Day Lila

Personal Money · Tuesday, 13 October 2026

01 Briefing what happened

UK ministers promise rules for heating oil, the fuel 1.5 million homes burn, after its price nearly doubled in a year

Personal Money 31 sources

The UK will regulate heating oil sellers, as its competition watchdog asked in July, but there is no price cap and no start date. Also today, parking apps in England add fees the sign leaves out, only one UK mortgage under 4% is left, Australian cafes raise prices after a card-fee ban, and US home sales fall to their lowest since 2014.

111p

for a litre of heating oil in the UK now, against about 60p before the war on Iran

It reached 134p at its highest after the war began. [2]

1.5 million

UK households that heat their homes with oil

In Northern Ireland, 60% of homes use it, the highest share in the UK. [1][3]

500 litres

the smallest order some sellers will deliver

Ministers will review that rule. A home tank usually holds 1,000 to 2,000 litres. [1]

350 pounds

the most that re-ordering cost a household whose order was cancelled

The CMA counted 1,700 such households after the war began. [4]

The lead story — what happened

  • UK ministers say they will build a set of rules for heating oil, the fuel about 1.5 million UK households burn because they have no mains gas. [1]
  • They are accepting the advice of the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA), the UK's competition watchdog, which asked for rules in July. [1][3]
  • The UK government says it will tighten the rules for sellers, help competition and give customers clearer ways to get compensation when things go wrong. [1]
  • The CMA wants sellers to register, meet minimum standards on how they quote prices and cancel orders, and keep a list of vulnerable customers. [3][5]
  • Some sellers will only deliver 500 litres or more, and ministers will review that rule. Home tanks usually hold 1,000 to 2,000 litres. [1]
  • There is no price cap in the plan, and the UK government has not said when the new rules will start. [1]
  • Gas and electricity bills in Great Britain have a price cap, set every three months by Ofgem, the energy regulator. The cap rose 4% on 1 October, to 1,723 pounds a year for a typical home. [12] Heating oil is not covered by it. [7]
  • Heating oil cost about 60p a litre before the war on Iran, rose to 134p, and is about 111p now, says Boiler Juice, a price comparison site. [2]
  • Peter Mason, a retired man in Wiltshire, says filling his tank will cost over 550 pounds this winter, against about 300 pounds last year. [2]
  • In July the CMA found that 1,700 households had their orders cancelled when the war began and had to re-order at higher prices, losing up to 350 pounds. [4]
  • In Northern Ireland 60% of homes use heating oil, the highest share in the UK, and its rules are set separately. [1][3] Ofgem is likely to oversee heating oil in England, Scotland and Wales. [1]
  • Tim Buckman, who runs Boiler Juice, says rules alone will not cut the price, and he wants VAT, the sales tax, taken off heating oil. [1]
Pence per litre of heating oil in the UK, from the price comparison site Boiler Juice. The price fell back from its peak but is still nearly double what it was.

Who is involved

  • Polly Billington

    a UK energy minister; she says the UK government will reform the heating oil market

  • The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA)

    the UK's competition watchdog; it asked for heating oil rules in July

  • Ofgem

    the energy regulator for England, Scotland and Wales; likely to oversee heating oil

  • Tim Buckman

    head of Boiler Juice, a heating oil price comparison site; he wants VAT cut

  • Northern Ireland's government

    sets its own rules, and most UK heating oil users live there

How it unfolded

  1. 28 Feb the US-Israel war on Iran begins; Scottish heating oil goes from 67.92p a litre to 147p by 8 March [6]
  2. 11 March the CMA opens an inquiry after complaints of 'blatant profiteering' by heating oil sellers [8]
  3. March the UK government promises 53 million pounds for low-income households on heating oil [1]
  4. 15 July the CMA asks for rules and compensation for 1,700 households [3][4]
  5. This week ministers say they will accept the CMA's advice, with no date given [1]

Where this points

The next tests are whether ministers give the new rules a start date, and whether the 28 October Budget takes VAT off heating oil, as rural groups ask. [1][2]

What is pushing on the whole day

The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing today. The arrow is where it is heading. The evidence is in the stories below.

