World News · Friday, 25 September 2026
Poland calls a fire at a Starlink station sabotage, as Denmark warns Russian attacks on NATO will grow
A fire hit a Polish station that carries internet to Ukraine's army, and Denmark's spies say Russia will strike NATO countries more often, possibly with a small military attack.
2030
the year EU leaders set for Europe to be ready to defend itself against Russia
the EU's own defence agency says current plans do not seem to meet it
600 km
how far the Gerbera, a small Russian drone, can fly
it carries only 4 to 5 kg of explosive, enough to shut an airport or start a fire, a Spanish paper reported
19
unarmed drones that flew over Poland a year ago, in an earlier test of its air defences
Germany says Russia was also behind an attempted drone attack on Leipzig airport in August
The lead story — what happened
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A fire broke out late on Wednesday at a satellite ground station in Wola Krobowska, in central Poland, owned by Exatel, a state telecom company.
[3] [1] -
The station passes internet traffic through Poland to countries including Ukraine. It uses Starlink, the satellite internet service owned by Elon Musk's SpaceX.
[1] [3] -
Krzysztof Gawkowski, Poland's deputy prime minister, said the fire engulfed the station's power unit and generator.
[2] -
He said it was sabotage meant to cut internet access for several institutions, including Ukraine's army.
[2] -
He said it is not yet proven that Russia did it, but many signs fit what he called Russia's new way of attacking. The station was working again on Thursday.
[2] [1] -
The same day, Denmark's military intelligence service said Russia will carry out more frequent 'hybrid' attacks on NATO countries in the coming months.
[4] -
Hybrid attacks mean sabotage, cyberattacks and false stories: pressure on a country that stops short of open war.
[1] -
The Danish service put the risk of a limited Russian military attack on a NATO country bordering Russia at 'low but growing'.
[4] -
Its chief, Thomas Ahrenkiel, said the aim of such an attack would be to divide NATO, not to take over a country.
[4] -
Overnight into Thursday, Moldova's president said four Russian drones crossed into Moldova and at least one exploded. Romania said one drone crashed on its land.
[1] -
An EU agency report seen by Reuters says Europe is not rearming fast enough to be ready to defend itself against Russia by 2030.
[7] -
NATO's top commander, the US general Alexus Grynkewich, said the US will give the alliance 'critical but more limited' military help as Europeans do more.
[8]
1 of 4
Russian drones that crossed into Moldova overnight; at least one exploded
Who is involved
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Krzysztof Gawkowski
Poland's deputy prime minister and digital minister; he called the station fire sabotage
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Thomas Ahrenkiel
head of Denmark's military intelligence service; he warned of more Russian attacks on NATO
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Russia's government
the suspect; it denies any part in sabotage or hybrid attacks in NATO countries
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Alexus Grynkewich
a US Air Force general and NATO's top military commander in Europe; he says the US will give less
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Emmanuel Macron
France's president; he says Russia is multiplying hostile acts against European countries
How it unfolded
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2022 Russia invades Ukraine in full, and Poland goes on alert for sabotage
[2] -
August an attempted drone attack on Leipzig airport in Germany, which Germany blames on Russia
[6] -
Wed night fire at the Starlink ground station in Wola Krobowska, Poland
[1] -
Thursday Denmark's threat warning, and Russian drones cross into Moldova and Romania
[4] [1] -
Monday EU defence ministers discuss the report that says Europe is rearming too slowly
[7]
Where this points
Watch what Poland's investigation finds about who set the fire, and what EU defence ministers agree on Monday when they discuss the report that says Europe is rearming too slowly.
What is pushing on the whole day
The bar and the word are our reading of how hard each one is pushing today. The arrow is where it is heading. The evidence is in the stories below.
Denmark's spy chief said a limited Russian attack would be meant to divide NATO.
Russian drones crossed into Moldova and Romania overnight.
New US sanctions stopped Iran's flights to the Gulf states on Thursday.
Analysts said Netanyahu's UN speech was aimed at Israeli voters before an election later this year.
