day

The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing today. The arrow is where it is heading. The evidence is in the stories below.

The AI spending boom High

Samsung and SK Hynix, which make memory chips, rose more than 2% in Seoul. [11] Big AI companies are expected to borrow a record $420bn next year. [12] A maker of data-centre power gear hopes to be valued at up to $5.37bn on the stock market. [13]

Short-term borrowing getting dearer High

The US sold two-year debt at 4.787%, its highest since May 2024. [14] Futures put a 54% chance on another US rate rise in October. [11] The main US mortgage rate reached 6.95%. [15]

The oil price from the Iran war High

Brent crude fell below $100 after a report that Iran offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. [16] TUI, Europe's largest tour operator, said the war makes customers book later. [17] Consumer confidence in the euro area fell on energy prices. [18]

Governments borrowing more Building

Britain borrowed 18.3 billion pounds in August, 2.9 billion more than a year earlier. [19] Britain's ten-year borrowing rate rose to 5.239% after the figures. [20] The US sells another $70 billion of five-year debt on Wednesday and $44 billion of seven-year debt on Thursday. [21]

The rest of the day

31 more stories on this beat.

Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.

  1. 02

    US two-year borrowing costs the most since 2024

    The US Treasury sold $69 billion of two-year notes on Tuesday at 4.787%, the highest rate at such a sale since May 2024. [14] A note is a loan to the US government that is repaid in a few years. It sells $70 billion of five-year notes on Wednesday and $44 billion of seven-year notes on Thursday. [21] Richmond's Tom Barkin and Boston's Susan Collins, two US central bank officials, both backed last week's rate rise. [11]

    1. 1Two-year sale, Tuesday4.79%
    2. 2Two-year sale, May 20244.92%
    The rate at Tuesday's two-year sale, against the last time it was higher, in May 2024.

    Why it matters — Futures now put a 54% chance on another US rate rise in October. [11] A higher two-year rate feeds into car loans, credit cards and the cost of short business loans.

  2. 03

    Oil drops below $100 on an Iran offer

    Brent crude, the price most of the world uses for oil, fell below $100 a barrel on Tuesday. [16] Japan's Kyodo News reported that Iran offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the US took steps to ease military pressure. [16] It ended the day at $99.25, down 1.1%. [23] Oil has now fallen five days running, about 10% in all, and US energy shares lost 6% over those days. [22]

    Why it matters — Most of the Gulf's oil normally leaves through Hormuz. Brent is still 37% above where it was when the war began in late February. [24] Donald Trump said US and Iranian officials met for three hours in New York. [8]

  3. 04

    Saudi Arabia tests its bypass pipeline

    Saudi Arabia is testing its East-West pipeline, which carries oil across the country to the Red Sea, after drone strikes shut it. [25] If the tests pass, exports from the port of Yanbu could restart within a couple of days. [25] Reuters, citing three sources, reported that operations had already restarted. [3] Meanwhile Saudi Aramco, the state oil company, is sending more tankers through Hormuz and asking Asian buyers to collect off Oman. [25]

    Why it matters — The pipeline is the main way to sell Saudi oil without passing Hormuz, so a restart would add supply fast. Houthi fighters in Yemen have stepped up attacks on Saudi energy sites, and the G7 asked Iran to stop arming them. [26]

  4. 05

    The US weighs a ban on diesel exports

    Scott Bessent, the US treasury secretary, said the US government is deciding whether to ban exports of diesel. [8] Diesel averaged $6.53 a gallon in the US, according to AAA, a motoring group. [8] Bessent said officials are checking whether refineries could cope, and whether a full or partial ban would work. [8] Trump raised the same idea at the UN, as a way to curb soaring fuel prices. [23]

    Why it matters — Europe relies heavily on US diesel, so analysts said a ban could push up prices there. [11] Diesel runs lorries and farm machines, so its price ends up in the cost of food and deliveries.

