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Saturday, 19 September 2026

19 Sept · Money · In brief

Money · Saturday, 19 September 2026

Money, in brief

9 stories · 24 sources

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What is moving · 1 of 4

Prices rising again

Building ↑

Prices in Britain rose 3.1% in the year to August. [15] Three of the nine people who set the Bank of England's interest rate voted to raise it. [15] Forecasters expect next year's US Social Security rise to be 3.4% to 3.6%, above this year's 2.8%. [11]

What is moving · 2 of 4

Help for poor households shrinking

High ↑

A US law passed in July 2025 cuts Medicaid and food aid. [1] The 2025 poverty figures do not show those cuts yet. [1] A Brookings study says cash help for very poor adults without children has been cut since the late 1980s. [14]

What is moving · 3 of 4

Fights over who covers extra fees

Building ↑

Australia bans extra fees for paying by card from 1 October. [19] Its banks warn they may raise other card charges instead. [19] The US House of Representatives voted to ask state regulators to make big computer centres pay for the extra strain they put on the power grid. [18]

What is moving · 4 of 4

Money rules being rewritten

Steady ↑

Britain's financial regulator opens applications for crypto firms on 30 September. [20] The same regulator has finished asking for views on narrowing a rule that makes firms look after their customers. [22]

Part of the day's signal

One pressure seen across the day runs through Money too.

The typical US household earned a record $87,460 in 2025. The official poverty rate fell, and a fuller measure did not move.

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The US Census Bureau released its yearly report on income and poverty on Tuesday 15 September, covering 2025. [1][2]

Who is involved

Who is involved

Why it matters

The cuts to food aid and Medicaid are expected to show more clearly in the reports covering 2026 and later.

Why it matters

The fuller measure is the one to watch, because it includes those benefits. [1][2]

What's really going on

The Census Bureau says 2025 was a good year for the middle US household, with a record income of $87,460 and 1.5 million fewer people below the official poverty line.

What's really going on

The same report shows tax credits kept 6.1 million people out of poverty and food aid lifted 3.1 million out, and a law passed in July 2025 is now cutting food aid and Medicaid. [1][2]

Why it works on people

A record is easy to repeat, and it describes the household in the middle, while the bottom tenth of families saw almost no change. [2]

Who gains

Their median pay rose by $1,900 in 2025, while men's fell by $690. [3]

Who pays

The bills pushed 7.7 million people below the poverty line on the fuller measure in 2025. [1]

Nobody knows yet

Which poverty figure is the poverty rate.

The New York Times reports the rate as 13.1%, the same as in 2024. NPR reports the official rate as 10.2%, down from 10.7%. It gives 13.1% as the figure once benefits and medical bills are included. [1][2]

Nobody knows yet

How many older Americans are poor.

Using the Census Bureau's fuller measure, the National Council on Aging puts it at 15.4% for 2025. [6] A Brookings brief in June, using a different experimental version, put it near 6% for 2021. [7]

Nobody knows yet

How much of the cuts to food aid and Medicaid will show in next year's figures.

The 2025 report does not capture most of them, and the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities expects bigger effects from 2026 on. [1] The Brookings poverty study ends in 2023 and only predicts the direction. [14]

Good news

In 2025, 1.5 million fewer Americans lived below the official poverty line than a year before, 34.5 million against 36 million. The middle household's income reached $87,460, the highest since the records began in 1967.

Good news

Tax credits for working families and children kept 6.1 million Americans out of poverty in 2025, and food aid lifted another 3.1 million out.

Good news

Black families' median income rose 4.8% in 2025, the largest gain of any group.

The short version

That's the story in short.

The whole story has 16 more parts.

or swipe up for the next storyor scroll on for the next story ↓

The whole story, in 16 parts ↓

Part 1 of 16 · Who else is involved

Part 2 of 16 · How it unfolded

Part 2 of 16 · How it unfolded

Part 3 of 16

The median household, the one exactly in the middle when all households are ranked from poorest to richest, had an income of $87,460. [1][3]

Part 4 of 16

After allowing for rising prices, that is 2.6% more than in 2024. [3]

Part 4 of 16

It is the highest since the records began in 1967. [5]

Part 5 of 16

The gains were uneven.

Part 5 of 16

Families in the top tenth by income gained 1.7%, while the bottom tenth saw little change. [2]

Part 6 of 16

The Wall Street Journal says the record was driven by households with higher incomes. [4]

Part 7 of 16

Black families had the biggest rise, 4.8%.

Part 7 of 16

Their median income of $59,980 is still far below that of white families, $91,930, and Asian families, $126,300. [2]

Part 8 of 16

More people moved into full-time work: 1.3 million more men and 800,000 more women. [3]

Part 9 of 16

Median pay for men working full time fell by $690.

Part 9 of 16

For women working full time it rose by $1,900. [3]

Part 10 of 16

The official poverty rate fell to 10.2% from 10.7%.

Part 10 of 16

That is 34.5 million people below the line, down from 36 million. [2]

Part 11 of 16

A second, fuller measure adds benefits such as food aid and takes off taxes and medical bills.

