Day Lila

Finance News · Friday, 30 October 2026

01 Briefing what happened

Alphabet has its worst day since 2004, losing about $500bn, and the sell-off spreads to Intel and Asia's chip makers

29 stories 51 sources

Alphabet's shares fell 13% on slower Google search sales, Intel fell 21% after hours on weak PC demand, and South Korea's Kospi was down 5.2% in early Friday trading.

13%

fall in Alphabet's shares on Thursday, its worst day since 2004

about $500 billion of its stock market value went in one day [1]

21%

fall in Intel's shares after it forecast weaker PC chip sales

its boss expects the PC chip market to shrink 12% next year [11]

5.2%

fall in South Korea's Kospi index in early Friday trading

trading was briefly halted when bets on the index fell more than 5% [4]

10 times

a year's profit: what Bank of America now thinks Google search is worth

the S&P 500's companies trade at 18.7 times [2]

The lead story — what happened

  • Alphabet, the company that owns Google, lost 13% of its share price on Thursday. [1] Its worst day before this was in March 2020, when it fell 11.63%. [1] About $500 billion of the company's stock market value went in one day. [1] Investors sold because Google's search sales grew 12%, when analysts expected 15%. [2] In early trading on Friday the selling spread to shares in South Korea, Japan and Taiwan. [4]
  • Alphabet said part of the slowdown came because its AI Mode answers earn less from adverts. [1] Its executives said changes in exchange rates were the biggest reason for the slowdown. [3] Yet Google's boss said the number of searches is growing at its fastest in five years. [2] Search sales grew 19%, then 17%, then 12% over this year's three quarters. [3] In a 2025 Pew study, people shown AI summaries clicked links on 8% of visits. [2] Without an AI summary, they clicked a link on 15% of visits. [2]
  • Alphabet also spent $51.4 billion on buildings and equipment in three months. [2] So about $9 billion more cash went out than came in, three times analysts' guess. [3] A quarter earlier, more cash went out than in for the first time in 22 years. [51]
  • Bank of America's analysts now value Google search at about 10 times a year's profit. [2] Oil and gas companies, the market's cheapest group of shares, trade at 13 times. [2] The S&P 500, an index of 500 big US companies, trades at 18.7 times. [2] Google's founders, Larry Page and Sergey Brin, lost about $60 billion on paper, Forbes estimates. [2]
  • ServiceNow, which sells software that big companies run on, fell 27%, its worst day ever. [5] Its investors fear new AI tools will upend the way such software is sold. [5] Fortinet, a cybersecurity company, fell 20%, its biggest drop since August 2025. [6] The Nasdaq, an index heavy with tech companies, fell 1.4% on Thursday. [7] Yet about 400 of the 500 companies in the S&P 500 rose that day. [6]
  • After the market closed, Intel's shares fell 21% when it forecast weaker sales. [8] Intel, best known for the main processor chips in PCs, blamed a slowdown in PC sales. [8] Its boss, Lip-Bu Tan, said scarce, costly memory chips are slowing PC sales. [11] He expects the market for PC chips to shrink 12% next year. [11] AMD and Broadcom, two other big chip makers, fell 4% and 2% after hours. [9] Amazon's shares fell 6% after hours, after its results came in below forecasts. [10]
  • In early trading on Friday, South Korea's main share index, the Kospi, was down 5.2%. [4] Korea's exchange briefly halted trading when bets on the Kospi's price fell more than 5%. [4] By then Samsung Electronics was down 5.5% and SK Hynix, a memory chip maker, 9%. [4] SoftBank, a Japanese company that invests heavily in AI, was down 7.1%. [4] Japan's Nikkei index was down 2.75% and Taiwan's Taiex 3.0%. [4] Hong Kong's Hang Seng index went the other way, up 0.7% at that point. [4]