  5. 06

    Europe's gas stays short of Qatar's supply

    The Dutch TTF, the benchmark for gas in Europe, fell 2.5% to 71.44 euros a megawatt-hour on Tuesday. [25] An analyst at Commerzbank, a German bank, said the fall has a limit. [25] Gas from Qatar travels by ship, and unlike oil it has no other route while Hormuz stays officially closed. [25] Europe's gas stores are well below their five-year average before winter, and EU officials meet on Thursday. [25]

    Why it matters — Low stores going into winter make home heating and factory energy bills in Europe more likely to rise. Europe already faces a gas shortage that could push energy prices higher, Reuters reported. [11]

  6. 07

    The dollar holds near a two-month high

    The dollar steadied near its strongest level in two months on Wednesday. [27] One euro bought $1.1446, close to its weakest since late July. [24] A run of rate rises from big central banks, with more expected, is driving currency markets. [24] One currency strategist said futures already expect more US rate rises than the US central bank's own forecasts show. [24] The British pound traded near a two-month low. [16]

    Why it matters — A dearer dollar makes oil and other dollar-priced goods cost more in euros and pounds. The yen sat at 157.55 per dollar, and traders are watching for Japan to buy its own currency. [24]

  7. 08

    A record built on few shares

    The Nasdaq, the US share index heavy with technology firms, closed at a record on Tuesday, its fourth rise in a row. [8] The wider S&P 500 finished slightly lower and the Dow fell 0.4%. [8] Only 14 stocks on the New York Stock Exchange reached a one-year high that day, while 75 hit a one-year low. [28] On Monday, bets on further rises through options, which are contracts to buy later at a set price, reached their highest since May. [28]

    Why it matters — When a record rests on a few large tech companies, a stumble by those few can move the whole index. Wall Street's fear gauge sat at a low 14.21. [8]

  8. 09

    Chip shares rise for a sixth day

    Samsung and SK Hynix, South Korea's two big memory chip makers, rose more than 2% on Wednesday, and Korea's main index gained 1.2%. [11] Reuters said consumers taking up Meta's Muse helped lift the companies that make computing hardware. [11] Each Muse helper runs on its own virtual computer, so it uses a lot of computing power. [1] In New York, Sandisk rose more than 6% and Micron more than 3%. [28]

    Why it matters — Memory chips store the data AI programs work on, so more AI use means more chips sold. An analyst at the broker Pepperstone noted that chip shares have now risen six days in a row. [11]

  9. 10

    Paramount starts selling $49bn of debt

    Bankers began approaching investors to sell $49 billion of debt that pays for Paramount's $110 billion takeover of Warner Bros Discovery. [29] It includes about $30 billion of bonds rated safe, $7.5 billion of loans and about $12 billion of riskier bonds. [29] The riskier ones are paid back only after the first lenders. Paramount hopes to close the deal in about two weeks, before late fees start after 1 October. [30]

    Why it matters — The loans are set up so that Paramount, not its banks, pays more if interest rates rise. [29] In 2022 banks lost money when rates jumped on buyout loans they could not sell. [29]

  10. 11

    Lenders get choosy about AI debt

    Big buyers of company bonds are treating bonds from AI companies with caution while bidding eagerly for others, Reuters reported. [12] The giant cloud companies are expected to borrow a record $420 billion next year, 60% more than this year, according to Goldman Sachs. [12] Their bonds now pay about 1.15 points more than US government debt, against 0.78 points across all safe company bonds. [12] Aon, an insurance broker, sold $13.5 billion of bonds this month and drew $65 billion of orders. [12]

    Extra interest over US government debt, in percentage points. Borrowers tied to AI pay about 0.37 points more.

    Why it matters — Buyers are not worried about default, managers said; they worry about how much more borrowing is coming. [12] That makes each new data centre a little dearer to pay for.

