World News · Wednesday, 23 September 2026
Trump tells the UN Iran can have a deal after the US midterms or be annihilated, as his envoys talk to Iran through mediators
In his speech to the UN General Assembly, Trump said a deal with Iran would come right after the US midterm elections on 3 November, or he would destroy its government. That afternoon his envoys spent three hours passing messages to Iran's foreign minister through mediators, and Iran named its price for reopening the Strait of Hormuz.
2 of 125
tracked cargo ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Monday, against about 125 large ships a day before the war
two tankers were hit by unidentified projectiles crossing it on Sunday and Monday
3 hours
of US-Iran talks through mediators at the UN on Tuesday
Trump says another round is set for the very near future
7 days
how fast Iran says it could reopen the strait
if the US eases military pressure and lifts its blockade of Iranian ports
32%
Trump's approval in a Reuters/Ipsos poll, his lowest ever
his fellow Republicans soured on his handling of the cost of living
The lead story — what happened
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Trump told the UN General Assembly on Tuesday that he had a big decision to make about Iran: a deal that lets it rebuild, or annihilating its government quickly.
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He said he believed a deal would come right after the US midterm elections on 3 November, because Iran was waiting to see how he did in them.
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Senior Iranian diplomats boycotted the speech, and one lower-ranking diplomat stayed in the hall to the end.
[1] -
Hours later Trump said his envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner had talked with an Iranian delegation for three hours, and that it 'went very well'.
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Witkoff then wrote that the talks went through mediators, who carried messages between the two sides all day, rather than face to face.
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Iranian state media said Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi gave the US Iran's terms for reopening the Strait of Hormuz. They are: lift the US naval blockade, release Iran's frozen money, and end the war on all its 'resistance fronts', meaning the fights involving Iran's allies.
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A senior Iranian official told Reuters the strait could reopen within seven days of the US easing military pressure and lifting the blockade.
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Before the war the strait, the sea lane out of the Gulf, carried about 125 large ships a day and a fifth of the world's oil and gas. On Monday two tracked cargo ships crossed, down from 10 the day before; ships with trackers switched off are not counted.
[10] -
No face-to-face US-Iran meeting is known since July, when an interim deal collapsed weeks after Trump and Iran's president Masoud Pezeshkian signed it.
[6] -
Pezeshkian said Iranians are wary of more talks, because the US and Israel attacked Iran twice while negotiations were going on.
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Trump said, without evidence, that 72,000 Iranians were killed by their own government last year. Iran's own figure for the protests last winter is about 3,500, and rights groups say 5,000 or more.
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He told the hall the US has more munitions than it could ever use. US and NATO officials told AP that stockpiles are shrinking and some will take years to rebuild.
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The war has pushed fuel prices up around the world, and a Reuters/Ipsos poll on Monday put Trump's approval at an all-time low of 32%.
[11]
Who is involved
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Donald Trump
the US president; he began the war on Iran with Israel in February and now says a deal can follow the midterms
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Abbas Araghchi
Iran's foreign minister; he passed Iran's conditions for reopening Hormuz to the US envoy
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Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner
Trump's special envoys; they led the US side of Tuesday's talks through mediators
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Masoud Pezeshkian
Iran's president; he signed the interim deal that collapsed in July and is due to address the assembly on Wednesday
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Marco Rubio
the US secretary of state; he said there is no harm in talking, and also called Iran's rulers 'lunatic clerics'
How it unfolded
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28 February the war on Iran begins and traffic through Hormuz collapses
[10] -
July an interim deal signed by Trump and Pezeshkian collapses within weeks
[6] -
16 September Iran sends its latest proposal to the US through mediators
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Tuesday Trump's UN speech, then three hours of talks through mediators
[3] -
Wednesday Pezeshkian is due to address the assembly
[3] -
3 November the US midterm elections, after which Trump says a deal will come
[4]
Where this points
Watch whether the mediators fix a date for the next round Trump says is coming soon, and whether the US says anything about lifting its blockade, which is Iran's first condition.
What is pushing on the whole day
The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing today. The arrow is where it is heading. The evidence is in the stories below.
Diesel in the US reached a record $6.53 a gallon, up more than 70% since February.
The UN's own chief warned of the world splitting into two rival blocs.