Fuel prices still high High→

Diesel cost 199p a litre in the UK on 5 October and 6.20 dollars a gallon in the US, close to record highs, BBC Verify found. [13] Economists say Australian petrol could rise another 30 cents a litre if oil reaches the price in an IMF warning. [20] Heating oil in the UK costs about 111p a litre, against about 60p before the war. [2]

Loans getting dearer Building↑

Only one UK mortgage charges under 4% a year, against 750 in January. [15] US home sales that are agreed but not yet closed fell to their lowest since 2014 as loan rates passed 7%. [21] Australia's central bank raised its rate for the fourth time last month. [20]

Extra fees added at the end Building↑

Parking apps in England add fees of 10p to 30p that the car park sign does not show. [14] Australian cafes raised prices by about 50 cents after a ban on adding card fees at the till. [19] Some heating oil sellers will not deliver less than 500 litres. [1]

Medical bills turning into debt High↑

One US adult in four owed money for medical care in 2025, including people with insurance. [30] Experts say health insurance premiums are soaring as Americans pick their plans for 2027. [29]

Public budgets stretched Building↑

A UK research group says the chancellor must find about 35 billion pounds to keep his spending promises without cuts elsewhere. [11] English county councils expect debts for special school support to reach 10 billion pounds by 2028. [16] Northern Ireland's education minister says holiday food payments would cost 20 million pounds a year that his department does not have. [17]

The rest of the day

14 more stories on this beat.

Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.

  1. 02

    UK chancellor promises families 'breathing space'

    John Healey, the UK's chancellor, who runs the UK government's money, says it will look to give households 'some breathing space' in its Budget on 28 October. [10] The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), an independent research group, says he must find about 35 billion pounds, through tax rises or cuts, to pay for defence and health without squeezing other services. [11] It expects any help for households to be temporary and small. [11] The IMF, which checks countries' finances, expects UK prices to rise by an average of 3.3% this year and 2.8% in 2027. [10]

    Why it matters — Rising prices shrink what government departments can buy with budgets fixed in pounds. [11] On Tuesday the Resolution Foundation, a think tank on living standards, asked for help aimed at people who cannot heat their homes. [10]

  2. 03

    Parking apps add fees the sign leaves out

    Many councils in England have taken out parking machines, so drivers must pay by app, and the apps add fees of 10p to 30p. [14] The Guardian tested the apps and found none showed the fee clearly before the payment step. [14] In Harrogate, a 30p fee raises an 80p hour of parking by 38%. [14] In Chester, a 20p fee adds 40% to a 50p stay. [14] The fee goes to the app company, under a separate contract the driver enters by paying. [14]

    Why it matters — The UK Department for Transport says drivers should see the full charge before they pay, but leaves prices to councils. [14] The AA, a motoring group, says drivers should be charged what the sign shows. [14]

  3. 04

    One UK mortgage under 4% is left

    In January, people borrowing to buy a home in the UK could choose from 750 mortgages charging under 4% a year, says Which?, a consumer group. [15] Now there is one, a tracker open only to Barclays customers who earn 75,000 pounds or hold 100,000 pounds with the bank. [15] A tracker's rate moves with the Bank of England's rate. [15] Fixed-rate deals under 5% fell from more than 1,500 in early September to 131 a month later, Which? found in figures from Moneyfacts, a firm that tracks loan prices. [15]

    Why it matters — On a 250,000-pound loan with 25 years left, a rise from 4% to 5% adds 141 pounds a month. [15] Many economists expect the Bank of England to raise its 3.75% rate in November, which would push tracker payments up too. [15]

  4. 05

    English councils warn of 10 billion pounds in school-support debts

    County councils in England say their debts from support for children with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND) will reach about 10 billion pounds by 2028. [16] The County Councils Network, which speaks for them, published the forecast on Tuesday. [16] The UK government agreed to pay 90% of these debts built up to March 2026, but new ones are growing fast. [16] Plans giving a child a legal right to extra help reached 718,000 in January, up 12.5% in a year. [16]

    Why it matters — The debts are kept off council books until April 2028, and some councils say they could go bust when they return. [16] The councils' group says taxpayers and local communities would bear the cost, as councils choose which services to protect. [16]

  5. 06

    Northern Ireland argues over holiday food money

    Northern Ireland's assembly was due to debate on Monday a bill to give families money for food in the school holidays. [17] It would go to families whose children get free school meals, which needs a household income under 15,390 pounds a year. [18] A similar scheme paid 27 pounds per child every two weeks for about 90,000 children from 2020 until March 2023, when it stopped for lack of money. [18]