  11. 12

    A data-centre supplier prices its listing

    Accelevation, an Ohio company that makes power and cooling equipment for data centres, aims to sell shares at $20 to $24 each. [13] That would value it at up to $5.37 billion and raise up to $720 million, mostly to pay off debt. [13] Other AI listings are wobbling. SB Energy, a SoftBank-owned data-centre builder, has delayed its sales pitch to investors, and Holtec suspended its listing last week. [4]

    Why it matters — Accelevation is one of a wave of firms selling shares to investors who want AI stocks. [13] Olympus Partners, the firm that bought it in January 2025, will keep about 85% of the votes. [13]

  12. 13

    Nvidia's shares look cheaper than in years

    Nvidia, which makes the chips most AI runs on, now trades at less than 17 times the profit it is expected to make in the next twelve months. [31] That is close to its cheapest in more than a decade, according to Bloomberg data. [31] In May the figure was above 25, and in 2025 it was twice today's level. [31] A falling ratio means investors expect its fast profit growth to slow. [31]

    Why it matters — Nvidia is among the largest companies on the US market, so a change in how investors value it moves many people's pensions and index funds.

  13. 14

    Old batteries sold to Glencore for ten years

    Nth Cycle, a US start-up, signed a $1 billion, ten-year deal to supply Glencore, a giant commodities trader, with metals taken from old batteries. [32] Nth Cycle will turn crushed batteries into lithium and a nickel-rich material. [32] It received a $100 million US government grant in August and has doubled the size of its planned plant. [32] It plans to list its shares through a merger valuing it at $585 million. [32]

    Why it matters — Lithium and nickel go into electric car batteries, and US buyers want supplies that do not come from abroad. [32]

  14. 15

    Binance buys $100m of Circle

    Binance, a big crypto exchange, bought a $100 million stake in Circle, which issues USDC. [33] USDC is a stablecoin, a digital token meant to be worth exactly one dollar, and about $75 billion of it exists. [33] Binance paid $80.84 a share, and Circle will pay Binance a monthly fee to promote USDC. [33] The same day SoFi, a US financial app and bank, said stablecoin settlement is now live across its debit and credit cards. [9]

    Why it matters — Stablecoins are moving from crypto trading into everyday card payments, which is where banks earn their fees.

  15. 16

    Europe's central banks push back on a stablecoin rule

    The European Central Bank and the 27 national central banks of the EU said stablecoin issuers should not have to keep a set share of their money in bank deposits. [34] The EU's crypto law now makes the biggest issuers keep 60% there. [34] The central banks said that ties banks to the ups and downs of crypto. [34] They also said regulators struggle to stop unlicensed crypto firms reaching EU customers. [34]

    Why it matters — If a stablecoin shrinks fast, deposits vanish from the banks holding its reserves; the central banks want that money in assets that repay within days instead. [34]

  16. 17

    Britain borrows more than a year ago

    Britain's government spent 18.3 billion pounds more than it collected in August, the Office for National Statistics said. [19] That is 2.9 billion pounds more than in August last year, a setback before next month's budget. [19] Britain's ten-year borrowing rate rose to 5.239% after the figures. [20] Germany pays 3.469% and France 4.522% for the same ten years. [20]

    Why it matters — A government paying more to borrow has less left for schools and hospitals, and British mortgage rates follow the same market.

  17. 18

    Euro-area shoppers grow gloomier

    Consumer confidence in the 21 countries that use the euro fell 1.0 point to minus 16.5 in September, the European Commission said. [18] Economists had expected a smaller drop, to minus 16.0. [18] The fall came as energy prices rose again after fighting in the Middle East escalated. [18] The figure is a monthly survey of how households feel about money.

    Why it matters — Weak household spending is already holding back the euro-area economy, analysts at the bank ING said. [35] Dearer energy leaves households less to spend in shops.

  18. 19

    South Africa's bond sale draws six times the cash

    South Africa's treasury received offers of 14.7 billion rand, about $906 million, for 2.55 billion rand of bonds on Tuesday. [36] That is nearly six times what was on sale, against 3.2 times at last week's sale. [36] Economists expect August inflation of 4.5% and a quarter-point rate rise from the South African Reserve Bank, the country's central bank, both due on Wednesday. [37] The country's 2035 bond paid 8.65%. [37]

    Why it matters — Investors snapped up South Africa's high rates before the inflation figures and the rate decision. [36] A rise would make loans dearer for South African households and firms.