Trump told the assembly the US will use its military might anywhere in the Americas if it needs to.
Saudi Arabia's king called Yemen's Houthi movement a terrorist militia and accused it of aiming at Mecca.
The rest of the day
39 more stories on this beat.
Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.
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02
UN chief gives his last opening speech
Antonio Guterres, the UN secretary-general, opened the General Assembly on Tuesday for the last time; his second five-year term ends on 31 December.
[13] He said the world's crises come down to power, and warned against a split into two rival blocs with separate economies, technology and armies.[13] He told the biggest powers that their power 'isn't so super'.[2] He asked that life-and-death decisions never be handed to machines.[13] Why it matters — His critics say he spent more effort on climate and AI than on stopping wars, the UN's core job.
[15] The Security Council is choosing his successor, and after three rounds of voting among eight candidates no favourite has emerged.[13] -
03
Zelensky asks Trump for an energy truce
Ukraine's president Volodymyr Zelensky met Trump for 40 minutes in New York and said they discussed a ceasefire on strikes against energy sites and how to end the war.
[18] He said Ukraine was ready for any form of energy truce, and that nobody asked Ukraine to stop hitting Russian refineries on its own.[18] He said intelligence showed Russia preparing a new massive attack, and that easing sanctions on Russia could not be discussed under that threat.[17] Why it matters — Russia has been hitting Ukraine's power grid and Ukraine has been hitting Russia's refineries, which has caused diesel shortages well beyond both countries.
[16] -
04
Drones hit a refinery in Samara
Ukraine's special forces said drones struck the Kuibyshev oil refinery in Samara, a Russian city more than 1,000km southeast of Moscow, and started a large fire.
[16] [19] The regional governor said one person was killed and four wounded.[19] Russia's attack on Ukraine the same night used anti-ship, ballistic and cruise missiles and more than 200 drones, and killed four people in the city of Dnipro.[16] Why it matters — A Carnegie Europe report said attacks last month cut both countries' farm exports by two-thirds.
[16] They have supplied about 30% of the world's wheat, and the report warns that several African countries are at risk of famine.[16] -
05
Saudi king calls the Houthis terrorists
Saudi Arabia's King Salman, who is 90 and rarely speaks on current affairs, called Yemen's Houthi movement a 'terrorist militia' at a cabinet meeting on Tuesday.
[20] He accused the Iran-allied group of repeatedly targeting Mecca, Islam's holiest city.[20] Last week Saudi Arabia said it shot down a Houthi drone heading there, and the Houthis called that a lie.[20] It was the first security alert in Mecca in nearly ten years.[20] Why it matters — The Houthis now hold Yemen's whole Red Sea coast, which Saudi Arabia had been using to ship oil around the closed Strait of Hormuz.
[20] Last month Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan signed a pact treating an attack on one as an attack on all three.[20] -
06
Saudi-led strikes kill six in Mokha
Air strikes by the Saudi-led coalition on Mokha, a Red Sea port in Yemen, killed six civilians including two children, a Houthi news agency said on Tuesday.
[21] The Houthis took Mokha in a fast offensive this month.[21] Yemen's war began in 2014 and had been mostly frozen from 2022 until it restarted in July.[21] The G7, a group of seven rich democracies, told the Houthis to stop firing and told Iran to stop arming them.[21] Why it matters — Britain and France have promised Saudi Arabia defensive help, but the US has turned down Saudi requests to rejoin the fight.
[21] [22] The New York Times reported that Trump called off strikes on the Houthis at the last minute on Sunday.[22] -
07
US, Denmark and Greenland sign the Arctic deal
Trump signed a security agreement with the leaders of Denmark and Greenland at the UN on Tuesday.
[5] [2] Greenland is a self-governing island that is part of the Kingdom of Denmark.[23] The deal reaffirms its sovereignty but gives the US broad access to its airspace and land, including two new bases at Narsarsuaq and Mestersvig.[2] [23] Greenland's prime minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen said it was 'an agreement with us', not only about Greenland.[5] Why it matters — It closes a crisis inside NATO that began in January, when Trump would not rule out taking the island by force.
[23] It is the first big increase in US military sites there since the Cold War.[23] -
08
US holds back Sudan leader's UN visa
The United States is holding back a visa for General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, head of Sudan's army and its de facto leader, days before he is due to speak at the UN on Thursday.