Who is involved

  • Alphabet

    the company that owns Google; its shares had their worst day since 2004

  • Intel

    the US maker of the main chips in PCs; its shares fell 21% after hours

  • ServiceNow

    a maker of software that big companies run on; its shares fell 27%

  • Bank of America's analysts

    a big US bank's stock researchers; they cut what they will pay for Alphabet's profit

How it unfolded

  1. Wed evening Alphabet reports slower search sales [1]
  2. Thu Alphabet falls 13%, ServiceNow 27% [1][5]
  3. Thu evening Intel falls 21% and Amazon 6% after hours [10]
  4. Fri Kospi down 5.2%, Nikkei 2.75%, Taiex 3.0% in early trading [4]
  5. Mid-Nov Nvidia reports its results [8]

Where this points

"Strong AI demand no longer guarantees strong stock performance," said Will McGough of Prime Capital Financial. [7] One analyst said results must now show AI spending turning into profit and cash. [4] The next big test is Nvidia, the biggest AI chip maker, which reports in mid-November. [8]

Signals on this beat

The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing, and the arrow is where it is heading.

Doubts about AI spending High↑

Amazon spent $42.4 billion more cash than it took in over a year. [13] Microsoft is borrowing $25 billion to keep building data centres. [17] In Hong Kong, a BNP Paribas strategist said investors worry heavy spending will cut firms' profit margins. [38]

Prices rising too fast High↑

US prices rose 3.6% in the year to September, up from 3.4%. [20] Prices in the 21 euro countries rose 3.8%, nearly double the goal. [22] Japan's central bank said its 2% price goal has now been reached. [23]

Central banks ready to raise Building↑

The European Central Bank held its rate at 2.5% but promised nothing. [22] One Bank of Japan member voted to raise its rate to 1.5%. [23] Traders put the chance of a US rate rise in December at 83.6%. [21]

Buyers paying extra for companies Steady→

Thrive will pay about 35% more than where ADT's shares last traded. [27] DoorDash will pay 11% more than where Instacart's shares last traded. [28] Marvell's shares fell on reports it is in talks to buy Lumentum. [28]

The rest of the day

28 more stories on this beat.

Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.

  1. 02

    Amazon's cash goes $42.4bn negative

    Amazon made a profit of $20.7 billion in the three months to September. [15] Over the past year it spent $42.4 billion more cash than its business brought in. [13] A year earlier the same measure showed $14.8 billion more coming in than going out. [15] Amazon said the gap came mainly from buying buildings and equipment for AI. [13] It spent $77.3 billion on them in the quarter, up from $35.1 billion a year earlier. [13] Amazon Web Services, its cloud computing arm, grew sales 39% to $45.98 billion. [14] Amazon forecast Christmas-quarter sales of $240 billion to $247 billion, below analysts' hopes. [16]

    Why it matters — Its boss, Andy Jassy, said Amazon expects to "spend meaningfully more in 2027". [13] Its shares fell more than 6% after hours as investors weighed the spending. [13]

  2. 03

    Microsoft borrows $25bn for data centres

    Microsoft said on Thursday it will raise $25 billion by selling bonds to investors. [17] Microsoft holds AAA, the top credit rating from S&P, a ratings agency. [17] It plans to spend $170 billion this year on buildings and equipment. [17] Much of that is to meet demand from AI labs such as OpenAI and Anthropic. [17] Unlike Alphabet and Amazon, Microsoft still took in more cash than it spent last quarter. [17] The bond sale drew very strong demand from investors. [6]

    Why it matters — On Wednesday Oracle said it plans to borrow $10 billion as well. [17] Microsoft said the bond sale should be completed on 4 November. [17]

  3. 04

    US economy grows 3.4% as prices speed up

    The US economy grew at a 3.4% yearly pace from July to September. [19] Economists had expected 3.2%, and it was the fastest pace in a year. [19] Business spending on equipment, mostly computers, rose at a 20.9% pace. [19] The PCE price measure, which the US central bank prefers, rose 3.6% in a year. [20] Leaving out food and fuel, prices rose 3.1%. [18] That 3.6% was up from 3.4% in August, against the US central bank's 2% goal. [19] Households saved 3.8% of their income in September, down from 4.4% from April to June. [19]