  19. 20

    Foreign money keeps leaving India's shares

    Foreign investors have sold $1.7 billion of Indian shares so far in September, taking this year's total to nearly $26 billion, the most ever. [38] India's main index of big companies, the Nifty 50, is down more than 10% since January. [38] The bank Bernstein said India's largest firms are protecting old businesses rather than investing in new ones. [38] Mid-sized companies grew profits 31% last quarter, against 11% for the big ones. [38]

    Why it matters — India is still the fastest-growing big economy, yet its biggest companies are losing foreign money. [38] Reliance Industries and HDFC Bank trade near one-year lows. [38]

  20. 21

    How Bessent measures his bond market

    Scott Bessent, the US treasury secretary, told Congress that the US has the best-performing bond market in the developed world. [39] A Treasury official told the New York Times he compares the rise in ten-year rates with Britain, Germany, France, Italy and Japan. [39] Measured from the start of the Trump administration, the US rate rose less than all five. [39] Since January, though, Germany has done best. [39]

    Why it matters — US ten-year rates are near a two-decade high, which means bond savers have lost value and home buyers pay more. [39]

  21. 22

    Where the US government should keep its cash

    The US Treasury keeps just under $1 trillion in its account at the US central bank, like a chequebook for the US government. [40] At a New York Fed panel, market firms backed lending some of it out for short periods against bonds, so it earns interest. [40] They asked for a predictable process. [40] John Williams, head of the New York Fed, said the US central bank's tools for steering short-term rates work well. [41]

    Why it matters — When cash leaves that account it becomes money inside the banking system. [40] Market firms want those moves to be predictable rather than random. [40]

  22. 23

    Fewer Americans buy homes as rates near 7%

    Sales of previously owned US homes fell 2% in August, the second monthly fall in a row. [15] The weekly average mortgage rate from Freddie Mac, a big home-loan company, is 6.95%, the highest since January 2025. [15] Applications for home-buying loans were 19% lower than a year earlier. [15] Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett's company, disclosed buying more than 2.7 million shares in Lennar, a housebuilder, whose stock rose 4%. [9]

    Why it matters — Prices have not come down: the typical home sold for $429,100 in August, 1.6% more than a year earlier. [15] Buyers face higher payments on higher prices at the same time.

  23. 24

    Medicare to pay less for lab tests

    Medicare, the US government health plan for older people, has been paying 16% more for laboratory tests than private insurers do, a report from the agency that runs it found. [9] The agency said it will bring most of its payments into line with private prices. [9] Shares in Quest Diagnostics fell 5.3% and Labcorp 3.6%. [9] Both run testing labs that bill Medicare.

    Why it matters — The cut saves taxpayers money and takes it from two of the biggest US lab companies.

  24. 25

    Two drugmakers report trial wins

    Amgen, a big US biotech company, said its drug dazodalibep worked in a late-stage trial for adults with Sjogren's disease. [9] Its shares rose more than 3%. [9] Sjogren's is an illness in which the immune system attacks the glands that make tears and saliva. Roche, the Swiss drugmaker, said its obesity drug enicepatide met its main goals in a mid-stage trial, lowering blood sugar and weight. [42]

    Why it matters — A late-stage win is the last step before asking regulators to approve a drug.

  25. 26

    Two bosses buy their own shares

    Anthony Tan, chief executive of Grab, the Singapore-based ride-hailing company, disclosed he bought 10.4 million of its shares. [9] Grab's shares jumped more than 7%. [9] Ryan Cohen, who runs GameStop, the video-game shop chain, disclosed buying 1.2 million GameStop shares, and the stock gained 4%. [9] Bosses must report their own trades in public.

    Why it matters — Investors read a boss spending his own money on shares as a sign he expects them to rise.