The rest of the day
32 more stories on this beat.
Each with its own sources. None of these is a link to the story above.
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02
Netanyahu speaks to a half-empty hall
Dozens of delegates walked out of the UN General Assembly on Thursday as Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's prime minister, began to speak.
[10] He rejected the charge that Israel is committing genocide in Gaza, and called Turkey's president Recep Tayyip Erdogan a tyrant.[10] He attacked Britain and France for accusing Israel of colonialism, and thanked Trump as the US delegation applauded.[11] He also accused Zohran Mamdani, New York's mayor, of making Jews feel unsafe, and Mamdani's office called the speech baseless lies.[10] Why it matters — Polls show Israelis losing faith in Netanyahu and his Likud party before an election later this year.
[12] A former Israeli diplomat told Al Jazeera the speech, shown live on Israeli television, is his way of being seen standing up to the world.[12] -
03
Abbas speaks to the UN by video
Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian president, spoke to the General Assembly in a video recorded in Ramallah, in the occupied West Bank.
[13] The US refused visas to him and other senior Palestinian officials for the second year running.[13] He said Palestinians face one of the most dangerous times in their history. He asked how long some states would keep sending Israel weapons.[13] Israel's seats sat empty while he spoke.[13] Why it matters — Abbas is 90 and has led the Palestinian Authority, which runs parts of the West Bank, since 2005, with no presidential vote since.
[13] He has been largely left out of the talks on Gaza's future, which Trump's Board of Peace now runs.[13] -
04
80 countries tell Iran to reopen Hormuz
About 80 countries, including the Gulf Arab states and the big Western powers, demanded at the UN on Thursday that the Strait of Hormuz be reopened urgently.
[14] Bahrain's foreign minister, Abdullatif bin Rashid Al Zayani, read out the joint statement.[14] It condemned Iran and its allies in Yemen, the Houthis, for attacks that disrupt trade and energy.[14] Iran and the Houthis both say they are defending themselves.[14] Why it matters — The strait, between Iran and Oman, usually carries about a fifth of the world's oil and gas shipments.
[24] Iran has kept it mostly shut since the US and Israel attacked it in February.[24] The statement records who blames Iran, but it orders nothing. -
05
Iran's plan opens Hormuz on the last day
Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi said Iran had sent the US a plan through go-betweens.
[15] Under it, fighting on every front, including Lebanon, would end within seven days.[15] The US would lift its blockade of Iran's ports, free Iran's frozen money and drop its oil sanctions.[15] Araghchi said the Strait of Hormuz would reopen only on the last of those days.[15] Regional sources told Reuters Iran would move its demand for fees from passing ships out of the main deal.[16] Why it matters — Six sources told Reuters the talks are stuck because neither side wants to give up its pressure first.
[16] The US blockade has cut off Iran's oil sales, and Iran's grip on the strait keeps fuel prices high far from the Gulf.[16] -
06
Houthis fire at a Saudi oil port
Saudi Arabia said it shot down six ballistic missiles fired on Thursday by the Houthis, the armed movement that holds northern Yemen, towards Taif and Yanbu.
[17] [19] Yanbu is the Red Sea port Saudi Arabia uses to export oil while Hormuz is shut.[17] Greek soldiers running a Patriot air-defence system near Yanbu shot down a ballistic missile and a drone, a Greek source told Reuters.[19] The Houthis said they also attacked a target in Riyadh, the Saudi capital, and Saudi Arabia did not confirm any attack there.[20] Why it matters — Saudi Arabia had only just started pumping oil again through its pipeline to Yanbu, shut since 11 September.
[17] The UN human rights chief says fighting in Yemen has killed or wounded at least 125 civilians since August.[40] -
07
Saudi Arabia's allies line up, and the US stays out
The foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey met under the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, which says an attack on one of them is an attack on all.