[24] A Sudanese diplomat and a Western analyst told Reuters the visa seems to depend on him signing a 90-day ceasefire proposed by US envoy Massad Boulos.[24] Sudan's UN ambassador asked Guterres to step in, and the UN says it has raised it with US officials.[24] Why it matters — Under its deal to host the UN, the US is not supposed to refuse visas.
[24] Burhan wrote this week that ceasefires in Sudan's war have failed because they were written about Sudan without Sudan.[24] -
09
Sudan's pound loses most of its value
Sudan's pound traded at about 7,500 to the dollar on the black market on Tuesday, against 4,100 in May and about 600 before the war began in 2023.
[25] Sudan's central bank no longer updates the official rate.[25] In Omdurman, next to the capital Khartoum, a litre of cooking oil rose from 17,000 to 23,000 pounds in a week.[25] About 5 million of the 14 million people driven out by the war have come home, mostly to areas the army retook, and that has pushed prices up too.[25] Before the war600May this year4,100Tuesday, black market7,500How many Sudanese pounds one US dollar buys. Sudan's central bank has stopped publishing its own rate. Why it matters — Much of Sudan's gold, livestock and farm exports come from areas held by the Rapid Support Forces, the paramilitary group fighting the army, so the army's side earns few dollars.
[25] Officials reported 70 tonnes of gold mined last year, and only 14.7 tonnes exported.[25] -
10
Jordan and Turkey call Israel a threat
Jordan's King Abdullah told the assembly that Israel's military activity in southern Syria risks threatening Jordan directly, and called the Israeli government's 'expansionist appetite' a regional threat.
[1] Turkey's president Recep Tayyip Erdogan called Gaza 'the most inhumane and shameful concentration camp of our time'.[1] [26] Israel's delegation left the hall during his speech.[1] Qatar's emir said Israeli leaders were openly calling for Gaza's people to be moved out.[27] Why it matters — Jordan, Turkey and Qatar all work closely with the US, and they spoke on the same day that Trump mentioned Israel only once in his own speech.
[1] Israel's prime minister speaks on Thursday.[9] -
11
Lula says Brazil is nobody's backyard
Brazil's president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, speaking just before Trump, said the UN's credibility has never been lower.
[28] He warned of foreign interference in Brazil's election in October, where he seeks a fourth term against Senator Flavio Bolsonaro.[28] Flavio's father, former president Jair Bolsonaro, is serving a 27-year sentence at home for an attempted coup, and the Trump administration has publicly backed the Bolsonaro camp.[28] 'Brazil is nobody's backyard,' Lula said.[28] [29] Why it matters — Trump recently named two Brazilian gangs as terrorist organisations, and some Brazilian analysts and politicians say the aim is to paint Lula as soft on crime before the vote.
[28] -
12
Trump tells countries to quit the war crimes court
Trump called the International Criminal Court, which tries war crimes and genocide, a 'rogue institution' and told every member country to resign from it immediately.
[5] The US has never been a member, but many of its allies are.[5] His government has already sanctioned court officials over arrest warrants for Israel's prime minister and over a past inquiry into US troops in Afghanistan.[1] Reuters reported on Monday that sanctions on the whole court are ready.[1] Why it matters — Many of the court's members are close US allies, and they now have to decide whether to stay in a court the US government is working to undermine.
[5] -
13
Fourteen countries pledge sanctions on cartels
Trump met leaders and ministers from 14 Latin American and Caribbean countries in the Shield of the Americas, an anti-cartel group his government launched in March.
[29] He asked them to join the US in naming 24 drug gangs as threats and sanctioning them, and they later promised steps toward that.[29] Brazil and Mexico are not members.[29] Chile's president Jose Antonio Kast said his country's murder rate fell 11.5% in six months.[27] Why it matters — US strikes on boats it says carry drugs have killed more than 220 people since last autumn, and rights groups call them killings without trial.
[29] -
14
Trump meets Venezuela's interim leader
Trump met Delcy Rodriguez, who has run Venezuela since US forces seized Nicolas Maduro in January, at a reception during the assembly.
