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Day Lila

Saturday, 24 October 2026

24 Oct · Food · In brief

Food · Saturday, 24 October 2026

Food, in brief

26 stories · 37 sources

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What is moving · 1 of 4

Fewer animals, dearer meat

High ↑

US feedlots took in the fewest cattle for a September since 1996. [1] In Britain, beef cost 2% more and lamb 8% more than a year earlier. [34] In Pakistan, chicken costs 39% more than a year ago. [18]

What is moving · 2 of 4

Farm costs above crop prices

High ↑

US farmers filed 292 farm bankruptcies between January and September. [12] Pakistan raised its wheat price by Rs1,000 for 40kg because growing costs rose. [17] In Lebanon, wheat fields shrank when farming costs jumped in 2021-22. [20]

What is moving · 3 of 4

War in the food supply

High →

With the Strait of Hormuz nearly closed, food inflation in Dubai rose to 8.05% in September. [19] Lebanon's wheat area fell 34% and then 38% in two seasons of war. [20]

What is moving · 4 of 4

Protein on every shelf

Building ↑

US meat-stick sales are growing three times faster than snacks overall. [29] A maker of chips made from chicken raised $40 million. [30] In Britain, oats are selling on a newer word, fibre. [31]

Part of the day's signal

One pressure seen across the day runs through Food too.

US feedlots take in 1.78 million cattle in September, the fewest for a September since 1996, and only about a fifth of the cut-price beef allowed in has arrived

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US feedlots, the farms where young cattle are fattened before slaughter, took in 1.78 million animals in September, the US farm department (USDA) said on Friday. [1]

Who is involved

Who is involved

Why it matters

The cheaper-import window closes at the end of November, and the next monthly feedlot count will show whether ranchers keep sending fewer young cattle to be fattened. [7][1]

What's really going on

US feedlots took in the fewest cattle for a September since 1996, because the US beef herd is at a 75-year low. [1][6]

What's really going on

The Trump administration's cheaper beef imports, meant to bring down a $6.80 pound of ground beef, have brought in about a fifth of what was allowed. [6][7]

What's really going on

Ranchers say the threat of more imports makes them sell young females they would otherwise breed, which keeps the herd small. [7]

Why it works on people

A shop price that voters see every week is easier to act on fast than a herd that takes years of breeding to rebuild. [6][7]

Who gains

Fewer cattle going into feedlots than traders expected should support cattle prices, Brownfield says. [2]

Who pays

A pound costs about $6.80, and the import plan lowered it by only about 13 cents from August to September. [6]

Nobody knows yet

Whether US ranchers will start keeping more heifers to breed.

Heifers were 38% of feedlot cattle on 1 October, which Brownfield reads as little rebuilding, but the count records animals, not ranchers' plans. [1][2]

Nobody knows yet

Why so little of the cut-price beef has arrived.

Only 37,486 tonnes came in during September out of 100,000 allowed, and the readable part of the report does not give a reason. [7]

The short version

That's the story in short.

The whole story has 13 more parts.

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The whole story, in 13 parts ↓

Part 1 of 13 · Who else is involved

Part 1 of 13 · Who else is involved

Part 2 of 13 · How it unfolded

Part 3 of 13

That is 12% fewer than in September 2025, and the lowest for any September since this count began in 1996. [1][2]

Part 4 of 13

The number came in well below what cattle traders had expected, Brownfield Ag News reported. [2]

Part 4 of 13

On Friday, cash bids for cattle in Kansas were $226 for 100 pounds, against asking prices of $232 in the South. [4][5]

Part 5 of 13

Feedlots sent 1.52 million fattened cattle to slaughter in September, 7% fewer than a year earlier, also a September low. [1]

Part 5 of 13

Across the US, 2.30 million cattle were slaughtered, down 7%. [8]

Part 6 of 13

On Thursday, before the report, the wholesale price of Choice-grade boxed beef fell $3.12 to $369.47 for 100 pounds. [3]

Part 7 of 13

On 1 October large US feedlots held 11.4 million cattle, about the same as a year before. [1]