[15] They called an urgent meeting of their army chiefs to discuss helping Saudi Arabia.[15] France's president Emmanuel Macron said France will send soldiers, radars and air defences to protect Yanbu.[6] The US, Saudi Arabia's key partner, has said it is in contact with the Houthis and indicated it is sitting this fight out.[18] Why it matters — Iran's president Masoud Pezeshkian told Fox News, a US channel, that the Houthis are responsible for their own actions.
[15] So Saudi Arabia is fighting a group Iran supports, with help from Pakistan, Turkey, France and Greece instead of the US.[15] [6] [19] -
08
US sanctions ground Iran's flights
Iran's flights to the Gulf states, Oman, Georgia, Azerbaijan and Baghdad stopped on Thursday as new US sanctions took effect, Iranian media reported.
[21] The US had said it would punish any company anywhere that does business with Iranian airlines after 23 September.[21] Tehran's main airport still listed flights to countries including China, Turkey, Pakistan and Armenia.[21] A senior Iranian official threatened to make airports unusable in any country that obeys the ban.[21] Why it matters — These are secondary sanctions, which punish other countries' firms, and Trump has called the campaign an economic D-Day.
[21] They cut flights to the Gulf states, some of Iran's most important business and travel partners, while its ports are already blockaded.[21] -
09
US Senate keeps the Iran war going by one vote
The US Senate voted 50 to 49 on Thursday to reject a Democratic resolution that would have stopped the Iran war until Congress approved it.
[22] The House of Representatives had passed it in July.[22] Before Thursday, the US Senate had voted on such resolutions 13 times since the war began on 28 February.[23] Only 34% of Americans approved of the strikes on Iran in a Reuters/Ipsos poll this week.[23] Senators against the limit50Senators for it49The US Senate vote on Thursday. The margin was a single vote. Why it matters — Some Republicans in close races, such as Mike Rogers in Michigan, now call for a quick end to the war before the 3 November midterm elections.
[23] The vote puts every senator on the record before then.[23] -
10
Britain warns Iran over attacks at home
Ed Miliband, Britain's foreign secretary, told Iran's foreign minister Abbas Araghchi at the UN that Britain will not tolerate threats or hostile activity on its soil.
[24] British intelligence concluded that Iran or groups working for it were involved in an arson attack on four Jewish community ambulances in Golders Green, London, in March.[24] Miliband also asked again for the release of Lindsay and Craig Foreman, a British couple jailed in Iran on spying charges they deny.[24] Why it matters — British intelligence first kept an open mind about who was behind the ambulance attack, and only later concluded that Iran or its proxies were involved.
[24] Finding out who is behind an attack like this can take months, as Poland is finding with its station fire.[2] -
11
Ethiopia's war spreads beyond Tigray
Ethiopia's army said on Thursday it had pushed back attacks by Tigrayan forces and their allies, its first statement since fighting began on Wednesday.
[25] It said the fighting started in the Amhara region, near Tigray's border.[25] A humanitarian source said Tigrayan forces fired heavy artillery while trying to take Yallo, a town in the Afar region.[25] Fano, an Amhara armed movement that fought against Tigray in the last war, is now fighting beside Tigray's forces, security sources told Reuters.[28] Why it matters — The last war, from 2020 to 2022, killed about 600,000 people by the African Union mediator's estimate.
[25] About three-quarters of a million people in Tigray are still displaced from it, and IGAD, the East African regional group, has called for a ceasefire.[26] -
12
Tigray stocks up, and its leaders split
People in Mekelle, Tigray's main city, are buying food and taking out cash, and shop shelves in Adigrat, near Eritrea, are empty, residents told Reuters.
[27] A resident of Mekelle told the BBC banks had been running out of cash for months.[25] Armed men detained four veteran commanders who doubted the new war, including Tadesse Werede, who led Tigray's forces last time, a relative said.[28] Residents say young men are being forced to fight, which Tigray's leaders deny.[27] [28] Why it matters — In the last war Tigray was cut off from food, cash and medicine, and hundreds of thousands of people were pushed into famine-like conditions.