[30] [11] It was her first trip to the US since taking office.[30] Trump told the assembly 'to the victor belong the spoils' about the oil deal his government signed with Venezuela last month.[30] He also claimed the two countries hold more than 60% of the world's oil; AP's fact-check puts it at about 22%.[8] Share of world oil Trump said the US and Venezuela hold60%Share AP's fact-check found22%Two figures for the same oil. The larger one came from the speech. Why it matters — More than 50 Venezuelans protested outside the UN, asking for elections, which critics say the US has stopped pressing for in exchange for oil deals.
[30] -
15
Cuba's delegation walks out on Trump
Cuba's diplomats left the assembly hall when Trump called the island 'an absolutely failed state' that 'will fall'.
[5] [27] He said Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who is Cuban American, is deep in negotiations with Cuba's leaders.[29] Cuba's foreign minister Bruno Rodriguez called the speech falsehoods, and said the US blockade, including on energy, is collective punishment.[27] Why it matters — The US has not said what change it wants in Cuba.
[12] The same speech held up the capture of Venezuela's leader as proof of what US military power will do in the region.[5] -
16
Macron's last UN speech attacks empires
France's president Emmanuel Macron, in his last UN speech as president, urged countries to stand firm against abuse of power by empires he did not name.
[31] He called for a pause on attacks on energy sites and civilians in the Russia-Ukraine war, and on ships in the Black Sea.[31] He said Gaza is 'a spectacle that shames us all', because the ceasefire has not opened up aid deliveries.[31] Why it matters — He also proposed an open-source model for advanced AI, independent of China and the US, hours after Trump rejected global rules for AI.
[31] France elects his successor in 2027.[35] -
17
AI companies to brief the Security Council
Trump told the assembly that US government documents will now call artificial intelligence 'super intelligence', because the word 'artificial' makes it sound fake.
[14] He said the US will encourage it, not rein it in.[5] On Wednesday the Security Council meets on AI and security, and China's DeepSeek is among the companies invited to brief it, two sources told Reuters.[32] OpenAI's Sam Altman plans to speak, and senior people from Anthropic are expected.[32] Why it matters — Guterres asked for life-and-death decisions never to be left to machines, and Trump turned down new limits in the same session.
[13] [5] -
18
NATO commander warns Putin is taking more risks
A senior NATO commander, deputy supreme allied commander Stringer, told AP that Russia's president Vladimir Putin is becoming more careless and open to risk.
[33] Russian sabotage, arson and influence incidents in Europe rose from 59 in March 2025 to more than 210, AP's tracking map shows.[33] Estonia's prime minister Kristen Michal said a regular Russian attack on Europe is still improbable.[33] Why it matters — Poland's prime minister has said Russia might hit NATO countries on purpose and call it an accident.
[33] Many saboteurs are hired online without knowing who they work for, which makes blame hard to prove.[33] -
19
US diesel hits a record $6.53
Diesel cost $6.53 a gallon in the US on Tuesday, up more than 70% since the US and Israel first struck Iran in February, the motoring group AAA said.
[34] A growing number of Republican lawmakers from farm states want Trump to ban diesel exports.[34] Iowa senator Chuck Grassley said high prices were killing farmers' income.[34] A White House official said a ban was not on the table 'at this time'.[34] Why it matters — Europe relies heavily on American fuel, so a US export ban would push prices up there too, where protests over fuel costs have already begun.
[34] -
20
France asks the EU to delay a methane rule
Macron asked the European Commission to delay by a year new rules, due on 1 January, that make oil and gas sellers to the EU measure and check methane leaks.
[35] Methane is the second-biggest cause of global warming after carbon dioxide.[35] More than a dozen EU members, including Germany, had already asked for a delay.[35] He also wants fuel quality rules loosened for now, which French refiners say could raise their output by 5% to 20%.[35] Why it matters — EU governments agreed these rules themselves in 2023, and some now want them rolled back because the Iran war has made fuel scarce.
[35] -
21
Japan asks the UN to drop 'enemy state'
Japan's prime minister Sanae Takaichi used her first UN speech to ask that the words 'enemy states' be removed from the UN's founding charter.
[36] Clauses written after the Second World War still describe Japan and Germany that way, though all members voted in 2005 to remove them.[36] A complicated amendment process has kept them in.[36] China has recently used the wording to criticise Japan after their ties broke down over Taiwan.[36] Why it matters — A label written about a war that ended 81 years ago is being used against Japan today, and the process to change it has not worked in 21 years.
