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Day Lila

Monday, 26 October 2026

26 Oct · Money · In brief

Money · Monday, 26 October 2026

Money, in brief

8 stories · 17 sources

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What is moving · 1 of 4

Fuel and power costing more

High →

US drivers pay $4.29 for a gallon of petrol, up from $2.98 before the war. [1] Saudi Arabia will raise electricity and water tariffs on 1 January. [9]

What is moving · 2 of 4

Help that stops at a line

Building ↑

In England, a family with two small children can lose about 30,000 pounds of childcare help when one parent earns 1 pound over 100,000 pounds. [11] UK fathers who work for themselves get no paid paternity leave at all. [10] Saudi Arabia's new monthly payment goes to state staff, retirees, households on social security and some bereaved relatives. [9]

What is moving · 3 of 4

Big buyers setting prices

Building ↑

AI companies are paying very high prices for memory chips, so a basic phone in Karachi, Pakistan, now costs over 30,000 rupees. [14] The war's higher oil price has reached US pumps, though the US produces more oil than it uses. [4]

What is moving · 4 of 4

Budgets and votes due

Building ↑

The UK sets its taxes and spending in a Budget on Wednesday. [12] More than 100 Labour MPs want it to give fathers six weeks of paid leave. [10] US voters choose a new Congress in under two weeks, with prices a main worry. [1][2]

Part of the day's signal

One pressure seen across the day runs through Money too.

Trump says US oil companies are making a fortune from the Iran war, as US drivers pay 4.29 dollars a gallon for petrol, up from 2.98 before it began

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At a rally in Georgia on Saturday, US President Donald Trump said American oil companies are "making a freaking fortune" from the war with Iran. [1]

Who is involved

Who is involved

Why it matters

The next test is the US midterm vote in early November, and analysts said in May that pump prices fall far more slowly than they rise, taking six months to two years even after a war ends. [1][8]

What's really going on

The war with Iran has pushed up the world price of oil, and US oil companies sell at that price, so they earn more on every barrel while US drivers pay $4.29 a gallon instead of $2.98. [4][1]

What's really going on

Donald Trump said it out loud at a rally in Georgia: the oil business is making a fortune, less than two weeks before Americans vote. [1]

Why it works on people

Trump said "we're making a freaking fortune". The word "we" sounds like the whole country, but the fortune goes to oil companies and the higher bill goes to drivers. [1]

Who gains

They sell at the war-raised world price, and 38 of them took in about $140bn more than a year earlier. [1]

Who pays

Petrol costs $4.29 a gallon against $2.98 before the war, and diesel $6.35 against $3.75. [1]

Nobody knows yet

How long US pump prices stay this high.

Trump calls oil prices temporarily high. [1] In October he said prices would soon return to the under-$2 levels he recalled seeing in Iowa before the war. [3] Analysts quoted in May said prices take six months to two years to fall back, even after a war ends. [8]

Nobody knows yet

How much of the extra $140bn the oil companies keep as profit.

The Oil & Gas Journal count is of revenue, the money coming in, not of what is left after costs. [1]

Part of a signal

Dearer fuel from the Iran war

Also seen in World, Finance and Climate.

The war has pushed the world price of oil up by more than half, and oil companies earn more on every barrel they sell at that price.

The whole signal →

The short version

That's the story in short.

The whole story has 14 more parts.

or swipe up for the next storyor scroll on for the next story ↓

The whole story, in 14 parts ↓

Part 1 of 14 · Who else is involved

Part 1 of 14 · Who else is involved

Part 2 of 14 · How it unfolded

Part 3 of 14

He said the US oil and gas business is making hundreds of billions of dollars, and called oil prices "temporarily high". [1]

Part 4 of 14

Regular petrol costs $4.29 a gallon on average, against $2.98 the day before the US and Israel attacked Iran in February, says AAA, a US motoring group. [1]

Part 5 of 14

Diesel, which runs the trucks and ships that carry goods to shops, cost $6.35 a gallon on Sunday, up from $3.75. [1]

Part 6 of 14

Oil & Gas Journal, a trade magazine, counted 38 US oil producers and refiners whose revenue grew by about $140bn on a year earlier, in a report on April to June. [1]

Part 7 of 14

The US produces more oil than it uses, yet the higher world price since the war has still reached its petrol pumps. [4]

Part 8 of 14

Cutting US exports could lower prices at home, NPR reported, but US refineries are built for the heavier oil the country imports, not the light oil it pumps. [4]

Part 9 of 14

Argus, a firm that tracks fuel prices, estimates that 60% of diesel's rise from about $3 to $6 a gallon comes from the Strait of Hormuz, and 40% from Russia's war with Ukraine. [7]

Part 10 of 14

In September Trump said "let's not send out the diesel", and the American Petroleum Institute, the oil industry's lobby group, warned a ban would hurt buyers. [5]