  26. 27

    Capri talks to possible buyers

    Capri, which owns the fashion brands Michael Kors and Jimmy Choo, has been in contact with potential buyers, the trade paper WWD reported, citing sources. [9] Capri's shares rose 7% on the report. [9] Its brands sell handbags, shoes and clothes in shops around the world.

    Why it matters — A sale would put two well-known handbag and shoe brands under new owners.

  27. 28

    On sets out bigger sales goals

    On, the Swiss sportswear company, set a goal of at least 5.6 billion Swiss francs, about $6.8 billion, of sales by 2029. [9] It also aims to keep 65% of each sale as gross profit, and to buy back up to $1 billion of its own shares by December 2029. [9] It kept this year's forecast. [9] Its shares jumped more than 10%. [9]

    Why it matters — A buyback returns cash to shareholders by shrinking the number of shares, which leaves each one a bigger slice of the profit.

  28. 29

    Vicor doubles its growth forecast

    Vicor, a US power electronics company, said it expects sales this quarter to grow more than 20% from the last one. [9] Its earlier forecast was nearly 10%. [9] Its shares rallied 14%. [9] A forecast is a company's own promise to investors, so raising it this much is a strong claim.

    Why it matters — A company that doubles its own forecast in the middle of a quarter is usually seeing orders arrive faster than it planned.

  29. 30

    Smiths Group beats forecasts

    Smiths Group, a British engineering company, reported yearly results better than analysts had expected. [42] It said sales growth should speed up in the year ahead. [42] Its shares rose 4.6% in early trading, one of the biggest gains in London's FTSE 100 index. [42] They were already up 15% this year. [42]

    Why it matters — Smiths makes equipment for industry, so its orders are an early sign of how much factories are spending.

  30. 31

    TUI says the war makes holidays book late

    TUI, Europe's largest tour operator, now expects underlying operating profit of 1.2 to 1.3 billion euros this year, narrowed from 1.1 to 1.4 billion. [17] It said the war in the Middle East is making customers book later. [17] Bookings in Germany and Britain are up 1% since August, but total bookings are below last year. [17] Its shares fell almost 2%. [17]

    Why it matters — Jet fuel prices have surged since the war began, and airlines have struggled to pass the cost on to customers. [17]

  31. 32

    Diageo picks a new finance chief

    Joanne Wilson, finance chief at WPP, Britain's biggest advertising group, is set to join Diageo, the world's largest spirits maker, in the same job, Sky News reported. [43] She would replace Nik Jhangiani. [43] Diageo's chief executive, Dave Lewis, announced a $1 billion cost-cutting plan last month. [43] Wilson worked with Lewis before, at Tesco. [43]

    Why it matters — Diageo, which makes Guinness, is cutting costs because it expects slow growth for a long time. [43]

02 Lesson why it matters

Why the same app lifted Shopify and sank Schwab

A new product helps the companies it works through and hurts the ones it could replace, and investors price both before a single customer moves.

The twist

Schwab and Allstate fell on Tuesday on a guess, not a result. Investors changed their view of which firms Muse will bring customers to, and which it will take customers from.

The picture

The same app on the same day. One company gets new traffic from it; the other could lose the cash that sits with it.

How it works

  1. A new product arrives that does a job for people
  2. Investors ask of every company: does it help this firm, or replace it?
  3. Firms it works through get more business, so their shares rise
  4. Firms it could replace may lose customers, so their shares fall
  5. Both moves happen before a single customer has changed

The same force, elsewhere today

Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.

  • Chip shares rise for a sixth day

    Every Muse helper runs on its own virtual computer, so the firms that sell memory chips expect more orders, and their shares rose.

  • A data-centre supplier prices its listing

    Accelevation sells power and cooling to the data centres AI needs, so its owners are selling shares while buyers want them.

Where you've seen this

Digital cameras

they helped the makers of memory cards and hurt the makers of photo film

Streaming video

it helped internet providers sell faster lines and hurt cable TV channels

Ride-hailing apps

they helped phone makers and hurt people who had paid for taxi licences

The catch

The guess can be wrong. Amazon has already blocked Muse from its shop, so a company that owns the customer can refuse to let the helper in.