Part 8 of 13

Heifers, young females that could instead be kept to breed calves, made up 38% of those cattle. [1]

Part 8 of 13

Brownfield says that share points to only a small rebuilding of the herd. [2]

Part 9 of 13

The US beef herd is at a 75-year low, says Zach Raff, a livestock economist at Iowa State University. [6]

Part 9 of 13

A pound of ground beef costs about $6.80. [6]

Part 10 of 13

In August the Trump administration let 300,000 tonnes of lean beef trimmings in at a lower import tax over three months, to bring ground beef prices down. [6][7]

Part 11 of 13

Only 37,486 tonnes arrived in September, out of 100,000 allowed, and 21,937 tonnes in October up to the 19th, by US customs figures. [7]

Part 12 of 13

Ranchers say the threat that the US government will step in whenever prices rise makes them send heifers and cows to slaughter instead of keeping them to grow the herd. [7][6]

Part 13 of 13

Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins said on Thursday that big announcements are coming, including about some closed Tyson beef plants. [12]

Part 13 of 13

She said US beef processing would become less concentrated. [12]

US lifts tariffs on Canadian farm boxes

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The Trump administration will lift its 50% tariffs on some Canadian goods from 30 October. [11] They include farm packing boxes, plastic containers, sorting machines and refrigeration equipment. [9][11]

Senator Susan Collins of Maine announced it, saying growers of blueberries, potatoes and apples rely on these Canadian goods. [9]

The Trump administration said new tariffs will go on other Canadian goods, including carpets and certain valves. [10]

Why it matters

Canada supplies about 69% of what Maine imports and buys 53% of what it exports, Maine's state economist said in March. [11]

Why it matters

Collins faces a close race in the 3 November election. [10]

Who gains

From 30 October they can buy Canadian boxes and packing machines without the 50% tariff. [11]

Who pays

Their goods are among those moved onto the 50% US tariff list. [10]

Nobody knows yet

Which Canadian goods get the new 50% tariffs.

The BBC reports carpets, certain valves and waste products, while Agri-Pulse names cocoa, carpet and archery gear. [10][11]

US farm bankruptcies reach 292 this year

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US farmers filed 91 Chapter 12 bankruptcies, the kind built for family farms, in the third quarter of 2026. [12]

That brings the total since January to 292, by the National Agricultural Law Center's count of court records. [12]

A survey of rural bankers by Creighton University fell to 42.5, below the 50 mark that means no growth and the lowest since July. [12]

Why it matters

Just under half of those bankers said government farm payments will be very important to stop loan defaults next year. [12] They blamed diesel and fertiliser costs. [12]

Who pays

292 Chapter 12 farm bankruptcies were filed between January and September. [12]

US crop farms broke even on payments

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US farms growing nine main crops lost $28.1 billion selling their 2025 harvests at market prices, economists at farmdoc daily calculate. [13] Farmdoc daily is a University of Illinois farm-economics site. [13]

Government payments covered all but $3.7 billion of that loss. [13] Over 2023 to 2025, $62.5 billion in payments matched the losses, so the crops broke even as a group. [13]

Why it matters

The authors say this makes it hard to argue the crop sector as a whole is in distress, even as single farms go bankrupt. [13]

Why it matters

They warn that with losses covered, farm costs have no reason to fall. [13]

Who gains

Government payments covered all but $3.7 billion of a $28.1 billion market loss on 2025 crops, so the sector as a whole broke even. [13]

Pakistan raises its wheat price by Rs1,000

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Pakistan's prime minister, Shehbaz Sharif, set the government's wheat price for 2027 at Rs4,500 for 40kg, Rs1,000 more than last year. [17]

Pakistan's wheat price, in rupees for 40kg. The new price is Rs1,000 higher, and still below what the farmers' group asked.