    Why it matters — Traders put the chance of a US rate rise in December at 83.6%. [21] After the figures, US government bond yields and the dollar both fell. [19]

  4. 05

    Euro central bank holds at 2.5%

    The European Central Bank held its main deposit rate at 2.5% on Thursday. [22] It sets interest rates for the 21 countries that use the euro. [22] Prices in those countries rose 3.8% in the year to September. [22] That is almost double the bank's goal of 2%. [22] It raised rates twice this year, the latest in September, as war pushed energy prices up. [22] It said borrowing had already got dearer since its last meeting. [22] France's ten-year borrowing cost stood near 5% on Thursday. [22]

    Why it matters — The decision came hours after Christine Lagarde said she would leave as president on 7 February. [22] The bank said it is not committing to any path for its rates. [22]

  5. 06

    Japan's central bank says its price goal is met

    The Bank of Japan kept its main rate at 1.25% on Friday, its highest since 1995. [23] For the first time since 2013, it said underlying prices match its 2% goal. [23] 8 of its 9 board members voted to hold the rate. [23] The ninth, Hajime Takata, wanted a rise to 1.5%. [23] Prices in Tokyo, leaving out fresh food, rose 2.6% in October. [26] Japanese pay after rising prices grew 1.5% in August, its eighth monthly rise in a row. [23] The yen rose 0.24% to 157.34 to the US dollar after the decision. [25]

    Why it matters — All 16 economists CNBC asked expect a rate rise in December or January. [23] Most analysts Reuters polled expect the rate to reach 1.5% in December. [24]

  6. 07

    Thrive buys ADT for $7.6bn

    Thrive Holdings agreed on Thursday to buy ADT, a US home security company, for $7.6 billion. [27] Counting ADT's debts, the deal is worth about $15.3 billion. [27] Shareholders get $10 a share in cash, about 35% more than the shares last traded at. [27] ADT's shares jumped about 34% on Thursday. [28] Josh Kushner's venture firm, Thrive Capital, set up Thrive Holdings last year. [27] It buys older businesses and tries to improve them with technology, including AI. [27]

    Why it matters — ADT was taken private once before, by Apollo in 2016, and listed again in 2018. [27] The deal should close in early 2027 and take ADT off the stock market. [27]

  7. 08

    DoorDash agrees to buy Instacart for $17bn

    DoorDash, a US food delivery app, agreed on Thursday to buy Instacart for $17 billion. [29] Instacart delivers groceries from shops in the US and Canada. [29] DoorDash will pay $65 a share, 11% more than where Instacart's shares last traded. [28] In five years DoorDash's share of US delivery spending rose from 44% to 59%. [29] Instacart's share fell from 26% to 18% over the same years, Consumer Edge says. [29] Instacart's brand and app will stay, and shops can work with either company. [29]

    Why it matters — DoorDash's shares rose 5.6% on Thursday. [6] It is unclear what happens to Instacart's deliveries for Walmart, which DoorDash dropped in 2022. [29]

  8. 09

    Caterpillar has its worst day since 2020

    Caterpillar, which makes power generators used at data centres, fell 9.3% on Thursday. [6] It was the shares' worst day since March 2020. [6] Its profit beat forecasts, at $7.20 a share against $7.08 expected. [28] But sales of its construction machines came in slightly below forecasts. [28]

    Why it matters — Caterpillar fell on the same day doubts about AI spending hit tech shares. [6]

  9. 10

    Marvell falls on talks to buy Lumentum

    Marvell Technology, a chip maker, is in talks to buy Lumentum, Bloomberg News reported. [28] Lumentum makes optical parts used in data centres. [28] Reuters said the talks are advanced. [12] A deal could be announced as soon as next week, the report said. [28]