[27] This time its leaders have six allied armed groups but less support at home, Reuters reported.[28] -
13
Sudan's RSF steps up drone strikes on towns
The Rapid Support Forces, the paramilitary army fighting Sudan's national army, have stepped up drone attacks on army-held towns in North Kordofan, in central Sudan, residents told Reuters.
[29] On 8 September a drone hit a crowded courtroom in Um Ruwaba, killing about 10 people, a rights group said.[29] A day later a drone struck a college in al-Obeid, the state capital.[29] The RSF says it does not target civilians on purpose.[29] Why it matters — The UN says drone attacks by both sides killed more than 1,000 civilians in the first half of this year.
[29] The war is three and a half years old, and North Kordofan is now one of its main front lines.[29] -
14
Taliban say Pakistan's strikes killed four
Afghanistan's Taliban government said Pakistani air strikes killed four civilians, hitting Kandahar, Paktia and Khost provinces.
[30] Pakistan said its 10 targets were strictly military and linked to drones that crossed into Pakistan on Wednesday.[30] [31] The Taliban deny sending the drones and promised an appropriate response.[30] [31] It is Pakistan's second wave of strikes on Afghanistan in a week.[30] Why it matters — Pakistan says Afghanistan shelters the Pakistani Taliban, a faction of which claimed a deadly attack on a police mosque last week, and Afghanistan denies it.
[31] China, Turkey, Qatar and Saudi Arabia have been trying to make peace between the two neighbours.[31] -
15
Russian strike kills six farm workers near Kharkiv
A Russian strike on a farm in Stara Hnylytsia, a village in Ukraine's Kharkiv region, killed six farm workers who were sorting vegetables, Ukraine's emergency service said.
[1] Four of them were women, the head of the region said.[1] Russia's defence ministry said its strikes that night hit military sites, supply hubs and telecom centres.[1] At the UN, President Volodymyr Zelensky asked the US to help Ukraine with interceptors that can stop ballistic missiles.[1] Why it matters — Russia's new jet-powered drones are harder to shoot down, and the missiles Ukraine has for stopping them cost too much to use on every one.
[1] Russia's foreign minister Sergei Lavrov told the Security Council there would be no pause in the war.[1] -
16
Finland's president asks Musk to switch on Starlink
Alexander Stubb, Finland's president, said he pleaded with Elon Musk to let Ukraine use Starlink, Musk's satellite internet, over Russian land.
[9] Starlink does not work over Russia.[9] Ukrainian officials believe switching it on would let them hit the mobile launchers that fire ballistic missiles from a few hundred kilometres inside Russia.[9] Only Ukraine's Patriot air defences can stop those missiles, and their ammunition is badly depleted.[9] Why it matters — Russia fired record numbers of ballistic missiles this summer, and Ukraine fears attacks on its power and heating in winter.
[9] Whether Ukraine can reach those launchers depends on a decision by one private company.[9] -
17
Up to 25,000 North Koreans build Russian drones
Up to 25,000 North Koreans are assembling drones in Russia, according to a UN sanctions monitoring team and Ukrainian reports.
[32] Most work in the Alabuga zone in Tatarstan, where Russia builds its own copies of Iran's Shahed attack drone.[32] UN sanctions have banned North Korean workers abroad since 2017, so many are registered as students.[32] Russia gave 35,800 student visas to North Koreans in 2025.[32] - Student visas35,800 · 98%
- All other visas600 · 2%
Visas Russia gave to North Koreans in 2025. Registering workers as students gets around a UN ban on North Korean labour abroad. Why it matters — North Korea's government takes almost all of their pay. It earned up to $800 million from its workers abroad in 2025, and the UN team says the money pays for its nuclear and missile programme.
[32] The drones they build are the ones Russia fires at Ukrainian cities.[32] -
18
North Korea warns South Korea over US plans
North Korea said on Friday that South Korea would become a decisive target if it served as a hub for US-led collective defence, the state news agency KCNA reported.