His office said growing and fuel costs had risen, and that Pakistan has had to import wheat for the past two years. [17]

The farmers' group Pakistan Kissan Ittehad had asked for Rs5,000. [17] It warned that farmers might not sow wheat if the Pakistani government was late with its crop policies. [17]

Why it matters

Farmers get Rs1,000 more for each 40kg of wheat they sow this winter. [17] Families already pay 36.5% more for flour than a year ago, and short-term inflation stands at 11.85%. [18]

Who gains

Pakistan's government will pay Rs1,000 more for each 40kg of wheat in 2027. [17]

Who pays

Wheat flour costs 36.5% more than a year ago, and chicken 39% more. [18]

Nobody knows yet

Whether Pakistan's farmers will sow more wheat at Rs4,500.

The price is Rs500 below the Rs5,000 the farmers' group asked for, and it had warned that farmers might not sow. [17]

UAE shops promise to hold food prices

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Food sellers in the United Arab Emirates have promised to keep prices steady during the war with Iran. [19]

The near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow sea route for Gulf shipping, has raised costs for food, transport and insurance. [19]

Lulu, a supermarket chain with over 100 UAE shops, says it is absorbing some costs and chartering its own ships. [19] Dubai's food inflation rose to 8.05% in September. [19]

Why it matters

Nine staples, including rice, eggs and bread, cannot rise in price without government approval. [19] Shoppers are buying cheaper own-brand goods, an analyst at eToro, an investment platform, says. [19]

Part of a signal

Dearer fuel from the Iran war

Also seen in Finance, World, Climate and Money.

Traders are pushing oil up on the fear of new US strikes on Iran, even though more Gulf oil is reaching buyers than before the war.

The whole signal →

Lebanon's wheat fields shrink by a third twice

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Lebanon's wheat area fell 34% in 2023-24 and 38% in 2024-25, a study using satellite pictures found. [20] It was published on 21 October in npj Sustainable Agriculture, a science journal. [20]

The authors link the falls to the war with Israel, which they say likely kept farmers from fields in the south. [20]

Lebanon grows only about 20% of the wheat it uses. [20]

Why it matters

Lebanon buys most of its wheat from Ukraine and Russia, so a smaller home crop means more depends on imports. [20]

Why it matters

The study says Lebanon has had no full farm census since 2010. [20]

Wraps behind E. coli outbreak named in court

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Fifty people have fallen ill with E. coli O157, a gut germ that can cause kidney failure, from chicken wraps. [22]

US officials still describe the food only as a chicken wrap. [22] A lawsuit filed on 15 October names them as Trader Joe's Tarragon Chicken Salad Wraps. [22]

Bill Marler, the publisher of Food Safety News, whose law firm filed it, says F&S Fresh Foods of New Jersey made them. [22]

Why it matters

The wraps were taken off sale without being called a recall, so no list of shops was published, Marler writes. [22]

Why it matters

He has drafted petitions asking the FDA to name firms behind outbreaks. [22]

Who pays

The public learned which wraps made them sick from a lawsuit, not from US food officials. [22]

Nobody knows yet

Which shops sold the Trader Joe's wraps, and whether the bad ingredient went into other foods.

US officials have named no maker, store or ingredient, and the maker's name comes only from a lawyer suing on behalf of the sick. [22]

Smoked fish firm refuses an FDA recall

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The US food regulator, the FDA, warned the public about cold-smoked sprats from D&M Smoked Fish of Jamaica, New York. [21] The firm also trades as Haifa Smoked Fish. [21]

Inspectors found it made the fish without the controls needed to stop botulism, a rare poisoning that can stop breathing. [21] The FDA asked for a recall, and the firm declined. [21]

Why it matters

Shops and restaurants are told not to sell the sprats. [21] Botulism cannot be seen, smelled or tasted in food. [21]

Nobody knows yet

How much of the botulism-risk sprats is on sale, and where.