    Why it matters — Paul Givan, the education minister, says it would cost 20 million pounds a year and wants the power to decide when it starts. [17] Charities including the NSPCC and Save the Children say his changes would mean no promise that payments ever begin. [17]

  6. 07

    Australian cafes raise prices after card fees are banned

    Since 1 October, shops in Australia may not add a surcharge when a customer pays by card, under changes led by the Reserve Bank of Australia, the country's central bank. [19] The bank expected shops to fold the card fee into prices, adding 0.1 percentage point to inflation. [19] Economists at UBS, a Swiss bank, now expect about 0.2. [19] Small Flat White, which tracks coffee prices, found 17% of more than 1,500 cafes raised prices, by about 50 cents. [19]

    The card fee that Australian cafes can no longer add at the till, beside the average rise at the cafes that put prices up. The rise is several times the fee.

    Why it matters — That is more than 10% on a coffee, several times the usual 1.5% card fee. [19] UBS says shops may be using the change as cover to pass on higher wages and fuel costs too. [19]

  7. 08

    Australian petrol could rise 30 cents more

    The IMF modelled a case where the war keeps the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil shipping route, mostly closed until mid-2027, and oil reaches 130 US dollars a barrel. [20] Economists told Guardian Australia that could add 30 cents to a litre of petrol, already above 2.40 Australian dollars in big east coast cities. [20] Minutes released on Tuesday show the Reserve Bank of Australia discussed oil prices far above its August forecast when it raised rates for the fourth time last month. [20]

    Why it matters — Jonathan Kearns, chief economist at Challenger, an investment firm, says Australia's central bank would have to answer dearer fuel with higher rates. [20] Jonathan McMenamin of Barrenjoey, another firm, is less sure, because the bank has mostly reacted to costs inside Australia. [20]

  8. 09

    US home sales fall to the lowest since 2014

    US home sales that are agreed but not yet completed fell 4% in September from August, Redfin, a property website, said. [21] Apart from April 2020, they are at their lowest since 2014, and they fell in all 50 of the biggest cities. [21] Redfin says rates above 7% priced many buyers out, and a record 14.5% of agreed deals fell through. [21] The number of homes for sale hit its highest since March 2020. [21] The average 30-year mortgage rate was 7.40% in the week to 8 October, says Freddie Mac, a big US mortgage company. [22]

    Why it matters — Almost one seller in five cut the asking price in September, so buyers have more room to bargain. [21] On Monday the average 30-year rate rose to 7.41%, on rates that Zillow, a property website, gives NerdWallet, a personal finance site. [23]

  9. 10

    US lenders push to pull fewer credit reports

    Most US home loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two big government-backed mortgage companies, need a 'tri-merge' report, which pulls a borrower's file from all three credit bureaus. [24] On Monday Bob Broeksmit, head of the Mortgage Bankers Association, a lenders' group, said it 'won't be around for long'. [24] Bill Pulte, who heads the Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees the two companies, has said a two-report option is being considered. [24]

    Why it matters — Fewer reports could cut fees for borrowers and lenders, but the credit bureaus' trade group says more data keeps borrowing costs down. [24] Separately, a Realtor.com economist warns that treating VantageScore, a newer credit score, the same as FICO, the score most lenders use, adds risk that borrowers would pay for. [25]

  10. 11

    Ten US states vote on housing and property tax

    Voters in 10 US states will decide on housing questions at the November elections, and six of the measures would change property tax, a yearly tax on a home's value. [26] Oklahoma's State Question 847 would cut how much a home's taxed value can rise each year, from 3% to 1.75%. [26] Wyoming's Initiative 1 would exempt half of a main home's value. [26] California's Proposition 37 would set up a 25-billion-dollar loan scheme for middle-income buyers of new homes. [26]

    Why it matters — Lower property tax cuts owners' bills and takes money from local governments. Wyoming's measure alone would cut revenue by an estimated 92 million dollars in 2028. [26] In a survey by LendingTree, a loan comparison website, 59% of US mortgage holders called themselves house poor, naming property taxes and insurance among their biggest worries. [27]

  11. 12

    Older Americans grew richer while young families fell back

    US families headed by someone aged 75 or over saw their typical wealth rise 37% from 2022 to 2025, after rising prices, the US central bank's survey of family finances found. [28] Families headed by someone under 35 saw theirs fall 23%. [28] Typical income rose 24% for the oldest group and 2% for the youngest. [28] The JPMorganChase Institute, a research group inside the bank JPMorganChase, found 8.2% of people moved money from investments into everyday bank accounts in early 2026, against 4% in 2019. [28]

    How typical family wealth in the US changed from 2022 to 2025, after rising prices. The oldest families gained most, and the youngest lost most.