Part 11 of 14

Energy Secretary Chris Wright said an export ban would mean "more expensive gasoline right away", because refineries would cut how much they make. [5]

Part 12 of 14

US prices rose 3.7% in the year to September, and petrol 34.2%. [2]

Part 13 of 14

The US central bank raised its interest rate in September for the first time in three years, and the 30-year mortgage rate rose from just under 6% to 7.5% during the war. [2]

Part 14 of 14

Trump spoke less than two weeks before the US midterm elections, and the White House did not immediately reply to Business Insider on Sunday. [1]

Saudi Arabia pays cash before bills rise

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Saudi Arabia will pay 500 riyals, about $133, a month to state employees, military staff, retirees and households that qualify for social security. [9]

King Salman ordered it on a proposal from Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the official Saudi Press Agency reported on Sunday. [9]

The payments start before electricity and water tariffs change on 1 January. [9]

The kingdom also raised the wage a Saudi worker must earn to count fully towards a company's quota for hiring Saudis, to 5,000 riyals and later 6,000. [9]

Why it matters

Families paid or pensioned by the state get a fixed sum before the new tariffs start.

Why it matters

Private firms must pay Saudi staff more if they want them to count towards their hiring quota. [9]

Who gains

They get 500 riyals a month, starting before the new electricity and water tariffs. [9]

Nobody knows yet

How much more Saudi households will pay for electricity and water from January.

The report gives the size of the new payments, 500 riyals a month, but not the size of the tariff rise they are meant to cover. [9]

MPs press for longer paid paternity leave

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More than 100 Labour MPs have asked Prime Minister Andy Burnham to improve paternity leave in Wednesday's Budget. [10]

UK fathers get two weeks at 194.32 pounds a week, or 90% of pay if that is lower, which is less than half the national living wage. [10]

The MPs want six weeks at 90% of earnings, capped at 1,200 pounds a week, and the same for self-employed fathers, who now get nothing. [10]

A government review of parental leave is due later this year. [10]

Why it matters

Fathers whose employer adds nothing live on the legal minimum, and many builders and farm workers are self-employed, so they get nothing.

Why it matters

Retailers such as M&S and Tesco already pay six weeks in full. [10]

Who gains

Their employers pay six weeks of paternity leave in full, three times as long as the legal two weeks. [10]

Who pays

They get no statutory paternity pay at all, and many builders and farm workers work for themselves. [10]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Wednesday's UK Budget changes paternity pay.

More than 100 Labour MPs have asked for six weeks at 90% of pay, and a government review of parental leave has not yet reported. [10]

Good news

M&S and Tesco now give new fathers six weeks of paternity leave at full pay, three times as long as the legal two weeks. Five big UK retailers have improved paternity leave for nearly 650,000 workers.

Earning just over 100,000 pounds costs families childcare

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UK earners lose 1 pound of their 12,570-pound tax-free allowance for every 2 pounds earned over 100,000 pounds. [11]

So between 100,000 and 125,140 pounds a worker keeps only 38 pounds of every extra 100, says NFU Mutual, an insurer, counting national insurance. [11]

  • Funded nursery hours£23,872 · 79%
  • Tax-free childcare£4,000 · 13%
  • Child benefit£2,337 · 8%
What a family with a baby and a two-year-old loses when one parent earns 1 pound over 100,000 pounds, by AJ Bell's count.

In England a parent who goes 1 pound over the line also loses free nursery hours, tax-free childcare and child benefit. [11]

AJ Bell, an investment platform, puts that at about 30,000 pounds for a family with two small children. [11]

Why it matters

Official figures obtained by Quilter, a wealth manager, suggest 50,500 to 99,000 children missed funded childcare in 2025-26, about three times the count two years earlier. [11]

Why it matters

The chancellor sets out the UK's tax plans in a Budget on Wednesday, 28 October. [12]

Who pays

One parent earning 1 pound over the line can cost a family with two small children about 30,000 pounds of childcare help. [11]

Nobody knows yet

How many English children lose funded childcare because a parent earns just over 100,000 pounds.

The official figures obtained by Quilter give only a wide range, 50,500 to 99,000 children in 2025-26. [11]

Pension systems strain as people live longer

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Of 55 pension systems in the 2026 Marsh CFA Institute Global Pension Index, published last week, 43 are in countries where women have fewer than 2.1 children on average, the level that keeps a population steady. [13]

43 of 55

pension systems in countries where women have fewer than 2.1 children

Of the 55 pension systems in this year's Marsh CFA Institute index, 43 sit in countries whose birth rate is too low to keep the population steady.

People in richer regions who reach 65 now live about 20 more years, 50.9% more than in 1950. [13] The report said very few systems, as they run now, are secure. [13]

The US fund that pays retirement benefits is projected to run out of reserves in late 2032. [13]

Why it matters

In a pay-as-you-go system, today's workers pay today's pensions, so fewer workers each carry more retirees. [13] Some funds are taking bigger investment risks to meet their promises. [13]

Who pays

Their contributions pay today's pensions, and each of them now carries more retirees than before. [13]

Nobody knows yet

What happens to US retirement payments when the trust fund's reserves run out.