The FDA warning names the firm and says it refused a recall, but gives no amount and no list of shops. [21]

US food tracing rule waits until 2028

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The FDA will hold a public meeting on 6 November about its Food Traceability Rule, Food Safety News reports. [23]

The rule makes firms keep a code that follows risky foods, such as leafy greens and eggs, from farm to shop. [23] It became law in 2022. [23]

A US budget law passed in November 2025 bars spending to enforce it before 20 July 2028. [23]

Why it matters

Without it, investigators often cannot link a sick person's shop to the farm, by the FDA's own trials. [23]

Why it matters

Groups for food distributors, restaurants and shops lobbied on the delay, their own filings show. [23]

USDA fixes a mistake in its corn count

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The USDA's statistics office found a processing error in its September corn figures for Kansas and Nebraska. [14]

It affected counts of plants and ears, yields and the US corn harvest forecast. [14] The office corrected the September reports after concerns were raised about its 9 October report. [14]

It says its October forecasts were checked and have not changed. [14]

Why it matters

NASS is the US agency that produces official farm data, so others build on its numbers. [14] The notice does not say how big the error was. [14]

Nobody knows yet

How large the USDA's September corn error was.

The notice says Kansas and Nebraska figures were wrong and are now fixed, but gives no before-and-after numbers. [14]

US milk output up 2.7%

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Dairy farms in 24 major US states made 18.7 billion pounds of milk in September, 2.7% more than a year before, the USDA says. [15]

The rise came from more cows, 9.30 million, which is 162,000 more than a year ago. [15] Each cow gave slightly more milk too, 2,012 pounds in the month. [15]

August output was revised up by 132 million pounds. [15]

Why it matters

Dairy farms are adding cows while US feedlots take in the fewest cattle for a September since 1996. [15][1] In the July-September quarter, US milk output rose 2.3%. [15]

US egg output up 6%

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US hens laid 9.20 billion eggs in September, 6% more than a year earlier, the USDA says. [16]

There were 385 million laying hens on 1 October, 4% more than a year before. [16] Each 100 hens laid 2,390 eggs in the month, 1% more than last year. [16]

Hatcheries hatched 51.3 million egg-laying chicks in September, 8% fewer. [16]

Why it matters

More eggs are reaching the market from a bigger flock. [16] Eggs in incubators for future laying hens were 2% higher on 1 October. [16]

Good news

US hens laid 9.20 billion eggs in September, 6% more than a year earlier, from a flock of 385 million laying hens.

British shoppers pay more for red meat

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British shoppers spent 1.6% more on beef in the 12 weeks to 4 October than a year earlier, the AHDB says. [34] The AHDB is a British farm industry body. [34]

Beef prices rose 2.0% while the amount bought fell 0.4%. [34] Lamb prices rose 8.0%, and shoppers bought 11.0% less lamb. [34]

Why it matters

Burgers and sausages sold more, up 10.2% and 12.5%, helped by good weather and more offers. [34] Bacon sold 8.1% less even with lower prices. [34]

97% of food firms find slavery risks

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97% of food and drink firms surveyed found modern slavery or serious labour abuse in their supply chains in the past year. [25]

It is the highest share of any sector in a report for BSI, the British standards body. [25] Only 36% of food firms could show their whistleblowing systems work. [25]

39% do not make suppliers name their own suppliers. [25]

Why it matters

80% of business leaders say they have enough evidence their supply is free of slavery. [25] Only 22% can see their suppliers' suppliers. [25]

Why it matters

Business leaders in every sector, by BSI's survey. Many more believe their supply chains are free of slavery than can see who supplies their suppliers.

Who pays

97% of food firms surveyed found slavery or serious labour abuse among their suppliers in a year. [25]

Nobody knows yet

Which food firms found slavery in their supply chains.

The BSI report gives shares of firms, not names, and only 22% of leaders say they can see their suppliers' suppliers. [25]

Labelling ultra-processed food could cost $14.2bn

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A required US label on ultra-processed foods could cost at least $14.2 billion a year, University of Chicago researchers estimate. [26]

They counted a food as ultra-processed if it held at least one marker additive, such as a flavouring or an emulsifier. [26]

By the definition they used, 72.3% of about 450,000 packaged foods would qualify. [26] They say $8.1 billion would reach shoppers, about $60 per household. [26]

Why it matters

Health Secretary Robert F Kennedy Jr wants such a label, and the FDA's own definition is not yet public. [26]

Why it matters

California passed a law in September for a voluntary label on foods that are not ultra-processed. [27]

Nobody knows yet

How much an ultra-processed label would cost US food makers and shoppers.