[36] -
22
Netanyahu goes to the UN without a Trump meeting
Israel's prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks at the UN on Thursday, little more than a month before an election in which polls show his side short of the 61 seats needed to govern.
[37] Trump is not expected to meet him, and will be in Washington that day for talks with China's Xi Jinping.[9] On Tuesday Netanyahu released a video attacking New York's mayor Zohran Mamdani, who has accused him of genocide and threatened to arrest him.[37] Why it matters — Netanyahu has boasted of his close ties with Trump, and a meeting could have helped him with voters. AP reports their relationship appears to be getting worse as the Iran war drags on.
[9] -
23
Israel moves to bar an Arab party leader
Israel's attorney general Gali Baharav-Miara said there appeared to be enough evidence to consider barring Sami Abu Shehadeh, leader of the Arab party Balad, from the coming election.
[38] The case rests on an article he wrote the day after the 7 October 2023 attack; he denies supporting violence.[38] A Channel 12 poll on Tuesday gave Gadi Eisenkot's opposition bloc 54 seats and Netanyahu's coalition 50, with the Arab parties on 12.[39] Eisenkot's opposition bloc54Netanyahu's coalition50Arab parties12Seats in one poll on Tuesday. Neither bloc has a majority on its own. Why it matters — Eisenkot backed the bid to bar Abu Shehadeh, though the same poll shows his side cannot form a government without the Arab parties.
[38] [39] -
24
33 miners die in a Nigerian cell
Thirty-three detained miners died in a crowded, airless cell run by Nigeria's Security and Civil Defence Corps in Minna, a city in Niger state, last week.
[40] Survivors told the BBC and Reuters they begged guards for water and were ignored as people died one after another.[40] The men were small-scale miners arrested in a crackdown on unlicensed mining.[40] Twenty-four of the agency's officers, including its suspended state commander, are in custody, and a committee has two weeks to find who was responsible.[40] Why it matters — The agency has still not said how many people it was holding or who they were, so the survivors' accounts are most of what is known.
[40] -
25
South Sudan changes its election law
South Sudan's president Salva Kiir signed changes to the election law that drop the need for a permanent constitution and a census before the vote.
[41] The election is set for 22 December and would be the first since independence in 2011.[41] The main opposition coalition rejected the changes.[41] Kiir's long-time rival Riek Machar has been under house arrest since March 2025 and is on trial for treason, which he denies.[41] Voter registration has not begun.[41] Why it matters — The new law keeps the sitting president in office with full powers through the campaign, and last week Kiir replaced the head of the election commission without giving a reason.
[41] -
26
Latvia resists lifting sanctions on two billionaires
Latvia's prime minister Andris Kulbergs said his country cannot accept removing Alisher Usmanov and Fridman, two Russia-linked billionaires, from the EU's sanctions list as the price of extending it.
[42] France and Slovakia pushed to lift sanctions on Usmanov, and Luxembourg then asked the same for Fridman.[42] Three European diplomats said France acted under pressure from Azerbaijan, which has detained at least two French citizens; Azerbaijan denies this.[42] Why it matters — EU ambassadors restarted talks on Tuesday morning to break the deadlock.
[42] Fridman is claiming $16 billion from Luxembourg, which argued that lifting sanctions on Usmanov could weaken its own case.[42] -
27
Britain borrows more than forecast
Britain's government borrowed 18.3 billion pounds ($24.5bn) in August, more than any economist in a Reuters poll expected, the Office for National Statistics said.
[43] Borrowing for the year so far is running above official forecasts.[43] Finance minister John Healey presents his first budget on 28 October.[43] Prime Minister Andy Burnham has ruled out raising income tax, VAT, company tax or social security contributions.[43] Why it matters — Britain's borrowing costs have risen since the Iran war pushed up oil and gas prices, because the country imports much of its energy.
[43] -
28
Sri Lanka convicts 14 over Easter bombings
Sri Lanka's High Court convicted 14 of 24 men accused of direct roles in the 2019 Easter Sunday bombings, which killed 279 people.