[33] The commentary quoted the commander of US forces in South Korea describing the country as a key centre of collective defence.[33] It said North Korea has prepared countermeasures.[33] About 28,500 US troops are based in South Korea.[33] Why it matters — The threat is addressed to South Korea, not to the US. It tells South Koreans that a bigger place in US plans would bring the danger to them.
[33] -
19
Africa asks again for permanent Security Council seats
African leaders at the UN again demanded permanent seats on the Security Council, the UN body that decides on war and peace.
[34] Its five permanent members, the US, Russia, France, Britain and China, each hold a veto, and Africa holds three of the ten rotating seats.[34] Kenya's president William Ruto said the equality promised in the assembly ends at the doors of the Security Council.[34] In 2024 the US, under Joe Biden, backed two permanent African seats.[34] 5 of 15
Security Council seats that are permanent and carry a veto
Five of the fifteen seats belong to the US, Russia, France, Britain and China. Africa holds three of the ten rotating seats. Why it matters — Ethiopia's president Taye Atske Selassie said 1.6 billion Africans are denied equal representation.
[34] The wars on this year's agenda, from Ukraine to Iran, are decided in a room where Africa has no lasting say.[34] -
20
US weighs new limits on Cuba's diplomats
The US State Department is weighing strict controls on Cuban officials who come to the UN next month, officials and a document seen by AP say.
[35] They are coming for the UN's yearly vote on the US embargo on Cuba.[35] Cuba's foreign minister Bruno Rodriguez said talks with the US have stalled.[35] He said a US oil blockade since January works like a naval siege.[35] Cuba's power grid has collapsed at least six times this year, leaving millions without electricity.[35] Why it matters — The General Assembly has condemned the embargo by large margins for years.
[35] Cuban officials may already travel only within 25 miles of the UN in New York, and new limits could make it hard for them to attend the vote at all.[35] -
21
Trump asks the US Supreme Court to restart deportations to third countries
The Trump administration asked the US Supreme Court to let it deport migrants to countries that are not their own, after lower courts blocked it.
[36] A Boston appeals court put the block into force late on Wednesday.[36] More than 25,000 migrants have been sent to 29 countries this way, most to Mexico, rights groups count.[36] Others went to South Sudan, Uganda, Equatorial Guinea, Liberia and the Central African Republic.[36] Why it matters — The policy sends people to countries not named on their deportation orders, including South Sudan, which the US State Department tells Americans to avoid.
[36] The US Supreme Court sided with the Trump administration once before in this case.[36] -
22
US asks refiners to hold back diesel
Chris Wright, the US energy secretary, has asked big American refiners whether they would export less diesel voluntarily, three people told Reuters.
[37] Trump said on Tuesday he backed limits on diesel exports, which surprised his own officials.[37] US diesel costs about $6.52 a gallon, and US stocks are 13% below normal for the season.[37] France's president Emmanuel Macron said a US ban on diesel exports would be catastrophic.[6] Why it matters — The US is the world's biggest diesel exporter, so any cut in its sales abroad lands on buyers in other countries.
[37] [6] Farm-state Republicans want limits before the midterm elections, and more than 30 business groups urged Trump not to impose them.[37] -
23
The US hands a Baghdad base back to Iraq
The US will hand Iraq a diplomatic and supply centre at Baghdad airport that Iran-backed armed groups attacked many times during the war, Iraq's foreign ministry said.
[38] It said the agreement was signed with the top US diplomat in Iraq, Steven Fagin.[38] The handover is part of ending the US-led coalition's military presence in Iraq.[38] The last coalition troops are due to leave by 30 September.[38] Why it matters — Iraq's government gets back a site at its main airport that Iran-backed groups had attacked again and again.
[38] The handover comes days before the coalition's deadline to leave.[38] -
24
Gaza needs $71.5bn, a UN agency says
Gaza will need about $71.5 billion to recover and rebuild, UNCTAD, the UN's trade and development agency, said on Thursday.