    Why it matters — Ed Yardeni, an economist, says older people's savings and growing wealth help explain why US shoppers keep spending. [28] He says the crisis in what people can afford falls on the young. [28]

  12. 13

    Older US jobseekers stay out of work longer

    Unemployed Americans aged 55 to 64 had been out of work for more than eight months on average in September, Business Insider reports from US government figures. [31] Half had been jobless for three months or less, so a smaller group stuck for much longer pulls the average up. [31] About 173,000 had been out of work for at least six months. [31] Only 57% of 55-to-64-year-olds who lost a long-held job between 2023 and 2025 had a new one by January 2026, against 73% of those aged 25 to 54. [31]

    Why it matters — Cathy Valentine, 61, lost a senior job in 2023 and now works as a cafe cook for about an eighth of her old pay. [31] Some older jobseekers say employers prefer younger people who will take less pay. [31]

  13. 14

    US health plan sign-up season opens

    About 166 million Americans under 65 get health insurance through an employer, and most pick next year's plan this autumn. [29] Another 19.2 million bought plans for 2026 on the Affordable Care Act marketplace, the US government's sign-up site. [29] On the federal marketplace, sign-up for 2027 runs from 1 November to 15 January, though Idaho starts on 15 October. [29] Experts told CNBC premiums are soaring and employers are passing more of the cost to workers. [29]

    Why it matters — Most people are locked into the plan they choose for a year. [29] The monthly price is only part of the cost, because a plan also sets a deductible, the amount paid before insurance starts paying. [29]

  14. 15

    AI moves into US medical debt collection

    More than one US adult in four owed money for medical care in 2025, a report by the Urban Institute and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, two US research groups, found. [30] The share was the same for people with insurance. [30] The Urban Institute expects the 2025 Republican health law to leave 278 billion dollars of care unpaid by 2034. [30] Hospitals are turning to AI firms such as Cedar, which predicts each patient's 'propensity to pay' and offers each a different discount. [30]

    Why it matters — About 17 million more Americans are expected to lose health insurance by 2034, which means more unpaid bills to collect. [30] A report from Blue Cross Blue Shield, a group of health insurers, says AI-assisted billing added 1 billion dollars to health costs in a year, and the hospitals' lobby group disputes it. [30]

02 Lesson why it matters

Why a fee added at the last step still gets paid

By the time a parking app or a till shows an extra charge, the driver has parked and the shopper has queued, so walking away costs more than the fee.

The twist

A late fee works because of when it appears, not how big it is. On the car park sign, a 30p charge might send a driver to another car park. After the car is parked, leaving means finding another space.

The picture

An hour's parking in Harrogate, England. The 30p app fee appears only at the payment step, after the driver has parked.

How it works

  1. A buyer compares the first price they see: the sign, the shelf, the advertised rate
  2. A seller can show a low first price and add a fee at the payment step
  3. By then the buyer has parked, queued or chosen, and spent time getting there
  4. Starting again would cost more time or money than the fee, so most people pay
  5. Buyers keep comparing first prices, so the seller with the late fee looks cheapest

The same force, elsewhere today

Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.

  • Parking apps in England

    The car park sign shows the council's price, and the app's 10p to 30p fee appears only at the payment step, after the car is parked.

  • Australia's ban on card surcharges

    Australia stopped shops adding a card fee at the till, the last step of a sale. The fee now has to be inside the price on display.

  • Heating oil orders cancelled in the spring

    Households whose orders were cancelled after the war began had to re-order at the higher price of the day, or go without fuel.

  • One UK mortgage under 4%

    Which? says some of the lowest advertised rates come with fees of more than 1,500 pounds, so the cheapest-looking rate is not always the cheapest loan.