    Why it matters — Marvell's shares dropped more than 11% on Thursday, and Lumentum's rose 3%. [28]

  10. 11

    Norwegian Cruise Line jumps 13%

    Norwegian Cruise Line's shares jumped about 13% on Thursday. [31] It earned $1.12 a share before one-off items, against $0.94 expected. [31] Sales were $2.95 billion, above the $2.88 billion analysts expected. [31] It raised its profit forecast for the year to about $1.70 a share. [31]

    Why it matters — Bookings have improved a little but remain below where it wants them. [31] Its finance chief, Mark Kempa, will step down after more than 25 years. [31]

  11. 12

    Starbucks' US cafes recover

    Starbucks said sales at US cafes open at least a year rose 7.7% last quarter. [32] Worldwide, those sales rose 7.2%, beating the 6% analysts expected. [32] Total revenue fell 4% to $9.14 billion, partly after a China joint venture deal. [32] Profit rose to $677.2 million, from $133.1 million a year earlier. [32]

    Why it matters — Starbucks expects revenue to fall 1% next year; analysts expected 1.4% growth. [32] It expects slightly lower coffee prices to weigh on revenue next year. [32] Starbucks shares fell nearly 2% after hours. [32]

  12. 13

    Rivian's cheaper SUV becomes its best seller

    Rivian, a US electric car maker, delivered a record 19,248 vehicles from July to September. [33] Its new R2, a cheaper SUV, became its best-selling model. [33] It lost $913 million, less than the $1.17 billion it lost a year earlier. [33] Its loss before one-off items was $0.48 a share; analysts expected $0.61. [34] It now expects to deliver 67,000 to 70,000 vehicles this year. [33] It also plans to spend $300 million less on buildings and equipment than it said before. [33]

    Why it matters — Its shares rose about 5% after hours, after touching a 52-week low that day. [33]

  13. 14

    Coinbase returns to profit

    Coinbase, a US exchange for cryptocurrencies, made a profit after three quarters of losses. [35] Gains on the crypto it holds helped. [35] Fees from customers' trades fell 43% to $590.2 million. [35] Prediction markets, where people bet on events, brought in more than $200 million. [35]

    Why it matters — Its shares fell 3.3% after the results. [35]

  14. 15

    TotalEnergies' profit more than doubles

    TotalEnergies, a French oil and gas company, earned $9.1 billion from July to September. [36] That was up 127% from $4.0 billion a year earlier. [36] Analysts had expected $8.3 billion. [36] Its refining arm, which turns crude oil into fuel, had a record $3.6 billion quarter. [36]

    Why it matters — The Iran war has kept world fuel supplies tight, so refiners earn more on each barrel. [36]

  15. 16

    Bank of America sees a bubble warning

    Bank of America analysts see a pattern in shares that came before the 2000 crash. [37] Investors worried about AI are buying safer areas such as healthcare. [37] This year healthcare shares are up 15%, materials 14% and everyday goods 12%. [37] Energy shares are up 52%, mostly because of the Iran war. [37] A similar run came before the 2000 peak and the 2020 crash, the bank says. [37]

    Why it matters — The bank also said markets may be close to a "clearing event for risk". [37]

  16. 17

    Mainland investors leave Hong Kong shares

    Mainland Chinese investors sold a net HK$24 billion of Hong Kong shares so far in October. [38] That is about $3.1 billion. [38] They trade through a link between the mainland's markets and Hong Kong's. [38] It is on track to be the biggest monthly outflow since 2021. [38] The Hang Seng index has lost 6.7% so far this month. [38] Chip maker SMIC, Alibaba and Xiaomi were among the shares they sold most. [38]

    Why it matters — Mainland buyers usually hold Hong Kong up in a fall, so their exit could deepen it. [38] One strategist said the market could fall another 10% to 15% before it finds a bottom. [38]