[39] It found 92% of Gaza's businesses damaged or destroyed since October 2023.[39] Each person's share of Gaza's output is $0.58 a day, and prices are 274% higher than in 2022.[39] An EU commissioner said only 1 billion euros has been raised of the 71 billion euros needed.[40] - Raised so far1 · 1%
- Still missing70 · 99%
Money for rebuilding Gaza, in billions of euros, by the EU's count. The UN's trade agency puts the total at $71.5 billion. Why it matters — Israel says rebuilding cannot start until Hamas disarms.
[40] Hamas said it is ready to follow the Board of Peace's plan, but did not mention giving up its weapons.[40] -
25
Gaza's planners quietly meet UNRWA
Members of Trump's Board of Peace, which plans Gaza's future, have met officials of UNRWA, the UN agency for Palestinian refugees, several times, a board official confirmed to AP.
[41] In public the board says the agency has no role in Gaza.[41] Philippe Lazzarini, who led UNRWA until March, said it still props up about half of Gaza's public health system.[41] Israel wants UNRWA out, saying Hamas has infiltrated it.[41] Why it matters — The International Court of Justice says Israel's claims about UNRWA have not been proven.
[41] Almost a year after the ceasefire nothing has been rebuilt, and UNRWA has more workers in Gaza than any other aid group.[41] -
26
Journalists' group corrects its Gaza death list
The Committee to Protect Journalists, a press freedom group, removed 22 people from its list of media workers killed in the Gaza war.
[42] A review found some of them had been fighters. It began with obituaries published by Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad.[42] The group now counts 191 journalists and media workers killed by Israel since October 2023, and still calls Israel the world's leading killer of journalists.[42] Why it matters — The group said the accuracy of its research is fundamental to seeking justice for journalists who were killed.
[42] Its corrected count still puts Israel first in the world.[42] -
27
Israel's army releases a delayed 7 October report
Israel's army published its investigation into the fighting at the Paga outpost near Gaza on 7 October 2023, where 18 Israeli soldiers were killed.
[43] It found that 60 to 80 Hamas fighters attacked in three waves.[43] They overwhelmed about 30 soldiers who were not ready for a large surprise attack.[43] The report was finished about a year ago and was held back several times.[43] Why it matters — The army took about a year to release a finished report on a battle in which 18 of its soldiers died.
[43] It comes out as Israel heads to an election later this year.[12] -
28
Two Israeli reservists killed by their own drone
Two reservists from the Israeli army's 16th Brigade were killed on Thursday at an outpost in northern Gaza when one of the army's own drones exploded.
[44] The army said the two had been flying the drone. It blew up when they picked it up after it crashed.[44] The army opened an investigation and grounded all its drone flights.[44] Why it matters — The army has grounded every drone it flies until it knows why this one blew up.
[44] -
29
Cars burned in a West Bank village
Two cars were set on fire overnight in Atara, a Palestinian village near Ramallah in the occupied West Bank, Haaretz reported.
[45] Graffiti sprayed in the village called for revenge for two recent attacks on Israelis.[45] One was the killing of an Israeli near a settlement on the eve of Yom Kippur, the Jewish day of atonement.[45] Why it matters — Haaretz, an Israeli paper, reported the attack as the work of settlers.
[45] It happened on the day Netanyahu defended Israel at the UN.[10] -
30
A priest is killed at a Polish abbey
A man with a knife killed a priest and wounded four other people at a Benedictine abbey in Jaroslaw, in south-east Poland, on Thursday.
[46] [47] Police arrested a 31-year-old Ukrainian man. His motive is not yet known.[46] [48] Two of the wounded are in a critical condition.[46] Poland's president Karol Nawrocki called for a firm response, and Ukraine's president Zelensky said Ukraine was shocked.[48] Why it matters — Nawrocki wrote that everyone living in Poland must respect its values.
[46] Poland is one of Ukraine's strongest supporters in Europe.[3] -
31
Netanyahu's lawyer sits on a Serbian drone firm
Aleksandar Vucic, Serbia's president, showed off Serbia's first factory for Israeli drones, in Belgrade, in a post on 17 September, saying it created 100 jobs.