The researchers used an outside definition because the FDA's has not been published, and they call $14.2 billion a lower estimate. [26]

Meat sticks grow three times faster than snacks

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US meat-stick sales reached $5.7 billion a year, growing 9.5% a year against 3.1% for all snacks. [29]

That is from Circana, a sales-data firm, in a report by Conagra, maker of Slim Jim. [29] Archer Meat Snacks says its sales rose 54.9% in a year. [29]

A FoodNavigator column argues the high-protein trend will fade as shoppers tire of it. [37]

Why it matters

Conagra is flooding the category with new flavours, FoodNavigator reports, and General Mills launched its own sticks this week. [29] Online, meat-snack sales are growing 41% a year. [29]

How it works

Why a selling word stops helping shoppers once every brand uses it

How it works

A word like protein sells a snack while few rivals use it. Once most of the shelf says it, the word tells a shopper very little.

How it works · step 1 of 5

A word like protein helps a snack sell

How it works · step 2 of 5

Rival makers see the sales and add the same word

How it works · step 3 of 5

Soon most of the shelf carries it

How it works · step 4 of 5

The word no longer shows which snack is different

How it works · step 5 of 5

Makers look for proof, a new format or a newer word

The twist

A word on a snack helps it stand out only while few rivals use it. Once most of the shelf says protein, the word tells a shopper very little.

The picture

Yearly growth in US sales, by Circana's figures in Conagra's report. Snacks sold on protein are growing three times faster, which is why so many makers want the word.

Seen the same day

Meat sticks grow three times faster than snacks

Conagra, General Mills and Archer are all adding sticks, and Conagra says new ones now add collagen or bone broth on top of protein.

Seen the same day

Chicken chip maker raises $40 million

Wilde's chips already compete with Quest and Atkins on protein, so the brand leans on flavours like Nashville Hot Chicken to look different.

Seen the same day

Porridge sells on fibre in Britain

With protein on everything, a new word, fibre, is now selling oats.

The catch

This is about brands competing with each other. A word can stop helping any one brand and still make people buy more of the whole kind of food.

The whole

The snack maker, the shopper and the farmer who sells chicken breast and beef all act on the same word.

The whole

Each sees only their own part of the shelf, and none of them decides when the word stops working.

Chicken chip maker raises $40 million

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Wilde Brands, which makes crisps from chicken breast instead of potatoes, raised $40 million from S2G Investments. [30]

It says it now sells in over 35,000 shops and passed $100 million in yearly sales. [30] It opened a 130,000-square-foot factory in Winchester, Kentucky. [30]

Rivals such as Quest and Atkins also sell protein snacks. [30]

Why it matters

Seventy per cent of Americans say they are trying to eat more protein, a survey by a US food information group found. [30]

Why it matters

Wilde raised $20 million in 2024, before this round. [30]

How it works

Chicken chip maker raises $40 million

Wilde's chips already compete with Quest and Atkins on protein, so the brand leans on flavours like Nashville Hot Chicken to look different.

The idea, in story 17: Why a selling word stops helping shoppers once every brand uses it →

Who gains

Meat-stick sales grow 9.5% a year, and Wilde raised $40 million to grow. [29][30]

Porridge sells on fibre in Britain

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Oats are selling fast in Britain as an online trend called fibremaxxing spreads, the Guardian reports. [31]

Searches for organic jumbo oats at Ocado, an online grocer, rose 98% in a year, and sales of White's jumbo oats 56%. [31]

The NHS advises 30g of fibre a day, and the average adult eats 18g. [31] A central London restaurant, 26 Grains, specialises in porridge. [31]

Why it matters

The Guardian says the craze for protein is not slowing, while fibremaxxing pushes people to eat more fibre. [31] Some breakfast eaters are swapping eggs for oats. [31]

How it works

Porridge sells on fibre in Britain

With protein on everything, a new word, fibre, is now selling oats.