  17. 18

    Japan begins its biggest index overhaul

    Japan's Topix, a share index run by Japan Exchange Group, began its biggest overhaul on Friday. [39] About 700 companies may be dropped, leaving fewer than 1,000 in the index. [39] Their weight in the index will be cut to zero over eight quarters. [39] A company can stay if it meets the rules on trading and size by October 2027. [39]

    Why it matters — Some investors hope the rules push firms to raise their value to stay in. [39]

  18. 19

    Indian shares see broad selling

    More Indian shares fell than rose so far in October, the weakest spread in seven months. [40] So far in October, 2,399 shares rose on India's BSE exchange and 2,709 fell. [40] Foreign investors have taken about $31 billion out of Indian shares this year. [40] The Nifty 50 index is down about 13% this year, among Asia's worst. [40]

    Why it matters — High oil prices, war in West Asia and high bond yields weigh on buyers. [40]

  19. 20

    Trent rises 6% after profit grows 25%

    Trent, a Tata Group fashion retailer, jumped over 6% in early trade on Friday. [41] Its profit rose 25.3% to 468.09 crore rupees in the quarter to September. [41] Its sales rose 21.9% to 5,873.14 crore rupees. [41] It opened its 1,000th Zudio shop during the quarter. [41]

    Why it matters — Its profit margin before some costs rose to 18.2% from 17%. [41]

  20. 21

    Coal India's profit jumps 57%

    Coal India, the state-owned coal miner, said its profit rose 57% in the quarter to September. [42] Profit reached 6,547 crore rupees, from 4,167 crore a year earlier. [42] Higher revenue drove the rise. [42] It will pay shareholders a dividend of 10.25 rupees a share. [42]

    Why it matters — Shareholders on its register on 4 November will get the payment. [42]

  21. 22

    Shanghai stops a duty-free metal service

    The Shanghai Futures Exchange stopped settling copper and aluminium deals from duty-free warehouses. [43] Those warehouses let traders hold metal without paying China's import taxes. [43] That let traders sell the metal abroad when prices there were better. [43] The exchange said interest in the service had faded, two people told Bloomberg. [43] Chinese importers now pay over $200 a tonne above London prices, near a record. [43]

    Why it matters — Some analysts see it as a guard against a squeeze, as China's copper stocks are low. [43]

  22. 23

    Canada's dollar hits a six-week high

    The Canadian dollar hit its strongest level in six weeks on Thursday. [44] It touched 1.3966 Canadian dollars to one US dollar. [44] On Wednesday Canada's central bank raised its rate to 2.50%, while the US one held. [44] That cut the gap between two-year rates in the two countries to about 128 basis points. [44] A basis point is a hundredth of a percentage point. [21]

    Why it matters — Traders said the smaller gap gave them confidence to keep buying the Canadian dollar. [44]

  23. 24

    Rio Tinto stops digging under Oyu Tolgoi

    Rio Tinto paused underground work at Oyu Tolgoi, a big copper mine in Mongolia. [45] A tremor late on Thursday caused a rockfall that injured 3 workers. [45] Work stays paused until a safety review is finished, the company said. [45] Rio Tinto owns 66% of the mine and Mongolia's government owns 34%. [45] Rio expects Oyu Tolgoi to be the world's fourth-largest copper mine by 2030. [45]

    Why it matters — US copper prices are already up 17% this year on fears of short supply. [45]

  24. 25

    UK budget leaves a 28bn pound gap, think tank says

    The Institute for Fiscal Studies, a UK research group, criticised Wednesday's budget. [46] It said finance minister John Healey needed to set aside another 28 billion pounds a year. [46] That would cover rising prices and defence spending of 3% of national output by 2030. [46] Without it, some departments face real cuts, said its director, Helen Miller. [46] Healey said the benefits bill must come down, then said he had set no timetable. [46]