[44] Three judges gave the verdict on Tuesday after a five-year trial.[44] Nine men were acquitted and one was found guilty on only some charges.[44] The charges included murder and conspiracy to commit terrorism, and sentencing comes later.[44] Why it matters — A court has now named 14 men as guilty, seven years after the attacks.
[44] -
29
South Korea cuts an ex-first lady's sentence
An appeals court in South Korea cut the prison term of Kim Keon Hee, wife of former president Yoon Suk Yeol, from seven years to five, for taking bribes during his presidency.
[45] A lower court found in June that she accepted luxury goods in return for political favours.[45] She denies it and will appeal to South Korea's Supreme Court.[45] Yoon was impeached over his failed declaration of martial law in December 2024 and later sentenced to life in prison.[45] Why it matters — The courts are still working through what happened while Yoon held power, nearly two years after he tried to put the country under army rule.
[45] -
30
UN experts blame Nicaragua for deaths in custody
UN human rights experts said Nicaragua's government, led by co-presidents Daniel Ortega and Rosario Murillo, is responsible for at least eight deaths in custody since its crackdown began in 2018.
[46] One was Brooklyn Rivera, a leader of the Indigenous Miskito people, who died in May after 32 months in prison.[46] Nicaragua's government said he died of complications from an earlier COVID infection.[46] No autopsy was ordered, and an outside medical review called the explanation not medically coherent.[46] Why it matters — The experts counted at least 161 people made to disappear since 2018, and asked for news of 29 whose whereabouts are still unknown.
[46] -
31
Belgium and Rwanda restore ties
Belgium and Rwanda said on Tuesday they are resuming diplomatic relations and will reopen their embassies soon.
[47] They fell out over the war in eastern Congo, where the M23 rebels hold large areas including Goma and Bukavu, the region's two biggest cities.[47] The UN and Western governments say Rwanda backs M23, and Rwanda denies it.[47] Qatar helped arrange the first meeting in June 2025.[47] Why it matters — Belgium's foreign minister said restoring ties does not mean dropping Belgium's support for Congo's borders.
[47] Congo and Rwanda are both former Belgian colonies.[47] -
32
Moroccans vote after a year of youth protests
Moroccans vote on Wednesday for the 395 seats in the House of Representatives.
[48] King Mohammed VI appoints the prime minister from the party that comes first, and he chairs the council of ministers that makes the biggest decisions.[48] The vote follows youth protests that began in September 2025 over jobs, health care and living costs, after which more than 2,400 people were prosecuted.[48] Why it matters — About 60,000 people crossed into Ceuta, Spain's small city on Morocco's coast, in late July, and at least 100 died.
[48] The IMF estimates youth unemployment was 37.3% last year.[48] -
33
Cambodia hosts a summit against scam centres
Cambodia's prime minister Hun Manet opened a two-day international conference on online fraud in Phnom Penh on Wednesday, saying his country will never be a safe haven for scams.
[49] Gangs, mostly Chinese-led, have run compounds in Southeast Asia where trafficked people are forced to carry out romance and fake-police scams.[49] Reporters toured shut centres this week, one of which held up to 20,000 workers.[49] Why it matters — The US estimates Americans lost more than $10 billion to scammers in the region in 2024.
[49] Cambodia says it has raided hundreds of compounds; analysts say the politically connected people who protected them have not been touched.[49] -
34
Haze makes 175,000 Indonesians ill
About 175,000 people in Indonesia have had breathing illnesses since August, and more than 40,000 of them are toddlers, the health ministry said.
[50] Forest fires on Borneo and Sumatra have spread smoke to Malaysia, Singapore and the Philippines.[50] A forest monitor has counted about 734,000 fire hotspots this year, more than 30% above 2019, one of the country's worst fire seasons.[50] More than 54,000 officials are fighting the fires.[50] Why it matters — An unusually strong El Nino has dried the region out this year.
[50] Groups in West Kalimantan are suing Indonesia's government for failing to stop fires that come every year.[50] -
35
Hurricane Polo grows to Category 4
Hurricane Polo strengthened into a Category 4 storm in the Pacific off Mexico, with winds of 130 mph (215 km/h), and could reach Category 5.
[51] It is forecast to stay just offshore, but heavy rain could bring floods and landslides to Guerrero and Michoacan through Thursday.[51] In the Atlantic no hurricane has formed yet this year, a record for the longest start to a season without one.[51] Why it matters — Forecasters say this year's El Nino is breaking up Atlantic storms before they grow.