The idea, in story 17: Why a selling word stops helping shoppers once every brand uses it →

Danone changes its recycled-bottle labels

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Danone, the French food company, agreed to change recycling claims on its plastic bottles in the European Union. [28]

Labels saying a bottle is 100% recycled will add that the cap and label are not. [28] BEUC, a group of 42 consumer groups, first complained in 2023. [28]

Nestle and Coca-Cola agreed to the same changes earlier. [28]

Why it matters

National consumer authorities will check the three firms keep their promise, and may act if they do not. [28] Shoppers get a plainer claim on water bottles such as evian. [28]

Good news

Danone, Nestle and Coca-Cola have all agreed that EU bottle labels saying 100% recycled will now add that the cap and label are not.

Food safety scientist wins World Food Prize

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Huub Lelieveld, a Dutch food scientist, received the $500,000 World Food Prize in Des Moines, Iowa, on Thursday. [24] The prize honours work against hunger. [24]

After four decades at Unilever, he founded the Global Harmonization Initiative in 2004. [24] It links over 1,600 volunteer experts in 113 countries working on common food safety rules. [24]

Why it matters

His network has broken down barriers to trade and food aid, the prize organisers say. [24] Tanzania's prime minister told the meeting that food security must also mean food safety. [24]

Good news

Huub Lelieveld, a Dutch food scientist, received the $500,000 World Food Prize in Des Moines on Thursday. The network he founded in 2004 links more than 1,600 volunteer experts in 113 countries working on shared food safety rules.

US fish farming struggles to attract money

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US fish and shellfish farming stays small and draws little investment, a report by Hatch Blue, an investment firm, says. [32]

The US has no clear federal rules for fish farms at sea. [32] That leaves projects to deal with different permits in each state. [32]

Several big US fish farms have shut in recent years. [32]

Why it matters

Investors told the report that fish farms take too long to pay back for venture funds. [32] The report suggests grants and loan guarantees first. [32]

Aldi to pay 1,000 beef farms extra

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Aldi, the supermarket chain, and ABP, a meat processor, will pay up to 1,000 British beef farms extra for greener farming. [33]

Farms pick actions on soil, wildlife and animal welfare and get advice from experts. [33] Applications open this month, and the scheme runs fully from spring 2027. [33]

Tom Bradshaw of the National Farmers Union welcomed it. [33]

Why it matters

British beef farmers face rising costs and the end of direct government payments, Aldi says. [33] Farms in the scheme get premium payments in return for checked actions. [33]

Good news

Aldi and ABP will pay up to 1,000 British beef farms extra for looking after soil, wildlife and animal welfare, with applications opening this month.

US plans sorghum for food aid

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The USDA expects to buy 144,230 tonnes of US sorghum, a cereal grain, for food aid next year through Food for Peace, Agri-Pulse reports. [12] That is about 5.7 million bushels. [12]

It will go to people in need in East and West Africa. [12] In all, the USDA plans 262,860 tonnes of US food for the programme. [12]

Why it matters

The National Sorghum Producers, a farmers' group, called it real demand for its members. [12] The USDA says the actual amount could change. [12]

Fewer fish in a Central African river

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Fishers on the Mbali River near Boali, in the Central African Republic, say their catches are shrinking. [35] Trees along the river are cut down to make charcoal for cooking. [35]

A government environment expert says felling destroys the places where fish breed. [35] Buyers from Bangui, the capital, now come for the fish. [35]

Why it matters

People in Boali now struggle to find enough fish, a fishmonger says. [35] The Congo Basin, where the river lies, holds the world's second-largest rainforest. [35]

Northern Ireland asks farmers about sprays

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AFBI, Northern Ireland's farm science body, has sent 724 letters asking crop farmers which pesticides they used in 2025-26. [36] The survey covers weedkillers, insect sprays, fungus sprays and slug pellets. [36]

Answers stay private, AFBI says. [36] The results will feed the pesticide policy of Northern Ireland's farm department. [36]

Why it matters

Northern Ireland farmers must follow both UK and EU pesticide rules, AFBI says. [36] The range of crop sprays on sale keeps shrinking as approval rules get stricter. [36]

That's the whole Food day.

26 stories, 37 sources.