Part 11 of 16

It put poverty at 13.1%, about the same as in 2024. [1][2]

Part 12 of 16

Tax credits for working families and children kept 6.1 million people out of poverty in 2025.

Part 12 of 16

Food aid, called SNAP, lifted 3.1 million out. [1]

Part 13 of 16

On the fuller measure, medical bills pushed 7.7 million people into poverty. [1]

Part 14 of 16

On that fuller measure, poverty among Americans aged 65 and over rose to 15.4%, from 15.1% in 2024 and 14.0% in 2023. [6]

Part 15 of 16

The National Council on Aging says the average Social Security payment is a little over $2,000 a month.

Part 15 of 16

Many older people get much less and have no other income. [6]

Part 16 of 16

The report looks back at 2025, before most of the cuts to Medicaid, the health cover for people on low incomes, and to food aid took effect. [1][2]

Social Security rise forecast at 3.4% to 3.6%

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AARP, a US group for people over 50, forecast on 11 September that Social Security payments would rise 3.6% in January 2027. [9] Another estimate puts it at about 3.4%. [10]

The rise follows a price index for working households, averaged over July, August and September. [9] This year's rise was 2.8%, and the average over 20 years is 2.6%. [11][12]

How much Social Security payments rise each year. The forecast for January 2027 is higher than this year's rise and the 20-year average.

The Senior Citizens League, another group for older people, had forecast 2.8% in March and 3.9% in April. [13] The official figure comes on 14 October. [11]

Why it matters

The average retirement payment was $2,085 a month in July, so 3.6% would add about $75. [9]

Why it matters

A Medicare premium rise of $6.60 is taken out of the same payment, so the rise left after the premium is nearer 3.28%. [9]

How it works

A poverty rate can fall while the poorest sink deeper

How it works

A poverty rate only asks who is below the line. Lift the people just under it and the rate falls, even if those far below get poorer.

How it works · step 1 of 5

The poverty line is one income figure for a household of a given size

How it works · step 2 of 5

The poverty rate only asks who is below that line

How it works · step 3 of 5

Lift a family from just under the line to just over it, and the rate falls

How it works · step 4 of 5

A family far below the line can lose income, and the rate does not change

How it works · step 5 of 5

So a second number, the gap, measures how far below the line people are

The twist

The poverty rate drops most easily when help goes to the people just below the line, because they need the smallest top-up to cross it.

The picture

Made-up numbers. Before, two families are below the line and $11,000 short in all. After, only Family B is below, so the rate halves, but the shortfall grows to $14,000.

Seen the same day

The Brookings study of poverty since 1967

the share of people in poverty fell by a quarter to a half, while the distance of the poorest below the line barely improved

Seen the same day

The Opportunity Zones study

the data counts how many buildings went up, so a small shed and a large block of flats each add one

Seen the same day

The Social Security rise

the $75 figure is for the average payment, and many older people get much less and have nothing else

The catch

A falling rate is still real for the people who crossed the line, and a gap is harder to measure and explain, so the two numbers work best side by side.

The whole

Most of us only ever hear the rate.

The whole

Each of the 34.5 million people below the official line sits at their own distance from it, and the single number cannot tell a family a few dollars short from a family with almost nothing.

Who gains

Forecasts put January's rise at 3.4% to 3.6%, above this year's 2.8%, because the rise follows prices. [9][11]

Who pays

A projected Medicare premium rise of $6.60 a month comes out of the same payment as the raise. [9]

Nobody knows yet

How big the January 2027 Social Security rise will be.

AARP forecasts 3.6% and another estimate is about 3.4%. [9][10] September's prices are still to come, and higher oil prices could push the final figure up. [9]

Bank of England holds its rate at 3.75%

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The Bank of England kept its main interest rate at 3.75% on 17 September, by six votes to three. [15] The three wanted a rise to 4%. [15]

Prices in Britain rose 3.1% in the year to August, and the Bank expects them to rise further as war in the Middle East keeps oil and gas dear. [15]

The Bank had cut its rate from 5.25% in August 2024 to 3.75% in December 2025. [16]

The Bank of England's main interest rate. It was cut until December 2025, and it has now been kept the same.

Why it matters

A market rate that lenders watch for five-year fixed mortgages rose above 4.52% in the first week of September, its highest since October 2023, which is expected to push up fixed-rate deals. [17]

Why it matters

The Bank also said it will sell off the rest of the UK government bonds it bought, by the end of 2034. [15]

Who pays

A market rate lenders watch rose above 4.52%, its highest since October 2023, which is expected to push fixed-rate deals up. [17]

Nobody knows yet

Whether the Bank of England raises its rate in November.