Its trustees project the reserves run out in the last quarter of 2032. [13] The report does not say what would replace them.

Budget phones slip out of reach in Karachi

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Phone brands in Karachi, Pakistan's biggest city, have raised prices by 15,000 to 30,000 rupees a handset, Dawn, a Pakistani newspaper, reports. [14]

A basic phone with 4GB of memory and 64GB of storage cost about 20,000 rupees last year and now costs more than 30,000. [14]

A phone with 4GB of memory and 64GB of storage in Karachi, in rupees. Shops now quote more than the second bar.

Dealers and the phone makers' association blame memory chips, not taxes: AI companies are buying them at very high prices, and production has not kept up. [14]

Many buyers are turning to used phones. [14]

Why it matters

In Pakistan people bank, work and reach government services on a phone, so the rise shuts some of them out.

Why it matters

One father said a new phone for his daughter, just starting college, was now beyond his salary. [14]

How it works

Why Americans pay war prices for oil pumped in Texas

How it works

Oil sells on one world market, so a US company charges Americans what a buyer abroad would pay, even when the war is far away.

How it works · step 1 of 5

The war slows oil ships through the Strait of Hormuz

How it works · step 2 of 5

The world has less oil, so the world price rises

How it works · step 3 of 5

A Texas oil company can get that price from buyers abroad

How it works · step 4 of 5

So American drivers pay what buyers abroad pay

How it works · step 5 of 5

Drivers pay more, and the company keeps the extra

The twist

A Texan pays the war-time price for oil pumped in Texas, because the oil company could sell that oil to a buyer abroad instead.

The picture

The war cut the oil passing through Hormuz, and the world price rose. US pumps charge that price, though the US pumps more oil than it uses.

Seen the same day

Karachi's budget phones

Memory chip makers sell to whoever pays most, and AI companies pay very high prices, so a phone maker supplying Karachi pays that price too and passes it on.

The catch

It holds only while the goods can actually move: a ban, a blocked pipe or a refinery that cannot use the oil can split the home price from the world price, at least for a while.

The whole

A driver in Georgia, a phone buyer in Karachi and an AI company in California are bidding in the same markets without ever meeting.

The whole

Each of them sees the price at the till, and none of them sees the buyer on the other side of the world who set it.

Who gains

AI companies are paying very high prices for memory chips, and phone makers have to match those prices to get chips. [14]

Who pays

A basic phone went from about 20,000 rupees to over 30,000, and many now buy used phones instead. [14]

Nobody knows yet

Why phone prices in Karachi rose so far.

Some shoppers blame taxes or the war's damage to trade. [14] The dealers' association says taxes barely changed, and the phone makers' group blames memory chips bought up by AI companies. [14]

A college-level money class reaches US schools

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The College Board, which runs the college-level AP courses taught in US high schools, began AP Business with Personal Finance this school year. [15]

Students who pass its exam can earn college credit, and the course covers running a business as well as saving and spending. [15]

Thirty-nine US states now require a personal finance class to graduate, four more than two years ago, the Council for Economic Education says. [15]

In Ohio, 26 school districts expect to offer the new course. [16]

Why it matters

In class, students talk through what to do with pay from part-time jobs, such as putting it in a savings account that earns interest. [15]

Why it matters

Passing can also cut what a degree costs, by earning some credits early. [15]

Good news

Thirty-nine US states now require a personal finance class before students can graduate, four more than two years ago. This school year a new college-level course in business and personal finance began in US high schools.

Where a typical couple can still buy

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Zoopla, a UK property website, counted the share of two- and three-bedroom houses priced under 301,000 pounds, which Which?, a consumer group, reported on Sunday. [17]

That is what a couple earning 53,000 pounds can buy with a 20% deposit and a loan of 4.5 times their income. [17]

In Keith, Alloa, Kilwinning and Arbroath in Scotland, every such house listed was under that line. [17]

In London fewer than 100 homes were, against an average asking price of 542,500 pounds. [17]

Why it matters

Lenders cap a loan at a multiple of income, so where prices sit far above it a typical couple needs a large deposit.

Why it matters

Mortgage rates have risen by about a percentage point this year, Which? says, which shrinks what that loan buys. [17]

Nobody knows yet

Whether UK mortgage rates rise again before buyers in the cheaper towns borrow.

Rates rose about a percentage point this year, and in October some lenders cut while others raised. [17]

Good news

In Keith, Alloa, Kilwinning and Arbroath, four Scottish towns, every two- and three-bedroom house listed was within reach of a couple earning 53,000 pounds with a 20% deposit, Zoopla found.

That's the whole Money day.

8 stories, 17 sources.