[50] Reporters were not invited.[50] Haaretz, an Israeli paper, reports that one of the three directors of SDS Technologies, the company working with Israel's Elbit Systems there, is Zion Amir.[50] Amir is Netanyahu's lawyer at Israel's Supreme Court.[50] Why it matters — Vucic said the drones will also go to other countries' armies.
[50] Israel's embassy praised the project, and neither it nor Vucic mentioned Amir's role.[50] -
32
Earthquake shakes Turkey and Syria
A magnitude 5.4 earthquake shook south-east Turkey and parts of Syria on Thursday, Turkey's disaster agency said.
[40] It was centred in Sanliurfa province, on the border with Syria.[40] People ran out of buildings in panic.[40] There were no early reports of damage.[40] In 2023 a magnitude 7.8 earthquake in the same region killed more than 53,000 people in Turkey and 6,000 in Syria.[40] Why it matters — Sanliurfa was one of the 11 Turkish provinces hit by the 2023 earthquake.
[40] -
33
Nine Kazakh soldiers swept out to sea
Nine Kazakh military personnel died after being swept out to sea during a naval training exercise, Kazakhstan's defence ministry said on Thursday.
[49] It happened in the Mangistau region, on the Caspian Sea, in the west of the country.[49] Why it matters — Kazakhstan's defence ministry did not say what went wrong during the exercise.
[49]
Why a small attack is a question for the victim's friends
Hitting one country a little, or in a way that is hard to prove, makes its allies decide in public whether to help, and some will not.
The twist
A small attack costs the attacker little, and it forces the victim's friends to choose in public whether to help. If they argue or stay out, the attacker has learned how far the alliance will go without fighting a war.
The picture
How it works
- Several countries promise to defend each other
- An attacker hits one of them in a small way, or a way that is hard to prove
- Each ally has to decide in public whether this counts as an attack
- Some send help, some wait, and some stay out
- The attacker learns how far the promise really goes, without starting a war
The same force, elsewhere today
Where this chain is also running, in today's other stories.
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Saudi Arabia's allies line up, and the US stays out
The Houthis fired at Saudi Arabia and warned others not to step in. Pakistan, Turkey, France and Greece answered, and the US, Saudi Arabia's main partner, stayed out.
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North Korea warns South Korea over US plans
North Korea threatens South Korea, not the US, so that South Korea has to weigh its own safety against a bigger part in its ally's plans.
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80 countries tell Iran to reopen Hormuz
Iran's hold on the strait made each government say where it stands. About 80 signed the statement against Iran, and the rest of the UN's members did not.
Where you've seen this
The school playground
a bully picks on one child to see whether the others step in
Strikes at work
a boss offers one group of workers a better deal, so the rest are left standing alone
Online groups
a troll goes after one member to see whether the moderators act
The catch
It can backfire. A small attack can push allies closer together, and this week European governments answered the warnings with plans to spend and prepare more, not less.
And the whole of it
The people deciding whether a fire in Poland or a missile at Yanbu counts are officials in many governments, each weighing their own voters and their own budgets. Most people in those countries never see that choice being made. They live with its result: help that arrives, or help that does not.
What is really going on
Two countries were hit this week in ways that stop short of open war: a fire at a Polish station that carries internet to Ukraine's army, and Houthi missiles aimed at Saudi Arabia's oil port at Yanbu.
Why it works on us — A fire, a drone or a missile that is shot down is small enough for each government to treat as someone else's problem, so a string of them rarely feels like a war even when officials call it one.
Who gains
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North Korea's government
— It takes almost all the pay of workers in Russia, up to $800 million from its workers abroad in 2025, and the sanctions team says the money funds its missiles.
[32] -
US diesel refiners
— They are earning record export revenue, and the energy secretary is asking them to cut exports voluntarily rather than banning exports outright.
[37] -
Firms that build drones and air defences
— The EU's defence agency says Europe has gaps in air defence and drones and must buy faster.