[51] The same El Nino is behind the dry season fuelling Indonesia's fires.[50] -
36
Student opens fire near a Turkish school
A student fired a shotgun near a vocational high school in Turgutlu, in western Turkey's Manisa province, on Tuesday.
[52] Officials told AP 11 people were wounded, two seriously; Al Jazeera reported eight.[52] [53] He was arrested, and his parents and grandfather, who owned the gun, were detained.[52] Prosecutors are looking into claims he had been bullied.[52] Why it matters — Turkey had no history of school shootings before April, when two attacks killed nine people.
[53] [52] Turkey's government had just tightened gun rules and school security for the new school year.[53] -
37
India's free payment network starts charging
UPI, India's phone payment network used by more than 500 million people, stops being free on 15 October.
[54] Shops will then pay a 0.4% fee on payments above 2,000 rupees ($21).[54] The broker Bernstein estimates the fee will bring payment apps up to $1.1 billion a year by March 2028.[54] PhonePe, backed by Walmart, and Google Pay together handled 80% of UPI payment value last month.[54] Why it matters — Because the two biggest apps will take most of the fees, the change could make it harder for smaller rivals to catch up.
[54] -
38
EU and the Philippines agree a trade deal
The European Union and the Philippines announced a free trade deal on Tuesday, covering nearly 30 billion euros (about $35bn) of trade a year.
[55] The EU sells aircraft, pork and medicines to the Philippines and buys its computer chips and machinery.[55] The Philippines is the third Southeast Asian country, after Vietnam and Singapore, to sign such a deal with the EU.[55] Why it matters — The EU is signing trade deals from Australia to Argentina as its dealings with China, Russia and the US have grown harder.
[55] -
39
China's factories squeeze Europe's
China's commerce minister Wang Wentao said China backs its carmakers investing in Europe, as they look for factory sites before expected EU rules that favour local production.
[56] Chinese plug-in hybrids are not covered by the EU's extra tariffs of up to 35.3% on Chinese electric cars.[56] The same day the European Central Bank said China is pushing European firms out of world markets in machinery and vehicles.[57] Why it matters — Germany's exports look more like China's than any other big EU country's, so its car and machine makers lose most as China moves into the same products.
[57] -
40
Two North Koreans at the Asian Games seek asylum
Two members of North Korea's 180-strong team at the Asian Games in Japan want asylum there, South Korea's Monthly Chosun magazine reported, citing a Japanese intelligence official.
[58] It said they would rather stay in Japan than go to South Korea, and do not intend to go home.[58] Their names and roles were not given.[58] The Games opened on Saturday in Aichi and Nagoya.[58] Why it matters — Japan's government could not be reached on a public holiday, so the report is not yet confirmed.
[58]
Why the side being judged should not be the one keeping count
When a government collects the number that shows how well it is doing, the honest version of that number usually turns up somewhere else first.
The twist
The number that shows how well a government is doing is usually counted by that government. So the first honest version often comes from someone it does not control, like a market trader, a doctor or a reporter.
The picture
How it works
- A government is judged by a number: drugs stopped, prisoners kept alive, what its money is worth
- The same government collects that number and decides when to publish it
- When the true figure looks bad, it stops publishing, counts something easier, or gives no figure
- People outside find their own way to count: a market price, a doctor, a reporter
- The gap between the two numbers becomes the news
The same force, elsewhere today
Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.
-
Sudan's pound loses most of its value
Sudan's central bank stopped publishing an official rate, so the real value of the pound now shows up in the black market, at about 7,500 to the dollar.
-
33 miners die in a Nigerian cell
The agency that held the men has not said how many it held or who they were, so what is known came from survivors.
-
UN experts blame Nicaragua for deaths in custody
Nicaragua's government gave a cause of death and ordered no autopsy, and outside doctors said its account does not add up.
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Cambodia hosts a summit against scam centres
Cambodia's government says it has raided hundreds of compounds, and analysts say the powerful people who protected them were never touched.