And the whole of it

Many people saving for a pension own a little Schwab, Allstate or JPMorgan through a fund, and those shares fell on Tuesday. The same people may one day pay less for insurance if an app shops around for them at renewal.

03 Truth what's really going on

What is really going on

Schwab, Allstate and the big US banks fell 3% to 6% on Tuesday because investors changed their guess about what Meta's new app will do to their customers. A fund manager at Gabelli called it a sell-without-regard reaction. [4][5] The shops and payment firms that let Muse in, Shopify and PayPal, rose, and Amazon, which blocked it, is protecting its own advertising business, analysts said. [9][10][1]

Why it works on us — A number one download ranking is easy to see and easy to picture, while the thing it is being used to predict, customers actually leaving, has not happened yet.

Who gains

  • Shopify and PayPal — They signed up to let Muse shop through them, and their shares rose nearly 7% and 3%. [9][10]
  • Makers of memory chips such as Samsung and SK Hynix — Every Muse helper runs on its own virtual computer, and the chip makers rose more than 2%. [1][11]
  • Buyers of new US two-year debt — They lock in 4.787% a year, the most at such a sale since May 2024. [14]
  • Companies borrowing outside the AI boom — Bond buyers prefer them, so Aon drew $65 billion of orders for a $13.5 billion sale. [12]
  • Binance — Circle will pay it a monthly fee to promote USDC on its exchange. [33]

Who pays

  • Shareholders in Schwab, Allstate and the big US banks — Their shares lost 3% to 6% in one day on a guess about an app. [4][5]
  • US home buyers — The main 30-year mortgage rate reached 6.95% while the typical price still rose 1.6% in a year. [15]
  • British taxpayers — The government borrowed 2.9 billion pounds more in August than a year before, and now pays 5.239% for ten years. [19][20]
  • Quest Diagnostics and Labcorp — Medicare will cut its lab payments to private levels after finding it paid 16% more. [9]
  • The big AI companies — Their bonds must pay about 1.15 points over government debt, against 0.78 for similar companies. [12]

What nobody knows yet

Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.

  • 01

    Whether Muse users will actually move their savings or switch insurers.

    The only public figures are app-store rankings, not what people use the helper for, and a Raymond James analyst said it is way too early to have a firm view. [1]

  • 02

    Whether other big shops follow Amazon and keep Muse out.

    Amazon blocked it on Sunday; a Raymond James analyst said shops will only let helpers in if they bring more customers than they take. [1]

  • 03

    How far Schwab really fell.

    Investing.com reported a 6.7% drop during the day; Reuters and the Wall Street Journal put the close at 6.1%. [10][4][44]

  • 04

    Whether the US central bank raises rates again in October.

    Futures put the chance at 53.1% on one reading and 54% on another; the meeting has not happened. [3][11]

  • 05

    Whether Iran will really reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

    The offer was reported by Japan's Kyodo News and has not been confirmed by Iran or the US. [16]

  • 06

    Whether Saudi Arabia's bypass pipeline is running.

    One report says it is still being tested; Reuters sources say operations have restarted. [25][3]

  • 07

    Whether the US bans diesel exports.

    Bessent said officials are still checking whether refineries could cope. [8]

  • 08

    How much AI borrowing the bond market can take.

    Goldman Sachs expects $420 billion from the big cloud firms next year, and buyers already ask more of them than of similar companies. [12]

04 Hope carry this

Amgen's drug dazodalibep worked in a late-stage trial for adults with Sjogren's disease, an illness that dries the eyes and mouth.

Also true today

  • Roche's obesity drug enicepatide lowered blood sugar and weight in a mid-stage trial, meeting its main goals.
  • Medicare found it paid 16% more than private insurers for lab tests, and said it will bring most of those payments down to match.
  • Nth Cycle signed a ten-year deal to turn old batteries into lithium and nickel for Glencore, and doubled the size of the plant it plans to build.

Across the beats