[7] Serbia's new factory will make Israeli drones for other armies too.[50] -
Benjamin Netanyahu
— His speech, with a walkout and a public fight with New York's mayor, was carried live on Israeli television before an election, and analysts told Al Jazeera that home was the audience.
[12] [10] -
Iran's government
— Its hold on Hormuz brought the US back to talks through go-betweens.
[16] Its plan reopens the strait only on the last day, after the US has lifted its blockade.[15]
Who pays
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Ukraine's army and the institutions the Polish station serves
— The fire was meant to cut their internet access, Poland says, and Starlink still does not work over Russia where Ukraine wants to strike launchers.
[2] [9] -
Farm workers near Kharkiv
— Six of them, four women, were killed while sorting vegetables when a Russian strike hit their farm.
[1] -
People in Tigray
— Banks have been short of cash for months, shelves are empty, and residents say young men are being forced to fight.
[25] [27] -
Civilians in North Kordofan, Sudan
— RSF drones hit a courtroom and a college this month, and drone attacks killed more than 1,000 Sudanese civilians in the first half of the year.
[29] -
People in Cuba
— Since a US oil blockade began in January, the island's power grid has collapsed at least six times, and millions have lost electricity.
[35] -
Iranians who travel to the Gulf
— US sanctions stopped flights between Iran and the Gulf states on Thursday.
[21]
What nobody knows yet
Open questions from across today’s stories — ours included.
-
01
Who set the fire at the Polish station.
Poland's deputy prime minister says many signs point to Russia but that it is not established, the investigation is still going on, and Russia's government has not commented.
[2] [1] -
02
Whether the CIA warned European governments about Russian drones launched from ships in the Mediterranean.
El Mundo, a Spanish paper, reported that the CIA gave the warning.
[5] Macron says the CIA did not inform French services, and the CIA has not spoken about it in the reports we read.[6] -
03
Who started Ethiopia's new fighting.
Ethiopia's army says Tigrayan forces attacked in Amhara, and Tigray's forces say they answered a full federal offensive. The BBC cannot report from the area to check either account.
[25] [26] -
04
Whether the Houthis hit anything in Riyadh.
The Houthis say they struck a sensitive target in Saudi Arabia's capital, and Saudi Arabia has not confirmed any attack there.
[20] -
05
How many people Pakistan's air strikes killed, and who they were.
The Taliban say four civilians died. Pakistan says it hit only military targets linked to drone attacks, and neither account can be checked from outside.
[30] [31] -
06
How many people died in last week's attack on a police mosque in Pakistan.
Al Jazeera says at least 21. The BBC, citing the AFP news agency, says at least 31.
[31] [30] -
07
Whether the US and Iran can agree who moves first on Hormuz.
Iran wants the US blockade lifted before the strait reopens, and a former US negotiator put the chance of a deal before the 3 November midterms at 30%.
[15] [16] -
08
How many North Koreans work in Russia.
The sanctions team counts 15,000 to 30,000 at the end of 2025, and Ukrainian reports say up to 25,000 build drones. Most are registered as students, which hides the real number.
[32] -
09
Why the attacker at the Jaroslaw abbey did it.
Police have arrested a 31-year-old Ukrainian man and have not given a motive.
[46] [48] -
10
Whether UNRWA will have any part in rebuilding Gaza.
A Board of Peace official says the agency's days are over but that its programmes may continue if they serve Gazans well.
[41]
During Russia's overnight attack on Kyiv, a woman gave birth to a baby boy in the shelter of a maternity hospital.
Also true today
- The Polish ground station that burned on Wednesday night was working again on Thursday. It carries internet traffic to countries including Ukraine.
- A magnitude 5.4 earthquake shook Sanliurfa, a Turkish province that the 2023 earthquake hit hard, and there were no early reports of damage.
- Iraq is taking back a US diplomatic centre at Baghdad airport, and the last troops of the US-led coalition are due to leave Iraq by 30 September, as agreed.
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