    Why it matters — UK welfare spending, 334 billion pounds last year, is forecast to reach 431 billion by 2030. [46]

  25. 26

    Rolls-Royce gets 1.25bn pounds for a new engine

    The UK budget gave Rolls-Royce, a jet engine maker, 1.25 billion pounds of public money. [47] It will help pay for UltraFan, an engine for single-aisle passenger planes. [47] Rolls-Royce is worth about 105 billion pounds on the stock market. [47] It plans to spend up to 9 billion pounds buying back its own shares this year. [47] About 80% of such engines would be sold abroad, the Guardian's columnist writes. [47]

    Why it matters — Rolls-Royce has no place yet on an Airbus or Boeing single-aisle plane. [47] Whether it wins one will not be known until around 2030. [47]

  26. 27

    TPG puts a third of a $10bn climate fund to work

    TPG, a big private equity firm, has invested nearly a third of a $10 billion fund. [48] It closed the fund, Rise Climate II, less than a month ago. [48] It backs clean power, cleaner transport and industry in the US, Europe and poorer countries. [48] TPG said its profit rose 33% in the third quarter. [48]

    Why it matters — Its chairman, Jim Coulter, said power shortages are helping renewables become the main supply. [48]

  27. 28

    Qatar's wealth fund doubles its New York team

    The Qatar Investment Authority, the country's state wealth fund, is doubling its New York team. [49] The team will grow to about 45 people. [49] Its chief said it still plans to invest $500 billion in the US over ten years. [49] The money is expected from Qatar's growing exports of liquefied natural gas. [49]

    Why it matters — He said the US makes up 25% of world output and 60% of tradable financial assets. [49]

  28. 29

    Egyptians abroad send home more money

    Egyptians working abroad sent home $33.9 billion in the first eight months of 2026. [50] That was 27.2% more than a year earlier. [50] Such money now earns Egypt more foreign currency than tourism or the Suez Canal. [50] For all of 2025 the total was $41.5 billion, up from $29.6 billion in 2024. [50]

    Why it matters — The flows rose after Egypt changed how its exchange rate is set, in March 2024. [50]

02 Lesson why it matters

Why a company can show a profit while more cash goes out than comes in

Accountants spread the cost of a building over the years it works, so profit counts one slice while the cash leaves all at once.

The twist

Amazon's $20.7 billion profit counts only this year's slice of its new data centres. The cash paid for the whole buildings at once, so more money left the company than came in.

The picture

Both bars are the same three months. Profit counts only a slice of each building's cost each year; the spending bar is cash that has already left.

How it works

  1. A company pays cash today for a data centre that will work for years
  2. In financial accounting the building is recorded as something the company owns, not as a cost for this year
  3. Each year a slice of its price, called depreciation, is taken off profit
  4. So profit falls by one slice, while cash falls by the whole price at once
  5. Free cash flow, the cash left after buying buildings and equipment, shows the gap

The same force, elsewhere today

Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.

  • Alphabet's worst day

    It spent $51.4 billion on buildings and equipment in three months, so about $9 billion more cash went out than came in.

  • Microsoft's $25bn bond sale

    Its cash still comes in faster than it goes out, but a $170 billion building plan means it borrows as well.

  • Rivian's smaller spending plan

    Rivian cut its planned spending on buildings and equipment by $300 million, which keeps cash in the bank while it is still losing money.

Where you've seen this

A family car

paid for in one go, then used for ten years, so its cost is shared across those ten years

A farmer's tractor

the bank account empties the day it is bought, while the farm's yearly accounts count it bit by bit

A town's new school

built with money spent now, used by pupils for decades

The catch

Depreciation rests on a guess of how many years a building or machine will be useful. If AI chips wear out sooner than the accountants assumed, the profits already reported were too high.

And the whole of it

Amazon's accountants, the investors buying Microsoft's bonds and the savers whose pension funds own these shares each read a different line of the same accounts. None of them can yet see how many years these data centres will keep earning.