Three of nine members already voted for 4%, and the Bank says the answer depends on how big and how long the energy shock is. [15]

US poverty study: fewer poor, the poorest no better

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Two researchers at Brookings, a Washington research group, published a study on 14 September covering US poverty from 1967 to 2023. [14]

The share of people in poverty fell by a quarter to a half, depending on the measure used. [14]

But deep poverty, living on less than half the poverty line, improved much less. [14] How far the poorest fell below the line improved very little. [14]

Why it matters

The study says adults aged 18 to 64 with little or no work and no children did worst, because cash help for them has been cut since the late 1980s. [14]

Why it matters

It ends in 2023, and the authors expect the 2025 cuts to raise deep poverty. [14]

How it works

The Brookings study of poverty since 1967

the share of people in poverty fell by a quarter to a half, while the distance of the poorest below the line barely improved

The idea, in story 2: A poverty rate can fall while the poorest sink deeper →

Who pays

Cash help for them has been cut since the late 1980s, and how far they fall below the line has barely improved since 1967. [14]

Good news

Between 1967 and 2023, the share of Americans living in poverty fell by between a quarter and a half, depending on how it is measured.

Australia bans card fees from 1 October

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From 1 October, Australian shops can no longer add a fee for paying by debit, prepaid or credit card on eftpos, Mastercard or Visa. [19]

The Reserve Bank of Australia, the country's central bank, expects this to save shoppers about A$1.6 billion a year. [19]

The fee banks take from each credit card payment in Australia, before and after the cut.

It is also cutting the fee banks take from each credit card payment, from 0.8% to 0.3%. [19]

Only 16% of shops added card fees in 2024-25, but that share had doubled since 2022. [19]

Why it matters

The Reserve Bank of Australia expects some shops to put up their menu prices slightly to cover card costs, which would cost people paying in cash a little more. [19]

Why it matters

Banks say they may raise card fees or shorten interest-free periods to make up about A$660 million a year. [19]

Who gains

The cap on the fee banks take from each card payment falls, which the Reserve Bank of Australia says saves businesses about A$910 million a year. [19]

Who pays

Shops that stop charging card fees may raise menu prices a little for everyone, including people who never used a card. [19]

Who pays

Lower card fees are expected to cost them about A$660 million a year. [19]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Australian shops will raise their prices after card fees are banned.

The Reserve Bank of Australia expects any rises to be negligible, while banks say they may raise card fees or shorten interest-free periods instead. [19]

US House votes on data centre power bills

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The US House of Representatives passed a bill on 16 September, with support from both parties, about the cost of electricity for data centres. [18]

Data centres are huge buildings full of computers that run AI, and they use a lot of power. [18]

The bill asks state regulators to consider making data centres pay for any extra costs they add to the grid. [18] It still needs the US Senate and President Trump. [18]

Why it matters

People in both parties are worried about rising electricity bills, and data centres have become an issue before November's elections. [18]

Why it matters

But Congress cannot force state regulators, who set household electricity rates, to follow the rule. [18]

Nobody knows yet

Whether any US state will make data centres pay for grid costs.

The House bill only asks state regulators to consider it, and Congress cannot force them. [18] It has not passed the Senate. [18]

Part of a signal

Data centres asked to pay for power

Also seen in Climate and Tech.

The whole signal →

UK regulator may narrow a customer rule

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Britain's Financial Conduct Authority, the FCA, stopped taking views on 18 September on changes to its Consumer Duty. [22]

The Duty, in force since 2023, requires banks, insurers and other financial firms to deliver good outcomes for ordinary customers. [22]

The FCA says it has been applied more widely than intended, especially where firms deal with each other and where a product passes through several firms. [22]

It expects to make new rules early in 2027. [22]

Why it matters

Earlier this year the FCA said it would lean on the Duty rather than write many detailed rules. [23]

Why it matters

If the FCA narrows the Duty, customers of the firms left outside it lose the protection it gives. [22][23]

UK crypto firms can apply from 30 September

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The FCA published guidance on how Britain's new law for crypto firms applies to them. [20]

Firms can apply for permission from 30 September 2026, and the rules take full effect on 25 October 2027. [20]

The rules cover firms that issue stablecoins, which are digital tokens meant to keep the value of a currency like the pound. [20]

They also cover trading platforms and firms that hold crypto for customers. [20]

Why it matters

Earlier this year the FCA set out how its customer rules, compensation and the safekeeping of customers' coins would apply to crypto firms. [21]

Why it matters

It is the first step before the FCA's customer rules reach crypto firms in October 2027. [20][21]

Brookings studies a tax break for investors

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Opportunity Zones, created by a US tax law in 2017, let investors put off or avoid tax on gains from selling assets. [24]

To qualify, the gains must be reinvested in poorer areas chosen by state governors. [24] Brookings studied 7,174 of the 7,826 zones from 2018 to 2025, using records of new building. [24]

It found the break can speed up investment in struggling areas, mostly in property, but results varied from state to state. [24]

Why it matters

A 2025 law made a changed version of the tax break permanent, with a new round of zones chosen in 2026. [24]

Why it matters

The study's data counts buildings but does not show their cost or size. [24]

How it works

The Opportunity Zones study

the data counts how many buildings went up, so a small shed and a large block of flats each add one

The idea, in story 2: A poverty rate can fall while the poorest sink deeper →

Who gains

They can put off or avoid tax on those gains by reinvesting in Opportunity Zones, which a 2025 law made permanent. [24]

Nobody knows yet

What the Opportunity Zone buildings were worth.

The Brookings data counts new buildings but cannot tell their cost or size. [24]

That's the whole Money day.

9 stories, 24 sources.