Where you've seen this

Concert tickets

a booking fee added at checkout, after seats are chosen

Budget airlines

bag and seat charges added after the flight is picked

Food delivery apps

service and delivery fees shown once the basket is full

Hotels

a nightly 'resort fee' added on the last booking page

The catch

Showing the whole price first does not make it lower. After Australia banned card surcharges, a survey found the cafes that raised prices added far more than the old card fee.

And the whole of it

The council chose the app, and the app company set the fee. The driver sees only the payment screen. Anyone who books parking, tickets or flights online reaches that screen after choosing, when turning back costs the most.

03 Truth what's really going on

What is really going on

Many of today's household money stories are about who pays for dearer fuel and dearer loans since the war on Iran began. UK ministers promised rules for heating oil but no price cap, and the IFS says the chancellor must find 35 billion pounds just to keep his spending promises, so it expects any help with bills to be small. [1][11]

Why it works on us — The word 'regulation' sounds like lower bills, but the heating oil plan has no price cap and no start date. [1]

Who gains

  • Parking app companies such as RingGo, PayByPhone and JustPark, which run the apps drivers pay through — They keep fees of 10p to 30p that drivers pay on top of the council's price, under a separate contract the driver enters by paying. [14]
  • Councils that took out parking machines — Apps save them the cost of putting in and fixing machines, and many leave drivers to pay the app's fee. [14]
  • US families headed by someone 75 or older — Their typical wealth rose 37% from 2022 to 2025, helped by growing retirement income. [28]
  • AI billing firms such as Cedar — More uninsured patients mean more unpaid hospital bills, and hospitals are buying software to collect them. [30]
  • Heating oil households that switch to heat pumps — The UK government offers grants of 9,000 pounds to oil-heated homes that switch. [2]

Who pays

  • Rural households on heating oil — They pay about 111p a litre with no price cap, and some must buy at least 500 litres at a time. [1][2] In Cumbria and Northumberland, about 30% of homes have no mains gas. [9]
  • Small firms that drive around rural western England and Wales — A van business in Monmouth says a full tank rose from between 120 and 130 pounds to 160 pounds this year, and a meals charity in the Forest of Dean may raise its prices. [2]
  • US families headed by someone under 35 — Their typical wealth fell 23% from 2022 to 2025, while their income rose 2%. [28]
  • Coffee buyers in Australia — 17% of more than 1,500 cafes raised prices by about 50 cents after the ban on card fees at the till. [19]
  • UK homeowners coming off a fixed mortgage — One mortgage under 4% is left, against 750 in January, and the cheapest two-year fixed deal for them is around 5%. [15]

What nobody knows yet

Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.

  • 01

    When the heating oil rules start, and who will enforce them.

    Ministers gave no date, and the BBC reports only that Ofgem is likely to oversee them in England, Scotland and Wales. [1]

  • 02

    Whether Northern Ireland, where the share of homes on heating oil is highest, will bring in the same rules.

    Rules there are set separately, and the UK government says only that it will talk to Northern Ireland's government. [1]

  • 03

    How many UK homes use heating oil.

    The BBC and the CMA say about 1.5 million households. The Guardian said 1.7 million in March. We use the lower figure. [1][5][8]

  • 04

    Whether the 28 October Budget takes VAT off heating oil.

    Action in Rural Communities England, a charity, wants VAT taken off heating oil for six months, starting at the Budget on 28 October. [2]

  • 05

    Whether Northern Ireland's assembly passed the holiday food money bill on Monday, and with the minister's changes or without them.

    Our only report on it was written before the debate. [17]

  • 06

    How much of the rise in Australian cafe prices is the old card fee, and how much is other costs.

    Australia's central bank expected the ban to add 0.1 point to inflation, and UBS says 0.2. The cafe survey counts price rises, not their causes. [19]

  • 07

    Who pays for English councils' future school-support debts.

    The UK government paid 90% of past debts but says it will set out help for new ones only before March 2028. [16]

  • 08

    Whether the US mortgage regulator drops the three-report rule.

    Bill Pulte cancelled his talk at the lenders' meeting on Monday, where many expected him to announce a change, and is due to speak on Tuesday. [24]

04 Hope carry this

More homes are for sale in the US than at any time since March 2020, and almost one seller in five cut the asking price in September.

Also true today

  • Some UK lenders have started to cut mortgage rates again in the past few days, the consumer group Which? reports.

Across the beats