03 Truth what's really going on

What is really going on

Alphabet lost about $500 billion on Thursday because Google's search sales slowed while its AI spending left it short of cash. Intel, ServiceNow, Amazon and Asia's chip makers fell after it, yet about 400 of the 500 companies in the S&P 500 rose. [1][6]

Why it works on us — A round number like half a trillion dollars makes one day's fall feel like money burned, though what changed was the price buyers would pay for Alphabet's shares, not what the company owns. [1]

Who gains

  • ADT's shareholders — Thrive will pay $10 a share in cash, about 35% more than where the shares last traded. [27]
  • Instacart's shareholders — DoorDash will pay $65 a share, 11% more than where the shares last traded. [28]
  • TotalEnergies — Tight fuel supplies after the Iran war let its refineries earn a record $3.6 billion in a quarter. [36]
  • Rolls-Royce — The UK budget gives it 1.25 billion pounds of public money towards its next engine. [47]
  • Owners of healthcare and everyday-goods shares — Investors worried about AI moved money into them, lifting healthcare 15% this year. [37]

Who pays

  • Alphabet's shareholders, its founders among them — Larry Page and Sergey Brin alone lost about $60 billion on paper as the shares fell 13%. [2]
  • Websites that relied on Google for visitors — Reddit says visits sent from Google search fell sharply as Google shows AI answers instead. [30]
  • PC buyers — Scarce, costly memory chips have pushed up PC prices, Intel's boss says, and fewer PCs are being sold. [11]
  • UK government departments — The IFS says the budget leaves some of them facing cuts after rising prices. [46]
  • Households in the 21 euro countries — Prices rose 3.8% in a year, almost double the European Central Bank's goal. [22]

What nobody knows yet

Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.

  • 01

    How much Alphabet's value fell on Thursday.

    CNBC puts it at about $500 billion; Fortune counts about $482 billion for the day. [1][2]

  • 02

    Whether AI answers will ever earn as much from adverts as ordinary search did.

    Google is only now putting adverts into its AI summaries worldwide, and Bank of America's analysts see a possible pick-up from early 2027 at the soonest. [2]

  • 03

    How much Amazon spent on buildings and equipment last quarter.

    CNBC reports $77.3 billion and Fortune $75.9 billion, and Amazon's own breakdown is not in our sources. [13][15]

  • 04

    Whether the US central bank raises its rate in December.

    Traders put the chance at 83.6%, but the US central bank's chair, Kevin Warsh, said it has no firm plan. [21]

  • 05

    When the Bank of Japan raises its rate again.

    All 16 economists CNBC asked expect a rise in December or January, but the bank named no date. [23]

  • 06

    Who will lead the European Central Bank after Christine Lagarde leaves on 7 February.

    Spain's Pablo Hernandez de Cos and the Netherlands' Klaas Knot are seen as front-runners, and no choice has been made. [22]

  • 07

    How long Oyu Tolgoi's underground mine stays shut.

    Rio Tinto says work is paused until a safety review ends, and gave no date. [45]

  • 08

    Where the UK will find the 28 billion pounds a year the IFS says is missing.

    The budget left it open, and the finance minister first said the benefits bill would fall this parliament, then said there was no timetable. [46]

  • 09

    What happens to Instacart's deliveries for Walmart under DoorDash.

    DoorDash stopped delivering for Walmart in 2022, and neither company has said. [29]

04 Hope carry this

The US economy grew at a 3.4% yearly pace from July to September, its fastest in a year.

Also true today

  • In Japan, pay after rising prices went up 1.5% in August, the eighth monthly rise in a row.
  • Rivian delivered a record 19,248 electric vehicles from July to September, and its new, cheaper R2 became its best seller.
  • Egyptians working abroad sent home $33.9 billion in the first eight months of 2026, 27.2% more than a year earlier.

Across the beats