Where you've seen this
School exams
a school that marks its own pupils' tests tends to report better grades than an outside exam finds
Company accounts
a firm's own books can look healthy until an outside auditor checks them
Sports doping
a team that tests its own athletes catches fewer cheats than an independent tester
The catch
An outside count can be biased too: Trump's figure for Iran's dead is the largest of the three, and he is at war with Iran. A gap between two numbers shows there is a question, not always who is right.
And the whole of it
Most of what anyone knows about their own country arrives as numbers its government chose to collect: prices, deaths, crimes, jobs. A trader in Omdurman, a survivor in Minna and a fact-checker in New York each checked one of those numbers this week, and none of them can see the others.
What is really going on
Trump used the UN stage to tell Iran it can have a deal after the US midterm elections on 3 November or face destruction, and that afternoon his envoys spent three hours passing messages to Iran's foreign minister through mediators. Iran's price for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, where only two tracked cargo ships crossed on Monday, is an end to the US blockade and the return of its frozen money.
Why it works on us — Offering only two endings, a great deal or total destruction, makes every slower, partial outcome sound like a failure before anyone has tried it.
Who gains
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PhonePe and Google Pay
— They handle 80% of India's phone payments, so they will take most of the new 0.4% shop fee, worth up to $1.1 billion a year by 2028.
[54] -
Venezuela's interim government under Delcy Rodriguez
— It met Trump for the first time, and the head of the Inter-American Development Bank is seeking approval for a $2.5 billion loan to it. Critics say the US has dropped its demand for free elections.
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Chinese carmakers selling plug-in hybrids in Europe
— Those cars are not covered by the EU's extra tariffs of up to 35.3% on Chinese electric cars.
[56] -
French oil refiners
— Macron wants fuel quality rules loosened, which the refiners say could raise their output by 5% to 20%.
[35]
Who pays
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Farmers and truckers in the US
— Diesel hit a record $6.53 a gallon, up more than 70% since February.
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Families in Omdurman and Khartoum
— A man who runs a private school in Omdurman is paid the equivalent of $70 a month, down from about $800 before the war, and cooking oil rose by a third in a week.
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Small-scale miners in Niger state, Nigeria
— Thirty-three of them died in a crowded cell after guards ignored calls for water.
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Young children in Indonesia
— More than 40,000 of the 175,000 people with breathing illness from the fire smoke are toddlers.
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Crews of ships crossing Hormuz
— Two crew members were hurt when the tanker LR Stephanie was hit by a projectile on Monday.
[10]
What nobody knows yet
Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.
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01
Whether the US and Iranian negotiators met face to face.
Trump said his envoys met the Iranian delegation. Witkoff wrote that mediators carried messages between the two sides all day.
[3] -
02
Whether the US will lift its naval blockade, Iran's first condition.
Iran's terms were passed on through mediators on Tuesday, and no US answer has been published.
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03
How many people Iran's government killed during last winter's protests.
Trump said 72,000 and gave no source. Iran's own figure is about 3,500, and rights groups say 5,000 or more.
[4] -
04
Who fired at the two tankers hit in the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday and Monday.
The shipping firm that reported the attacks says responsibility is unconfirmed.
[10] -
05
Whether Sudan's army leader will get a US visa before his UN speech on Thursday.
The US State Department did not answer Reuters, and the UN says it is still talking to US officials.
[24] -
06
How many people Nigeria's security agency was holding in the Minna cell, and who they were.
The agency has not released names or numbers, and the committee looking into the deaths has two weeks to report.
[40] -
07
Whether the EU kept its Russia sanctions list, and on what terms.
Latvia said it cannot accept dropping the two billionaires, and talks restarted on Tuesday morning. The outcome was not reported in our sources.
[42] -
08
What the Greenland agreement allows the US to do.
Before the signing the text was unpublished, and it was unclear whether it changes the 1951 defence treaty or sets up a new framework.
[23] -
09
Whether Russia is about to launch the massive attack Zelensky warned of.
He cited intelligence and gave no detail that can be checked.
[17]
About 5 million of the 14 million people driven from their homes by Sudan's war have gone back, mostly to areas the army has retaken.
Also true today
- A court in Sri Lanka convicted 14 men over the 2019 Easter Sunday bombings that killed 279 people, at the end of a five-year trial.
- Belgium and Rwanda restored diplomatic relations and said they will reopen their embassies soon.
- No hurricane has formed in the Atlantic this year, the longest any season has started without one on record.
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